CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: Lavked vs Phantom (BO3) - NODWIN Clutch Series Play-In Group C
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x56e11f85e0519abb2307606073791e44743ed8c115f8cd62883c66201ce93e9c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Lavkedof Lavked, Phantom
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $38,013
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $41,184
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $38,013 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 71 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xde8f…2c72backed Phantom | 41c | 6,017$2,495 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,494.89 | 280 | 56.4%158 W · 122 L | -4.2wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7fdd…e1fdbacked Lavked | 61c | 4,922$3,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,922.16 | 42 | 76.2%32 W · 10 L | +6.6wins | +0.16per pick | 61cpaid | +21.8%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xa113…284ebacked Phantom | 41c | 4,663$1,910 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,910 | 209 | 35.4%74 W · 135 L | -21.5wins | -0.10per pick | 46cpaid | -27.3%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x52b7…0aa1backed Phantom | 28c | 1,351$380 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$379.8 | 1,411 | 33.7%475 W · 936 L | +42.1wins | +0.03per pick | 31cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x72aa…90e0backed Lavked | 59c | 1,183$695 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$488.11 | 4,228 | 49.2%2,080 W · 2,148 L | +59.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb3a1…3529backed Lavked | 72c | 1,111$800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$311.2 | 45 | 48.9%22 W · 23 L | -2.9wins | -0.06per pick | 55cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa16b…b541backed Lavked | 53c | 999.99$530 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$470 | 434 | 55.1%239 W · 195 L | +13.9wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Phantom | 19c | 777.6$145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144.56 | 5,511 | 47%2,590 W · 2,921 L | +42.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8668…7f8fbacked Lavked | 76c | 697.08$528 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$169.08 | 133 | 43.6%58 W · 75 L | -9.8wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed Lavked | 69c | 643.6$443 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200.22 | 1,618 | 46.8%758 W · 860 L | -28.0wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2529…548abacked Phantom | 43c | 533.43$227 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$227.03 | 3,225 | 51.2%1,651 W · 1,574 L | +88.0wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe6e4…22ccbacked Phantom | 31c | 500$155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$155 | 436 | 40.6%177 W · 259 L | -5.4wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaaa1…d5dabacked Phantom | 8c | 412.5$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 300 | 31.7%95 W · 205 L | -5.1wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Lavked | 69c | 324.09$222 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.08 | 2,221 | 41.3%917 W · 1,304 L | -22.6wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd14…2267backed Lavked | 64c | 300$192 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108 | 5,830 | 37.8%2,203 W · 3,627 L | +79.0wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa094…3f07backed Lavked | 58c | 300$174 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$126 | 249 | 42.2%105 W · 144 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4e55…be6fbacked Lavked | 59c | 295.74$175 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120.74 | 116 | 36.2%42 W · 74 L | -8.1wins | -0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Lavked | 65c | 276.89$180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.22 | 3,257 | 50.3%1,638 W · 1,619 L | +98.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1afd…427ebacked Phantom | 36c | 276.67$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.59 | 48 | 64.6%31 W · 17 L | +7.4wins | +0.15per pick | 49cpaid | +27%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x9919…f261backed Phantom | 43c | 248.84$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107 | 418 | 47.1%197 W · 221 L | -7.2wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaa6c…a9b3backed Lavked | 67c | 223.79$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.79 | 1,163 | 54.3%631 W · 532 L | -38.8wins | -0.03per pick | 58cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbe59…0d2ebacked Lavked | 57c | 200$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86 | 583 | 43.6%254 W · 329 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc0f1…8680backed Phantom | 34c | 199.99$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68 | 2,522 | 43%1,085 W · 1,437 L | +42.7wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8f9e…10c8backed Phantom | 31c | 160$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.6 | 70 | 51.4%36 W · 34 L | +2.0wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2b26…57e9backed Lavked | 55c | 134$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.82 | 1,485 | 58%862 W · 623 L | +66.5wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x45a7…bc63backed Lavked | 59c | 126.75$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.75 | 88 | 47.7%42 W · 46 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbcf4…a399backed Lavked | 62c | 124.19$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.19 | 62 | 51.6%32 W · 30 L | -2.0wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8d88…1e28backed Lavked | 56c | 119.14$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.42 | 169 | 35.5%60 W · 109 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6ffb…f7f0backed Lavked | 63c | 105.87$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.87 | 309 | 51.5%159 W · 150 L | -4.6wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8f93…bffabacked Lavked | 66c | 100.75$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.04 | 789 | 63.8%503 W · 286 L | -2.5wins | 0.00per pick | 64cpaid | -3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1b78…e589backed Lavked | 79c | 99.99$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21 | 358 | 61.7%221 W · 137 L | +18.3wins | +0.05per pick | 57cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed Phantom | 30c | 99.18$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.48 | 6,480 | 42.9%2,782 W · 3,698 L | -79.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Lavked | 71c | 96.6$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.06 | 4,064 | 50.9%2,067 W · 1,997 L | +69.5wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2d63…aa21backed Phantom | 45c | 88.41$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -0.7wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2e3c…08babacked Phantom | 32c | 81.37$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.31 | 4,691 | 43.6%2,043 W · 2,648 L | -83.2wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4255…1792backed Phantom | 36c | 73.98$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.63 | 148 | 39.9%59 W · 89 L | +3.6wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4177…a2b4backed Lavked | 57c | 73.34$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.34 | 1,248 | 41.3%516 W · 732 L | +5.1wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfa02…8b07backed Lavked | 57c | 70.53$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.53 | 497 | 66.8%332 W · 165 L | +15.8wins | +0.03per pick | 64cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf9e4…24c2backed Lavked | 59c | 67.8$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.8 | 333 | 54.4%181 W · 152 L | +10.7wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8359…5944backed Lavked | 66c | 61$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.74 | 697 | 32%223 W · 474 L | -46.0wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x133c…b5abbacked Phantom | 33c | 60.61$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 92 | 40.2%37 W · 55 L | -10.2wins | -0.11per pick | 51cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x0c71…c0e5backed Phantom | 43c | 58.72$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 364 | 46.7%170 W · 194 L | +4.2wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8e86…7932backed Phantom | 40c | 50$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 283 | 46.6%132 W · 151 L | -7.4wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbe53…2dbabacked Lavked | 73c | 50$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.5 | 1,274 | 71.5%911 W · 363 L | +3.3wins | 0.00per pick | 71cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa74a…4893backed Phantom | 31c | 49.99$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.38 | 1,216 | 40.1%488 W · 728 L | -65.0wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -28.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3e6d…2671backed Lavked | 59c | 48.89$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.03 | 762 | 48.4%369 W · 393 L | +13.2wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Lavked | 69c | 44.28$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.61 | 2,468 | 24.6%607 W · 1,861 L | -317.8wins | -0.13per pick | 37cpaid | -51.7%equal weight | 36-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x86e6…e722backed Lavked | 56c | 42.47$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.69 | 262 | 45.8%120 W · 142 L | -11.5wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa497…7891backed Phantom | 36c | 41.67$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 112 | 59.8%67 W · 45 L | +4.0wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd0e0…10b7backed Phantom | 45c | 40$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x75b5…8e32backed Phantom | 46c | 40$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.4 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -33.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x765f…eb73backed Phantom | 44c | 40$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.5 | 44 | 40.9%18 W · 26 L | -2.6wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9ddc…e874backed Phantom | 39c | 38.43$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.9 | 95 | 33.7%32 W · 63 L | -9.3wins | -0.10per pick | 43cpaid | -41.1%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed Lavked | 73c | 38$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.4 | 2,061 | 50.7%1,045 W · 1,016 L | -18.7wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5135…7217backed Phantom | 36c | 37.55$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.45 | 1,620 | 52.7%853 W · 767 L | +57.6wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd067…9b9abacked Lavked | 64c | 37.41$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.41 | 456 | 63.6%290 W · 166 L | +6.4wins | +0.01per pick | 62cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9e00…05a1backed Phantom | 28c | 36.94$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.34 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x809c…ffcabacked Phantom | 31c | 35.48$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 43 | 55.8%24 W · 19 L | +1.6wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Phantom | 42c | 33.15$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.07 | 2,102 | 16.8%353 W · 1,749 L | -286.5wins | -0.14per pick | 30cpaid | -47.2%equal weight | 35-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x155b…d7babacked Lavked | 64c | 32.13$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.62 | 406 | 52.2%212 W · 194 L | +22.4wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb7d9…c572backed Lavked | 64c | 31.25$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.25 | 187 | 50.8%95 W · 92 L | +3.5wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1c39…442dbacked Phantom | 42c | 30.1$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.79 | 270 | 15.2%41 W · 229 L | -41.9wins | -0.16per pick | 31cpaid | -54.7%equal weight | 34-0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x5f05…eeb3backed Lavked | 75c | 30$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.5 | 83 | 65.1%54 W · 29 L | -6.8wins | -0.08per pick | 73cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd68e…8048backed Lavked | 58c | 29.43$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.36 | 42 | 73.8%31 W · 11 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 73cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7089…7351backed Lavked | 80c | 27.46$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.49 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | -3.5wins | -0.18per pick | 58cpaid | -33.1%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8858…ed3ebacked Lavked | 56c | 26.79$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.79 | 81 | 46.9%38 W · 43 L | -2.6wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5ab4…5c9cbacked Lavked | 76c | 26$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.16 | 89 | 88.8%79 W · 10 L | +10.3wins | +0.12per pick | 77cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x252f…2561backed Lavked | 64c | 24.92$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.97 | 564 | 54.3%306 W · 258 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf11a…1002backed Lavked | 51c | 24.47$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.99 | 278 | 48.6%135 W · 143 L | +9.5wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x22ab…5191backed Lavked | 64c | 20.91$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.61 | 206 | 62.1%128 W · 78 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 64cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x368d…d853backed Lavked | 61c | 20$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.8 | 783 | 48.4%379 W · 404 L | +17.9wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: Lavked vs Phantom (BO3) - NODWIN Clutch Series Play-In Group Cthis page
- Counter-Strike: Lavked vs Phantom - Map 1 WinnerLavked won
- Counter-Strike: Lavked vs Phantom - Map 2 WinnerPhantom won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.