CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: Lavked vs Phantom - Map 2 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x44d02ff171c0eddc42294ce9a78de5d6c4060f584031399709723eedbace9cd0
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Phantomof Lavked, Phantom
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $14,755
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $17,536
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $14,755 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 34 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x72aa…90e0backed Lavked | 29c | 2,145$614 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$613.61 | 4,228 | 49.2%2,080 W · 2,148 L | +59.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa113…284ebacked Phantom | 58c | 1,740$1,009 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$731.44 | 209 | 35.4%74 W · 135 L | -21.5wins | -0.10per pick | 46cpaid | -27.3%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x7069…325bbacked Lavked | 52c | 713.96$371 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$371.04 | 946 | 45.8%433 W · 513 L | +18.9wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Lavked | 47c | 627.95$297 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$297.03 | 4,038 | 48.1%1,943 W · 2,095 L | -23.9wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd055…28d0backed Lavked | 20c | 509.94$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.84 | 655 | 46.9%307 W · 348 L | +18.4wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x52b7…0aa1backed Phantom | 45c | 500$225 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$275 | 1,411 | 33.7%475 W · 936 L | +42.1wins | +0.03per pick | 31cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x133c…b5abbacked Lavked | 7c | 482.67$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.81 | 92 | 40.2%37 W · 55 L | -10.2wins | -0.11per pick | 51cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Lavked | 48c | 477.51$228 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$228.31 | 3,257 | 50.3%1,638 W · 1,619 L | +98.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x368d…d853backed Phantom | 47c | 400$189 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$211.1 | 783 | 48.4%379 W · 404 L | +17.9wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa5a8…bf60backed Phantom | 62c | 394.31$245 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$149.31 | 988 | 56.1%554 W · 434 L | +21.8wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc3f1…5ea0backed Lavked | 31c | 325.19$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 92 | 52.2%48 W · 44 L | +6.6wins | +0.07per pick | 45cpaid | +15.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8d88…1e28backed Lavked | 38c | 300$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114 | 169 | 35.5%60 W · 109 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Phantom | 66c | 202.43$133 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.77 | 7,925 | 50.4%3,997 W · 3,928 L | +179.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8f9e…10c8backed Phantom | 38c | 130$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.6 | 70 | 51.4%36 W · 34 L | +2.0wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc882…0662backed Phantom | 48c | 127.99$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.79 | 133 | 33.1%44 W · 89 L | -5.9wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x904e…0becbacked Lavked | 28c | 127.37$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.97 | 4,933 | 37.4%1,844 W · 3,089 L | -249.2wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2e3c…08babacked Phantom | 48c | 124.76$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.96 | 4,691 | 43.6%2,043 W · 2,648 L | -83.2wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed Lavked | 47c | 121.91$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.87 | 6,480 | 42.9%2,782 W · 3,698 L | -79.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x045a…b9a4backed Phantom | 48c | 106.25$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.25 | 34 | 41.2%14 W · 20 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf9be…a0c1backed Lavked | 34c | 96.7$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.2 | 447 | 48.1%215 W · 232 L | +17.3wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x505f…645ebacked Phantom | 59c | 94$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.54 | 2,604 | 52.6%1,371 W · 1,233 L | +98.0wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf46b…c51dbacked Lavked | 56c | 89.46$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 60 | 58.3%35 W · 25 L | +4.2wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +17.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd6ac…e2a8backed Lavked | 20c | 80$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 116 | 50.9%59 W · 57 L | +8.7wins | +0.08per pick | 43cpaid | +29.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xabcd…14f6backed Phantom | 51c | 78.43$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.43 | 11 | 9.1%1 W · 10 L | -4.1wins | -0.37per pick | 46cpaid | -82.2%equal weight | 37-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x29a5…a3c4backed Phantom | 67c | 67.18$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.38 | 1,003 | 55.7%559 W · 444 L | +24.5wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5f43…3a74backed Phantom | 45c | 62.31$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.27 | 659 | 46.6%307 W · 352 L | +12.5wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd067…9b9abacked Lavked | 44c | 40.7$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 456 | 63.6%290 W · 166 L | +6.4wins | +0.01per pick | 62cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe239…1761backed Phantom | 39c | 39.38$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.03 | 87 | 48.3%42 W · 45 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d9c…5369backed Phantom | 72c | 39$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.05 | 187 | 58.3%109 W · 78 L | +10.6wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8858…ed3ebacked Phantom | 49c | 30.38$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.38 | 81 | 46.9%38 W · 43 L | -2.6wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5fb0…20b4backed Lavked | 59c | 30.07$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.74 | 55 | 43.6%24 W · 31 L | -4.1wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3e6d…2671backed Lavked | 42c | 25.19$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.61 | 762 | 48.4%369 W · 393 L | +13.2wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3145…fcf5backed Lavked | 55c | 21.82$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 127 | 61.4%78 W · 49 L | +3.4wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6dcd…5ef7backed Phantom | 70c | 14.37$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.3 | 301 | 53.8%162 W · 139 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: Lavked vs Phantom - Map 2 Winnerthis page
- Counter-Strike: Lavked vs Phantom (BO3) - NODWIN Clutch Series Play-In Group CLavked won
- Counter-Strike: Lavked vs Phantom - Map 1 WinnerLavked won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.