CS2 · resolved market

Counter-Strike: ALGO Esports vs Fire Flux Esports (BO3) - United21 Playoffs

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xcef7f2a1918100212f82c2168d4e728eb60e98a30485e368fea1c1ac11a58978

Rebuilt 23 hours ago.

Winning outcome: ALGO Esportsof ALGO Esports, Fire Flux Esports
Resolved: May 4, 2026, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: CS2every record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $32,819
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $38,685

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $32,819 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 78 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in CS2
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0x507e…beaebacked ALGO Esports	64c	6,703$4,291 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,411.41	3,096	48.5%1,501 W · 1,595 L	+135.0wins	+0.04per pick	44cpaid	-5.7%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x6d22…4b50backed Fire Flux Esports	33c	3,752$1,242 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,242.42	205	54.1%111 W · 94 L	+17.3wins	+0.08per pick	46cpaid	+65.3%equal weight	58+0.08 edge/pick
0x689c…6b1ebacked Fire Flux Esports	29c	3,404$998 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$997.62	275	52%143 W · 132 L	-5.2wins	-0.02per pick	54cpaid	-5.5%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0b95…4ce8backed ALGO Esports	77c	2,529$1,951 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$578	5	80%4 W · 1 L	+0.7wins	+0.15per pick	65cpaid	+25.8%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x0e1b…ecafbacked ALGO Esports	66c	2,286$1,499 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$787.68	2,328	51.1%1,189 W · 1,139 L	+92.3wins	+0.04per pick	47cpaid	+1.4%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x7fdd…e1fdbacked Fire Flux Esports	51c	2,043$1,050 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,050	42	76.2%32 W · 10 L	+6.6wins	+0.16per pick	61cpaid	+21.8%equal weight	61+0.10 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked ALGO Esports	47c	1,267$591 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$676.31	7,925	50.4%3,997 W · 3,928 L	+179.4wins	+0.02per pick	48cpaid	-2.1%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x8668…7f8fbacked Fire Flux Esports	45c	1,225$555 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$554.79	133	43.6%58 W · 75 L	-9.8wins	-0.07per pick	51cpaid	-14.3%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0xb845…ca23backed Fire Flux Esports	27c	928.15$250 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$250	29	20.7%6 W · 23 L	-2.3wins	-0.08per pick	28cpaid	-40.9%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x4e0b…4e72backed Fire Flux Esports	35c	747.6$261 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$260.97	200	59%118 W · 82 L	-0.3wins	0.00per pick	59cpaid	-0.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xfd14…2267backed Fire Flux Esports	33c	702.16$233 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$233.05	5,830	37.8%2,203 W · 3,627 L	+79.0wins	+0.01per pick	36cpaid	+0.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc9ea…b907backed Fire Flux Esports	49c	611.24$300 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$300	8	37.5%3 W · 5 L	-1.6wins	-0.19per pick	57cpaid	-48.2%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x0f6d…71b4backed ALGO Esports	67c	597.73$400 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$197.25	33	54.5%18 W · 15 L	+0.9wins	+0.03per pick	52cpaid	+6.9%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6ce3…07b5backed ALGO Esports	62c	449.49$280 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$169.49	3	33.3%1 W · 2 L	-0.7wins	-0.22per pick	55cpaid	-46.5%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x5929…4684backed Fire Flux Esports	26c	410.38$106 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$106.2	4,064	50.9%2,067 W · 1,997 L	+69.5wins	+0.02per pick	49cpaid	-6.3%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1e52…91d6backed Fire Flux Esports	40c	403.31$162 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$161.92	256	34.4%88 W · 168 L	-12.7wins	-0.05per pick	39cpaid	-23.2%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x7069…325bbacked ALGO Esports	45c	399.97$180 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$219.98	946	45.8%433 W · 513 L	+18.9wins	+0.02per pick	44cpaid	+6.5%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xcb5b…f243backed ALGO Esports	66c	341.29$225 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$115.81	4,038	48.1%1,943 W · 2,095 L	-23.9wins	-0.01per pick	49cpaid	-11.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Fire Flux Esports	25c	289.11$71 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$71.13	5,511	47%2,590 W · 2,921 L	+42.0wins	+0.01per pick	46cpaid	-4.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x953e…79ffbacked Fire Flux Esports	36c	271$98 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$97.81	303	48.5%147 W · 156 L	+3.0wins	+0.01per pick	48cpaid	+5.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf52e…54fcbacked Fire Flux Esports	60c	254.21$153 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$152.53	55	32.7%18 W · 37 L	-4.8wins	-0.09per pick	42cpaid	-34.7%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0xf56c…fcbdbacked ALGO Esports	40c	250$100 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$150	354	49.7%176 W · 178 L	-5.7wins	-0.02per pick	51cpaid	-3.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9afd…3624backed Fire Flux Esports	52c	247.95$128 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$127.81	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.5wins	-0.52per pick	52cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x505f…645ebacked Fire Flux Esports	48c	213.56$102 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$101.61	2,604	52.6%1,371 W · 1,233 L	+98.0wins	+0.04per pick	49cpaid	-3.6%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x6366…576fbacked Fire Flux Esports	34c	212.99$72 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$71.6	5	40%2 W · 3 L	+0.2wins	+0.04per pick	36cpaid	+8.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8e34…4480backed Fire Flux Esports	39c	195.93$77 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$76.98	499	35.1%175 W · 324 L	-5.7wins	-0.01per pick	36cpaid	-7.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7479…e171backed ALGO Esports	66c	193.38$127 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$66.51	101	33.7%34 W · 67 L	-14.2wins	-0.14per pick	48cpaid	-42.1%equal weight	38-0.11 edge/pick
0xe601…84ecbacked Fire Flux Esports	46c	187.98$86 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$86.47	488	45.7%223 W · 265 L	-3.0wins	-0.01per pick	46cpaid	-1.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4232…d505backed ALGO Esports	55c	184.05$102 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$82.05	60	40%24 W · 36 L	-1.1wins	-0.02per pick	42cpaid	-4.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc0f1…8680backed Fire Flux Esports	31c	172.2$54 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$53.61	2,522	43%1,085 W · 1,437 L	+42.7wins	+0.02per pick	41cpaid	-3.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbc5e…52f0backed Fire Flux Esports	23c	154.71$35 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$35	27	44.4%12 W · 15 L	-3.6wins	-0.14per pick	58cpaid	-30.6%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0x2e3c…08babacked Fire Flux Esports	44c	152.83$67 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$67.34	4,691	43.6%2,043 W · 2,648 L	-83.2wins	-0.02per pick	45cpaid	-21.8%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xaaa1…d5dabacked Fire Flux Esports	11c	152.14$17 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$17.05	300	31.7%95 W · 205 L	-5.1wins	-0.02per pick	33cpaid	-11.5%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2b61…c97fbacked Fire Flux Esports	41c	130.59$54 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$53.75	35	48.6%17 W · 18 L	+2.6wins	+0.07per pick	41cpaid	+25.3%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0xda26…8fefbacked Fire Flux Esports	50c	119$60 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$59.5	2	50%1 W · 1 L	-0.2wins	-0.12per pick	62cpaid	-32.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7b74…cbaebacked Fire Flux Esports	33c	117.04$39 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$38.53	44	45.5%20 W · 24 L	-0.5wins	-0.01per pick	47cpaid	-1.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x180c…cd04backed Fire Flux Esports	45c	110$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$49.5	449	39.2%176 W · 273 L	-0.4wins	0.00per pick	39cpaid	-3.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xd9a5…c602backed ALGO Esports	41c	109.99$46 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$64.34	332	37%123 W · 209 L	-1.4wins	0.00per pick	37cpaid	-11.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x51db…f9b3backed Fire Flux Esports	44c	108.03$47 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$47.42	6,480	42.9%2,782 W · 3,698 L	-79.1wins	-0.01per pick	44cpaid	-21.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8f93…bffabacked ALGO Esports	64c	107.37$68 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$39.01	789	63.8%503 W · 286 L	-2.5wins	0.00per pick	64cpaid	-3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x299f…2c50backed Fire Flux Esports	65c	104.51$68 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$67.97	721	39.7%286 W · 435 L	-25.9wins	-0.04per pick	43cpaid	-19.6%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xa0d5…9727backed Fire Flux Esports	27c	95.7$26 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25.66	174	38.5%67 W · 107 L	-1.9wins	-0.01per pick	40cpaid	-8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x22c7…3e23backed ALGO Esports	31c	90.8$28 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$62.65	140	37.1%52 W · 88 L	+2.7wins	+0.02per pick	35cpaid	-3.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x596a…7a0fbacked ALGO Esports	57c	90$51 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$38.7	1,281	37.8%484 W · 797 L	+5.5wins	0.00per pick	37cpaid	+2.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x509b…aec4backed Fire Flux Esports	55c	88.82$49 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$48.84	31	25.8%8 W · 23 L	-5.5wins	-0.18per pick	43cpaid	-47.8%equal weight	39-0.10 edge/pick
0x66a6…f22bbacked ALGO Esports	35c	86.88$30 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$56.88	64	56.3%36 W · 28 L	+1.7wins	+0.03per pick	54cpaid	+12.7%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xde8f…2c72backed ALGO Esports	52c	84.81$44 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$40.46	280	56.4%158 W · 122 L	-4.2wins	-0.02per pick	58cpaid	-7.1%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x0fde…0258backed Fire Flux Esports	55c	83.49$46 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$45.92	799	51.7%413 W · 386 L	+25.4wins	+0.03per pick	49cpaid	+5.8%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5b63…11a4backed ALGO Esports	50c	81.82$41 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$40.58	1,618	46.8%758 W · 860 L	-28.0wins	-0.02per pick	49cpaid	-4.2%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x05d3…c06abacked ALGO Esports	62c	80.65$50 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$30.65	1,710	52.3%895 W · 815 L	-73.4wins	-0.04per pick	57cpaid	-8.2%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x1508…0648backed Fire Flux Esports	25c	78.81$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	72	43.1%31 W · 41 L	-4.9wins	-0.07per pick	50cpaid	-13.2%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0xa74a…4893backed Fire Flux Esports	48c	78.55$38 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$38.03	1,216	40.1%488 W · 728 L	-65.0wins	-0.05per pick	45cpaid	-28.3%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x1c27…21a9backed ALGO Esports	68c	76.06$51 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$24.67	231	58.4%135 W · 96 L	-1.1wins	0.00per pick	59cpaid	+0.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xf39a…fe47backed ALGO Esports	61c	69.99$42 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$27.65	2,061	50.7%1,045 W · 1,016 L	-18.7wins	-0.01per pick	52cpaid	-8.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x81d7…32d8backed ALGO Esports	74c	67.58$50 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$17.58	24	45.8%11 W · 13 L	-1.2wins	-0.05per pick	51cpaid	-16.7%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x45a7…bc63backed Fire Flux Esports	23c	65$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15	88	47.7%42 W · 46 L	-0.6wins	-0.01per pick	48cpaid	-5.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5012…4d3ebacked Fire Flux Esports	17c	60.87$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10.25	60	30%18 W · 42 L	-6.0wins	-0.10per pick	40cpaid	-32.9%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0x8c38…fd63backed ALGO Esports	54c	57.46$31 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$26.43	172	57.6%99 W · 73 L	-3.0wins	-0.02per pick	59cpaid	-3.4%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7089…7351backed ALGO Esports	67c	57.21$39 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$18.61	20	40%8 W · 12 L	-3.5wins	-0.18per pick	58cpaid	-33.1%equal weight	41-0.08 edge/pick
0x29a5…a3c4backed ALGO Esports	53c	56.25$30 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$26.18	1,003	55.7%559 W · 444 L	+24.5wins	+0.02per pick	53cpaid	-0.9%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0xfcf6…c27dbacked Fire Flux Esports	41c	53.87$22 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$22	113	41.6%47 W · 66 L	-0.2wins	0.00per pick	42cpaid	-5.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x7add…7a7bbacked Fire Flux Esports	31c	50$16 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15.5	62	45.2%28 W · 34 L	+2.1wins	+0.03per pick	42cpaid	+2%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0xbe53…2dbabacked ALGO Esports	79c	50$39 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$10.64	1,274	71.5%911 W · 363 L	+3.3wins	0.00per pick	71cpaid	+0.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x18be…dde0backed ALGO Esports	57c	45.59$26 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$19.59	1	100%1 W · 0 L	+0.4wins	+0.43per pick	57cpaid	+75.4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6d9c…5369backed Fire Flux Esports	40c	44.15$18 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$17.82	187	58.3%109 W · 78 L	+10.6wins	+0.06per pick	53cpaid	+3.6%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0xbf0b…7cccbacked ALGO Esports	57c	43.86$25 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$18.86	454	50.2%228 W · 226 L	-12.8wins	-0.03per pick	53cpaid	-4.6%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc9e7…c067backed Fire Flux Esports	69c	43.57$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30	43	46.5%20 W · 23 L	-6.5wins	-0.15per pick	62cpaid	-29.5%equal weight	39-0.10 edge/pick
0x6531…54abbacked Fire Flux Esports	26c	42.1$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11	14	50%7 W · 7 L	-1.5wins	-0.11per pick	61cpaid	-21.1%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xe728…9d87backed ALGO Esports	54c	42.08$23 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$19.2	231	50.6%117 W · 114 L	-7.0wins	-0.03per pick	54cpaid	-10%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xfc38…c3b4backed Fire Flux Esports	55c	36.36$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	339	50.7%172 W · 167 L	+7.1wins	+0.02per pick	49cpaid	+9.9%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x93ed…a4cbbacked ALGO Esports	31c	35.48$11 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$24.48	260	48.8%127 W · 133 L	+4.7wins	+0.02per pick	47cpaid	+5.7%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x069b…1501backed Fire Flux Esports	37c	34.43$13 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12.74	11	36.4%4 W · 7 L	-2.1wins	-0.19per pick	55cpaid	-45.9%equal weight	44-0.06 edge/pick
0xb6d2…d67bbacked ALGO Esports	55c	33.84$19 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$15.15	1,315	51.1%672 W · 643 L	-99.5wins	-0.08per pick	59cpaid	-18.5%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0x6dcd…5ef7backed ALGO Esports	61c	30.33$19 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$11.74	301	53.8%162 W · 139 L	-1.3wins	0.00per pick	54cpaid	-4.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x774c…b3e1backed Fire Flux Esports	46c	30.07$14 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$13.83	2	50%1 W · 1 L	+0.3wins	+0.13per pick	37cpaid	+78.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5f05…eeb3backed ALGO Esports	79c	30$24 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$6.3	83	65.1%54 W · 29 L	-6.8wins	-0.08per pick	73cpaid	-15.6%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0x708b…7d2abacked ALGO Esports	64c	27.36$18 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$9.85	4	75%3 W · 1 L	+0.3wins	+0.09per pick	66cpaid	+10.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3f0c…51dbbacked ALGO Esports	53c	24.53$13 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$11.53	401	48.4%194 W · 207 L	-14.5wins	-0.04per pick	52cpaid	-8.2%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Counter-Strike: ALGO Esports vs Fire Flux Esports (BO3) - United21 Playoffsthis page
Counter-Strike: ALGO Esports vs Fire Flux Esports - Map 2 WinnerFire Flux Esports won

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Counter-Strike: ALGO Esports vs Fire Flux Esports (BO3) - United21 Playoffs

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event