Dota2 · resolved market
Dota 2: MOUZ vs Yellow Submarine (BO3) - 1win Essence Group A
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xfa3f9647ea5702b91224cd490dccbcac33f7dde9995ca21ae5287cc0d8a1b0cb
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yellow Submarineof MOUZ, Yellow Submarine
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $87,862
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $96,923
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $87,862 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 198 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Dota2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xa27c…ab67backed MOUZ | 67c | 6,264$4,214 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,214.43 | 799 | 59.4%475 W · 324 L | +4.1wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2146…d41bbacked Yellow Submarine | 37c | 5,409$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,409.12 | 897 | 41.5%372 W · 525 L | +22.7wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd3b0…329ebacked Yellow Submarine | 45c | 4,972$2,222 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,750.15 | 802 | 56%449 W · 353 L | +22.9wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x31a4…7afcbacked MOUZ | 53c | 4,820$2,546 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,546.2 | 953 | 42.2%402 W · 551 L | -20.7wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa35c…a113backed MOUZ | 64c | 4,471$2,877 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,877.22 | 617 | 45.7%282 W · 335 L | -12.4wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf3ce…a57abacked Yellow Submarine | 50c | 4,275$2,137 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,138.22 | 1,202 | 59.3%713 W · 489 L | +64.6wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x87da…53d1backed Yellow Submarine | 33c | 4,256$1,402 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,854.08 | 965 | 57.4%554 W · 411 L | +49.5wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe16d…5e30backed Yellow Submarine | 34c | 4,142$1,428 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,714.26 | 1,210 | 57.1%691 W · 519 L | +44.5wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7032…0a8bbacked MOUZ | 41c | 2,381$974 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$973.97 | 552 | 51.6%285 W · 267 L | +10.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3763…345fbacked Yellow Submarine | 61c | 1,931$1,173 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$757.62 | 421 | 45.4%191 W · 230 L | -11.3wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xab96…989fbacked MOUZ | 70c | 1,875$1,321 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,320.64 | 46 | 34.8%16 W · 30 L | -8.2wins | -0.18per pick | 53cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 37-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x3d0a…07c7backed MOUZ | 73c | 1,631$1,190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,190 | 90 | 63.3%57 W · 33 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 61cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1a4f…9b0cbacked Yellow Submarine | 43c | 1,502$650 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$851.7 | 82 | 50%41 W · 41 L | -1.9wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2da2…8c2bbacked MOUZ | 62c | 1,475$915 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$914.59 | 109 | 66.1%72 W · 37 L | +5.9wins | +0.05per pick | 61cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2662…3f84backed MOUZ | 42c | 1,379$583 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$583.15 | 145 | 62.1%90 W · 55 L | +4.0wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfdc0…4b85backed Yellow Submarine | 30c | 1,372$416 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$955.97 | 1,577 | 43.9%692 W · 885 L | -10.4wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd8b5…54c4backed Yellow Submarine | 46c | 1,302$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$701.95 | 292 | 40.8%119 W · 173 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaa57…a128backed MOUZ | 27c | 1,158$309 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$309.1 | 466 | 64.2%299 W · 167 L | +9.2wins | +0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbf3b…0375backed MOUZ | 68c | 1,150$782 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$782 | 122 | 50%61 W · 61 L | +3.6wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x689c…6b1ebacked MOUZ | 38c | 1,123$430 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$429.96 | 47 | 61.7%29 W · 18 L | +4.5wins | +0.10per pick | 52cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked MOUZ | 44c | 1,115$495 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$495.19 | 899 | 38%342 W · 557 L | -45.9wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -30%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x45dd…c32ebacked Yellow Submarine | 66c | 1,087$718 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$368.67 | 47 | 40.4%19 W · 28 L | -1.9wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -31.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xab04…a00abacked Yellow Submarine | 49c | 1,018$498 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$520.18 | 379 | 45.9%174 W · 205 L | +3.3wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6eac…ed37backed Yellow Submarine | 50c | 996.3$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$496.3 | 574 | 49%281 W · 293 L | +33.5wins | +0.06per pick | 43cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xebf8…7d2bbacked MOUZ | 53c | 904.04$479 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$479.14 | 105 | 41%43 W · 62 L | -8.5wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2978…4a1cbacked Yellow Submarine | 30c | 835$251 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$584.5 | 68 | 73.5%50 W · 18 L | +7.3wins | +0.11per pick | 63cpaid | +20.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed MOUZ | 44c | 804.88$355 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$354.97 | 1,120 | 36.1%404 W · 716 L | -39.4wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -31.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked Yellow Submarine | 26c | 765.98$197 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$568.84 | 562 | 43.2%243 W · 319 L | +14.0wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x59e2…1c55backed MOUZ | 40c | 737.49$297 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$297.33 | 475 | 48%228 W · 247 L | -10.1wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -12%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x31b9…150bbacked MOUZ | 70c | 715.93$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 592 | 54.1%320 W · 272 L | +1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3cf5…8483backed Yellow Submarine | 41c | 704.97$290 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$414.97 | 59 | 52.5%31 W · 28 L | -4.6wins | -0.08per pick | 60cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…165bbacked Yellow Submarine | 67c | 694.28$468 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$226.73 | 1,275 | 33.5%427 W · 848 L | -15.6wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x787f…d40cbacked MOUZ | 76c | 677$513 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$512.52 | 64 | 48.4%31 W · 33 L | -3.7wins | -0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3af1…d739backed MOUZ | 51c | 676.86$345 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$345.2 | 226 | 44.7%101 W · 125 L | -6.9wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd7d3…698bbacked Yellow Submarine | 39c | 668.29$262 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$406.29 | 480 | 53.1%255 W · 225 L | +25.4wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1365…c82abacked Yellow Submarine | 46c | 626.25$289 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$337.44 | 614 | 56%344 W · 270 L | +13.5wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe1d3…b8debacked MOUZ | 49c | 600$294 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$293.5 | 700 | 52.3%366 W · 334 L | +47.1wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5d59…bdf3backed Yellow Submarine | 30c | 599.99$178 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$421.99 | 675 | 55%371 W · 304 L | +8.2wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3f12…3e35backed MOUZ | 69c | 578.05$396 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$396.48 | 99 | 46.5%46 W · 53 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x94c4…5415backed MOUZ | 17c | 576.2$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 39 | 53.8%21 W · 18 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Yellow Submarine | 27c | 570.74$154 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$416.91 | 192 | 42.7%82 W · 110 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -20%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed Yellow Submarine | 58c | 570.16$329 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$241.37 | 2,828 | 43.6%1,234 W · 1,594 L | -39.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9fb…f9d1backed MOUZ | 27c | 538.17$147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$147.4 | 162 | 40.7%66 W · 96 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d24…20b3backed Yellow Submarine | 77c | 514.25$395 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$118.94 | 542 | 46.7%253 W · 289 L | -2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xce1f…7392backed MOUZ | 63c | 489$307 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$307.05 | 678 | 53.5%363 W · 315 L | +9.3wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffd…7821backed Yellow Submarine | 53c | 484.97$255 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$230.32 | 207 | 40.1%83 W · 124 L | -14.4wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -29.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0ff6…3a39backed MOUZ | 56c | 446.88$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250.25 | 21 | 52.4%11 W · 10 L | +1.2wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8c14…d8fbbacked MOUZ | 75c | 435.36$324 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$324.42 | 44 | 52.3%23 W · 21 L | -3.3wins | -0.08per pick | 60cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x473f…9892backed MOUZ | 35c | 428.57$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 500 | 53%265 W · 235 L | +14.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ee…519cbacked Yellow Submarine | 48c | 411$198 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$213.07 | 669 | 47.1%315 W · 354 L | -10.0wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8342…6dc8backed Yellow Submarine | 40c | 410.72$165 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$245.72 | 480 | 54%259 W · 221 L | +11.6wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe3f…0fcfbacked Yellow Submarine | 77c | 406$313 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.38 | 866 | 59.6%516 W · 350 L | -8.6wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x57d5…0bbdbacked MOUZ | 54c | 401.35$215 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$214.83 | 531 | 39.5%210 W · 321 L | -37.2wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -29.6%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x18f3…0c20backed Yellow Submarine | 26c | 400$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$296 | 64 | 45.3%29 W · 35 L | -2.2wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Yellow Submarine | 24c | 388.71$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$295.75 | 61 | 44.3%27 W · 34 L | +3.1wins | +0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x86b1…c094backed Yellow Submarine | 64c | 374.02$240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$134.14 | 656 | 25.6%168 W · 488 L | +14.7wins | +0.02per pick | 23cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x810b…0848backed MOUZ | 24c | 343.04$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.07 | 131 | 44.3%58 W · 73 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x98a7…b766backed Yellow Submarine | 56c | 323.2$180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$143.45 | 602 | 51.2%308 W · 294 L | +3.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde4b…3b7dbacked MOUZ | 64c | 300$192 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$192 | 189 | 52.9%100 W · 89 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc623…9c7dbacked MOUZ | 68c | 295.68$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 367 | 61%224 W · 143 L | +4.6wins | +0.01per pick | 60cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x50ac…a924backed MOUZ | 76c | 295.46$225 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$224.55 | 95 | 55.8%53 W · 42 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +22.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1afd…427ebacked MOUZ | 34c | 294.74$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.21 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | -2.6wins | -0.16per pick | 48cpaid | -40.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0ee5…e798backed Yellow Submarine | 37c | 293.95$109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$185.19 | 720 | 35.1%253 W · 467 L | -24.8wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8c38…fd63backed Yellow Submarine | 34c | 292.12$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$191.51 | 53 | 56.6%30 W · 23 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf9f2…5cbabacked Yellow Submarine | 24c | 284.99$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$215.74 | 126 | 42.1%53 W · 73 L | +3.8wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6859…2d79backed MOUZ | 13c | 283.44$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37 | 22 | 54.5%12 W · 10 L | +1.8wins | +0.08per pick | 46cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked MOUZ | 6c | 279$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.73 | 793 | 41.7%331 W · 462 L | -13.3wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xddb6…b9b3backed MOUZ | 53c | 269$141 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$141.38 | 589 | 43%253 W · 336 L | -25.9wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7c09…dfb9backed MOUZ | 76c | 268.66$204 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$204.08 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.11per pick | 61cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked MOUZ | 58c | 266.52$155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$154.64 | 2,378 | 47.2%1,123 W · 1,255 L | +15.8wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x14f4…fa45backed MOUZ | 29c | 258.69$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.02 | 25 | 36%9 W · 16 L | -1.1wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -18%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x315f…85c6backed Yellow Submarine | 50c | 256.14$129 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.14 | 293 | 47.4%139 W · 154 L | -4.4wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb97e…262bbacked Yellow Submarine | 73c | 254.52$186 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.14 | 526 | 49.2%259 W · 267 L | +21.1wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0e1b…ecafbacked Yellow Submarine | 51c | 253.28$128 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$125.03 | 966 | 45.1%436 W · 530 L | -7.7wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x848d…9867backed MOUZ | 37c | 250$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.5 | 925 | 61.2%566 W · 359 L | +53.8wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe062…4907backed Yellow Submarine | 25c | 235$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$176.25 | 44 | 36.4%16 W · 28 L | -3.3wins | -0.08per pick | 44cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd035…f165backed Yellow Submarine | 31c | 234.21$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$161.67 | 107 | 35.5%38 W · 69 L | -2.9wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -28.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x55ab…40e8backed MOUZ | 12c | 225$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 114 | 50.9%58 W · 56 L | +9.4wins | +0.08per pick | 43cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4ade…fb15backed MOUZ | 41c | 211.1$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.36 | 64 | 42.2%27 W · 37 L | -4.4wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed MOUZ | 51c | 204.8$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.75 | 785 | 16.6%130 W · 655 L | -135.4wins | -0.17per pick | 34cpaid | -66.7%equal weight | 31-0.17 edge/pick |
| 0xb9a9…263cbacked Yellow Submarine | 37c | 203.85$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$128.43 | 241 | 37.3%90 W · 151 L | +9.7wins | +0.04per pick | 33cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb93b…4208backed MOUZ | 68c | 200$136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$136 | 19 | 68.4%13 W · 6 L | +1.4wins | +0.07per pick | 61cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x703b…e371backed MOUZ | 36c | 200$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72 | 515 | 44.9%231 W · 284 L | +40.9wins | +0.08per pick | 37cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf9ef…20ebbacked Yellow Submarine | 25c | 200$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150 | 45 | 57.8%26 W · 19 L | +4.2wins | +0.09per pick | 48cpaid | +28.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc49b…70c0backed Yellow Submarine | 46c | 200$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108 | 630 | 32.5%205 W · 425 L | +1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 32cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3fc7…62b9backed Yellow Submarine | 37c | 200$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$126 | 654 | 41.9%274 W · 380 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xad72…4f5ebacked Yellow Submarine | 36c | 192.44$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$123.16 | 368 | 51.6%190 W · 178 L | +25.7wins | +0.07per pick | 45cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xec69…6fbabacked MOUZ | 56c | 190$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.86 | 225 | 43.6%98 W · 127 L | -12.0wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -25.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbb8e…08c1backed Yellow Submarine | 47c | 186$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.65 | 645 | 47.8%308 W · 337 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3eb6…bddfbacked MOUZ | 73c | 175$129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$128.5 | 98 | 53.1%52 W · 46 L | -4.5wins | -0.05per pick | 58cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2e3c…08babacked MOUZ | 35c | 174.43$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.63 | 1,702 | 41.2%701 W · 1,001 L | -44.0wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xec17…44bcbacked MOUZ | 30c | 166.67$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.9wins | +0.12per pick | 45cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed MOUZ | 57c | 159.96$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.09 | 1,260 | 49.7%626 W · 634 L | +21.7wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x36d8…c7c7backed Yellow Submarine | 31c | 158.06$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$109.06 | 233 | 42.9%100 W · 133 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0438…a67bbacked MOUZ | 64c | 156.25$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.06per pick | 69cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed Yellow Submarine | 39c | 152.71$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.53 | 1,013 | 45.5%461 W · 552 L | -46.3wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4350…4bbabacked MOUZ | 26c | 152.62$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.68 | 33 | 66.7%22 W · 11 L | +2.3wins | +0.07per pick | 60cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xccf5…42f2backed MOUZ | 64c | 151.56$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97 | 574 | 55.4%318 W · 256 L | +6.5wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf97e…dff7backed MOUZ | 67c | 148.07$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.21 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.29per pick | 62cpaid | -58.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x57ba…d369backed MOUZ | 43c | 144.42$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62 | 146 | 48.6%71 W · 75 L | -8.7wins | -0.06per pick | 55cpaid | -14%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Dota 2: MOUZ vs Yellow Submarine (BO3) - 1win Essence Group Athis page
- Dota 2: MOUZ vs Yellow Submarine - Game 1 WinnerYellow Submarine won
- Dota 2: MOUZ vs Yellow Submarine - Game 2 WinnerMOUZ won
- Game Handicap: MOUZ (-1.5) vs Yellow Submarine (+1.5)Yellow Submarine won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.