CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: Atreides vs Lilmix (BO3) - CCT Europe Challengers Series Playoffs
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x765c5627d67b055b6998eaca8be1bef1a243a6bd60b41be0a8caf6231f1b7557
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Atreidesof Atreides, Lilmix
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $14,691
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $16,105
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $14,691 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 52 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x29b5…cc6cbacked Atreides | 67c | 7,632$5,110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,521.58 | 5,095 | 55.1%2,805 W · 2,290 L | +119.3wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x52b7…0aa1backed Lilmix | 33c | 2,500$825 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$825 | 1,423 | 33.6%478 W · 945 L | +41.8wins | +0.03per pick | 31cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfd14…2267backed Lilmix | 29c | 1,257$367 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$366.64 | 5,876 | 37.7%2,213 W · 3,663 L | +71.9wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8f13…daaebacked Lilmix | 30c | 966.07$286 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$286.2 | 162 | 35.8%58 W · 104 L | -5.0wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc34b…9296backed Atreides | 67c | 749.73$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$249.73 | 2,030 | 53.7%1,091 W · 939 L | +6.3wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Atreides | 77c | 579.79$447 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$133.01 | 4,038 | 48.1%1,943 W · 2,095 L | -23.9wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x094a…e4a9backed Lilmix | 33c | 480$158 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$158.4 | 40 | 42.5%17 W · 23 L | -1.1wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9919…f261backed Lilmix | 33c | 462.5$152 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$152 | 418 | 47.1%197 W · 221 L | -7.2wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed Lilmix | 22c | 353.56$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.46 | 6,501 | 42.9%2,791 W · 3,710 L | -79.3wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xac89…3783backed Lilmix | 32c | 325.86$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.28 | 35 | 48.6%17 W · 18 L | +1.3wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe2e9…1c08backed Atreides | 66c | 300$198 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102 | 29 | 34.5%10 W · 19 L | -5.7wins | -0.20per pick | 54cpaid | -39.2%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xaaa1…d5dabacked Lilmix | 34c | 300$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102 | 300 | 31.7%95 W · 205 L | -5.1wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1eb3…6bfebacked Lilmix | 32c | 300$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96 | 75 | 40%30 W · 45 L | -6.0wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd95d…2ab5backed Lilmix | 33c | 270$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.1 | 325 | 44.3%144 W · 181 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | 0%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5de7…5417backed Lilmix | 33c | 250$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.5 | 1,146 | 43.5%499 W · 647 L | -17.5wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6277…5a3fbacked Lilmix | 33c | 229.77$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76 | 635 | 41.9%266 W · 369 L | +10.2wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x904e…0becbacked Atreides | 79c | 227.54$180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.9 | 5,034 | 37.2%1,874 W · 3,160 L | -260.4wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -32.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc5c1…de09backed Lilmix | 34c | 220$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.8 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.34per pick | 34cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf6ee…0e41backed Lilmix | 32c | 208.01$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.89 | 1,041 | 39.9%415 W · 626 L | +20.5wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4484…9defbacked Lilmix | 33c | 207.7$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.52 | 94 | 45.7%43 W · 51 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0db0…6424backed Atreides | 70c | 203.93$142 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62 | 67 | 44.8%30 W · 37 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc0f1…8680backed Lilmix | 37c | 199.99$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74 | 2,527 | 43.1%1,088 W · 1,439 L | +42.6wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2757…55f0backed Lilmix | 34c | 181$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.88 | 246 | 41.9%103 W · 143 L | -14.4wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x08e0…f4a0backed Atreides | 67c | 179.51$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.51 | 848 | 56%475 W · 373 L | +31.6wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x822b…61fdbacked Lilmix | 31c | 177.28$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.58 | 30 | 46.7%14 W · 16 L | +3.4wins | +0.11per pick | 35cpaid | +17.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5d7f…2ae7backed Lilmix | 33c | 173.94$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.4 | 101 | 51.5%52 W · 49 L | +2.9wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa04c…55d3backed Lilmix | 34c | 157.82$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.66 | 38 | 36.8%14 W · 24 L | -3.8wins | -0.10per pick | 47cpaid | -33.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa74a…4893backed Lilmix | 14c | 148.75$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.26 | 1,216 | 40.1%488 W · 728 L | -65.0wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -28.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8f93…bffabacked Atreides | 68c | 136.69$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.74 | 789 | 63.8%503 W · 286 L | -2.5wins | 0.00per pick | 64cpaid | -3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2e3c…08babacked Lilmix | 25c | 124.5$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.69 | 4,754 | 43.6%2,071 W · 2,683 L | -85.1wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1769…94efbacked Lilmix | 34c | 109.99$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.4 | 916 | 48.9%448 W · 468 L | +4.4wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x021a…d3aebacked Lilmix | 26c | 106.85$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.78 | 253 | 42.3%107 W · 146 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdd12…7091backed Lilmix | 32c | 105$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.6 | 29 | 41.4%12 W · 17 L | -2.1wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8670…b34bbacked Lilmix | 32c | 104.49$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.44 | 31 | 48.4%15 W · 16 L | +2.2wins | +0.07per pick | 41cpaid | +14.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf52e…54fcbacked Lilmix | 33c | 102.23$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.48 | 55 | 32.7%18 W · 37 L | -4.8wins | -0.09per pick | 42cpaid | -34.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5135…7217backed Atreides | 65c | 101.88$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.6 | 1,652 | 52.9%874 W · 778 L | +60.8wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6dcd…5ef7backed Lilmix | 39c | 101$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.06 | 301 | 53.8%162 W · 139 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5f43…3a74backed Lilmix | 34c | 100$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34 | 659 | 46.6%307 W · 352 L | +12.5wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc0f8…ae2ebacked Lilmix | 26c | 98.15$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.52 | 24 | 37.5%9 W · 15 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x505f…645ebacked Lilmix | 23c | 92.42$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.6 | 2,605 | 52.6%1,371 W · 1,234 L | +97.5wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x787f…d40cbacked Lilmix | 33c | 86.4$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.51 | 284 | 40.5%115 W · 169 L | -17.0wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4177…a2b4backed Lilmix | 35c | 85.44$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 1,248 | 41.3%516 W · 732 L | +5.1wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xab3e…8869backed Atreides | 66c | 76.96$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.13 | 154 | 60.4%93 W · 61 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1c98…186dbacked Lilmix | 34c | 74.98$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.74 | 359 | 47.9%172 W · 187 L | -10.1wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6376…0d2abacked Lilmix | 33c | 73.01$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.03 | 892 | 48%428 W · 464 L | -13.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x141f…7711backed Lilmix | 32c | 62.5$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 47 | 46.8%22 W · 25 L | -1.5wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Lilmix | 33c | 62.19$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.35 | 2,102 | 16.8%353 W · 1,749 L | -286.5wins | -0.14per pick | 30cpaid | -47.2%equal weight | 35-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x8359…5944backed Lilmix | 18c | 61$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.98 | 700 | 32%224 W · 476 L | -45.8wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -32.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8480…8b20backed Atreides | 66c | 45.45$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.45 | 17 | 76.5%13 W · 4 L | +1.5wins | +0.09per pick | 67cpaid | +15.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xed5b…8e60backed Lilmix | 28c | 39.75$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 69 | 40.6%28 W · 41 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5f05…eeb3backed Atreides | 78c | 30$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.6 | 83 | 65.1%54 W · 29 L | -6.8wins | -0.08per pick | 73cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc007…a0edbacked Atreides | 67c | 29.98$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.86 | 205 | 44.4%91 W · 114 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: Atreides vs Lilmix (BO3) - CCT Europe Challengers Series Playoffsthis page
- Counter-Strike: Atreides vs Lilmix - Map 1 WinnerAtreides won
- Counter-Strike: Atreides vs Lilmix - Map 2 WinnerAtreides won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.