CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: Atreides vs Lilmix - Map 2 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x628b6190ad998fc88949f4da555f00888e37f278c26876ca8f5d1269db861fa7
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Atreidesof Atreides, Lilmix
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $7,647
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $9,181
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $7,647 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 20 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe7fa…44e5backed Lilmix | 55c | 899.97$495 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$494.99 | 65 | 46.2%30 W · 35 L | +2.7wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Atreides | 45c | 726.49$327 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$399.57 | 5,511 | 47%2,590 W · 2,921 L | +42.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Atreides | 60c | 581.53$351 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$230.41 | 7,925 | 50.4%3,997 W · 3,928 L | +179.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0e1b…ecafbacked Lilmix | 7c | 406.45$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.45 | 2,328 | 51.1%1,189 W · 1,139 L | +92.3wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdf7c…4c16backed Atreides | 53c | 356.93$187 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$169.51 | 136 | 55.9%76 W · 60 L | +8.6wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x505f…645ebacked Lilmix | 56c | 205.15$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113.87 | 2,604 | 52.6%1,371 W · 1,233 L | +98.0wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb378…e4c0backed Lilmix | 18c | 200$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 383 | 12.8%49 W · 334 L | -12.7wins | -0.03per pick | 16cpaid | -30.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2ca6…6a20backed Lilmix | 52c | 192.6$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 474 | 47.5%225 W · 249 L | -12.7wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2e3c…08babacked Lilmix | 36c | 181.11$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.91 | 4,691 | 43.6%2,043 W · 2,648 L | -83.2wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf9be…a0c1backed Atreides | 54c | 126$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.46 | 447 | 48.1%215 W · 232 L | +17.3wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4bdf…c9cabacked Atreides | 65c | 100$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed Lilmix | 24c | 89.11$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.2 | 6,480 | 42.9%2,782 W · 3,698 L | -79.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8ee1…377abacked Lilmix | 60c | 75.09$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 213 | 54.5%116 W · 97 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Atreides | 39c | 69.32$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.29 | 4,064 | 50.9%2,067 W · 1,997 L | +69.5wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa073…a3babacked Atreides | 75c | 65$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.25 | 1,117 | 68.6%766 W · 351 L | +20.3wins | +0.02per pick | 67cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3ee1…f616backed Lilmix | 32c | 60$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.12 | 133 | 32.3%43 W · 90 L | -8.4wins | -0.06per pick | 39cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x99f7…1a59backed Atreides | 52c | 55$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.4 | 579 | 35.1%203 W · 376 L | -11.2wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x53f9…e920backed Lilmix | 48c | 31.25$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 39 | 56.4%22 W · 17 L | +2.6wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +17.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x38c5…0f5cbacked Lilmix | 49c | 30$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.7 | 95 | 49.5%47 W · 48 L | -3.4wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x91e0…26a0backed Atreides | 52c | 27$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.96 | 373 | 39.7%148 W · 225 L | -5.7wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: Atreides vs Lilmix - Map 2 Winnerthis page
- Counter-Strike: Atreides vs Lilmix (BO3) - CCT Europe Challengers Series PlayoffsAtreides won
- Counter-Strike: Atreides vs Lilmix - Map 1 WinnerAtreides won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.