Dota2 · resolved market
Dota 2: Travoman Team vs by Owl Team - Game 1 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x49e3757d8e98202389b6cae2c257d166632f0ecb2be5400a7ff00937239d7bcb
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- by Owl Teamof Travoman Team, by Owl Team
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $6,196
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $6,686
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $6,196 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 31 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Dota2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Travoman Team | 42c | 3,622$1,514 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,513.81 | 1,901 | 47.6%905 W · 996 L | +4.6wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbff7…92fbbacked by Owl Team | 55c | 2,035$1,112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$922.59 | 271 | 43.5%118 W · 153 L | -10.1wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x42b7…77dcbacked by Owl Team | 61c | 862.02$530 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$332.32 | 998 | 44.4%443 W · 555 L | +21.0wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x40db…ca8cbacked by Owl Team | 61c | 710.01$430 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$279.8 | 540 | 58.9%318 W · 222 L | +17.4wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x149a…49d0backed by Owl Team | 65c | 699.98$455 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$244.99 | 507 | 69.2%351 W · 156 L | +33.7wins | +0.07per pick | 63cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2c75…de96backed by Owl Team | 74c | 482.66$358 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$124.18 | 224 | 61.2%137 W · 87 L | +9.4wins | +0.04per pick | 57cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x59e2…1c55backed Travoman Team | 34c | 338.25$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114.06 | 475 | 48%228 W · 247 L | -10.1wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -12%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6e63…9e38backed by Owl Team | 66c | 239$157 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.6 | 345 | 61.2%211 W · 134 L | +17.7wins | +0.05per pick | 56cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5799…db25backed Travoman Team | 43c | 234.36$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 460 | 49.8%229 W · 231 L | +2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4d44…49e6backed Travoman Team | 34c | 197.56$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67 | 721 | 54%389 W · 332 L | -8.8wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa965…7f73backed Travoman Team | 39c | 130$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.2 | 261 | 54.8%143 W · 118 L | +11.6wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1dcc…e8ccbacked Travoman Team | 25c | 104$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 66 | 48.5%32 W · 34 L | +2.6wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x57d5…0bbdbacked by Owl Team | 58c | 100$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42 | 531 | 39.5%210 W · 321 L | -37.2wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -29.6%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3e2d…fb60backed Travoman Team | 38c | 100$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38 | 504 | 44%222 W · 282 L | -7.4wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0b90…08e7backed Travoman Team | 29c | 87.76$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.45 | 382 | 44.5%170 W · 212 L | -7.1wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb6fc…b24ebacked Travoman Team | 25c | 80$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 404 | 42.3%171 W · 233 L | -5.4wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x83c8…3b6cbacked Travoman Team | 37c | 69.49$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.94 | 913 | 56.1%512 W · 401 L | +16.2wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb22d…3a13backed Travoman Team | 34c | 58.82$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 240 | 45.4%109 W · 131 L | -4.4wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3724…c59abacked Travoman Team | 34c | 56.24$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.86 | 39 | 28.2%11 W · 28 L | -4.3wins | -0.11per pick | 39cpaid | -36.8%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x28dd…f376backed by Owl Team | 59c | 55.86$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.9 | 136 | 53.7%73 W · 63 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | 0%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8e34…4480backed Travoman Team | 34c | 50$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 177 | 37.9%67 W · 110 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe57f…7337backed by Owl Team | 66c | 50$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17 | 39 | 38.5%15 W · 24 L | -7.3wins | -0.19per pick | 57cpaid | -40.3%equal weight | 37-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x5f05…eeb3backed Travoman Team | 37c | 48.98$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.98 | 24 | 70.8%17 W · 7 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 71cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc9d8…89f5backed by Owl Team | 66c | 45.44$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.44 | 71 | 57.7%41 W · 30 L | +4.7wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x29a5…a3c4backed by Owl Team | 59c | 42.2$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.3 | 273 | 57.1%156 W · 117 L | +9.7wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbe5a…13f5backed Travoman Team | 37c | 40.71$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.95 | 450 | 46.7%210 W · 240 L | -11.2wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9f42…1f72backed Travoman Team | 65c | 39.99$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 318 | 65.1%207 W · 111 L | +7.5wins | +0.02per pick | 63cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x29a5…65c5backed by Owl Team | 69c | 33.25$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.16 | 65 | 60%39 W · 26 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb3f7…8917backed Travoman Team | 35c | 31.57$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.89 | 30 | 53.3%16 W · 14 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc4c0…23d8backed by Owl Team | 61c | 27.46$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.84 | 239 | 57.3%137 W · 102 L | +8.1wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc869…bc8dbacked by Owl Team | 76c | 16$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.84 | 374 | 41.2%154 W · 220 L | -17.2wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Dota 2: Travoman Team vs by Owl Team - Game 1 Winnerthis page
- Dota 2: Travoman Team vs by Owl Team (BO3) - BetBoom Streamers Battle Group Bby Owl Team won
- Dota 2: Travoman Team vs by Owl Team - Game 2 Winnerby Owl Team won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.