Dota2 · resolved market
Dota 2: Travoman Team vs by Owl Team - Game 2 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x6b543ee2011dcccfbb7267db3be88d3b154198a3afd78d9d3940ba1022b31ece
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- by Owl Teamof Travoman Team, by Owl Team
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $4,070
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $4,805
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $4,070 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 20 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Dota2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x40db…ca8cbacked Travoman Team | 9c | 1,399$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126.2 | 540 | 58.9%318 W · 222 L | +17.4wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfe3f…0fcfbacked Travoman Team | 37c | 705$258 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$257.9 | 866 | 59.6%516 W · 350 L | -8.6wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x42b7…77dcbacked by Owl Team | 63c | 418.49$264 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$154.84 | 998 | 44.4%443 W · 555 L | +21.0wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3aba…1d0fbacked Travoman Team | 40c | 251.08$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +1.8wins | +0.15per pick | 52cpaid | +27.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3e2d…fb60backed by Owl Team | 64c | 200$128 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72 | 504 | 44%222 W · 282 L | -7.4wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2e3c…08babacked by Owl Team | 67c | 173.65$117 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.6 | 1,702 | 41.2%701 W · 1,001 L | -44.0wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x83c8…3b6cbacked by Owl Team | 78c | 123.88$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.82 | 913 | 56.1%512 W · 401 L | +16.2wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc9d8…89f5backed by Owl Team | 79c | 88.5$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.63 | 71 | 57.7%41 W · 30 L | +4.7wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x315f…85c6backed Travoman Team | 40c | 84.99$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34 | 293 | 47.4%139 W · 154 L | -4.4wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked by Owl Team | 61c | 78.8$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.73 | 1,901 | 47.6%905 W · 996 L | +4.6wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbe5a…13f5backed Travoman Team | 39c | 64.37$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 450 | 46.7%210 W · 240 L | -11.2wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x28dd…f376backed by Owl Team | 61c | 63.53$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.93 | 136 | 53.7%73 W · 63 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | 0%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x40ba…7ea5backed by Owl Team | 59c | 61.02$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.02 | 537 | 57.7%310 W · 227 L | +11.8wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0f30…8df6backed by Owl Team | 59c | 50$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.5 | 165 | 55.2%91 W · 74 L | +5.8wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7e1a…e3bfbacked Travoman Team | 35c | 43.13$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.16per pick | 41cpaid | -58.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfcc9…e4afbacked Travoman Team | 49c | 40.58$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 57 | 38.6%22 W · 35 L | -4.9wins | -0.09per pick | 47cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…ba2cbacked by Owl Team | 66c | 30$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.35 | 122 | 63.9%78 W · 44 L | +3.5wins | +0.03per pick | 61cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3a72…0a38backed by Owl Team | 51c | 25.2$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.35 | 204 | 48%98 W · 106 L | +12.7wins | +0.06per pick | 42cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x59e2…1c55backed by Owl Team | 66c | 23.54$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8 | 475 | 48%228 W · 247 L | -10.1wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -12%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1e83…ecabbacked by Owl Team | 67c | 22$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.26 | 41 | 56.1%23 W · 18 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Dota 2: Travoman Team vs by Owl Team - Game 2 Winnerthis page
- Dota 2: Travoman Team vs by Owl Team (BO3) - BetBoom Streamers Battle Group Bby Owl Team won
- Dota 2: Travoman Team vs by Owl Team - Game 1 Winnerby Owl Team won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.