Lol · resolved market

LoL: mCon esports vs The Bandits (BO3) - Road Of Legends Regular Season

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xdef31419b90f3d1e884ceae05512b3945616e87d5f02c460d758e4b7fd7c62f9

Rebuilt 17 hours ago.

Winning outcome: mCon esportsof mCon esports, The Bandits
Resolved: May 5, 2026, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $41,949
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $46,854

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $41,949 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 78 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in Lol
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0xb10b…0b04backed mCon esports	25c	5,555$1,389 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$4,166.25	510	44.1%225 W · 285 L	+6.6wins	+0.01per pick	43cpaid	-4.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x84ad…bfb7backed The Bandits	46c	3,938$1,794 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,794.31	1,940	48.1%934 W · 1,006 L	+22.9wins	+0.01per pick	47cpaid	-9.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb4d2…ce99backed mCon esports	62c	2,254$1,404 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$850.25	2,202	33.3%733 W · 1,469 L	-72.4wins	-0.03per pick	37cpaid	-21.4%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xaf84…0b5ebacked The Bandits	68c	1,854$1,255 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,254.84	8	37.5%3 W · 5 L	-2.1wins	-0.26per pick	63cpaid	-47.8%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0x4713…4d21backed mCon esports	67c	1,096$731 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$365.01	3,131	33.8%1,058 W · 2,073 L	-150.7wins	-0.05per pick	39cpaid	-34.6%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x456a…6a90backed The Bandits	75c	1,087$815 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$814.89	169	42%71 W · 98 L	-9.0wins	-0.05per pick	47cpaid	-14%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x4ffd…7821backed The Bandits	61c	970.94$594 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$594.22	780	43.1%336 W · 444 L	-22.3wins	-0.03per pick	46cpaid	-25.4%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed The Bandits	53c	929$488 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$487.81	2,495	47.3%1,181 W · 1,314 L	-32.5wins	-0.01per pick	49cpaid	-5.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc83f…23e4backed mCon esports	24c	879.99$211 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$668.79	38	31.6%12 W · 26 L	-3.3wins	-0.09per pick	40cpaid	-18.9%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked mCon esports	64c	851.05$546 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$304.89	2,311	39.4%910 W · 1,401 L	-83.4wins	-0.04per pick	43cpaid	-20.4%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x5b63…11a4backed mCon esports	35c	610$211 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$399.38	1,593	43.8%697 W · 896 L	-74.2wins	-0.05per pick	48cpaid	-16.2%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x26d6…caccbacked The Bandits	50c	563.62$280 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$279.99	498	41.6%207 W · 291 L	-15.6wins	-0.03per pick	45cpaid	-33.7%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5471…a236backed The Bandits	44c	531.51$234 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$234.44	366	47.3%173 W · 193 L	-2.9wins	-0.01per pick	48cpaid	-15.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x36d8…c7c7backed The Bandits	75c	488$366 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$366	325	42.2%137 W · 188 L	-5.6wins	-0.02per pick	44cpaid	-0.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xebff…70e5backed The Bandits	39c	451.24$175 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$175.16	1,079	26%281 W · 798 L	-99.0wins	-0.09per pick	35cpaid	-46.5%equal weight	40-0.09 edge/pick
0x4f4e…b690backed The Bandits	70c	407$285 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$284.9	825	54.8%452 W · 373 L	+5.3wins	+0.01per pick	54cpaid	+0.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x31ac…2a39backed mCon esports	31c	401.91$123 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$279.04	44	50%22 W · 22 L	+1.9wins	+0.04per pick	46cpaid	+0.6%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x80d8…b703backed The Bandits	43c	349.08$149 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$149.18	1,599	46.8%748 W · 851 L	-48.1wins	-0.03per pick	50cpaid	-9.4%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xbb8e…08c1backed The Bandits	36c	338$123 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$122.99	1,638	46.7%765 W · 873 L	-26.0wins	-0.02per pick	48cpaid	-16%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8935…7daabacked mCon esports	50c	320$161 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$159.41	2,938	44.5%1,308 W · 1,630 L	-92.3wins	-0.03per pick	48cpaid	-16.3%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3763…c7a1backed mCon esports	65c	300$195 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$105	14	71.4%10 W · 4 L	+1.2wins	+0.08per pick	63cpaid	+17.6%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x67af…61eebacked The Bandits	33c	294.71$97 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$97.09	1,464	43.4%636 W · 828 L	-32.4wins	-0.02per pick	46cpaid	-19.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf163…ca34backed The Bandits	65c	294$192 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$191.9	1,477	48.3%713 W · 764 L	+45.1wins	+0.03per pick	45cpaid	+0.5%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x60ec…f7b0backed mCon esports	50c	288.07$145 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$143.49	1,047	50.3%527 W · 520 L	+37.1wins	+0.04per pick	47cpaid	-0.1%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0xbafa…02e0backed mCon esports	36c	274.46$98 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$176.23	801	50.7%406 W · 395 L	+48.1wins	+0.06per pick	45cpaid	+8%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick
0xad2a…99a3backed mCon esports	64c	252$161 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$90.72	51	41.2%21 W · 30 L	-1.4wins	-0.03per pick	44cpaid	-9%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb57f…0c96backed The Bandits	74c	243.24$180 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$180	438	39.7%174 W · 264 L	-24.3wins	-0.06per pick	45cpaid	-14.4%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0xcec1…9c0cbacked The Bandits	75c	241.26$181 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$180.95	434	42.4%184 W · 250 L	-18.3wins	-0.04per pick	47cpaid	-10%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2ecb…7645backed The Bandits	52c	229.88$120 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$119.72	1,728	29.5%509 W · 1,219 L	-123.2wins	-0.07per pick	37cpaid	-39.1%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0x5929…4684backed mCon esports	66c	212.18$141 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$71.29	1,539	43.7%673 W · 866 L	-28.0wins	-0.02per pick	46cpaid	-14.4%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9f28…d173backed mCon esports	66c	193$127 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$66.17	117	70.1%82 W · 35 L	+9.5wins	+0.08per pick	62cpaid	+12%equal weight	57+0.07 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed mCon esports	26c	172.41$45 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$127.59	679	31.8%216 W · 463 L	-31.9wins	-0.05per pick	37cpaid	-35.8%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x0862…dc29backed The Bandits	44c	155.92$68 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$68	306	43.1%132 W · 174 L	-1.3wins	0.00per pick	44cpaid	-11.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x1cdd…e595backed The Bandits	40c	133.01$53 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$53.15	1,606	17.5%281 W · 1,325 L	-245.0wins	-0.15per pick	33cpaid	-63.5%equal weight	33-0.15 edge/pick
0xa4c8…3025backed The Bandits	75c	132.68$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	124	71%88 W · 36 L	+0.5wins	0.00per pick	71cpaid	-3.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x7899…cdfebacked The Bandits	74c	130.46$97 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$96.54	34	38.2%13 W · 21 L	-3.3wins	-0.10per pick	48cpaid	-29%equal weight	44-0.06 edge/pick
0x7462…3ac3backed mCon esports	23c	126$29 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$97.09	1,007	47.9%482 W · 525 L	+11.6wins	+0.01per pick	47cpaid	+0.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1791…3e87backed mCon esports	63c	124.77$78 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$46.72	326	50%163 W · 163 L	-1.9wins	-0.01per pick	51cpaid	-14.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa07d…a037backed The Bandits	25c	107.92$27 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$26.62	1,831	17.1%313 W · 1,518 L	-236.0wins	-0.13per pick	30cpaid	-46%equal weight	36-0.13 edge/pick
0x0241…fd36backed mCon esports	47c	99$47 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$52.47	399	56.6%226 W · 173 L	+12.0wins	+0.03per pick	54cpaid	+4.7%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2761…4d95backed mCon esports	44c	85.89$38 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$47.68	507	49.7%252 W · 255 L	+14.0wins	+0.03per pick	47cpaid	+5.5%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked The Bandits	33c	80$26 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$26.4	2,825	41.4%1,169 W · 1,656 L	-14.1wins	0.00per pick	42cpaid	-4.1%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0xe728…9d87backed mCon esports	52c	77.88$40 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$37.38	149	57.7%86 W · 63 L	-0.4wins	0.00per pick	58cpaid	-2.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x64d4…f056backed The Bandits	42c	77.87$33 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$32.61	828	36.4%301 W · 527 L	-41.3wins	-0.05per pick	41cpaid	-23.6%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x85c8…20bbbacked mCon esports	26c	75.38$20 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$55.78	2	50%1 W · 1 L	+0.3wins	+0.16per pick	34cpaid	+92.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfc8f…3782backed The Bandits	47c	75$35 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$35.25	1,310	37.3%489 W · 821 L	-86.3wins	-0.07per pick	44cpaid	-26.4%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0x8b5f…2f5ebacked The Bandits	58c	72.32$42 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$41.99	20	55%11 W · 9 L	-0.8wins	-0.04per pick	59cpaid	-17.4%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4d85…2560backed mCon esports	58c	71.15$42 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$29.57	173	49.7%86 W · 87 L	-5.8wins	-0.03per pick	53cpaid	-12.6%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf3ef…ca6bbacked The Bandits	53c	69$37 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$36.56	1,671	57.9%968 W · 703 L	+70.6wins	+0.04per pick	54cpaid	-0.7%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x5ab4…5c9cbacked The Bandits	78c	68$53 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$53.04	110	90.9%100 W · 10 L	+16.8wins	+0.15per pick	76cpaid	+21.2%equal weight	64+0.12 edge/pick
0x4ee8…7406backed The Bandits	42c	67.01$28 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$27.89	79	43%34 W · 45 L	-4.8wins	-0.06per pick	49cpaid	-29.4%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x39fc…e2f2backed The Bandits	41c	64.95$26 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$26.41	39	23.1%9 W · 30 L	-6.8wins	-0.17per pick	40cpaid	-59.4%equal weight	38-0.11 edge/pick
0xc4db…7e0cbacked mCon esports	23c	64.94$15 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$50	1,368	37.7%516 W · 852 L	-6.8wins	0.00per pick	38cpaid	-4%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0x6ae3…b146backed The Bandits	77c	64.94$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	14	92.9%13 W · 1 L	+2.7wins	+0.19per pick	74cpaid	+26.9%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0x8b4c…1715backed The Bandits	39c	64$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$24.96	548	24.3%133 W · 415 L	-4.5wins	-0.01per pick	25cpaid	-23.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked The Bandits	36c	63.61$23 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$22.6	2,679	35.7%957 W · 1,722 L	-153.5wins	-0.06per pick	41cpaid	-32.2%equal weight	44-0.06 edge/pick
0x42bb…855abacked mCon esports	64c	62.15$40 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$22.15	12	58.3%7 W · 5 L	-0.8wins	-0.06per pick	65cpaid	-18.4%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5c67…e838backed mCon esports	38c	59.32$23 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$36.54	53	37.7%20 W · 33 L	-5.6wins	-0.11per pick	48cpaid	-27.5%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0x29a5…a3c4backed The Bandits	55c	57.29$32 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$31.74	751	50.7%381 W · 370 L	+3.8wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	-3.9%equal weight	510.00 edge/pick
0x4374…3d05backed The Bandits	68c	51.44$35 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$35	237	48.5%115 W · 122 L	-15.9wins	-0.07per pick	55cpaid	-15.7%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0x2ce5…a07fbacked mCon esports	23c	50.25$12 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$38.58	90	60%54 W · 36 L	+10.6wins	+0.12per pick	48cpaid	+30%equal weight	60+0.09 edge/pick
0xbe53…2dbabacked The Bandits	73c	50$37 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$36.5	577	72.3%417 W · 160 L	-1.8wins	0.00per pick	73cpaid	-0.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xce5e…8d20backed The Bandits	42c	49$21 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20.58	25	24%6 W · 19 L	-5.3wins	-0.21per pick	45cpaid	-56.5%equal weight	38-0.11 edge/pick
0x5f6c…620bbacked mCon esports	78c	48.43$38 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$10.42	325	66.5%216 W · 109 L	+26.7wins	+0.08per pick	58cpaid	+11.5%equal weight	58+0.08 edge/pick
0xf1ee…519cbacked The Bandits	51c	48$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$24.51	1,318	47.3%624 W · 694 L	-31.1wins	-0.02per pick	50cpaid	-17%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x11e1…8d38backed The Bandits	76c	46.25$35 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$35	272	54.4%148 W · 124 L	+2.0wins	+0.01per pick	54cpaid	-3.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf9ef…20ebbacked mCon esports	25c	41.2$10 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$30.9	166	34.9%58 W · 108 L	-19.4wins	-0.12per pick	47cpaid	-32.6%equal weight	39-0.10 edge/pick
0xb91c…ed66backed mCon esports	34c	39.91$14 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$26.27	257	37%95 W · 162 L	-12.7wins	-0.05per pick	42cpaid	-12.1%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0xe401…5c4cbacked mCon esports	54c	38.44$21 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$17.68	24	58.3%14 W · 10 L	+1.6wins	+0.07per pick	52cpaid	+9.9%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x1c67…a479backed The Bandits	47c	37.78$18 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$17.76	102	53.9%55 W · 47 L	-4.4wins	-0.04per pick	58cpaid	-6.9%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x56ae…9badbacked mCon esports	53c	35.87$19 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$17.03	331	25.7%85 W · 246 L	-17.6wins	-0.05per pick	31cpaid	-30.5%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x5f05…eeb3backed The Bandits	77c	30$23 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$23.1	61	83.6%51 W · 10 L	+5.3wins	+0.09per pick	75cpaid	+12.1%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0x2e62…b22ebacked The Bandits	39c	26.68$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10.37	172	41.9%72 W · 100 L	+6.0wins	+0.03per pick	38cpaid	-3.4%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8d87…8dbbbacked mCon esports	59c	21$12 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$8.67	369	46.1%170 W · 199 L	-6.0wins	-0.02per pick	48cpaid	-16%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x82ca…3135backed mCon esports	59c	20.38$12 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$8.38	219	53%116 W · 103 L	+4.3wins	+0.02per pick	51cpaid	-2.4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1c27…21a9backed The Bandits	75c	20.19$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15.14	143	58.7%84 W · 59 L	-4.4wins	-0.03per pick	62cpaid	-9.1%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3ff4…2928backed The Bandits	70c	20$14 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14	19	52.6%10 W · 9 L	-1.9wins	-0.10per pick	62cpaid	-15%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0xac03…f019backed The Bandits	78c	19.31$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15	23	69.6%16 W · 7 L	+0.2wins	+0.01per pick	69cpaid	-0.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

LoL: mCon esports vs The Bandits (BO3) - Road Of Legends Regular Seasonthis page
LoL: mCon esports vs The Bandits - Game 1 WinnermCon esports won
LoL: mCon esports vs The Bandits - Game 2 WinnerThe Bandits won

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

LoL: mCon esports vs The Bandits (BO3) - Road Of Legends Regular Season

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event