TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Valorant · resolved market

Valorant: XLG Gaming vs JD Gaming - Map 1 Winner

Rebuilt .

Winning outcome
XLG Gamingof XLG Gaming, JD Gaming
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Valorantevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$26,441
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$38,301

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $26,441 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 39 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Valorant is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Valorant
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xf070…ac55backed XLG Gaming71c6,657$4,702 inWon+$1,955.1624145.2%109 W · 132 L-11.3wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-10%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xddad…bce1backed XLG Gaming71c3,229$2,300 inWon+$929.0212656.3%71 W · 55 L-2.3wins-0.02per pick58cpaid-3.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2aa5…ff32backed JD Gaming29c2,901$832 inLost-$831.7620840.9%85 W · 123 L-12.7wins-0.06per pick47cpaid-15.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xe081…fc19backed JD Gaming29c1,724$500 inLost-$5001330.8%4 W · 9 L-1.2wins-0.09per pick40cpaid-27.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x52b7…0aa1backed JD Gaming30c1,500$450 inLost-$45042035%147 W · 273 L+11.8wins+0.03per pick32cpaid+8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd888…3c9fbacked JD Gaming26c998.39$259 inLost-$259.4512155.4%67 W · 54 L-0.1wins0.00per pick55cpaid-12%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3449…4030backed JD Gaming29c653.45$189 inLost-$189.55738.6%22 W · 35 L-5.1wins-0.09per pick48cpaid-23.4%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xe8e1…49ddbacked JD Gaming12c603.11$70 inLost-$69.9645033.8%152 W · 298 L-35.6wins-0.08per pick42cpaid-32.3%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0x1d24…20b3backed XLG Gaming74c530.29$392 inWon+$137.8840944.3%181 W · 228 L-6.0wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-15.3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xe76d…5a75backed JD Gaming30c500$150 inLost-$15053742.1%226 W · 311 L-15.4wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-6.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6277…5a3fbacked JD Gaming29c422.86$123 inLost-$123.528847.6%137 W · 151 L+9.7wins+0.03per pick44cpaid+9.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x67af…61eebacked JD Gaming29c406$117 inLost-$116.9396945%436 W · 533 L-19.9wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-14.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf4ec…c574backed XLG Gaming70c342.86$240 inWon+$102.8635157.3%201 W · 150 L+4.5wins+0.01per pick56cpaid+0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf232…5ff0backed JD Gaming29c311.78$90 inLost-$90.1810%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.29per pick29cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6041…3326backed JD Gaming30c296$89 inLost-$88.82450%12 W · 12 L+0.6wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+7.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbdd4…9bcdbacked XLG Gaming74c294.59$218 inWon+$76.5912962.8%81 W · 48 L-9.5wins-0.07per pick70cpaid-10.3%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xf21d…922bbacked XLG Gaming75c268.27$200 inWon+$68.276063.3%38 W · 22 L+3.3wins+0.05per pick58cpaid+8.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x9d70…fdd9backed JD Gaming29c250$73 inLost-$72.545250%226 W · 226 L+3.7wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd0cc…ce77backed JD Gaming28c248.06$69 inLost-$69.462138.1%8 W · 13 L-0.1wins0.00per pick38cpaid-17.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xec54…c7b2backed JD Gaming31c231.79$72 inLost-$71.851741.2%7 W · 10 L-1.7wins-0.10per pick51cpaid-24.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xef21…3dc9backed JD Gaming29c222.69$65 inLost-$64.585125.5%13 W · 38 L-8.0wins-0.16per pick41cpaid-37.1%equal weight38-0.10 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked XLG Gaming74c200$148 inWon+$521,36538.9%531 W · 834 L-60.0wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-17.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xc59f…954ebacked JD Gaming30c193.33$58 inLost-$582544%11 W · 14 L-0.6wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-15.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5929…4684backed JD Gaming24c192.39$45 inLost-$45.231,49546.6%696 W · 799 L-17.6wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-12.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0f6d…71b4backed JD Gaming29c172.41$50 inLost-$501838.9%7 W · 11 L-2.0wins-0.11per pick50cpaid-33.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xb4d2…ce99backed JD Gaming29c156.86$45 inLost-$44.941,28132.1%411 W · 870 L-67.2wins-0.05per pick37cpaid-28.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x5f68…ef58backed XLG Gaming74c135.14$100 inWon+$35.14944.4%4 W · 5 L-1.5wins-0.17per pick61cpaid-28.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x8849…9a83backed XLG Gaming72c110.95$80 inWon+$30.9521454.2%116 W · 98 L+0.8wins0.00per pick54cpaid+2.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x596a…7a0fbacked JD Gaming31c110$34 inLost-$34.154439.9%217 W · 327 L+12.7wins+0.02per pick38cpaid+2.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7f46…9097backed JD Gaming30c106.67$32 inLost-$322035%7 W · 13 L-1.1wins-0.05per pick40cpaid-22.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked JD Gaming25c90.88$22 inLost-$22.331,38047.1%650 W · 730 L+10.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-6.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xebff…70e5backed JD Gaming20c87.53$18 inLost-$17.6277929.5%230 W · 549 L-72.4wins-0.09per pick39cpaid-39%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xbb8e…08c1backed XLG Gaming74c85$63 inWon+$22.199945.9%459 W · 540 L-27.4wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-13.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf9ef…20ebbacked JD Gaming30c81.46$24 inLost-$24.448442.9%36 W · 48 L-2.4wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-5.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5f43…3a74backed JD Gaming27c70.26$19 inLost-$18.9714252.1%74 W · 68 L+11.5wins+0.08per pick44cpaid+20.9%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x2bee…e55cbacked XLG Gaming80c62.5$50 inWon+$12.518261%111 W · 71 L-6.8wins-0.04per pick65cpaid-7.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xf4f8…5bf1backed JD Gaming30c52.93$16 inLost-$15.9966638%253 W · 413 L-32.3wins-0.05per pick43cpaid-22.2%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x204f…ba2cbacked JD Gaming31c33.89$11 inLost-$10.6112159.5%72 W · 49 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick59cpaid-1%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x40e3…f756backed XLG Gaming74c27.03$20 inWon+$7.033441.2%14 W · 20 L+2.7wins+0.08per pick33cpaid+23.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Valorant and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.