TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Valorant · resolved market

Valorant: XLG Gaming vs JD Gaming - Map 2 Winner

Rebuilt .

Winning outcome
XLG Gamingof XLG Gaming, JD Gaming
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Valorantevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$70,982
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$95,536

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $70,982 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 32 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Valorant is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Valorant
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x8e8c…65ddbacked JD Gaming26c19,600$5,161 inLost-$5,16115850%79 W · 79 L+4.0wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+7.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd888…3c9fbacked XLG Gaming74c18,318$13,632 inWon+$4,685.0512155.4%67 W · 54 L-0.1wins0.00per pick55cpaid-12%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf070…ac55backed XLG Gaming67c15,000$10,050 inWon+$4,95024145.2%109 W · 132 L-11.3wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-10%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x30c7…ac3bbacked JD Gaming33c15,000$4,950 inLost-$4,95028955.7%161 W · 128 L+10.5wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+8.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xd408…e85cbacked XLG Gaming70c2,700$1,890 inWon+$810580%4 W · 1 L+0.8wins+0.17per pick63cpaid+21.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x19b6…ad8ebacked JD Gaming30c2,496$749 inLost-$748.7511854.2%64 W · 54 L+11.0wins+0.09per pick45cpaid+19.2%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x9919…f261backed XLG Gaming67c1,513$1,014 inWon+$499.4310242.2%43 W · 59 L-4.0wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-11.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x48b8…4b69backed JD Gaming33c1,500$495 inLost-$49511255.4%62 W · 50 L+4.1wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+12.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf4ec…c574backed XLG Gaming73c1,020$740 inWon+$279.9134857.5%200 W · 148 L+5.2wins+0.01per pick56cpaid+0.9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xb8c2…eef4backed XLG Gaming78c700$546 inWon+$1546654.5%36 W · 30 L-1.2wins-0.02per pick56cpaid-11.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb4d2…ce99backed JD Gaming11c458.21$49 inLost-$48.591,27632.1%409 W · 867 L-67.5wins-0.05per pick37cpaid-28.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked JD Gaming14c407$57 inLost-$57.261,35839%530 W · 828 L-57.9wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-17%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked JD Gaming22c370.92$83 inLost-$82.641,37647.1%648 W · 728 L+10.6wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-6.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe8e1…49ddbacked JD Gaming19c369.58$70 inLost-$69.5345033.8%152 W · 298 L-35.6wins-0.08per pick42cpaid-32.3%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0xf05e…04cebacked XLG Gaming70c284.87$200 inWon+$84.873557.1%20 W · 15 L-1.5wins-0.04per pick61cpaid-12.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5929…4684backed JD Gaming27c173.89$47 inLost-$46.911,49046.6%695 W · 795 L-16.1wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-12%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2bee…e55cbacked XLG Gaming69c165.88$115 inWon+$50.8818261%111 W · 71 L-6.8wins-0.04per pick65cpaid-7.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xb92f…58c4backed JD Gaming33c151.52$50 inLost-$507759.7%46 W · 31 L+1.5wins+0.02per pick58cpaid-1.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xe76d…5a75backed XLG Gaming65c143.02$93 inWon+$50.0653442.1%225 W · 309 L-15.0wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-6.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8849…9a83backed XLG Gaming71c141.14$100 inWon+$41.1421454.2%116 W · 98 L+0.8wins0.00per pick54cpaid+2.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x67af…61eebacked JD Gaming11c128$14 inLost-$14.1896245.1%434 W · 528 L-18.9wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-14.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5471…a236backed JD Gaming31c117.75$37 inLost-$36.6717448.3%84 W · 90 L+2.5wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-6.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x05d3…c06abacked XLG Gaming67c98.73$66 inWon+$32.7342051.9%218 W · 202 L-21.1wins-0.05per pick57cpaid-10.2%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xda77…683fbacked JD Gaming20c98$20 inLost-$19.7890733.1%300 W · 607 L-89.7wins-0.10per pick43cpaid-40.4%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked JD Gaming17c93$16 inLost-$15.691,60137.5%600 W · 1,001 L-75.0wins-0.05per pick42cpaid-26.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x51db…f9b3backed JD Gaming21c80.99$17 inLost-$16.911,74646.2%806 W · 940 L-3.2wins0.00per pick46cpaid-15.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2f4b…69debacked JD Gaming34c79.56$27 inLost-$2751948.4%251 W · 268 L+5.2wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x87c0…244ebacked XLG Gaming67c75.83$51 inWon+$25.028343.4%36 W · 47 L-2.3wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-3.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe238…2aeabacked XLG Gaming71c71.64$51 inWon+$20.64633.3%2 W · 4 L0.0wins0.00per pick34cpaid-4.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0f2a…ae71backed XLG Gaming65c69.99$45 inWon+$24.51275%9 W · 3 L+1.7wins+0.15per pick60cpaid+17.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x0199…4e86backed JD Gaming33c65.45$21 inLost-$21.3730%0 W · 3 L-1.1wins-0.37per pick37cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x94f1…b9e7backed XLG Gaming69c19$13 inWon+$5.8332152.6%169 W · 152 L+6.8wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+4.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Valorant and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.