College Football · resolved market
Spread: Tennessee (-3.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x383b454a542e069f066854ec73a59b5cbb500a26a4320842f8b46e2e47ecd1f2
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Tennesseeof Tennessee, Florida Gators
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- College Footballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $60,723
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $62,969
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $60,723 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 36 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in College Football is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in College Football | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x1d1a…0df6backed Tennessee | 53c | 14,762$7,824 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,938.24 | 58 | 51.7%30 W · 28 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8f03…64d6backed Tennessee | 48c | 12,715$6,103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,611.8 | 153 | 52.3%80 W · 73 L | +3.2wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x16b2…a881backed Florida Gators | 47c | 10,892$5,119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,119.27 | 935 | 48.4%453 W · 482 L | +11.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Florida Gators | 50c | 6,866$3,429 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,429.46 | 588 | 50.2%295 W · 293 L | +23.4wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd38b…5029backed Florida Gators | 51c | 6,689$3,411 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,411.17 | 327 | 45.6%149 W · 178 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed Tennessee | 50c | 6,370$3,189 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,181.3 | 648 | 41.2%267 W · 381 L | +12.4wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb7f5…c669backed Florida Gators | 51c | 5,009$2,555 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,554.64 | 290 | 55.2%160 W · 130 L | +10.1wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe7ca…a175backed Florida Gators | 52c | 4,000$2,080 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,080 | 115 | 41.7%48 W · 67 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5672…5019backed Florida Gators | 51c | 3,922$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -19%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8753…85adbacked Florida Gators | 52c | 3,340$1,737 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,736.8 | 176 | 55.1%97 W · 79 L | +3.2wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbd5c…8ae8backed Tennessee | 49c | 1,714$840 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$874.29 | 17 | 70.6%12 W · 5 L | +3.3wins | +0.19per pick | 51cpaid | +41.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Tennessee | 49c | 1,681$823 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$857.88 | 2,013 | 49.6%999 W · 1,014 L | +24.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc7e5…2d3abacked Tennessee | 49c | 1,531$750 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$780.61 | 71 | 36.6%26 W · 45 L | -7.1wins | -0.10per pick | 47cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5375…aeeabacked Tennessee | 49c | 1,026$503 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$523.26 | 684 | 40.8%279 W · 405 L | -10.7wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7b3c…ffc7backed Tennessee | 53c | 1,000$530 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$470 | 104 | 45.2%47 W · 57 L | -5.8wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3685…0123backed Tennessee | 50c | 732.29$366 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$366.45 | 12 | 75%9 W · 3 L | +1.5wins | +0.12per pick | 63cpaid | +19.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x21d8…ad91backed Tennessee | 48c | 625$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$325 | 81 | 45.7%37 W · 44 L | +2.3wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4602…3315backed Tennessee | 49c | 407.99$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$208.08 | 27 | 59.3%16 W · 11 L | +3.4wins | +0.12per pick | 47cpaid | +22.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f3…e544backed Tennessee | 49c | 260$127 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132.6 | 568 | 44.5%253 W · 315 L | -4.2wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3214…63d6backed Florida Gators | 52c | 240.38$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125 | 39 | 20.5%8 W · 31 L | -6.4wins | -0.16per pick | 37cpaid | -59.7%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xe20a…e469backed Florida Gators | 51c | 212.08$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.68 | 659 | 45.2%298 W · 361 L | -13.1wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfbb6…25eabacked Florida Gators | 52c | 192.31$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 49 | 40.8%20 W · 29 L | -4.5wins | -0.09per pick | 50cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x89c9…9534backed Florida Gators | 54c | 185.19$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 293 | 51.9%152 W · 141 L | -6.0wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x258e…d16cbacked Florida Gators | 54c | 138.89$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 174 | 50%87 W · 87 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1733…1e15backed Florida Gators | 47c | 138.3$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65 | 87 | 52.9%46 W · 41 L | +3.9wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6b3a…2841backed Florida Gators | 47c | 100$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47 | 209 | 50.2%105 W · 104 L | +5.4wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x45d1…7017backed Tennessee | 46c | 99.99$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54 | 142 | 54.9%78 W · 64 L | +12.3wins | +0.09per pick | 46cpaid | +20.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Tennessee | 50c | 74$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37 | 524 | 49.4%259 W · 265 L | -2.5wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa92a…e1b9backed Florida Gators | 47c | 61.7$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5137…1556backed Florida Gators | 48c | 48.46$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.26 | 1,090 | 41.7%455 W · 635 L | -5.9wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8d4e…8163backed Tennessee | 52c | 48.46$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.26 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.2wins | +0.14per pick | 53cpaid | +27.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb118…947ebacked Tennessee | 50c | 40$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | -1.1wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6723…a540backed Tennessee | 53c | 30$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14 | 43 | 58.1%25 W · 18 L | +2.8wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf014…d442backed Florida Gators | 51c | 22.48$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.46 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | -1.0wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed Tennessee | 49c | 22$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.22 | 269 | 40.5%109 W · 160 L | -5.5wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x668a…e8e1backed Florida Gators | 50c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -1.3wins | -0.11per pick | 44cpaid | -36.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in College Football and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Tennessee (-3.5)this page
- O/U 57.5Under won
- Spread: Tennessee (-4.5)Tennessee won
- Tennessee vs. Florida GatorsTennessee won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.