Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Northwestern Wildcats vs. Michigan State Spartans
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf662e32b6d25753092bf75e220ee3c024b776ef21c154f6b082393b1f7d468e4
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Michigan State Spartansof Northwestern Wildcats, Michigan State Spartans
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $130,598
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $154,188
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $130,598 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 69 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xbb2f…eca9backed Northwestern Wildcats | 10c | 25,000$2,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,500 | 116 | 52.6%61 W · 55 L | +7.3wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1624…bf63backed Michigan State Spartans | 79c | 11,157$8,827 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,329.91 | 1,074 | 43.3%465 W · 609 L | +20.0wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb13d…2e90backed Northwestern Wildcats | 17c | 8,625$1,472 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,471.84 | 556 | 57.4%319 W · 237 L | +20.3wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe3d4…2bacbacked Michigan State Spartans | 77c | 4,760$3,652 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,108 | 97 | 71.1%69 W · 28 L | +5.7wins | +0.06per pick | 65cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa661…af49backed Northwestern Wildcats | 11c | 4,695$515 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$515.46 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.27per pick | 48cpaid | +26.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6e8f…83f8backed Northwestern Wildcats | 0c | 4,180$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.53 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +0.3wins | +0.05per pick | 28cpaid | -53.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Northwestern Wildcats | 19c | 3,765$726 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$726.04 | 5,553 | 47.4%2,634 W · 2,919 L | +26.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc526…bf92backed Northwestern Wildcats | 24c | 3,663$880 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$880 | 14 | 0%0 W · 14 L | -1.5wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3bb3…26aebacked Northwestern Wildcats | 16c | 3,390$547 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$546.93 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -1.6wins | -0.31per pick | 31cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xed2c…9597backed Northwestern Wildcats | 11c | 3,000$330 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$330 | 397 | 44.8%178 W · 219 L | +9.4wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Northwestern Wildcats | 17c | 2,379$416 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$416.19 | 2,048 | 32.7%670 W · 1,378 L | -16.2wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Northwestern Wildcats | 23c | 2,176$490 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$490.22 | 5,946 | 49.3%2,932 W · 3,014 L | +163.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf588…2b81backed Michigan State Spartans | 72c | 1,723$1,240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$483.66 | 2,124 | 50.4%1,070 W · 1,054 L | +40.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfefb…4b5dbacked Northwestern Wildcats | 13c | 1,471$189 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$188.89 | 1,887 | 45.2%853 W · 1,034 L | +6.5wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xea81…eeaebacked Northwestern Wildcats | 11c | 1,247$137 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$137.12 | 1,227 | 27.8%341 W · 886 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3214…63d6backed Northwestern Wildcats | 15c | 833.33$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -1.4wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x945a…a48cbacked Northwestern Wildcats | 3c | 745.85$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.93 | 94 | 12.8%12 W · 82 L | -3.5wins | -0.04per pick | 17cpaid | -44.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc091…3d42backed Northwestern Wildcats | 29c | 619.44$178 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$178 | 722 | 48.8%352 W · 370 L | -23.6wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x19f8…98f9backed Michigan State Spartans | 66c | 601.9$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$201.9 | 484 | 62.8%304 W · 180 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 63cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf4a4…3117backed Northwestern Wildcats | 12c | 556.65$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.8 | 39 | 10.3%4 W · 35 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 12cpaid | -52%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x57d5…0bbdbacked Northwestern Wildcats | 14c | 490.74$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.42 | 573 | 35.6%204 W · 369 L | -27.3wins | -0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e6…4bfebacked Northwestern Wildcats | 11c | 469.99$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.7 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.13per pick | 37cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9bdb…a90dbacked Northwestern Wildcats | 34c | 468.22$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$159.74 | 149 | 25.5%38 W · 111 L | -4.8wins | -0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x59b6…307fbacked Michigan State Spartans | 70c | 427.94$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.94 | 453 | 51.4%233 W · 220 L | -16.8wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x783c…6900backed Northwestern Wildcats | 12c | 400$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 137 | 35%48 W · 89 L | -3.2wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9161…622ebacked Northwestern Wildcats | 5c | 395.84$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.25 | 45 | 22.2%10 W · 35 L | +5.2wins | +0.11per pick | 11cpaid | +51.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x42f3…1e83backed Northwestern Wildcats | 18c | 370.91$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65 | 28 | 7.1%2 W · 26 L | -1.2wins | -0.04per pick | 12cpaid | -43.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb893…bf4bbacked Michigan State Spartans | 63c | 340.23$213 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.55 | 35 | 45.7%16 W · 19 L | -1.6wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x49fa…f904backed Northwestern Wildcats | 12c | 333.33$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 21 | 23.8%5 W · 16 L | -0.8wins | -0.04per pick | 28cpaid | -42.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Northwestern Wildcats | 28c | 325.81$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.38 | 2,254 | 42.2%951 W · 1,303 L | +3.4wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Northwestern Wildcats | 16c | 325.25$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.04 | 1,667 | 36.4%607 W · 1,060 L | -4.0wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Northwestern Wildcats | 5c | 297.79$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.21 | 4,382 | 40.5%1,775 W · 2,607 L | +23.7wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x344b…f7fcbacked Michigan State Spartans | 68c | 268$181 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.78 | 614 | 46.1%283 W · 331 L | -8.8wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcc35…c471backed Northwestern Wildcats | 16c | 250$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xda31…8e56backed Michigan State Spartans | 60c | 250$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 81 | 38.3%31 W · 50 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Michigan State Spartans | 79c | 235.85$187 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.21 | 1,985 | 64.1%1,273 W · 712 L | +144.2wins | +0.07per pick | 57cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Northwestern Wildcats | 9c | 230.99$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.45 | 1,951 | 45.1%880 W · 1,071 L | -19.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe32c…db1bbacked Northwestern Wildcats | 27c | 226.59$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62 | 44 | 6.8%3 W · 41 L | -13.8wins | -0.31per pick | 38cpaid | -88.7%equal weight | 28-0.20 edge/pick |
| 0x9d89…3e65backed Northwestern Wildcats | 12c | 200$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 65 | 24.6%16 W · 49 L | -4.7wins | -0.07per pick | 32cpaid | -28.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x12fe…38cfbacked Northwestern Wildcats | 11c | 199.8$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.98 | 1,260 | 43.3%545 W · 715 L | +34.8wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x755a…6da6backed Northwestern Wildcats | 16c | 187.5$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 536 | 35.6%191 W · 345 L | +10.0wins | +0.02per pick | 34cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed Northwestern Wildcats | 10c | 184$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.4 | 3,684 | 42.8%1,576 W · 2,108 L | +32.6wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf9ef…20ebbacked Michigan State Spartans | 78c | 173.21$134 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.91 | 459 | 53.8%247 W · 212 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x90eb…68dfbacked Northwestern Wildcats | 29c | 172.59$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 17 | 23.5%4 W · 13 L | -2.3wins | -0.13per pick | 37cpaid | -51.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe53f…62d7backed Northwestern Wildcats | 40c | 159.28$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.36 | 114 | 39.5%45 W · 69 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x27b8…8d54backed Northwestern Wildcats | 33c | 155.15$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.85 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -0.4wins | -0.06per pick | 20cpaid | -50.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x67ea…165fbacked Northwestern Wildcats | 13c | 153.85$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.16per pick | 44cpaid | +16.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe6f0…5701backed Michigan State Spartans | 79c | 147$117 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.43 | 369 | 42.3%156 W · 213 L | -9.5wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d66…0e16backed Northwestern Wildcats | 13c | 140.54$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +0.7wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfc8f…3782backed Northwestern Wildcats | 17c | 133.74$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.6 | 668 | 31.4%210 W · 458 L | -43.1wins | -0.06per pick | 38cpaid | -23%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf6da…6f5dbacked Northwestern Wildcats | 15c | 133.33$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x24db…1332backed Northwestern Wildcats | 18c | 127.39$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.93 | 132 | 19.7%26 W · 106 L | -8.0wins | -0.06per pick | 26cpaid | -32.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x51ad…5e56backed Northwestern Wildcats | 16c | 125$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 101 | 26.7%27 W · 74 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 29cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd6…ab3dbacked Northwestern Wildcats | 10c | 125$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.5 | 1,487 | 43%639 W · 848 L | +50.8wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x71c1…e358backed Northwestern Wildcats | 13c | 115.38$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 96 | 39.6%38 W · 58 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed Northwestern Wildcats | 37c | 102.25$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.04 | 55 | 34.5%19 W · 36 L | -4.4wins | -0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -31.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfdd1…1829backed Northwestern Wildcats | 11c | 95.79$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.27 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 30cpaid | -47.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x051b…09d4backed Northwestern Wildcats | 34c | 82.35$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 200 | 51.5%103 W · 97 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb100…439dbacked Northwestern Wildcats | 25c | 80.6$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0370…d000backed Northwestern Wildcats | 18c | 65.32$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.78 | 940 | 36.9%347 W · 593 L | +8.6wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b20…d430backed Northwestern Wildcats | 40c | 62.5$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -1.1wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcc36…1b11backed Northwestern Wildcats | 28c | 60$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.8 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5466…8378backed Michigan State Spartans | 70c | 51.31$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.18 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.30per pick | 70cpaid | +42%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd7c1…b554backed Northwestern Wildcats | 22c | 45.5$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.06 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | +0.8wins | +0.06per pick | 40cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4fba…12fcbacked Northwestern Wildcats | 34c | 38.24$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.11per pick | 56cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3c34…c8b8backed Michigan State Spartans | 63c | 32$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.84 | 143 | 39.9%57 W · 86 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x28a6…149ebacked Michigan State Spartans | 70c | 30.33$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.1 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.30per pick | 70cpaid | +42.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2002…4cd1backed Northwestern Wildcats | 38c | 29$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.16 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.22per pick | 28cpaid | +187.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3457…0161backed Northwestern Wildcats | 39c | 28.46$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.1 | 15 | 80%12 W · 3 L | +3.2wins | +0.21per pick | 59cpaid | +30.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Northwestern Wildcats vs. Michigan State Spartansthis page
- Northwestern Wildcats vs. Michigan State Spartans: O/U 141.5Over won
- Northwestern Wildcats vs. Michigan State Spartans: O/U 142.5Under won
- Northwestern Wildcats vs. Michigan State Spartans: O/U 144.5Under won
- Spread: Michigan State Spartans (-11.5)Northwestern Wildcats won
- Spread: Michigan State Spartans (-12.5)Northwestern Wildcats won
- Spread: Michigan State Spartans (-13.5)Northwestern Wildcats won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.