Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Northwestern Wildcats vs. Michigan State Spartans: O/U 141.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x039c5f0d5f8affa5ebf62658521bcb8b877d35b305a01697b923ea29effc2660
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $7,193
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $7,407
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $7,193 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 23 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x1341…0853backed Over | 57c | 4,740$2,702 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,037.89 | 247 | 48.2%119 W · 128 L | -5.4wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Under | 43c | 3,190$1,372 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,371.67 | 12,422 | 49.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L | +118.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Under | 46c | 765.51$352 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$351.95 | 4,848 | 52.2%2,532 W · 2,316 L | +139.2wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd4da…3175backed Under | 43c | 571.54$246 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$245.76 | 898 | 50%449 W · 449 L | +7.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | 0%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5487…a014backed Over | 57c | 554$316 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$238.22 | 918 | 48.9%449 W · 469 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcfca…68fcbacked Under | 43c | 503.33$216 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$216.43 | 386 | 45.9%177 W · 209 L | +11.4wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3fa2…6f8cbacked Over | 54c | 138$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.48 | 63 | 47.6%30 W · 33 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6008…a80bbacked Under | 43c | 127.28$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.73 | 4,552 | 50.1%2,279 W · 2,273 L | -36.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee20…5b37backed Under | 50c | 71.36$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.54 | 190 | 50.5%96 W · 94 L | +15.7wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +19.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xee60…6902backed Over | 50c | 71.08$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.54 | 29 | 65.5%19 W · 10 L | +4.9wins | +0.17per pick | 49cpaid | +30.5%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x3ca0…7ebebacked Over | 55c | 66$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.7 | 47 | 48.9%23 W · 24 L | -1.5wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4130…a35bbacked Over | 55c | 63$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.35 | 62 | 53.2%33 W · 29 L | +3.8wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +18.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd2d7…ba47backed Under | 43c | 60$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.8 | 152 | 50%76 W · 76 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x56d2…e5f5backed Under | 45c | 47$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.15 | 30 | 60%18 W · 12 L | +1.5wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f5…1caabacked Over | 54c | 44$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.24 | 1,124 | 46.4%521 W · 603 L | -25.0wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x98ae…2bfebacked Under | 46c | 35$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.1 | 28 | 46.4%13 W · 15 L | -1.4wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8d84…6df0backed Under | 48c | 30.31$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.55 | 536 | 46.5%249 W · 287 L | -24.3wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9d10…e17cbacked Under | 46c | 30$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.8 | 28 | 39.3%11 W · 17 L | -3.6wins | -0.13per pick | 52cpaid | -24.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe3b3…27babacked Under | 45c | 30$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.5 | 21 | 76.2%16 W · 5 L | +4.9wins | +0.23per pick | 53cpaid | +46.7%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x92bf…0297backed Under | 46c | 30$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.8 | 24 | 50%12 W · 12 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -11%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x28a2…91a4backed Over | 55c | 29$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.05 | 87 | 56.3%49 W · 38 L | +3.8wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2a88…2bffbacked Over | 57c | 25$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.75 | 117 | 43.6%51 W · 66 L | -5.1wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc789…3907backed Under | 46c | 25$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.5 | 33 | 60.6%20 W · 13 L | +2.6wins | +0.08per pick | 53cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Northwestern Wildcats vs. Michigan State Spartans: O/U 141.5this page
- Northwestern Wildcats vs. Michigan State SpartansMichigan State Spartans won
- Northwestern Wildcats vs. Michigan State Spartans: O/U 142.5Under won
- Northwestern Wildcats vs. Michigan State Spartans: O/U 144.5Under won
- Spread: Michigan State Spartans (-11.5)Northwestern Wildcats won
- Spread: Michigan State Spartans (-12.5)Northwestern Wildcats won
- Spread: Michigan State Spartans (-13.5)Northwestern Wildcats won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.