Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
North Dakota Fighting Hawks vs. Omaha Mavericks
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x63dd8fd6d8792932e7c2131ca9371af6d9f042b896702ecb2241f5b6260827d3
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Omaha Mavericksof North Dakota Fighting Hawks, Omaha Mavericks
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $18,312
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $21,569
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $18,312 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 31 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked North Dakota Fighting Hawks | 31c | 3,973$1,232 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,231.65 | 1,391 | 44.1%613 W · 778 L | -10.6wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Omaha Mavericks | 69c | 2,791$1,926 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$865.38 | 12,422 | 49.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L | +118.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Omaha Mavericks | 70c | 1,919$1,335 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$584.37 | 4,848 | 52.2%2,532 W · 2,316 L | +139.2wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed North Dakota Fighting Hawks | 7c | 1,480$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.14 | 2,254 | 42.2%951 W · 1,303 L | +3.4wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc526…bf92backed North Dakota Fighting Hawks | 9c | 1,136$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 14 | 0%0 W · 14 L | -1.5wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x20ae…f107backed North Dakota Fighting Hawks | 32c | 1,119$353 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$352.63 | 423 | 27.2%115 W · 308 L | -10.9wins | -0.03per pick | 30cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x57d5…0bbdbacked North Dakota Fighting Hawks | 17c | 1,106$185 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$185.45 | 573 | 35.6%204 W · 369 L | -27.3wins | -0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf588…2b81backed Omaha Mavericks | 69c | 943.93$649 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$294.72 | 2,124 | 50.4%1,070 W · 1,054 L | +40.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked North Dakota Fighting Hawks | 31c | 847$263 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$262.57 | 2,896 | 50%1,448 W · 1,448 L | +71.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Omaha Mavericks | 77c | 616.78$476 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$140.98 | 5,946 | 49.3%2,932 W · 3,014 L | +163.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Omaha Mavericks | 78c | 504.29$391 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113.43 | 3,905 | 58.8%2,298 W · 1,607 L | +165.3wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3da4…28d7backed Omaha Mavericks | 79c | 290.15$230 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.7 | 158 | 61.4%97 W · 61 L | +7.7wins | +0.05per pick | 57cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x42f3…1e83backed North Dakota Fighting Hawks | 8c | 250$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 28 | 7.1%2 W · 26 L | -1.2wins | -0.04per pick | 12cpaid | -43.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc091…3d42backed North Dakota Fighting Hawks | 23c | 242$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.66 | 722 | 48.8%352 W · 370 L | -23.6wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7216…0d67backed North Dakota Fighting Hawks | 17c | 212.19$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.35 | 182 | 41.2%75 W · 107 L | -6.5wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Omaha Mavericks | 80c | 188.8$151 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.16 | 1,985 | 64.1%1,273 W · 712 L | +144.2wins | +0.07per pick | 57cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6008…a80bbacked North Dakota Fighting Hawks | 31c | 147.03$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.14 | 4,552 | 50.1%2,279 W · 2,273 L | -36.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb81d…c6c0backed Omaha Mavericks | 67c | 133$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.89 | 93 | 55.9%52 W · 41 L | +5.9wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +17.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe1f5…8be3backed North Dakota Fighting Hawks | 25c | 119.88$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.97 | 127 | 33.9%43 W · 84 L | -2.9wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf33f…085cbacked North Dakota Fighting Hawks | 30c | 100$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 181 | 29.3%53 W · 128 L | -3.1wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed North Dakota Fighting Hawks | 33c | 91$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.03 | 5,553 | 47.4%2,634 W · 2,919 L | +26.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdc9f…905bbacked North Dakota Fighting Hawks | 34c | 80$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.2 | 28 | 28.6%8 W · 20 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec6c…23c7backed Omaha Mavericks | 69c | 64.08$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.1 | 383 | 43.6%167 W · 216 L | -3.7wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed North Dakota Fighting Hawks | 34c | 60$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.4 | 2,579 | 47.3%1,221 W · 1,358 L | -42.7wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2dc4…0c92backed North Dakota Fighting Hawks | 31c | 44.13$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.68 | 990 | 45.6%451 W · 539 L | +9.6wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed North Dakota Fighting Hawks | 33c | 37$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.21 | 2,048 | 32.7%670 W · 1,378 L | -16.2wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Omaha Mavericks | 70c | 35.98$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.79 | 3,380 | 49.5%1,673 W · 1,707 L | +30.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd2d7…ba47backed Omaha Mavericks | 70c | 30$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9 | 152 | 50%76 W · 76 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa1b9…e6d3backed Omaha Mavericks | 67c | 20$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.6 | 46 | 67.4%31 W · 15 L | +2.7wins | +0.06per pick | 61cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2a88…2bffbacked Omaha Mavericks | 72c | 20$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.6 | 117 | 43.6%51 W · 66 L | -5.1wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe78e…819abacked Omaha Mavericks | 80c | 12.56$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.56 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +35.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- North Dakota Fighting Hawks vs. Omaha Mavericksthis page
- North Dakota Fighting Hawks vs. Omaha Mavericks: O/U 146.5Over won
- North Dakota Fighting Hawks vs. Omaha Mavericks: O/U 147.5Over won
- Spread: Omaha Mavericks (-4.5)Omaha Mavericks won
- Spread: Omaha Mavericks (-5.5)Omaha Mavericks won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.