Asian League · resolved market
Will Al Najmah Saudi Club win on 2026-01-08?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x345d802afe89318353e99105d7d338dd93763ee956d1bf7bb563adf78b6305bc
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Asian Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $57,047
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $70,646
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $57,047 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 26 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Asian League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Asian League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Yes | 19c | 3,220$612 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$611.8 | 794 | 35.1%279 W · 515 L | +13.2wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcd36…a8acbacked Yes | 18c | 3,032$540 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$540.09 | 23 | 34.8%8 W · 15 L | +1.7wins | +0.07per pick | 27cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc526…bf92backed Yes | 1c | 3,030$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7298…fe8dbacked Yes | 19c | 2,631$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$499.98 | 89 | 30.3%27 W · 62 L | -2.3wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe7fc…1511backed Yes | 1c | 2,380$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.32 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 28cpaid | -37.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x90e0…ff4cbacked Yes | 3c | 2,000$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 41 | 4.9%2 W · 39 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 3cpaid | +100.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Yes | 18c | 1,692$313 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$313.05 | 623 | 49.1%306 W · 317 L | -6.3wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeda0…7dffbacked Yes | 17c | 1,226$209 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$208.93 | 67 | 29.9%20 W · 47 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed Yes | 17c | 1,043$179 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$179.26 | 1,098 | 43.8%481 W · 617 L | -14.6wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Yes | 15c | 984.17$148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$147.83 | 1,254 | 51.4%644 W · 610 L | +9.7wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x88de…1091backed Yes | 17c | 951.49$164 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$164.23 | 138 | 21%29 W · 109 L | -3.8wins | -0.03per pick | 24cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 12c | 915.03$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.38 | 5,946 | 46.1%2,743 W · 3,203 L | +50.5wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Yes | 20c | 849$167 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$166.77 | 236 | 33.5%79 W · 157 L | -6.4wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf4a4…3117backed Yes | 3c | 666.91$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 17cpaid | -71%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Yes | 19c | 524.44$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.13 | 275 | 40.7%112 W · 163 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x87e8…5e6ebacked No | 80c | 500$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 11 | 72.7%8 W · 3 L | +1.3wins | +0.12per pick | 61cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x48f9…cd95backed No | 80c | 500$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 64cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc9f2…d776backed Yes | 10c | 311$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.66 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | +1.0wins | +0.06per pick | 25cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe6e4…22ccbacked Yes | 19c | 250$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.5 | 39 | 33.3%13 W · 26 L | -1.4wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5699…418dbacked No | 80c | 150$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 19 | 84.2%16 W · 3 L | +3.2wins | +0.17per pick | 67cpaid | +27.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xea9e…d3fbbacked Yes | 19c | 149.99$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.5 | 299 | 17.4%52 W · 247 L | -13.0wins | -0.04per pick | 22cpaid | -26.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2463…518cbacked Yes | 20c | 100$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaab6…607ebacked Yes | 20c | 70$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.69 | 186 | 47.3%88 W · 98 L | -2.8wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e86…8a11backed Yes | 21c | 63.33$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.12per pick | 38cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x080b…0350backed Yes | 21c | 50$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.5 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa870…2cd1backed No | 78c | 38.27$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.42 | 67 | 86.6%58 W · 9 L | +6.7wins | +0.10per pick | 77cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Asian League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Al Najmah Saudi Club win on 2026-01-08?this page
- Will Al Ettifaq Saudi Club win on 2026-01-08?Yes won
- Will Al Najmah Saudi Club vs. Al Ettifaq Saudi Club end in a draw?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.