Asian League · resolved market
Will Al Hazem SC win on 2026-04-11?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf3b9418f51fdaec2520bb12bfec460b46cdf40e685a83355998b299fb8caa0d6
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Asian Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $14,737
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $15,143
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $14,737 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 29 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Asian League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Asian League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x54a2…1d43backed No | 58c | 881.29$512 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$511.99 | 28 | 39.3%11 W · 17 L | +5.3wins | +0.19per pick | 20cpaid | +356.2%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x370e…5df3backed Yes | 34c | 332$113 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$219.12 | 233 | 47.6%111 W · 122 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xea48…62dcbacked Yes | 37c | 305.41$113 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$192.41 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.63per pick | 37cpaid | +170.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Yes | 31c | 280.1$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$194.57 | 214 | 49.1%105 W · 109 L | +8.7wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Yes | 37c | 259.74$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$164.14 | 623 | 49.1%306 W · 317 L | -6.3wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked No | 63c | 250$158 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$157.5 | 934 | 46.1%431 W · 503 L | +6.7wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed No | 63c | 250$158 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$157.5 | 1,651 | 50.9%840 W · 811 L | +5.8wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc0f8…ae2ebacked No | 26c | 233.69$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.66 | 53 | 56.6%30 W · 23 L | +4.9wins | +0.09per pick | 47cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x116c…e162backed No | 64c | 208$133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$133.12 | 19 | 26.3%5 W · 14 L | -4.4wins | -0.23per pick | 49cpaid | -48.3%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed Yes | 33c | 181$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$121.27 | 1,117 | 46.2%516 W · 601 L | -7.8wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7c15…9667backed No | 66c | 166$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.56 | 219 | 41.6%91 W · 128 L | -17.3wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3dfb…ebbfbacked No | 66c | 166$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.56 | 235 | 46.8%110 W · 125 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1608…eeb8backed No | 70c | 120$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84 | 30 | 63.3%19 W · 11 L | -3.2wins | -0.11per pick | 74cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed No | 67c | 105.62$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.29 | 1,098 | 43.8%481 W · 617 L | -14.6wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 44c | 102.55$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.11 | 5,946 | 46.1%2,743 W · 3,203 L | +50.5wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x391d…def1backed No | 17c | 98.24$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.6 | 84 | 35.7%30 W · 54 L | +2.4wins | +0.03per pick | 33cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x397e…3d84backed Yes | 33c | 87.98$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.11 | 396 | 55.8%221 W · 175 L | +31.2wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +18.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed No | 70c | 57$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.9 | 1,522 | 54.9%835 W · 687 L | +5.9wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdb3c…a938backed Yes | 31c | 45.26$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.23 | 16 | 62.5%10 W · 6 L | +2.6wins | +0.16per pick | 46cpaid | +45.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Yes | 45c | 45$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.75 | 1,028 | 41.7%429 W · 599 L | -31.8wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf4f8…5bf1backed Yes | 44c | 44.84$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.96 | 218 | 54.1%118 W · 100 L | +9.4wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +14%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked No | 67c | 42$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.94 | 531 | 48.8%259 W · 272 L | +2.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5d1d…afd2backed Yes | 44c | 37.99$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.09 | 401 | 56.4%226 W · 175 L | +6.5wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7a3f…6712backed Yes | 41c | 30$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.8 | 149 | 49%73 W · 76 L | -3.6wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9bd9…084fbacked No | 49c | 29.94$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.55 | 141 | 49.6%70 W · 71 L | -3.6wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdad6…0d14backed Yes | 43c | 25.44$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.5 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +2.1wins | +0.35per pick | 31cpaid | +102.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed No | 66c | 24$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.96 | 820 | 53.8%441 W · 379 L | +25.2wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe964…6519backed No | 69c | 16.07$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.09 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.17per pick | 57cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked No | 67c | 15$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.05 | 1,254 | 51.4%644 W · 610 L | +9.7wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Asian League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Al Hazem SC win on 2026-04-11?this page
- Will Al Fayha Saudi Club win on 2026-04-11?No won
- Will Al Hazem SC vs. Al Fayha Saudi Club end in a draw?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.