Asian League · resolved market
Will Al Fayha Saudi Club win on 2026-04-11?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x8c104621a0c22d8143dbe9e0aab5582b2593b64169166f8586382b7df03fbd41
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Asian Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $14,761
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $14,850
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $14,761 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 29 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Asian League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Asian League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4956…e2c7backed Yes | 42c | 9,562$4,058 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,057.83 | 27 | 48.1%13 W · 14 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 57c | 3,500$1,995 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,505.05 | 2,528 | 42.2%1,067 W · 1,461 L | +53.0wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b44…be1ebacked No | 59c | 1,220$720 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$500.32 | 46 | 43.5%20 W · 26 L | -2.5wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed No | 58c | 1,025$592 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$432.55 | 1,651 | 50.9%840 W · 811 L | +5.8wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed No | 58c | 849$493 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$356.28 | 1,126 | 46.3%521 W · 605 L | -6.9wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked No | 58c | 736$427 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$309.12 | 934 | 46.1%431 W · 503 L | +6.7wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked No | 58c | 579.41$337 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$242.58 | 1,254 | 51.4%644 W · 610 L | +9.7wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed No | 57c | 428.29$245 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$183.38 | 471 | 55.8%263 W · 208 L | +12.3wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 61c | 378.83$231 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$147.83 | 1,766 | 50.2%887 W · 879 L | +31.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0781…c4ffbacked Yes | 33c | 375$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$123.75 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.26per pick | 51cpaid | -62.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked No | 62c | 329.91$204 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$125.93 | 623 | 49.1%306 W · 317 L | -6.3wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed No | 58c | 300$174 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$126.26 | 214 | 49.1%105 W · 109 L | +8.7wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x391d…def1backed Yes | 7c | 299.72$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.12 | 84 | 35.7%30 W · 54 L | +2.4wins | +0.03per pick | 33cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xed8f…5aa7backed No | 64c | 279.22$179 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.52 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed No | 58c | 249.97$145 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.05 | 1,098 | 43.8%481 W · 617 L | -14.6wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0f60…026abacked No | 57c | 228$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.76 | 94 | 44.7%42 W · 52 L | -5.9wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe363…c894backed No | 58c | 150$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -1.6wins | -0.11per pick | 54cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Yes | 42c | 95$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.9 | 1,522 | 54.9%835 W · 687 L | +5.9wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x397e…3d84backed No | 58c | 95$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.9 | 398 | 55.8%222 W · 176 L | +31.4wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +18.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1c04…a5c1backed Yes | 44c | 90.91$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 29 | 41.4%12 W · 17 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed No | 59c | 78$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.79 | 1,991 | 54.1%1,078 W · 913 L | +29.2wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x54a2…1d43backed No | 80c | 70.09$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.27 | 28 | 39.3%11 W · 17 L | +5.3wins | +0.19per pick | 20cpaid | +356.2%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed No | 58c | 68$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.7 | 73 | 39.7%29 W · 44 L | -2.8wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3e9f…5403backed No | 59c | 67.63$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.73 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.9wins | +0.11per pick | 51cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4959…a6f5backed No | 62c | 47.12$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.91 | 69 | 40.6%28 W · 41 L | -4.2wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed No | 57c | 37.37$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.96 | 820 | 53.8%441 W · 379 L | +25.2wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked No | 59c | 30$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.3 | 167 | 46.1%77 W · 90 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked No | 57c | 23$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.84 | 531 | 48.8%259 W · 272 L | +2.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9d70…12bcbacked No | 59c | 21.98$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.96 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.10per pick | 57cpaid | +13.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Asian League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Al Fayha Saudi Club win on 2026-04-11?this page
- Will Al Hazem SC vs. Al Fayha Saudi Club end in a draw?No won
- Will Al Hazem SC win on 2026-04-11?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.