MLB · resolved market
Houston Astros vs. Seattle Mariners
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa1106fd02943fba6760b6d1ddc8710c07127c2b1a48174cf6a9a683ffb6d6899
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Seattle Marinersof Houston Astros, Seattle Mariners
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $269,873
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $268,058
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $269,873 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 251 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xabb8…bba3backed Seattle Mariners | 66c | 40,238$26,486 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13,751.58 | 981 | 49.9%490 W · 491 L | -17.6wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a2c…9bc1backed Houston Astros | 34c | 36,791$12,517 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,516.66 | 310 | 39%121 W · 189 L | -10.5wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8fba…d08abacked Houston Astros | 37c | 15,000$5,550 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,549.94 | 531 | 50.5%268 W · 263 L | +19.4wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed Houston Astros | 44c | 11,871$5,223 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,223.39 | 1,660 | 50.1%832 W · 828 L | -22.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe790…eadcbacked Houston Astros | 28c | 8,857$2,520 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,520.38 | 216 | 56.5%122 W · 94 L | +4.9wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7a88…41ccbacked Seattle Mariners | 56c | 8,781$4,917 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,863.65 | 381 | 48.6%185 W · 196 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x18a4…3a31backed Seattle Mariners | 74c | 6,957$5,145 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,811.96 | 2,147 | 50.2%1,078 W · 1,069 L | +27.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5375…aeeabacked Houston Astros | 37c | 6,144$2,289 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,289.09 | 1,381 | 48.1%664 W · 717 L | -13.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x116c…e162backed Houston Astros | 44c | 6,144$2,703 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,703.27 | 366 | 49.2%180 W · 186 L | -10.5wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Seattle Mariners | 56c | 6,000$3,360 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,640 | 5,401 | 50.5%2,726 W · 2,675 L | +17.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x617b…a499backed Seattle Mariners | 56c | 6,000$3,360 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,639.97 | 619 | 47.7%295 W · 324 L | -1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc42e…edbdbacked Seattle Mariners | 56c | 5,580$3,125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,455.39 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | -0.7wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -39.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4285…cfb5backed Houston Astros | 34c | 5,208$1,770 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,769.86 | 165 | 47.3%78 W · 87 L | -10.3wins | -0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x82f9…6910backed Houston Astros | 40c | 4,961$1,984 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,984.38 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.4wins | -0.24per pick | 57cpaid | -47.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x56fc…733ebacked Seattle Mariners | 59c | 4,926$2,928 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,998.1 | 92 | 55.4%51 W · 41 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa7f1…d867backed Houston Astros | 30c | 3,902$1,182 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,181.55 | 28 | 60.7%17 W · 11 L | +3.6wins | +0.13per pick | 48cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Houston Astros | 39c | 3,719$1,467 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,467.45 | 1,029 | 51.2%527 W · 502 L | -6.2wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Seattle Mariners | 73c | 3,518$2,585 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$933.69 | 1,499 | 58.9%883 W · 616 L | +75.6wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf7c4…5919backed Houston Astros | 1c | 3,502$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.31 | 1,180 | 7.2%85 W · 1,095 L | -13.6wins | -0.01per pick | 8cpaid | -37.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc463…9a2fbacked Seattle Mariners | 55c | 3,383$1,877 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,505.83 | 338 | 52.7%178 W · 160 L | +6.0wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Houston Astros | 44c | 3,101$1,364 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,364.26 | 1,515 | 51.1%774 W · 741 L | +7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…c53abacked Seattle Mariners | 63c | 2,840$1,786 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,054.46 | 1,041 | 50.1%522 W · 519 L | +17.2wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Houston Astros | 24c | 2,599$621 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$621.23 | 2,389 | 43.4%1,037 W · 1,352 L | -25.4wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5392…d2ecbacked Houston Astros | 6c | 2,474$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160.32 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | -2.6wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7304…0379backed Seattle Mariners | 56c | 2,400$1,344 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,056 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdc16…40a5backed Houston Astros | 40c | 2,164$866 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$866.43 | 23 | 39.1%9 W · 14 L | -2.1wins | -0.09per pick | 48cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdcab…b9bbbacked Houston Astros | 25c | 2,089$512 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$512.32 | 46 | 45.7%21 W · 25 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5d1d…afd2backed Seattle Mariners | 63c | 2,047$1,295 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$752.5 | 1,106 | 48.7%539 W · 567 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1fd6…ce58backed Houston Astros | 41c | 2,000$820 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$820.15 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | -2.0wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -34.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4b49…0397backed Seattle Mariners | 56c | 2,000$1,120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$879.99 | 274 | 51.8%142 W · 132 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4b89…0d9cbacked Seattle Mariners | 63c | 1,855$1,162 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$692.97 | 52 | 26.9%14 W · 38 L | -8.2wins | -0.16per pick | 43cpaid | -48.2%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Seattle Mariners | 63c | 1,844$1,165 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$679.01 | 10,846 | 51.6%5,594 W · 5,252 L | +137.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x783b…dc4cbacked Houston Astros | 30c | 1,837$550 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$550.04 | 609 | 41.4%252 W · 357 L | -22.4wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4bb2…a656backed Houston Astros | 43c | 1,772$762 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$761.82 | 42 | 52.4%22 W · 20 L | +3.2wins | +0.08per pick | 45cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Seattle Mariners | 70c | 1,713$1,191 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$521.14 | 5,234 | 56.8%2,971 W · 2,263 L | +130.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6239…1d79backed Seattle Mariners | 57c | 1,709$974 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$734.92 | 262 | 45.8%120 W · 142 L | -17.7wins | -0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xcf6c…7e66backed Houston Astros | 29c | 1,580$454 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$453.8 | 96 | 66.7%64 W · 32 L | +16.4wins | +0.17per pick | 50cpaid | +36.4%equal weight | 65+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x3ce9…9c2dbacked Houston Astros | 2c | 1,571$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.23 | 65 | 23.1%15 W · 50 L | +3.6wins | +0.06per pick | 18cpaid | +98.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfefb…4b5dbacked Seattle Mariners | 78c | 1,412$1,101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$310.64 | 462 | 39.6%183 W · 279 L | -17.5wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6e59…beeebacked Seattle Mariners | 60c | 1,407$844 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$562.93 | 21 | 38.1%8 W · 13 L | -3.9wins | -0.19per pick | 57cpaid | -36.6%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xe704…b250backed Seattle Mariners | 50c | 1,405$703 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$701.96 | 68 | 41.2%28 W · 40 L | -2.0wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Seattle Mariners | 62c | 1,329$830 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$499.13 | 12,247 | 46.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L | -68.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5471…a236backed Houston Astros | 24c | 1,324$313 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$312.97 | 108 | 47.2%51 W · 57 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Houston Astros | 35c | 1,313$461 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$460.86 | 8,086 | 46.1%3,728 W · 4,358 L | +29.9wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc521…b46abacked Houston Astros | 28c | 1,274$363 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$362.68 | 79 | 48.1%38 W · 41 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf9a2…a79abacked Seattle Mariners | 56c | 1,200$672 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$528 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Seattle Mariners | 69c | 1,172$814 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$357.9 | 6,116 | 55.3%3,385 W · 2,731 L | +344.6wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf0ac…4ec7backed Houston Astros | 17c | 1,161$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.56 | 1,173 | 29%340 W · 833 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x31b0…8c4cbacked Houston Astros | 20c | 1,142$228 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$228.48 | 115 | 54.8%63 W · 52 L | +8.4wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Seattle Mariners | 66c | 1,039$690 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$349.26 | 650 | 50.3%327 W · 323 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd73a…0f4ebacked Seattle Mariners | 56c | 973.6$545 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$428.38 | 411 | 52.3%215 W · 196 L | -13.0wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Houston Astros | 17c | 889.59$152 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$151.83 | 1,456 | 42.7%622 W · 834 L | -39.7wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xec69…6fbabacked Seattle Mariners | 79c | 844.98$668 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$176.75 | 48 | 58.3%28 W · 20 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1df2…89a0backed Houston Astros | 20c | 834.08$168 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$168.33 | 1,113 | 49%545 W · 568 L | +22.1wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -11%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6cbe…c2f3backed Seattle Mariners | 59c | 816.05$478 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$338.51 | 21 | 28.6%6 W · 15 L | -3.4wins | -0.16per pick | 45cpaid | -50.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xade2…8757backed Seattle Mariners | 63c | 776.17$489 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$287.28 | 126 | 56.3%71 W · 55 L | +4.9wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0833…bc88backed Houston Astros | 30c | 772.09$231 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$231.36 | 61 | 57.4%35 W · 26 L | +5.3wins | +0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2160…bcb3backed Seattle Mariners | 56c | 761.53$426 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$335.07 | 664 | 48.2%320 W · 344 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7ba5…aaf1backed Houston Astros | 44c | 747.44$329 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$328.87 | 540 | 48.3%261 W · 279 L | -12.6wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe94c…1edebacked Seattle Mariners | 60c | 732.2$439 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$292.88 | 124 | 49.2%61 W · 63 L | -3.2wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x782b…ff64backed Seattle Mariners | 74c | 726.17$540 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$186.29 | 508 | 60.2%306 W · 202 L | +29.7wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Seattle Mariners | 58c | 701.78$406 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$295.88 | 4,035 | 57.7%2,330 W · 1,705 L | +72.2wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Seattle Mariners | 56c | 699.98$390 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$310.33 | 6,899 | 50.4%3,478 W · 3,421 L | -7.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x32cc…68b3backed Seattle Mariners | 63c | 697.58$437 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$260.47 | 1,269 | 51.1%648 W · 621 L | +23.4wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd809…6542backed Seattle Mariners | 63c | 693.42$437 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$256.65 | 393 | 51.9%204 W · 189 L | +1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd27d…a84fbacked Seattle Mariners | 63c | 689.92$435 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$254.84 | 70 | 45.7%32 W · 38 L | -1.8wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Seattle Mariners | 64c | 680.25$438 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$242.14 | 555 | 41.4%230 W · 325 L | -26.7wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2302…d6d2backed Seattle Mariners | 64c | 680.24$437 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$243.57 | 1,043 | 49%511 W · 532 L | +3.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa38a…821dbacked Seattle Mariners | 70c | 547.07$385 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$162 | 180 | 56.1%101 W · 79 L | +11.3wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa623…a4febacked Seattle Mariners | 63c | 542.68$342 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200.79 | 1,119 | 45.5%509 W · 610 L | +16.9wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Houston Astros | 33c | 537.45$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$179.71 | 9,728 | 46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L | +32.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdcad…df78backed Houston Astros | 19c | 529.99$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.7 | 109 | 30.3%33 W · 76 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x551c…fe91backed Houston Astros | 18c | 528.22$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.08 | 1,218 | 55.6%677 W · 541 L | +94.9wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4c31…ebdbbacked Seattle Mariners | 56c | 523.17$293 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$230.19 | 174 | 48.9%85 W · 89 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaa68…94a7backed Seattle Mariners | 60c | 517.28$310 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$206.91 | 44 | 56.8%25 W · 19 L | -4.1wins | -0.09per pick | 66cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbd04…a64abacked Seattle Mariners | 57c | 512.74$292 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$220.48 | 323 | 50.5%163 W · 160 L | -4.8wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c1b…5afdbacked Seattle Mariners | 57c | 512.74$292 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$220.48 | 19 | 63.2%12 W · 7 L | +2.6wins | +0.13per pick | 50cpaid | +26.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x40ff…9d91backed Houston Astros | 23c | 414.7$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.38 | 204 | 43.1%88 W · 116 L | +5.1wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc45a…5a3ebacked Houston Astros | 14c | 404.48$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.92 | 85 | 42.4%36 W · 49 L | +4.9wins | +0.06per pick | 37cpaid | +13%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf898…e720backed Seattle Mariners | 67c | 401.36$270 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$131.01 | 6,303 | 48.2%3,041 W · 3,262 L | +181.4wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe1f1…3a05backed Houston Astros | 35c | 387$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$134.85 | 105 | 48.6%51 W · 54 L | +8.9wins | +0.09per pick | 40cpaid | +18.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x90c5…534cbacked Houston Astros | 18c | 380.31$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.3 | 341 | 45.2%154 W · 187 L | +5.2wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xefce…7e63backed Seattle Mariners | 55c | 360.24$198 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$162.11 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.15per pick | 51cpaid | +25.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x70fc…ab12backed Seattle Mariners | 76c | 357.12$271 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.54 | 1,367 | 54.3%742 W · 625 L | +16.5wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7988…a57ebacked Houston Astros | 24c | 335.4$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.34 | 21 | 28.6%6 W · 15 L | -1.5wins | -0.07per pick | 35cpaid | +3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Houston Astros | 36c | 318.67$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.49 | 1,723 | 50.3%867 W · 856 L | +55.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5926…a9debacked Houston Astros | 6c | 293.39$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.65 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.06per pick | 40cpaid | -43%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2add…0cfdbacked Houston Astros | 4c | 293.05$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.2 | 99 | 28.3%28 W · 71 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -49.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2f2b…0f9abacked Seattle Mariners | 57c | 290.31$165 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$124.83 | 507 | 51.7%262 W · 245 L | +2.7wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb719…b584backed Houston Astros | 38c | 286.75$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.36 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.9wins | +0.15per pick | 52cpaid | +33.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0e13…c506backed Houston Astros | 40c | 276.92$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.74 | 52 | 53.8%28 W · 24 L | +2.0wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x29b0…3f3cbacked Seattle Mariners | 56c | 269.02$151 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$118.37 | 192 | 48.4%93 W · 99 L | -5.5wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfb51…082dbacked Houston Astros | 46c | 266.52$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122.68 | 344 | 52.6%181 W · 163 L | +6.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x82de…1337backed Houston Astros | 46c | 265.8$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122.08 | 253 | 49.4%125 W · 128 L | -4.3wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5e06…4bdabacked Houston Astros | 33c | 263.24$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.5 | 62 | 32.3%20 W · 42 L | -8.7wins | -0.14per pick | 46cpaid | -45.5%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x2e6c…e09cbacked Houston Astros | 46c | 261.71$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120.39 | 452 | 46.2%209 W · 243 L | -18.9wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -11%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Houston Astros | 22c | 253.37$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.52 | 1,912 | 53%1,014 W · 898 L | +42.5wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x69c2…40cfbacked Houston Astros | 39c | 247.18$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.34 | 182 | 39.6%72 W · 110 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4650…f3f0backed Houston Astros | 18c | 244.36$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.98 | 70 | 51.4%36 W · 34 L | +3.6wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc660…bd28backed Houston Astros | 44c | 242.5$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.7 | 274 | 52.6%144 W · 130 L | +9.4wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 13 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Houston Astros vs. Seattle Marinersthis page
- Houston Astros vs. Seattle Mariners: O/U 10.5Over won
- Houston Astros vs. Seattle Mariners: O/U 11.5Over won
- Houston Astros vs. Seattle Mariners: O/U 12.5Over won
- Houston Astros vs. Seattle Mariners: O/U 7.5Over won
- Houston Astros vs. Seattle Mariners: O/U 9.5Over won
- Spread: Houston Astros (-1.5)Seattle Mariners won
- Spread: Seattle Mariners (-1.5)Seattle Mariners won
- Spread: Seattle Mariners (-2.5)Seattle Mariners won
- Spread: Seattle Mariners (-3.5)Houston Astros won
- Spread: Seattle Mariners (-4.5)Houston Astros won
- Spread: Seattle Mariners (-5.5)Houston Astros won
- Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Houston Astros vs. Seattle MarinersYes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.