Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Harvard Crimson vs. Wisconsin Badgers (W)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x1398dc83d2568c9b329ec7647883f1438e14c5beaff28b3cc30928e6c980c3f7
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Wisconsin Badgersof Harvard Crimson, Wisconsin Badgers
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $10,542
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $10,949
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $10,542 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 64 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x0fd5…9801backed Harvard Crimson | 60c | 940.57$563 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$563.16 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x25d8…a71fbacked Harvard Crimson | 71c | 749.99$532 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$532.19 | 15 | 66.7%10 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 70cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd47c…a36abacked Wisconsin Badgers | 46c | 546$251 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$294.84 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.54per pick | 46cpaid | +117.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Wisconsin Badgers | 38c | 481.52$181 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$300.54 | 1,910 | 49.6%947 W · 963 L | +30.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x190a…03a0backed Harvard Crimson | 54c | 479$259 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$258.66 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.54per pick | 54cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Wisconsin Badgers | 40c | 452.44$180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$272.53 | 4,382 | 40.5%1,775 W · 2,607 L | +23.7wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Wisconsin Badgers | 47c | 415.13$196 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$219.37 | 3,380 | 49.5%1,673 W · 1,707 L | +30.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84d7…298fbacked Harvard Crimson | 57c | 403.74$230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$229.53 | 94 | 42.6%40 W · 54 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xabab…8b3ebacked Wisconsin Badgers | 45c | 399$180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$219.45 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.55per pick | 45cpaid | +122.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd892…515cbacked Harvard Crimson | 55c | 277$152 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$152.35 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.55per pick | 55cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x755a…6da6backed Wisconsin Badgers | 39c | 272.44$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$167.19 | 536 | 35.6%191 W · 345 L | +10.0wins | +0.02per pick | 34cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8b04…9c22backed Wisconsin Badgers | 45c | 268$121 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$147.4 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.15per pick | 36cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8e22…404dbacked Wisconsin Badgers | 45c | 265$119 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$145.75 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.55per pick | 45cpaid | +122.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb6b7…fe5cbacked Wisconsin Badgers | 43c | 248$107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$141.36 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.57per pick | 43cpaid | +132.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9963…0cfdbacked Harvard Crimson | 58c | 237.59$137 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$137.32 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.3wins | -0.22per pick | 55cpaid | -54.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xea48…62dcbacked Harvard Crimson | 59c | 233$138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$138.09 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x90a3…15c6backed Wisconsin Badgers | 43c | 214$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$121.98 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.57per pick | 43cpaid | +132.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc8b3…437abacked Wisconsin Badgers | 45c | 213$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.15 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.55per pick | 45cpaid | +122.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfcd7…0a94backed Wisconsin Badgers | 48c | 200$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.52per pick | 48cpaid | +108.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Harvard Crimson | 51c | 193.39$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.41 | 195 | 22.1%43 W · 152 L | -36.3wins | -0.19per pick | 41cpaid | -53.7%equal weight | 32-0.16 edge/pick |
| 0xcbec…2386backed Harvard Crimson | 55c | 184$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.2 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.55per pick | 55cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2112…38e9backed Harvard Crimson | 52c | 173$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.96 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2e9c…ca4fbacked Harvard Crimson | 57c | 167$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.19 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.57per pick | 57cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5625…6c2abacked Wisconsin Badgers | 32c | 164.01$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.12 | 50 | 48%24 W · 26 L | +3.1wins | +0.06per pick | 42cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Harvard Crimson | 61c | 158.72$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.62 | 2,555 | 41.6%1,062 W · 1,493 L | -15.9wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbe5…75c1backed Harvard Crimson | 57c | 149$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.93 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.57per pick | 57cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1379…f149backed Harvard Crimson | 55c | 147$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.85 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.55per pick | 55cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9465…b01fbacked Harvard Crimson | 55c | 138$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.9 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.55per pick | 55cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x64a8…7bc3backed Harvard Crimson | 73c | 136.99$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 170 | 62.9%107 W · 63 L | -9.0wins | -0.05per pick | 68cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8526…72aabacked Wisconsin Badgers | 33c | 130.14$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.58 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8dd8…9a1cbacked Harvard Crimson | 57c | 125.83$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.28 | 68 | 58.8%40 W · 28 L | +2.9wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4488…579cbacked Harvard Crimson | 66c | 125$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.5 | 301 | 52.8%159 W · 142 L | +6.2wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd3f0…7a16backed Harvard Crimson | 55c | 122$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.1 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.55per pick | 55cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d83…a7d1backed Harvard Crimson | 55c | 118$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.9 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.55per pick | 55cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0362…449ebacked Harvard Crimson | 56c | 84.38$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.25 | 254 | 38.2%97 W · 157 L | -14.3wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x95cf…fd9dbacked Harvard Crimson | 55c | 84$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.2 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.15per pick | 65cpaid | -32.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe741…5054backed Harvard Crimson | 57c | 81$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.17 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.57per pick | 57cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcfa4…4a42backed Harvard Crimson | 55c | 75$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.25 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.55per pick | 55cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x16e3…5476backed Harvard Crimson | 54c | 67$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.18 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.54per pick | 54cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed Wisconsin Badgers | 44c | 65.19$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.51 | 1,446 | 43.4%627 W · 819 L | +10.6wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfa0b…4262backed Harvard Crimson | 57c | 65$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.05 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.57per pick | 57cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4ec3…34a7backed Wisconsin Badgers | 41c | 62.03$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.84 | 191 | 47.6%91 W · 100 L | +3.8wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Harvard Crimson | 65c | 54.54$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.7 | 848 | 54.5%462 W · 386 L | +32.8wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Wisconsin Badgers | 32c | 53.08$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.21 | 1,249 | 16.4%205 W · 1,044 L | -189.4wins | -0.15per pick | 32cpaid | -51.1%equal weight | 33-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0xc0c2…ccd5backed Harvard Crimson | 52c | 50$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -2.1wins | -0.27per pick | 52cpaid | -59.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2528…b77dbacked Wisconsin Badgers | 42c | 48$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.85 | 91 | 54.9%50 W · 41 L | +3.6wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdd45…a81dbacked Harvard Crimson | 31c | 40$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.34 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -3.1wins | -0.34per pick | 56cpaid | -71.2%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xe10f…c59fbacked Wisconsin Badgers | 50c | 39.98$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.98 | 8 | 87.5%7 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.12per pick | 75cpaid | +20.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2608…4468backed Harvard Crimson | 47c | 36.92$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.18 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8afa…28f0backed Wisconsin Badgers | 56c | 36.63$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.12 | 194 | 54.6%106 W · 88 L | +10.5wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0fde…0258backed Wisconsin Badgers | 57c | 36.31$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.73 | 227 | 56.4%128 W · 99 L | +18.5wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +17.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0b95…07e5backed Wisconsin Badgers | 43c | 35.63$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.36 | 47 | 48.9%23 W · 24 L | +1.6wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xefd2…b1e4backed Harvard Crimson | 57c | 34.86$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.57per pick | 57cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2273…7e01backed Wisconsin Badgers | 44c | 32.27$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.07 | 28 | 42.9%12 W · 16 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb6fc…b24ebacked Harvard Crimson | 54c | 30.98$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.73 | 322 | 46.6%150 W · 172 L | +6.3wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x13e5…1ea5backed Wisconsin Badgers | 44c | 30.79$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.13 | 93 | 52.7%49 W · 44 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Harvard Crimson | 53c | 30.78$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.46 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -1.5wins | -0.12per pick | 46cpaid | -39.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe7be…908dbacked Wisconsin Badgers | 42c | 28.91$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.75 | 17 | 64.7%11 W · 6 L | +3.1wins | +0.18per pick | 47cpaid | +50%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7f2d…fbf5backed Harvard Crimson | 57c | 28.36$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.19 | 576 | 55%317 W · 259 L | +17.6wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x61fa…7f62backed Harvard Crimson | 55c | 27.89$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.26 | 35 | 51.4%18 W · 17 L | -1.0wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfc8b…d3d6backed Harvard Crimson | 56c | 27.2$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.21 | 307 | 46.3%142 W · 165 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84f7…ade1backed Wisconsin Badgers | 44c | 27$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.12 | 1,074 | 47%505 W · 569 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x824d…4a68backed Harvard Crimson | 52c | 26$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.52 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaabb…9ab8backed Harvard Crimson | 58c | 25.86$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.