Asian League · resolved market
Will Shandong Taishan FC vs. Wuhan San Zhen FC end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xebb7876a9e092f89abca82c83305b5805da8e8fcacd1297f20ff42f9bd7979a8
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Asian Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $21,282
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $24,930
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $21,282 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 50 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Asian League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Asian League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 68c | 6,586$4,468 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,467.93 | 2,522 | 42.3%1,067 W · 1,455 L | +54.6wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 35c | 3,303$1,145 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,157.97 | 5,946 | 46.1%2,743 W · 3,203 L | +50.5wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Yes | 29c | 2,037$591 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,446.2 | 2,424 | 38%920 W · 1,504 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Yes | 52c | 1,133$588 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$544.39 | 1,647 | 36.2%596 W · 1,051 L | -34.3wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Yes | 43c | 1,128$485 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$642.74 | 270 | 37%100 W · 170 L | -12.2wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked No | 77c | 1,098$848 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$847.6 | 892 | 45%401 W · 491 L | -5.6wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Yes | 51c | 849.83$434 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$416.09 | 968 | 46.1%446 W · 522 L | +6.3wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6580…6fa8backed Yes | 16c | 821.27$131 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$689.87 | 52 | 36.5%19 W · 33 L | +4.6wins | +0.09per pick | 28cpaid | +36.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1017…c669backed Yes | 76c | 557.3$422 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$134.99 | 27 | 77.8%21 W · 6 L | +4.4wins | +0.16per pick | 62cpaid | +24%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xfd66…fb6dbacked Yes | 16c | 500$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$420 | 108 | 23.1%25 W · 83 L | -7.6wins | -0.07per pick | 30cpaid | -28.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2d25…5529backed Yes | 75c | 355.38$267 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.84 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +33.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc0d…8bcabacked Yes | 38c | 338.13$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$208.13 | 45 | 37.8%17 W · 28 L | -1.6wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc482…b505backed Yes | 77c | 287.24$220 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.92 | 92 | 68.5%63 W · 29 L | +4.5wins | +0.05per pick | 64cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5f56…348abacked No | 35c | 278.01$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.22 | 98 | 42.9%42 W · 56 L | -5.7wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -32%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb946…2671backed Yes | 18c | 268.37$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$220.06 | 18 | 27.8%5 W · 13 L | -0.8wins | -0.04per pick | 32cpaid | +22.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe6a5…e95dbacked Yes | 43c | 232.56$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132.56 | 125 | 50.4%63 W · 62 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd1d2…be08backed Yes | 25c | 232.22$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$173.22 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 21cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6f2a…e0d7backed Yes | 34c | 206.05$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$136.05 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +38.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed No | 16c | 188.52$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.09 | 928 | 35%325 W · 603 L | -22.9wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -33.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd89a…49a4backed Yes | 16c | 157.05$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132.31 | 17 | 29.4%5 W · 12 L | -0.8wins | -0.05per pick | 34cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x65af…df77backed Yes | 54c | 148.43$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.43 | 72 | 52.8%38 W · 34 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf16d…b7f9backed No | 9c | 148.17$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.01 | 52 | 40.4%21 W · 31 L | +3.9wins | +0.08per pick | 33cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc551…fa51backed Yes | 57c | 129.25$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.84 | 96 | 72.9%70 W · 26 L | +19.3wins | +0.20per pick | 53cpaid | +145.7%equal weight | 68+0.16 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…8de1backed No | 24c | 125$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 211 | 44.5%94 W · 117 L | +6.0wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +17.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed No | 66c | 120.48$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.76 | 1,221 | 50.2%613 W · 608 L | +12.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ece…0163backed Yes | 18c | 111.11$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.11 | 29 | 37.9%11 W · 18 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4552…eac6backed No | 67c | 104.48$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 35 | 68.6%24 W · 11 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 68cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb6d2…d67bbacked No | 24c | 100.96$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.23 | 375 | 59.2%222 W · 153 L | +12.0wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7a49…d9f5backed Yes | 26c | 100$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.14 | 843 | 47.7%402 W · 441 L | +15.0wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7a39…1a00backed Yes | 28c | 100$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72 | 108 | 27.8%30 W · 78 L | -5.3wins | -0.05per pick | 33cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked No | 24c | 98$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.52 | 1,028 | 41.7%429 W · 599 L | -31.8wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x32cc…68b3backed No | 67c | 74.61$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.99 | 390 | 58.2%227 W · 163 L | +6.3wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x222b…1a8dbacked Yes | 58c | 69.8$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.47 | 188 | 51.6%97 W · 91 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf558…3c42backed No | 73c | 68.49$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 70cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb7a6…f48bbacked Yes | 38c | 66.84$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.44 | 11 | 72.7%8 W · 3 L | +2.0wins | +0.18per pick | 54cpaid | +37.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3555…ba40backed No | 32c | 62$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.98 | 24 | 58.3%14 W · 10 L | +1.6wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7d7f…86d2backed No | 71c | 60.79$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.06 | 276 | 39.1%108 W · 168 L | -14.4wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Yes | 44c | 60$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.45 | 1,522 | 54.9%835 W · 687 L | +5.9wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked No | 38c | 49.71$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.97 | 564 | 45.4%256 W · 308 L | -25.0wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…4511backed No | 66c | 40.26$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.57 | 1,063 | 42%446 W · 617 L | -12.6wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29a1…115cbacked Yes | 75c | 40$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9df2…99f5backed No | 71c | 35.32$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.08 | 188 | 38.8%73 W · 115 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2c46…dac9backed No | 78c | 33.6$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.29 | 770 | 56.2%433 W · 337 L | +40.8wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb82f…9e1cbacked Yes | 59c | 30.27$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.27 | 39 | 66.7%26 W · 13 L | +3.0wins | +0.08per pick | 59cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x29a5…a3c4backed Yes | 46c | 30$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.2 | 324 | 57.1%185 W · 139 L | +12.7wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5c1b…555bbacked No | 39c | 29.51$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.56 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.39per pick | 39cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d76…517cbacked No | 62c | 23.73$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.71 | 14 | 71.4%10 W · 4 L | +1.0wins | +0.07per pick | 64cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0d5f…1171backed No | 68c | 22.51$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.35 | 166 | 59.6%99 W · 67 L | -3.5wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcd30…a9a4backed No | 63c | 16$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.08 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.63per pick | 63cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9603…de5ebacked No | 67c | 15.75$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.55 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.67per pick | 67cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Asian League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Shandong Taishan FC vs. Wuhan San Zhen FC end in a draw?this page
- Will Shandong Taishan FC win on 2026-05-24?No won
- Will Wuhan San Zhen FC win on 2026-05-24?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.