Asian League · resolved market
Will Wuhan San Zhen FC win on 2026-05-24?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x07170ed9d0f43f4c861adc969b29d6fb1928ac354f3cd54e24a7656cffa27afa
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Asian Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $42,666
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $38,086
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $42,666 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 50 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Asian League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Asian League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x03f8…d85abacked Yes | 36c | 8,332$3,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,000 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Yes | 16c | 4,237$695 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$694.74 | 2,520 | 39.8%1,002 W · 1,518 L | -21.2wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd9f9…0eaabacked Yes | 18c | 1,548$279 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$278.66 | 38 | 23.7%9 W · 29 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb946…2671backed Yes | 14c | 1,521$213 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$212.97 | 18 | 27.8%5 W · 13 L | -0.8wins | -0.04per pick | 32cpaid | +22.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xec92…6b59backed Yes | 14c | 1,500$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$210 | 34 | 41.2%14 W · 20 L | +1.7wins | +0.05per pick | 36cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf12d…0fddbacked Yes | 21c | 973.18$201 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200.78 | 14 | 14.3%2 W · 12 L | -2.4wins | -0.17per pick | 31cpaid | -69%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Yes | 14c | 924.96$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130.4 | 935 | 35.2%329 W · 606 L | -21.8wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -33%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed No | 72c | 800.67$577 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$223.34 | 2,456 | 37.9%931 W · 1,525 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x31f3…0eacbacked Yes | 12c | 718.74$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.81 | 88 | 43.2%38 W · 50 L | -2.3wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfb25…f7f3backed Yes | 47c | 629.79$294 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$293.81 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf16d…b7f9backed No | 75c | 542$406 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$136.36 | 52 | 40.4%21 W · 31 L | +3.9wins | +0.08per pick | 33cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed Yes | 41c | 406.85$167 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$167.2 | 471 | 55.8%263 W · 208 L | +12.3wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed No | 79c | 356.58$280 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.54 | 968 | 46.1%446 W · 522 L | +6.3wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4f0f…e25fbacked Yes | 17c | 311.76$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53 | 26 | 11.5%3 W · 23 L | -5.4wins | -0.21per pick | 32cpaid | -70.3%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…4511backed No | 78c | 293.05$229 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.68 | 1,080 | 41.7%450 W · 630 L | -15.0wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x25c7…9179backed Yes | 39c | 217.49$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.47 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -1.2wins | -0.13per pick | 35cpaid | -22.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x425b…dbfdbacked Yes | 17c | 200$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -2.2wins | -0.25per pick | 36cpaid | -78.6%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked No | 55c | 197.92$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.52 | 1,319 | 56.7%748 W · 571 L | +64.8wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc46e…9ed8backed Yes | 13c | 192.3$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 45 | 28.9%13 W · 32 L | -3.3wins | -0.07per pick | 36cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7a49…d9f5backed No | 62c | 183.14$113 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.86 | 843 | 47.7%402 W · 441 L | +15.0wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed No | 65c | 170.67$111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.73 | 1,235 | 49.9%616 W · 619 L | +9.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4d23…fcdfbacked Yes | 36c | 163.61$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.9 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.36per pick | 36cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x73a2…3b68backed Yes | 35c | 153.84$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.84 | 30 | 60%18 W · 12 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +18.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc718…64a8backed No | 70c | 142.5$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.95 | 304 | 64.8%197 W · 107 L | +6.1wins | +0.02per pick | 63cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5f56…348abacked No | 50c | 123$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.01 | 99 | 42.4%42 W · 57 L | -6.1wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -32.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x222b…1a8dbacked Yes | 19c | 112.04$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.63 | 188 | 51.6%97 W · 91 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbe8b…5e62backed Yes | 36c | 111.11$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1633…1e55backed Yes | 17c | 99.98$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | +0.3wins | +0.05per pick | 24cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb46…56e7backed Yes | 13c | 96.15$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.5 | 47 | 44.7%21 W · 26 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +24%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe09…7acebacked No | 65c | 86.09$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.19 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.14per pick | 54cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x13e4…8b89backed No | 68c | 82.97$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.95 | 22 | 59.1%13 W · 9 L | +2.6wins | +0.12per pick | 47cpaid | +39.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3555…ba40backed No | 72c | 77$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.85 | 24 | 58.3%14 W · 10 L | +1.6wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x86a0…bb4ebacked No | 80c | 62.65$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.66 | 22 | 54.5%12 W · 10 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed No | 62c | 60$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.8 | 820 | 53.8%441 W · 379 L | +25.2wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked No | 49c | 52.81$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.69 | 1,035 | 41.6%431 W · 604 L | -33.5wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x478a…8786backed Yes | 20c | 51$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x587b…2622backed No | 73c | 46.4$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.53 | 488 | 67.8%331 W · 157 L | +68.5wins | +0.14per pick | 54cpaid | +36.8%equal weight | 65+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xbe53…2dbabacked Yes | 63c | 40$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.34 | 77 | 62.3%48 W · 29 L | -3.5wins | -0.05per pick | 67cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf9e2…bd26backed Yes | 34c | 38.46$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.11 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.34per pick | 34cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked No | 54c | 38$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.36 | 729 | 44.2%322 W · 407 L | -29.8wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed No | 76c | 35.01$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.47 | 738 | 50.3%371 W · 367 L | -2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5707…7bd4backed No | 62c | 30.76$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.69 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.38per pick | 62cpaid | +61.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbe0c…c0cdbacked No | 54c | 27.78$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.78 | 29 | 31%9 W · 20 L | -4.5wins | -0.16per pick | 47cpaid | -34.1%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked No | 53c | 26$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.26 | 593 | 42.5%252 W · 341 L | -28.9wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed No | 78c | 25$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.47 | 1,522 | 54.9%835 W · 687 L | +5.9wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd7f9…29a9backed No | 77c | 23$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.2 | 154 | 70.8%109 W · 45 L | +16.1wins | +0.10per pick | 60cpaid | +13.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x46cb…08debacked No | 64c | 20$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.2 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.08per pick | 59cpaid | +15%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x967b…46babacked No | 58c | 20$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.4 | 23 | 52.2%12 W · 11 L | -1.2wins | -0.05per pick | 57cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x26d6…caccbacked No | 76c | 17.72$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.2 | 305 | 48.5%148 W · 157 L | -5.2wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd074…5a54backed No | 77c | 16$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.68 | 12 | 75%9 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 72cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Asian League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Wuhan San Zhen FC win on 2026-05-24?this page
- Will Shandong Taishan FC vs. Wuhan San Zhen FC end in a draw?Yes won
- Will Shandong Taishan FC win on 2026-05-24?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.