Premier League · resolved market
Leicester City FC vs. Millwall FC: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd9a3e282629643bd4f9d4e46e04192f0ffece4a8768757e1560499447ef94439
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $41,513
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $44,398
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $41,513 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 54 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 79c | 12,000$9,435 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,564.97 | 4,696 | 41.7%1,957 W · 2,739 L | +21.8wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x74d0…de45backed Over | 22c | 11,154$2,501 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,501.42 | 45 | 40%18 W · 27 L | -1.1wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x00a0…bf76backed Over | 38c | 3,288$1,249 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,249.44 | 37 | 35.1%13 W · 24 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Under | 65c | 3,088$1,999 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,089.14 | 755 | 42.3%319 W · 436 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 77c | 2,615$2,020 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$595.73 | 6,047 | 45.9%2,776 W · 3,271 L | -21.5wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd411…7a18backed Over | 13c | 1,750$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | +0.6wins | +0.05per pick | 18cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfd66…fb6dbacked Over | 29c | 1,499$435 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$434.61 | 118 | 28%33 W · 85 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 29cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x397e…3d84backed Over | 20c | 1,448$295 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$295.25 | 827 | 63%521 W · 306 L | +113.2wins | +0.14per pick | 49cpaid | +41.9%equal weight | 65+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Under | 79c | 1,406$1,116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$289.7 | 578 | 47.8%276 W · 302 L | +18.8wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Over | 12c | 1,216$146 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145.87 | 953 | 32.5%310 W · 643 L | -8.3wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x422c…9840backed Over | 20c | 952$190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$190.4 | 49 | 38.8%19 W · 30 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…4511backed Over | 12c | 860.85$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.67 | 697 | 42.5%296 W · 401 L | +13.4wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Under | 76c | 744.4$566 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$178.02 | 1,409 | 44.5%627 W · 782 L | -6.0wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1399…48c8backed Over | 50c | 732$366 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$366 | 140 | 55%77 W · 63 L | +18.4wins | +0.13per pick | 42cpaid | +29.5%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x0def…4ddbbacked Under | 47c | 484.1$228 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$256.57 | 36 | 55.6%20 W · 16 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Under | 74c | 452.37$337 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115.38 | 1,923 | 42.4%815 W · 1,108 L | -42.9wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xef18…4d70backed Over | 55c | 361.8$199 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$198.99 | 193 | 56%108 W · 85 L | +21.4wins | +0.11per pick | 45cpaid | +24.8%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xd60c…2b06backed Over | 55c | 341.8$188 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$187.99 | 186 | 51.6%96 W · 90 L | +13.3wins | +0.07per pick | 44cpaid | +13.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x20dc…f74cbacked Over | 22c | 339.02$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.28 | 45 | 40%18 W · 27 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Under | 47c | 334.93$158 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$177.35 | 964 | 45.4%438 W · 526 L | +12.2wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d25…5529backed Under | 49c | 238.8$117 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$121.79 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | +0.9wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Under | 49c | 191.62$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.49 | 740 | 56.9%421 W · 319 L | +46.2wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6619…703ebacked Over | 56c | 191.24$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.1 | 321 | 64.5%207 W · 114 L | -9.1wins | -0.03per pick | 67cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xee43…ae9dbacked Over | 58c | 187.68$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.18 | 21 | 57.1%12 W · 9 L | -1.7wins | -0.08per pick | 65cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc02a…b43fbacked Over | 30c | 170$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51 | 43 | 48.8%21 W · 22 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8796…c744backed Over | 46c | 149.01$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.54 | 29 | 41.4%12 W · 17 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Over | 33c | 137.6$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.03 | 1,615 | 34.9%564 W · 1,051 L | -28.7wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x02bc…1fd2backed Under | 46c | 99.98$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.99 | 157 | 38.9%61 W · 96 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ba…4028backed Over | 44c | 96.64$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.52 | 596 | 45.5%271 W · 325 L | +3.8wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x86a6…1b3ebacked Over | 22c | 92.12$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.36 | 64 | 42.2%27 W · 37 L | -2.7wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0dca…a234backed Over | 17c | 83.95$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.26 | 18 | 16.7%3 W · 15 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 19cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb1a1…ea66backed Under | 46c | 78.88$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.59 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -0.6wins | -0.07per pick | 41cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2f26…0d8fbacked Under | 45c | 72.76$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.02 | 188 | 42.6%80 W · 108 L | -5.3wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6835…1976backed Under | 44c | 53.57$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 518 | 47.3%245 W · 273 L | +11.6wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd3e7…bf64backed Over | 52c | 52.86$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.49 | 135 | 54.8%74 W · 61 L | +3.3wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x51eb…6bfabacked Over | 56c | 52.16$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.21 | 279 | 55.9%156 W · 123 L | +6.9wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2c97…c20bbacked Under | 47c | 51.5$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.3 | 317 | 46.1%146 W · 171 L | -4.4wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9f28…d173backed Under | 71c | 50.93$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.88 | 58 | 55.2%32 W · 26 L | -4.3wins | -0.07per pick | 63cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x54e1…9de8backed Under | 75c | 44.71$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.22 | 25 | 48%12 W · 13 L | -2.0wins | -0.08per pick | 56cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5a91…7ebabacked Over | 56c | 43.63$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.34 | 83 | 62.7%52 W · 31 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 63cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under | 43c | 41.69$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.91 | 2,530 | 47.7%1,206 W · 1,324 L | +43.2wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7bd6…3039backed Over | 46c | 40.64$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.69 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -36.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5930…51d2backed Under | 64c | 38.22$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.76 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.43per pick | 57cpaid | +78.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0d20…f812backed Over | 58c | 33.61$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.5 | 357 | 43.1%154 W · 203 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe497…2b89backed Over | 58c | 33.61$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.5 | 51 | 47.1%24 W · 27 L | -1.6wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Over | 53c | 32.36$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.15 | 584 | 46.1%269 W · 315 L | -12.7wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x239d…daebbacked Under | 44c | 28.99$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.24 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x030d…8e95backed Over | 61c | 28.04$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.01 | 54 | 57.4%31 W · 23 L | +3.7wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +20.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc353…30a8backed Under | 47c | 27.46$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.55 | 46 | 34.8%16 W · 30 L | -3.9wins | -0.08per pick | 43cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4ec3…34a7backed Over | 51c | 26.21$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.37 | 78 | 51.3%40 W · 38 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d1d…afd2backed Over | 54c | 24.36$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.16 | 406 | 55.2%224 W · 182 L | +12.9wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa4e8…ff03backed Over | 54c | 24.16$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.16 | 79 | 60.8%48 W · 31 L | +3.0wins | +0.04per pick | 57cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfb51…082dbacked Over | 55c | 23.94$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.16 | 300 | 57%171 W · 129 L | +7.1wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9a81…9070backed Under | 80c | 13.02$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.62 | 43 | 55.8%24 W · 19 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Leicester City FC vs. Millwall FC: O/U 2.5this page
- Leicester City FC vs. Millwall FC: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Leicester City FC vs. Millwall FC: O/U 1.5Over won
- Leicester City FC vs. Millwall FC: O/U 3.5Under won
- Spread: Leicester City FC (-1.5)Millwall FC won
- Spread: Millwall FC (-1.5)Leicester City FC won
- Spread: Millwall FC (-2.5)Leicester City FC won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.