Premier League · resolved market
Spread: Millwall FC (-1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd0236775d2633979a239adecbf6a52d3277ac655f0599fe3e58ac63e74fbef30
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Leicester City FCof Millwall FC, Leicester City FC
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $10,790
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $11,072
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $10,790 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 53 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Leicester City FC | 79c | 3,008$2,370 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$638.09 | 6,117 | 45.8%2,803 W · 3,314 L | -28.6wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Millwall FC | 31c | 2,051$632 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$632.19 | 4,768 | 41.8%1,993 W · 2,775 L | +28.2wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe1a6…d584backed Leicester City FC | 68c | 1,750$1,190 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$560 | 152 | 55.9%85 W · 67 L | +3.3wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee19…555ebacked Leicester City FC | 69c | 1,543$1,068 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$474.89 | 56 | 58.9%33 W · 23 L | +4.9wins | +0.09per pick | 50cpaid | +18.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x397e…3d84backed Millwall FC | 35c | 606.68$212 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$212.34 | 827 | 63%521 W · 306 L | +113.2wins | +0.14per pick | 49cpaid | +41.9%equal weight | 65+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xc61d…3933backed Millwall FC | 16c | 593.5$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.96 | 122 | 40.2%49 W · 73 L | +2.5wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8d88…1e28backed Millwall FC | 15c | 475.96$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.93 | 131 | 32.1%42 W · 89 L | +3.6wins | +0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4844…32c9backed Millwall FC | 31c | 464.12$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$143.79 | 78 | 47.4%37 W · 41 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…4511backed Millwall FC | 10c | 410.4$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.04 | 724 | 42.7%309 W · 415 L | +15.0wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Millwall FC | 28c | 331.49$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.82 | 604 | 45.4%274 W · 330 L | -15.9wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb046…857cbacked Millwall FC | 30c | 322.97$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.12 | 73 | 43.8%32 W · 41 L | +4.1wins | +0.06per pick | 38cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Leicester City FC | 65c | 293.7$191 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.79 | 966 | 45.4%439 W · 527 L | +12.4wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8796…c744backed Millwall FC | 27c | 277$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.79 | 29 | 41.4%12 W · 17 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbd14…76b4backed Millwall FC | 29c | 243.25$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.54 | 56 | 42.9%24 W · 32 L | -3.7wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7841…7273backed Millwall FC | 23c | 219.77$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.55 | 137 | 27.7%38 W · 99 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 27cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Leicester City FC | 65c | 203.29$132 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.15 | 1,044 | 33.3%348 W · 696 L | -7.6wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Leicester City FC | 70c | 180.1$126 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.87 | 2,558 | 47.7%1,221 W · 1,337 L | +44.2wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Millwall FC | 31c | 159.98$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.11 | 598 | 47.7%285 W · 313 L | +18.7wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9787…37dfbacked Millwall FC | 30c | 159.67$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.9 | 50 | 32%16 W · 34 L | -4.0wins | -0.08per pick | 40cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5f22…0fb4backed Millwall FC | 32c | 149.88$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.96 | 125 | 43.2%54 W · 71 L | -6.9wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -19%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdd80…5ef4backed Millwall FC | 32c | 149.88$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.96 | 76 | 35.5%27 W · 49 L | -8.0wins | -0.11per pick | 46cpaid | -30.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2d25…5529backed Leicester City FC | 75c | 149.46$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.36 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | +0.9wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb408…e303backed Millwall FC | 31c | 123.69$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.34 | 56 | 48.2%27 W · 29 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Millwall FC | 25c | 122.78$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.08 | 410 | 21.7%89 W · 321 L | -54.8wins | -0.13per pick | 35cpaid | -49.6%equal weight | 36-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Millwall FC | 13c | 112.93$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.04 | 515 | 16.1%83 W · 432 L | -49.9wins | -0.10per pick | 26cpaid | -38.6%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x8f2e…caf6backed Leicester City FC | 69c | 107.76$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.41 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +1.5wins | +0.19per pick | 44cpaid | +66.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6508…1077backed Millwall FC | 26c | 99.99$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 125 | 32.8%41 W · 84 L | -10.6wins | -0.08per pick | 41cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2f26…0d8fbacked Leicester City FC | 65c | 96.95$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.93 | 188 | 42.6%80 W · 108 L | -5.3wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Millwall FC | 29c | 93.29$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.37 | 1,938 | 42.5%823 W · 1,115 L | -41.5wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf02f…1ed8backed Leicester City FC | 70c | 88.13$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.34 | 323 | 45.2%146 W · 177 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc9db…6789backed Millwall FC | 33c | 82.95$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.12 | 36 | 72.2%26 W · 10 L | +10.9wins | +0.30per pick | 42cpaid | +99.7%equal weight | 70+0.18 edge/pick |
| 0x7bd6…3039backed Millwall FC | 30c | 80.19$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.85 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -36.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9857…a505backed Millwall FC | 18c | 77.75$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.32 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | +0.6wins | +0.06per pick | 5cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d5f…1171backed Millwall FC | 32c | 67.95$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.74 | 220 | 57.7%127 W · 93 L | +4.2wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5d1d…afd2backed Leicester City FC | 70c | 67.48$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.94 | 406 | 55.2%224 W · 182 L | +12.9wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1d6a…8bbcbacked Millwall FC | 31c | 61.54$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.08 | 27 | 51.9%14 W · 13 L | +2.6wins | +0.09per pick | 42cpaid | +14%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x234b…f36dbacked Leicester City FC | 68c | 61.46$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.67 | 91 | 54.9%50 W · 41 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked Leicester City FC | 67c | 52.91$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.24 | 504 | 50%252 W · 252 L | +19.8wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2ddd…73b2backed Leicester City FC | 71c | 49.79$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.44 | 97 | 57.7%56 W · 41 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa4e8…ff03backed Leicester City FC | 71c | 49.79$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.44 | 79 | 60.8%48 W · 31 L | +3.0wins | +0.04per pick | 57cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd5bb…0fe1backed Leicester City FC | 71c | 49.79$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.44 | 202 | 59.9%121 W · 81 L | +13.0wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfb51…082dbacked Leicester City FC | 71c | 49.79$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.44 | 300 | 57%171 W · 129 L | +7.1wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Leicester City FC | 70c | 47.49$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.25 | 1,409 | 44.5%627 W · 782 L | -6.0wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfb61…25e3backed Millwall FC | 29c | 39.62$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.49 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 25cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x22da…2866backed Millwall FC | 32c | 34.53$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.93 | 284 | 56.7%161 W · 123 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9f28…d173backed Leicester City FC | 71c | 29.99$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.7 | 58 | 55.2%32 W · 26 L | -4.3wins | -0.07per pick | 63cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe697…708fbacked Leicester City FC | 67c | 22.65$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.47 | 189 | 61.9%117 W · 72 L | +6.4wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | +8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd99a…1f3ebacked Leicester City FC | 71c | 22.14$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.42 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 63cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd7f9…29a9backed Leicester City FC | 80c | 20.03$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.06 | 245 | 57.6%141 W · 104 L | +13.3wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…7f72backed Leicester City FC | 68c | 20$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.4 | 34 | 64.7%22 W · 12 L | +2.2wins | +0.06per pick | 58cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2878…2e36backed Leicester City FC | 68c | 18.83$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.94 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.05per pick | 62cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaedd…ad5bbacked Leicester City FC | 68c | 15.27$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.94 | 52 | 59.6%31 W · 21 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb860…eda4backed Leicester City FC | 67c | 15$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.95 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -1.9wins | -0.16per pick | 58cpaid | -31.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Millwall FC (-1.5)this page
- Leicester City FC vs. Millwall FC: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Leicester City FC vs. Millwall FC: O/U 1.5Over won
- Leicester City FC vs. Millwall FC: O/U 2.5Under won
- Leicester City FC vs. Millwall FC: O/U 3.5Under won
- Spread: Leicester City FC (-1.5)Millwall FC won
- Spread: Millwall FC (-2.5)Leicester City FC won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.