Premier League · resolved market
Leicester City FC vs. Millwall FC: O/U 1.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x4aadcf7f4984ed161ae396ec44a280f0d40f4db5388feb1a5e0b9f1eacbf90ba
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $44,189
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $50,475
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $44,189 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 74 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xfd66…fb6dbacked Over | 24c | 3,982$957 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,025 | 118 | 28%33 W · 85 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 29cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 69c | 3,284$2,277 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,277.11 | 6,117 | 45.8%2,803 W · 3,314 L | -28.6wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3f8e…5417backed Over | 79c | 2,570$2,024 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$546.06 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.31per pick | 69cpaid | +46.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Under | 46c | 1,841$855 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$855.07 | 768 | 42.6%327 W · 441 L | +4.2wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Under | 32c | 1,314$418 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$418.15 | 1,012 | 33.2%336 W · 676 L | -6.1wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa557…5e8abacked Under | 1c | 1,200$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 93 | 3.2%3 W · 90 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 3cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1fa1…1fa9backed Over | 18c | 999.98$180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$819.98 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +0.4wins | +0.06per pick | 27cpaid | +59.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under | 20c | 862.65$175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$175.04 | 2,550 | 47.8%1,218 W · 1,332 L | +45.2wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Under | 21c | 804.02$169 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$168.84 | 594 | 45.5%270 W · 324 L | -15.8wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x20dc…f74cbacked Over | 50c | 776$388 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$388 | 45 | 40%18 W · 27 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Under | 59c | 735.69$432 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$432.44 | 592 | 47.6%282 W · 310 L | +18.4wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x74d0…de45backed Over | 43c | 633.97$272 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$362.09 | 45 | 40%18 W · 27 L | -1.1wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbd14…76b4backed Under | 22c | 616.41$136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135.61 | 56 | 42.9%24 W · 32 L | -3.7wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7203…795abacked Over | 23c | 554.76$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$424.77 | 81 | 59.3%48 W · 33 L | +6.7wins | +0.08per pick | 51cpaid | +22.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1399…48c8backed Over | 74c | 494.5$366 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$128.57 | 140 | 55%77 W · 63 L | +18.4wins | +0.13per pick | 42cpaid | +29.5%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Over | 49c | 445.48$220 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$225.61 | 966 | 45.4%439 W · 527 L | +12.4wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd871…6bbabacked Over | 43c | 432.84$186 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$246.72 | 39 | 53.8%21 W · 18 L | +3.0wins | +0.08per pick | 46cpaid | +19.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc686…5a55backed Over | 47c | 381.1$179 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$201.98 | 236 | 32.2%76 W · 160 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f26…0d8fbacked Over | 47c | 317.26$148 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$169.67 | 188 | 42.6%80 W · 108 L | -5.3wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc02a…b43fbacked Over | 50c | 300$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150 | 43 | 48.8%21 W · 22 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xef18…4d70backed Over | 74c | 268.9$199 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.91 | 193 | 56%108 W · 85 L | +21.4wins | +0.11per pick | 45cpaid | +24.8%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Under | 30c | 263.2$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.27 | 1,662 | 34.9%580 W · 1,082 L | -32.0wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd60c…2b06backed Over | 74c | 254$188 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.04 | 188 | 51.6%97 W · 91 L | +13.2wins | +0.07per pick | 45cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8d88…1e28backed Under | 20c | 245.63$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.75 | 131 | 32.1%42 W · 89 L | +3.6wins | +0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x86a6…1b3ebacked Under | 26c | 242.58$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.07 | 64 | 42.2%27 W · 37 L | -2.7wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3982…2befbacked Under | 79c | 241.66$191 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$190.87 | 240 | 52.9%127 W · 113 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf1da…23a3backed Under | 23c | 217.72$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.07 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | +24.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x85d8…3cbebacked Over | 47c | 206$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$109.18 | 222 | 42.8%95 W · 127 L | -5.6wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8582…959fbacked Over | 47c | 206$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$109.18 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 55c | 201.16$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111.12 | 4,744 | 41.8%1,983 W · 2,761 L | +28.2wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…4511backed Over | 36c | 196.2$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$125.31 | 721 | 42.7%308 W · 413 L | +15.2wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb262…9b98backed Over | 55c | 176.91$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.61 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | -0.7wins | -0.06per pick | 64cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x62cc…f56fbacked Over | 46c | 157.76$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.19 | 40 | 47.5%19 W · 21 L | +1.8wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf38c…d9f2backed Over | 54c | 144.43$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.02 | 177 | 45.2%80 W · 97 L | -7.6wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5b6b…ec86backed Over | 30c | 134.12$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.88 | 22 | 31.8%7 W · 15 L | +1.1wins | +0.05per pick | 27cpaid | +46.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa93e…0a8cbacked Under | 75c | 133.32$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.99 | 79 | 54.4%43 W · 36 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8725…4806backed Under | 66c | 106.4$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.13 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -3.1wins | -0.26per pick | 51cpaid | -48%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xaab6…607ebacked Under | 20c | 99.99$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.5 | 396 | 51.5%204 W · 192 L | -7.1wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ba…4028backed Over | 72c | 98.32$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.53 | 596 | 45.5%271 W · 325 L | +3.8wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x85c3…700cbacked Over | 44c | 98.05$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.86 | 18 | 77.8%14 W · 4 L | +3.6wins | +0.20per pick | 58cpaid | +36.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x97b2…1c44backed Over | 50c | 96.97$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.96 | 78 | 50%39 W · 39 L | -4.6wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0040…9eb8backed Over | 45c | 96.7$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.19 | 144 | 63.9%92 W · 52 L | +9.8wins | +0.07per pick | 57cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf02f…1ed8backed Under | 76c | 94.66$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.94 | 323 | 45.2%146 W · 177 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1df5…1e18backed Over | 79c | 89.09$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.3 | 84 | 45.2%38 W · 46 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5fa5…63afbacked Under | 52c | 74.71$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.85 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.17per pick | 50cpaid | +40.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked Under | 70c | 72.8$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.96 | 489 | 50.1%245 W · 244 L | +18.8wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8a3d…316cbacked Over | 46c | 66$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.64 | 112 | 48.2%54 W · 58 L | -1.9wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8393…f0aebacked Under | 20c | 62.26$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.45 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | -1.8wins | -0.12per pick | 43cpaid | -54.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0d20…f812backed Over | 44c | 54.91$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.75 | 357 | 43.1%154 W · 203 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0664…f7f0backed Under | 23c | 53.54$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.31 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -26.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5d1d…afd2backed Over | 79c | 53.01$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.13 | 406 | 55.2%224 W · 182 L | +12.9wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfb51…082dbacked Over | 80c | 52.56$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.67 | 300 | 57%171 W · 129 L | +7.1wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x31d4…5c13backed Over | 47c | 51.5$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.3 | 33 | 24.2%8 W · 25 L | -6.8wins | -0.21per pick | 45cpaid | -48.2%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x7a39…1a00backed Under | 26c | 47.78$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.42 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | +0.7wins | +0.06per pick | 30cpaid | +42.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5a91…7ebabacked Over | 79c | 43.62$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.06 | 83 | 62.7%52 W · 31 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 63cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2f2b…d743backed Over | 45c | 42.98$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.64 | 72 | 33.3%24 W · 48 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa64f…e598backed Under | 55c | 40.86$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.43 | 25 | 68%17 W · 8 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 66cpaid | +15.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2831…e84dbacked Over | 52c | 40$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.2 | 24 | 50%12 W · 12 L | -1.4wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3092…c9a8backed Under | 77c | 38.5$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.64 | 16 | 62.5%10 W · 6 L | +1.0wins | +0.06per pick | 56cpaid | +65.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x34ac…0508backed Over | 47c | 38.36$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.33 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.17per pick | 50cpaid | +21.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x961a…e91cbacked Over | 69c | 35.56$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.02 | 49 | 63.3%31 W · 18 L | +6.3wins | +0.13per pick | 50cpaid | +31.7%equal weight | 59+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xb6d2…d67bbacked Over | 47c | 34.75$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.42 | 129 | 54.3%70 W · 59 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6562…4e48backed Over | 46c | 31.26$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.75 | 252 | 56%141 W · 111 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9f28…d173backed Under | 68c | 30.69$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.88 | 58 | 55.2%32 W · 26 L | -4.3wins | -0.07per pick | 63cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Over | 52c | 30$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.4 | 226 | 44.2%100 W · 126 L | +12.4wins | +0.05per pick | 39cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3b7f…7aecbacked Over | 37c | 29.99$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.89 | 61 | 37.7%23 W · 38 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x22da…2866backed Over | 46c | 25.9$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.99 | 284 | 56.7%161 W · 123 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd5bb…0fe1backed Over | 80c | 24.7$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.94 | 202 | 59.9%121 W · 81 L | +13.0wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x29a5…a3c4backed Over | 59c | 24$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.84 | 158 | 58.2%92 W · 66 L | +10.5wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4ec3…34a7backed Over | 75c | 20.83$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.22 | 78 | 51.3%40 W · 38 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd7f9…29a9backed Under | 66c | 19.92$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.12 | 245 | 57.6%141 W · 104 L | +13.3wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2754…1668backed Under | 70c | 18.51$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.97 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -1.2wins | -0.09per pick | 55cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x32b5…b692backed Under | 76c | 16.44$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.49 | 74 | 44.6%33 W · 41 L | -2.9wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc9e7…c067backed Over | 79c | 15.8$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.32 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 71cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Leicester City FC vs. Millwall FC: O/U 1.5this page
- Leicester City FC vs. Millwall FC: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Leicester City FC vs. Millwall FC: O/U 2.5Under won
- Leicester City FC vs. Millwall FC: O/U 3.5Under won
- Spread: Leicester City FC (-1.5)Millwall FC won
- Spread: Millwall FC (-1.5)Leicester City FC won
- Spread: Millwall FC (-2.5)Leicester City FC won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.