TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

La Liga · resolved market

UD Almería vs. CD Castellón: O/U 2.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$196,357
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$197,280

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $196,357 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 115 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in La Liga
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xf0f7…0c5abacked Under43c143,369$61,649 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$61,648.678351.8%43 W · 40 L+4.1wins+0.05per pick47cpaid+8.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed Over57c55,636$31,831 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23,805.0799933.4%334 W · 665 L-7.7wins-0.01per pick34cpaid-21.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Over54c37,718$20,251 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17,466.214,74047%2,230 W · 2,510 L-23.9wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-10.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Over57c25,616$14,604 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11,012.332,34348.5%1,137 W · 1,206 L+1.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid-2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5d1d…afd2backed Over57c9,378$5,326 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,051.3940357.1%230 W · 173 L+7.6wins+0.02per pick55cpaid+2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1c66…e371backed Over57c8,458$4,821 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,636.669167%61 W · 30 L+8.5wins+0.09per pick58cpaid+13.7%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xa85b…eb0ebacked Over57c6,268$3,573 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,694.7916660.8%101 W · 65 L+10.3wins+0.06per pick55cpaid+10.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Over34c4,998$1,704 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,294.031,41945.6%647 W · 772 L-9.9wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-18.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8987…02f3backed Under44c4,369$1,930 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,930.454959.2%29 W · 20 L-1.7wins-0.03per pick63cpaid-0.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x86fb…03d4backed Over57c4,057$2,312 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,744.3422455.8%125 W · 99 L-1.7wins-0.01per pick57cpaid-3.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3b4e…a24abacked Over50c2,529$1,264 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,264.34366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.22per pick44cpaid+54.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Under68c2,519$1,700 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,700.4268450.6%346 W · 338 L+15.9wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+3.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1d16…212ebacked Over50c2,500$1,250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,250.072100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.52per pick48cpaid+109.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x6ef5…fc37backed Under43c2,318$997 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$996.88425%1 W · 3 L-0.7wins-0.18per pick43cpaid-53.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xf658…655ebacked Under63c2,066$1,300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,3006858.8%40 W · 28 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick58cpaid+2.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc4db…7e0cbacked Over55c1,997$1,099 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$898.8111753.8%63 W · 54 L+9.4wins+0.08per pick46cpaid+18.2%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xe706…89bcbacked Over42c1,419$589 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$829.821827.8%5 W · 13 L-2.9wins-0.16per pick44cpaid-40.9%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x7d06…755bbacked Under43c1,188$507 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$506.531361.5%8 W · 5 L+1.5wins+0.12per pick50cpaid+3.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xa623…a4febacked Over57c1,111$633 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$477.7322446%103 W · 121 L-8.0wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-15.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x7d0c…a3b7backed Over57c1,032$585 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$446.931,08150.6%547 W · 534 L+11.7wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6b94…b660backed Over50c1,000$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5003100%3 W · 0 L+1.6wins+0.54per pick46cpaid+134%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xf802…d91dbacked Under34c988.25$334 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$333.694862.5%30 W · 18 L+2.9wins+0.06per pick56cpaid+11.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x224a…a3d5backed Over56c915.19$513 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$402.343268.8%22 W · 10 L+4.2wins+0.13per pick56cpaid+26.9%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x51eb…6bfabacked Over53c880.14$466 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$413.6720857.7%120 W · 88 L+2.1wins+0.01per pick57cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1b9c…8620backed Under43c786.02$340 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3401442.9%6 W · 8 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-20.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7a7a…7f10backed Under62c757.61$473 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47330%0 W · 3 L-1.7wins-0.58per pick58cpaid-100%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xa6cd…acebbacked Under60c740.7$444 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$444.4220%0 W · 2 L-1.4wins-0.68per pick68cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xa54d…deb8backed Under50c585.42$293 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$292.712850%14 W · 14 L-1.2wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-9.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb8c4…7385backed Under44c539.41$237 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$237.3414647.9%70 W · 76 L+11.6wins+0.08per pick40cpaid+17.1%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x6190…5d90backed Under42c519.19$218 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$218.062161.9%13 W · 8 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick60cpaid+5.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7736…6f6abacked Over51c470.59$240 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$230.59666.7%4 W · 2 L+1.9wins+0.32per pick34cpaid+105.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xb209…b744backed Under5c453.36$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.0620%0 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1f62…76f6backed Over57c438$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$188.341,03848.1%499 W · 539 L+17.4wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+1.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd01c…7f9dbacked Over57c437.99$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$188.3489050%445 W · 445 L+24.8wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+3.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7210…521fbacked Over58c399.51$232 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$167.791973.7%14 W · 5 L+3.3wins+0.18per pick56cpaid+21.7%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0xbd1f…9136backed Under50c372$186 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18640%0 W · 4 L-2.3wins-0.58per pick58cpaid-100%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xd473…3febbacked Under62c350$217 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2177447.3%35 W · 39 L-6.4wins-0.09per pick56cpaid-14.2%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xa90b…5ca7backed Over65c308.36$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$108.364100%4 W · 0 L+1.3wins+0.32per pick68cpaid+47%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Over30c300.67$90 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$210.4783444.6%372 W · 462 L+14.9wins+0.02per pick43cpaid+7.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2b35…0bfebacked Over54c298.93$161 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$137.5118653.8%100 W · 86 L+1.7wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+2.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x234b…f36dbacked Over57c287.21$164 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$123.58961.8%55 W · 34 L+1.5wins+0.02per pick60cpaid+4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xf429…969ebacked Over64c277.62$179 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$98.943351.5%17 W · 16 L+2.7wins+0.08per pick43cpaid+13.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x9958…b9acbacked Over55c264.22$145 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$119.142766.7%18 W · 9 L+1.3wins+0.05per pick62cpaid+10.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x09ee…90a4backed Over58c256$148 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$107.52580%4 W · 1 L+1.0wins+0.19per pick61cpaid+38.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x90c6…52bcbacked Over50c254$127 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1271100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8328…e5ebbacked Over57c232.3$132 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$99.892373.9%17 W · 6 L+2.9wins+0.13per pick61cpaid+17.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x8968…c3c1backed Over57c230.44$131 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$99.099054.4%49 W · 41 L-0.4wins0.00per pick55cpaid-4.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x160b…4296backed Over56c222.89$125 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$98.0750449.8%251 W · 253 L+7.5wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-0.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x07e2…6099backed Under44c222.89$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$98.0710%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.44per pick44cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9fe2…6829backed Under56c220$123 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$123.22972.4%21 W · 8 L+1.7wins+0.06per pick67cpaid+4.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x0d5f…1171backed Over57c214.29$122 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$92.1422557.3%129 W · 96 L-2.9wins-0.01per pick59cpaid-5.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x60ee…45cebacked Under37c208.65$77 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$76.9410%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.37per pick37cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x2d25…5529backed Under34c200$68 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$682626.9%7 W · 19 L-4.6wins-0.18per pick45cpaid-48.8%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xac24…576ebacked Over41c200$82 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1183043.3%13 W · 17 L-3.3wins-0.11per pick54cpaid-24.2%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x2ea6…428abacked Under56c178.4$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100560%3 W · 2 L+0.3wins+0.05per pick55cpaid+24.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x776f…32b7backed Under69c178.26$123 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12310%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.69per pick69cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa178…11a2backed Over56c160.71$90 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$70.7122450.4%113 W · 111 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-1.7%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xdf3f…1365backed Over55c154.55$85 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$69.551100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.45per pick55cpaid+81.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x23bc…5487backed Over57c141.07$81 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$60.579758.8%57 W · 40 L+4.3wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+4.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x55e3…b615backed Under44c136.36$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60333.3%1 W · 2 L0.0wins+0.01per pick33cpaid-18.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa209…ffbebacked Over46c124.62$57 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$67.143151.6%16 W · 15 L+1.6wins+0.05per pick46cpaid-0.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2c1a…42d8backed Under44c119.57$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52.385832.8%19 W · 39 L-1.7wins-0.03per pick36cpaid-13.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf021…e900backed Over50c117.06$59 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58.532657.7%15 W · 11 L+3.6wins+0.14per pick44cpaid+48.6%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x1d50…d283backed Over54c116.01$62 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53.6712052.5%63 W · 57 L+7.9wins+0.07per pick46cpaid+8.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x6562…4e48backed Over63c114.18$72 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.519258.9%113 W · 79 L+4.6wins+0.02per pick56cpaid+1.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc220…5012backed Over61c111.13$68 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43.132100%2 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.47per pick53cpaid+91.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x77bc…b91bbacked Under45c105.67$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.611,65543.8%725 W · 930 L-22.5wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-15.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x55af…8407backed Under46c100$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46425%1 W · 3 L-0.9wins-0.22per pick47cpaid-53.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8935…7daabacked Under52c82.91$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42.9821546%99 W · 116 L-14.7wins-0.07per pick53cpaid-21.4%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xd8d9…1059backed Under43c81.86$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.23148.4%15 W · 16 L+1.7wins+0.05per pick43cpaid+18%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc718…64a8backed Over57c80.82$46 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.5719865.2%129 W · 69 L+5.9wins+0.03per pick62cpaid+0.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x250f…4fc6backed Over58c80$46 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.61450%7 W · 7 L+1.1wins+0.08per pick42cpaid-0.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3622…083dbacked Under50c78$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$393253.1%17 W · 15 L+3.0wins+0.09per pick44cpaid+5.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xd7f9…29a9backed Over55c78$43 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.7626154.4%142 W · 119 L-2.5wins-0.01per pick55cpaid-9.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4836…859bbacked Over57c70.34$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.072763%17 W · 10 L+2.9wins+0.11per pick52cpaid+25.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xafaf…572dbacked Over51c68.63$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.633033.3%10 W · 20 L-4.7wins-0.16per pick49cpaid-38.6%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xef3a…dc6bbacked Over50c65$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.55352.8%28 W · 25 L+3.1wins+0.06per pick47cpaid+16.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x95b4…7c3fbacked Over55c63.64$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.64450%2 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc378…5e4cbacked Over57c61.4$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.41100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.43per pick57cpaid+75.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Over35c58.17$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.81,50838.7%583 W · 925 L+12.4wins+0.01per pick38cpaid+0.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa71d…b325backed Under36c57.9$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.8710%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.36per pick36cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xaedd…ad5bbacked Over58c51.91$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.856770.1%47 W · 20 L+4.9wins+0.07per pick63cpaid+12.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xacee…afddbacked Over59c50.85$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.85366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.05per pick61cpaid-0.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x59dc…2a03backed Over50c50$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$253240.6%13 W · 19 L+1.4wins+0.04per pick36cpaid-3.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x1ff2…1c10backed Over53c47.49$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.52846.4%13 W · 15 L-1.8wins-0.06per pick53cpaid-9.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x7113…dba4backed Over51c47.27$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.2720441.7%85 W · 119 L-3.3wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-6.1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x84ad…bfb7backed Under43c46$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.7892345.5%420 W · 503 L-30.4wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-18.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x8f14…ca5abacked Over51c45.01$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.054100%4 W · 0 L+1.9wins+0.48per pick52cpaid+98.6%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x3d70…d0a6backed Under45c44.44$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$202161.9%13 W · 8 L+3.6wins+0.17per pick45cpaid+37.9%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x15ba…f30dbacked Over51c40$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.65644.6%25 W · 31 L+1.6wins+0.03per pick42cpaid+6.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc6c3…a6e8backed Over47c39.99$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.193652.8%19 W · 17 L+3.2wins+0.09per pick44cpaid+27.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x348c…c8efbacked Over57c38.42$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.52771.4%5 W · 2 L+0.4wins+0.05per pick66cpaid+12.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x36b3…e421backed Under43c36.64$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.765650%28 W · 28 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcee6…0a45backed Over57c35.5$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.2714856.8%84 W · 64 L-1.0wins-0.01per pick57cpaid-2.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9cb4…8285backed Over49c35.39$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.0574457.5%428 W · 316 L+22.4wins+0.03per pick55cpaid+1.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4676…b720backed Under37c35.16$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.991283.3%10 W · 2 L+2.6wins+0.22per pick62cpaid+30.3%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xb482…e138backed Over58c34.48$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.48366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.09per pick58cpaid+17%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe499…f953backed Over57c33.33$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.33475%3 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.14per pick61cpaid+34.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x200f…7a96backed Over57c32$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.621,56651.6%808 W · 758 L-8.8wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-0.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0249…5b4bbacked Under42c31.56$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.26850%4 W · 4 L+0.4wins+0.05per pick45cpaid-1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.