TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

La Liga · resolved market

UD Almería vs. CD Castellón: O/U 3.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$45,338
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$55,350

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $45,338 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 87 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in La Liga
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xb077…8fe8backed Over50c5,948$2,974 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,974.02862.5%5 W · 3 L+0.8wins+0.10per pick53cpaid+19.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed Over77c4,322$3,319 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,002.798833.4%330 W · 658 L-7.5wins-0.01per pick34cpaid-21%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Over32c2,915$932 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,983.111,49738.6%578 W · 919 L+12.4wins+0.01per pick38cpaid+1.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf658…655ebacked Under69c2,608$1,800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,8006858.8%40 W · 28 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick58cpaid+2.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x95d4…3c50backed Under32c2,110$675 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$674.5860%0 W · 6 L-2.2wins-0.36per pick36cpaid-100%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xf021…e900backed Under51c1,966$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,000.392657.7%15 W · 11 L+3.6wins+0.14per pick44cpaid+48.6%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Under51c1,903$963 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$963.344,72947.1%2,225 W · 2,504 L-24.0wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-10.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x40e8…88a4backed Under68c1,500$1,020 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0201963.2%12 W · 7 L-0.7wins-0.04per pick67cpaid-4.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2dde…592abacked Under78c1,282$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,00010%0 W · 1 L-0.8wins-0.78per pick78cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb693…cfc9backed Over51c1,150$586 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$563.51833.3%6 W · 12 L-2.9wins-0.16per pick49cpaid-44.7%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x1b9c…8620backed Under49c1,024$504 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$504.331442.9%6 W · 8 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-20.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xec57…0fa7backed Under2c833.32$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201435.7%5 W · 9 L+2.1wins+0.15per pick21cpaid+81.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x3bf5…2307backed Under47c797.96$377 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$376.97425%1 W · 3 L-1.1wins-0.27per pick52cpaid-56.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x74a3…3b73backed Under78c769.23$600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6004841.7%20 W · 28 L-3.1wins-0.06per pick48cpaid-9.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x6cf7…f420backed Under4c739.41$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.5810%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf429…969ebacked Over53c680$360 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$320.453351.5%17 W · 16 L+2.7wins+0.08per pick43cpaid+13.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x2104…82d7backed Under52c639.47$334 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$333.637865.4%51 W · 27 L+1.8wins+0.02per pick63cpaid+2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7a7a…7f10backed Under46c629.54$290 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$289.5930%0 W · 3 L-1.7wins-0.58per pick58cpaid-100%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x5839…2c33backed Over51c608$310 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$297.725957.6%34 W · 25 L+1.4wins+0.02per pick55cpaid+4.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x52d9…fb1abacked Over34c563.36$194 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$369.4941351.8%214 W · 199 L+17.9wins+0.04per pick47cpaid0%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x140e…cf85backed Under65c561.57$365 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$365.02933.3%3 W · 6 L-1.9wins-0.21per pick54cpaid-38.4%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Over23c551.75$128 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$423.4368050.4%343 W · 337 L+15.2wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+2.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc65a…2e83backed Under66c530.3$350 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3505139.2%20 W · 31 L+1.7wins+0.03per pick36cpaid+17%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xb209…b744backed Under3c500$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1520%0 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8eae…f9d1backed Over36c473.86$171 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$302.721100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.64per pick36cpaid+176.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xd202…1ef5backed Under6c416.66$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$251618.8%3 W · 13 L0.0wins0.00per pick19cpaid-60%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3b8d…6d3bbacked Under78c404.13$315 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$315333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.30per pick63cpaid-25.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x86a6…1b3ebacked Under50c347.84$174 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$173.925446.3%25 W · 29 L-1.6wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-10.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd871…6bbabacked Over50c300$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1505341.5%22 W · 31 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-14.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2c1a…42d8backed Over33c299.02$99 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$199.915832.8%19 W · 39 L-1.7wins-0.03per pick36cpaid-13.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3622…083dbacked Over51c291.75$149 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$143.043253.1%17 W · 15 L+3.0wins+0.09per pick44cpaid+5.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xdd11…ecd5backed Under65c284.62$185 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$185475%3 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.11per pick64cpaid+23%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Under67c276$185 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$184.9282844.8%371 W · 457 L+15.4wins+0.02per pick43cpaid+7.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7d0c…a3b7backed Under64c268.37$172 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$171.751,08150.6%547 W · 534 L+11.7wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9958…b9acbacked Over52c264.33$137 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$126.882766.7%18 W · 9 L+1.3wins+0.05per pick62cpaid+10.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf7f0…912cbacked Over37c240$89 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$151.212061.7%74 W · 46 L+12.5wins+0.10per pick51cpaid+29.7%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x4155…fa41backed Over51c202.54$103 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$99.246879.4%54 W · 14 L+14.7wins+0.22per pick58cpaid+44%equal weight68+0.16 edge/pick
0x4c1e…a29ebacked Under78c191.08$149 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$149.04666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.9wins+0.15per pick51cpaid+38.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2d25…5529backed Under51c182.82$93 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$93.242626.9%7 W · 19 L-4.6wins-0.18per pick45cpaid-48.8%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x160b…4296backed Under64c179.92$115 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$114.5150249.6%249 W · 253 L+6.6wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9fe2…6829backed Under78c171.42$133 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$133.412972.4%21 W · 8 L+1.7wins+0.06per pick67cpaid+4.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xac24…576ebacked Over53c168.25$90 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$78.613043.3%13 W · 17 L-3.3wins-0.11per pick54cpaid-24.2%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x1edb…a60bbacked Over37c161.08$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$101.482744.4%12 W · 15 L-1.1wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-12.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1399…48c8backed Over50c157.75$79 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$78.8812369.9%86 W · 37 L+29.7wins+0.24per pick46cpaid+69.5%equal weight72+0.20 edge/pick
0x77bc…b91bbacked Over40c143.25$57 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$85.751,65143.9%724 W · 927 L-21.6wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-15.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6de2…d0e5backed Under16c142.28$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.1610%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.16per pick16cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6bc0…af1abacked Over50c136.04$68 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$68.021353.8%7 W · 6 L+1.5wins+0.12per pick42cpaid+25.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xa1f4…2df9backed Under76c130.49$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.17862.5%5 W · 3 L-0.3wins-0.04per pick66cpaid-9.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa178…11a2backed Over58c120.69$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50.6922350.2%112 W · 111 L+0.9wins0.00per pick50cpaid-1.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc220…5012backed Over46c109.7$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$59.72100%2 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.47per pick53cpaid+91.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x2b35…0bfebacked Under63c100$63 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6318653.8%100 W · 86 L+1.7wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+2.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc582…853cbacked Under12c99.21$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.548510.6%9 W · 76 L-2.3wins-0.03per pick13cpaid+17%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8103…4d0abacked Over53c94.34$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.342646.2%12 W · 14 L+4.2wins+0.16per pick30cpaid+63%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x99f0…9495backed Over35c94.32$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61.317447.1%82 W · 92 L+10.8wins+0.06per pick41cpaid+11.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x1513…831abacked Under47c91.49$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$433164.5%20 W · 11 L+2.4wins+0.08per pick57cpaid+11.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x3a5a…3427backed Under75c90$68 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$67.86956.5%39 W · 30 L-5.7wins-0.08per pick65cpaid-14.5%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x8857…4b5bbacked Under64c76$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.642035%7 W · 13 L-2.6wins-0.13per pick48cpaid+12.7%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x3ee7…f36ebacked Under70c71.43$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$501963.2%12 W · 7 L-0.4wins-0.02per pick65cpaid-4.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x54d0…8e20backed Under58c69.54$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$401553.3%8 W · 7 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-18%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd60c…2b06backed Over23c68.09$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52.4317562.9%110 W · 65 L+32.1wins+0.18per pick45cpaid+64.6%equal weight68+0.16 edge/pick
0x5d1d…afd2backed Under68c67.99$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46.2340357.1%230 W · 173 L+7.6wins+0.02per pick55cpaid+2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xffc9…bf01backed Over32c60.84$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.374961.2%30 W · 19 L+2.8wins+0.06per pick56cpaid+6.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x472c…5ae2backed Over58c60$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.253171%22 W · 9 L+6.3wins+0.20per pick51cpaid+35.5%equal weight63+0.11 edge/pick
0x60f6…a196backed Under46c58.96$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.16616.7%1 W · 5 L-0.8wins-0.13per pick30cpaid+389.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x9cb4…8285backed Under54c54.87$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.7874457.5%428 W · 316 L+22.4wins+0.03per pick55cpaid+1.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x200f…7a96backed Under63c52.06$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.81,55951.6%804 W · 755 L-9.3wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-0.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x36d8…925dbacked Over49c51.02$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.021100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.51per pick49cpaid+104.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8193…8c82backed Over50c50$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$253540%14 W · 21 L-1.1wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-11.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe9aa…6628backed Over27c50$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.51100%1 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.73per pick27cpaid+270.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x95b4…7c3fbacked Over55c49.18$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.18450%2 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x56c6…3755backed Under77c46.95$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3630%0 W · 3 L-2.3wins-0.75per pick75cpaid-100%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x7a18…a0f3backed Under65c46.15$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3010%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.65per pick65cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x0d5f…1171backed Under49c46.08$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.5822357%127 W · 96 L-3.5wins-0.02per pick59cpaid-5.7%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x6f8f…b302backed Under63c45.97$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.9610%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.63per pick63cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xbb42…6e09backed Under49c40$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.41330.8%4 W · 9 L-2.5wins-0.19per pick50cpaid-39.8%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xc036…30d4backed Under50c39.41$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.889357%53 W · 40 L+0.3wins0.00per pick57cpaid-3.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2c46…dac9backed Over50c33.79$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.8859555.5%330 W · 265 L+31.4wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+7.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x10a6…4d8bbacked Under46c27.48$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.642055%11 W · 9 L+0.9wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+5.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5210…bd53backed Under64c25$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1611054.5%60 W · 50 L-1.5wins-0.01per pick56cpaid-3.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x27b1…6a0bbacked Under49c24.2$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.8617960.3%108 W · 71 L+0.5wins0.00per pick60cpaid-2.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc986…1654backed Under65c23.02$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.9930%0 W · 3 L-1.4wins-0.48per pick48cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x1e80…416dbacked Under50c20$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1010%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6562…4e48backed Over52c19.27$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.2519258.9%113 W · 79 L+4.6wins+0.02per pick56cpaid+1.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9cfd…dfe7backed Under56c17.92$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.032065%13 W · 7 L+2.2wins+0.11per pick54cpaid+16.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x7097…811cbacked Over61c17.56$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.85580%4 W · 1 L+0.9wins+0.19per pick61cpaid+26.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf9fe…4f5dbacked Under71c16$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.3620%0 W · 2 L-1.4wins-0.68per pick68cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x8e9e…662ebacked Under64c15.63$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10580%4 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.09per pick71cpaid+10.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.