Valorant · resolved market
Valorant: XLG Gaming vs TEC Esports (BO3) - VCT China Playoffs
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x7dbf903f2f1112379d35fe1143ec303169f75323b1da166d46b3f3f88d781a54
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- XLG Gamingof XLG Gaming, TEC Esports
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Valorantevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $51,814
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $48,174
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $51,814 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 57 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Valorant is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Valorant | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x535c…96babacked TEC Esports | 18c | 6,990$1,258 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,258.15 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4337…8882backed TEC Esports | 17c | 6,100$1,037 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,036.95 | 339 | 42.2%143 W · 196 L | -6.1wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2aa5…ff32backed TEC Esports | 18c | 2,812$516 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$515.64 | 208 | 40.9%85 W · 123 L | -12.7wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x30c7…ac3bbacked TEC Esports | 18c | 2,680$482 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$482.36 | 289 | 55.7%161 W · 128 L | +10.5wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0f01…0d90backed TEC Esports | 18c | 1,626$299 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$298.98 | 23 | 26.1%6 W · 17 L | -4.2wins | -0.18per pick | 45cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x48b8…4b69backed TEC Esports | 19c | 1,501$285 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$285.19 | 112 | 55.4%62 W · 50 L | +4.1wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb9ab…f282backed TEC Esports | 19c | 1,500$285 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$285 | 169 | 52.1%88 W · 81 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5984…76ebbacked TEC Esports | 21c | 1,262$265 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$265 | 297 | 33.3%99 W · 198 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1f3f…5878backed TEC Esports | 20c | 1,158$232 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$231.7 | 67 | 37.3%25 W · 42 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1bd9…ea45backed TEC Esports | 19c | 1,026$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +0.5wins | +0.09per pick | 24cpaid | +24.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x36d8…c7c7backed TEC Esports | 21c | 888$186 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$186.48 | 234 | 47%110 W · 124 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed TEC Esports | 15c | 724.75$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111.03 | 463 | 26.6%123 W · 340 L | -26.0wins | -0.06per pick | 32cpaid | -38.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked TEC Esports | 16c | 681.69$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.07 | 1,376 | 47.1%648 W · 728 L | +10.6wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd81f…6b75backed TEC Esports | 21c | 650.16$136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$136.19 | 94 | 43.6%41 W · 53 L | -5.9wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6f67…102cbacked TEC Esports | 20c | 650$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130 | 48 | 18.8%9 W · 39 L | -2.7wins | -0.06per pick | 24cpaid | -3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xac42…60d1backed XLG Gaming | 78c | 643$502 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$141.46 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -1.0wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7138…8c89backed TEC Esports | 18c | 506.5$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.17 | 74 | 45.9%34 W · 40 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc602…7fc1backed TEC Esports | 19c | 500$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95 | 56 | 35.7%20 W · 36 L | -4.6wins | -0.08per pick | 44cpaid | -27.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xceee…d39ebacked TEC Esports | 20c | 500$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 63 | 38.1%24 W · 39 L | -4.2wins | -0.07per pick | 45cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0551…3d39backed TEC Esports | 18c | 500$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8345…5928backed TEC Esports | 19c | 500$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3fcc…9f91backed TEC Esports | 19c | 500$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95 | 600 | 22.7%136 W · 464 L | -26.3wins | -0.04per pick | 27cpaid | -36.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x98d5…b5a4backed XLG Gaming | 80c | 500$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -2.5wins | -0.18per pick | 61cpaid | -34.9%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb758…dd73backed TEC Esports | 18c | 500$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.5 | 253 | 47%119 W · 134 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf1cc…3bf0backed XLG Gaming | 80c | 470$376 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94 | 127 | 55.9%71 W · 56 L | -3.1wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x629d…756cbacked TEC Esports | 13c | 451$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.47 | 777 | 44%342 W · 435 L | -21.3wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -19%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf971…0a57backed TEC Esports | 21c | 403.13$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.15 | 50 | 32%16 W · 34 L | -4.0wins | -0.08per pick | 40cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x61f6…e497backed XLG Gaming | 80c | 309.89$248 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.06 | 190 | 40%76 W · 114 L | -8.2wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed TEC Esports | 17c | 297$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.19 | 1,276 | 32.1%409 W · 867 L | -67.5wins | -0.05per pick | 37cpaid | -28.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0862…dc29backed TEC Esports | 7c | 269.55$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.92 | 193 | 37.8%73 W · 120 L | -11.8wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed XLG Gaming | 79c | 263.61$208 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.98 | 231 | 46.8%108 W · 123 L | +3.6wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc866…8c6dbacked TEC Esports | 13c | 261.32$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.43 | 164 | 42.1%69 W · 95 L | -4.5wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -23%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed TEC Esports | 15c | 221.56$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.1 | 1,490 | 46.6%695 W · 795 L | -16.1wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -12%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc48d…c2f0backed TEC Esports | 22c | 212.63$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.17per pick | 33cpaid | +71.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb6b…604ebacked TEC Esports | 19c | 200$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38 | 339 | 47.8%162 W · 177 L | +10.8wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffd…7821backed TEC Esports | 9c | 193.38$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.9 | 425 | 40.5%172 W · 253 L | -22.7wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5471…a236backed TEC Esports | 13c | 161$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.53 | 174 | 48.3%84 W · 90 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x40e3…f756backed TEC Esports | 18c | 139.99$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.6 | 34 | 41.2%14 W · 20 L | +2.7wins | +0.08per pick | 33cpaid | +23.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed TEC Esports | 18c | 139.36$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.53 | 575 | 17.7%102 W · 473 L | -71.7wins | -0.12per pick | 30cpaid | -42.2%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x61f6…ed9ebacked TEC Esports | 22c | 139.36$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked TEC Esports | 15c | 139$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.85 | 1,358 | 39%530 W · 828 L | -57.9wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -17%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe062…4907backed TEC Esports | 21c | 132$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.72 | 66 | 40.9%27 W · 39 L | -2.8wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb36e…dab1backed TEC Esports | 18c | 109.76$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.76 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -25.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed TEC Esports | 15c | 105.5$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.17 | 1,746 | 46.2%806 W · 940 L | -3.2wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x26d6…caccbacked TEC Esports | 16c | 92.8$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.46 | 308 | 35.4%109 W · 199 L | -23.8wins | -0.08per pick | 43cpaid | -40.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5f56…348abacked TEC Esports | 14c | 76.22$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.89 | 240 | 32.1%77 W · 163 L | -18.7wins | -0.08per pick | 40cpaid | -34.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xfff2…3f58backed TEC Esports | 20c | 75$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdf66…b444backed TEC Esports | 21c | 70$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.7 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | +1.4wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +17.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4350…4bbabacked XLG Gaming | 77c | 60.54$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.92 | 51 | 66.7%34 W · 17 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 65cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0f48…0b0dbacked XLG Gaming | 80c | 50$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 184 | 57.1%105 W · 79 L | +6.1wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked XLG Gaming | 79c | 40$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.27 | 601 | 54.2%326 W · 275 L | +24.0wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6f39…2b65backed XLG Gaming | 80c | 38$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.6 | 28 | 60.7%17 W · 11 L | -2.0wins | -0.07per pick | 68cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xffdb…497abacked XLG Gaming | 80c | 31.25$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.25 | 20 | 75%15 W · 5 L | +0.8wins | +0.04per pick | 71cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7bfb…a2d7backed XLG Gaming | 80c | 25$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5 | 106 | 61.3%65 W · 41 L | -5.6wins | -0.05per pick | 67cpaid | -9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xefac…c9a1backed XLG Gaming | 79c | 20.13$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.23 | 97 | 44.3%43 W · 54 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1a98…639dbacked XLG Gaming | 80c | 18.75$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.75 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -3.1wins | -0.26per pick | 67cpaid | -34.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xfce8…2686backed XLG Gaming | 80c | 12.5$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.5 | 184 | 65.2%120 W · 64 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 66cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Valorant and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Valorant: XLG Gaming vs TEC Esports (BO3) - VCT China Playoffsthis page
- Map Handicap: XLG (-1.5) vs TEC Esports (+1.5)XLG Gaming won
- Valorant: XLG Gaming vs TEC Esports - Map 1 WinnerXLG Gaming won
- Valorant: XLG Gaming vs TEC Esports - Map 2 WinnerXLG Gaming won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.