Tennis · resolved market
Set Handicap: Shelton (-1.5) vs Prizmic (+1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb327ebfa866d66fb7624532cb64b314afcc4bdc3a311f32d4d214ad61d33e894
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Prizmicof Shelton, Prizmic
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $4,376
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $4,700
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $4,376 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 32 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2fb5…b009backed Shelton | 42c | 501.99$211 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$210.98 | 46 | 47.8%22 W · 24 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +55.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xad88…3c1ebacked Prizmic | 64c | 443.33$285 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$158.21 | 247 | 47.4%117 W · 130 L | -3.8wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8ff2…8ea1backed Shelton | 45c | 258.7$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116.03 | 45 | 57.8%26 W · 19 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Prizmic | 55c | 235.55$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106 | 7,724 | 47.8%3,691 W · 4,033 L | +41.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8a21…ba51backed Shelton | 41c | 222.8$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.64 | 104 | 28.8%30 W · 74 L | -5.7wins | -0.06per pick | 34cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4b71…80ecbacked Prizmic | 58c | 200.13$117 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.12 | 211 | 49.8%105 W · 106 L | +9.1wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xac9c…c08cbacked Shelton | 45c | 197.02$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.08 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 61cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7a5d…54dbbacked Prizmic | 59c | 188.41$111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.25 | 2,417 | 50.7%1,226 W · 1,191 L | +78.7wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x202f…7b58backed Prizmic | 58c | 109.6$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.25 | 98 | 39.8%39 W · 59 L | -4.1wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -18%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc60b…d9f7backed Shelton | 39c | 100$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39 | 354 | 39.8%141 W · 213 L | -15.0wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb4f3…999fbacked Shelton | 32c | 100$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32 | 957 | 42.1%403 W · 554 L | -24.9wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5628…abbcbacked Prizmic | 57c | 87.28$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.51 | 2,229 | 45%1,002 W · 1,227 L | +3.4wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd8db…ccfbbacked Shelton | 39c | 77.07$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.06 | 187 | 56.1%105 W · 82 L | -3.5wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x05d3…c06abacked Prizmic | 61c | 75.25$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.35 | 1,639 | 55.1%903 W · 736 L | +10.8wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcfde…8ad8backed Prizmic | 67c | 69.64$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.09 | 50 | 52%26 W · 24 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xae45…96b9backed Prizmic | 58c | 66.97$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.36 | 752 | 62%466 W · 286 L | +25.0wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa23c…ae92backed Shelton | 40c | 60.04$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.1 | 179 | 59.8%107 W · 72 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0045…9007backed Prizmic | 60c | 60$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24 | 265 | 48.7%129 W · 136 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6508…1077backed Shelton | 45c | 59.99$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.99 | 584 | 38.2%223 W · 361 L | -8.5wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdff6…0918backed Shelton | 34c | 58$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.72 | 498 | 57%284 W · 214 L | -8.9wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfa9e…bfddbacked Shelton | 43c | 56.84$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.25 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0b3e…b265backed Prizmic | 55c | 44.23$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.9 | 77 | 55.8%43 W · 34 L | +4.0wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9cd4…b8afbacked Shelton | 45c | 42.98$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.34 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1dd2…9e07backed Prizmic | 58c | 42.74$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.95 | 2,418 | 51.7%1,249 W · 1,169 L | +10.3wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7ef2…5584backed Prizmic | 57c | 42.73$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.37 | 134 | 58.2%78 W · 56 L | +11.5wins | +0.09per pick | 50cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf6ee…0e41backed Prizmic | 57c | 38.86$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.71 | 364 | 35.2%128 W · 236 L | +8.7wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc15c…a6b0backed Shelton | 43c | 38.84$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.89 | 287 | 58.5%168 W · 119 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2903…9203backed Prizmic | 68c | 34.61$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.08 | 1,076 | 60.4%650 W · 426 L | +24.2wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Prizmic | 58c | 30.95$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13 | 9,286 | 44.3%4,110 W · 5,176 L | -245.7wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1aaa…0c04backed Shelton | 40c | 28.49$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.39 | 143 | 43.4%62 W · 81 L | -7.5wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5844…12e2backed Prizmic | 57c | 25.64$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.02 | 49 | 55.1%27 W · 22 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4843…84c1backed Prizmic | 56c | 21.77$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.58 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Set Handicap: Shelton (-1.5) vs Prizmic (+1.5)this page
- Ben Shelton vs. Dino Prizmic: Total Sets O/U 2.5Over 2.5 won
- Madrid Open: Ben Shelton vs Dino PrizmicDino Prizmic won
- Set 1 Winner: Shelton vs PrizmicPrizmic won
- Shelton vs. Prizmic: Match O/U 22.5Over won
- Shelton vs. Prizmic: Match O/U 23.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.