TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Tennis · resolved market

Pune: Felix Gill vs Edas Butvilas

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Felix Gillof Felix Gill, Edas Butvilas
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$145,460
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$172,760

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $145,460 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 114 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Tennis
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x4173…d3edbacked Felix Gill59c19,657$11,538 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,119.0355646.4%258 W · 298 L+4.7wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x661d…4dc6backed Edas Butvilas28c7,874$2,202 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,202.275748.6%368 W · 389 L+16.5wins+0.02per pick46cpaid-4.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x23c8…f8bcbacked Edas Butvilas31c7,327$2,300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,3006026.7%16 W · 44 L-7.6wins-0.13per pick39cpaid-38.4%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xa02b…70d6backed Edas Butvilas50c5,210$2,605 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,605.0917462.6%109 W · 65 L+34.2wins+0.20per pick43cpaid+35.2%equal weight69+0.17 edge/pick
0x51eb…6bfabacked Edas Butvilas39c5,186$2,030 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,0302,56163%1,613 W · 948 L-10.2wins0.00per pick63cpaid-0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Felix Gill65c4,942$3,201 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,740.512,74630.8%846 W · 1,900 L-67.1wins-0.02per pick33cpaid-36.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xde9f…d43cbacked Felix Gill65c4,202$2,713 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,488.56,59950.7%3,343 W · 3,256 L+259.7wins+0.04per pick47cpaid-4.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2dc3…9d67backed Edas Butvilas46c3,261$1,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,50039431%122 W · 272 L-11.0wins-0.03per pick34cpaid-12.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Edas Butvilas29c3,125$919 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$918.713,07244.9%1,378 W · 1,694 L-30.9wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-23%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x843c…126cbacked Edas Butvilas68c2,463$1,675 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,675.161662.5%10 W · 6 L-0.7wins-0.05per pick67cpaid-3.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6aad…20aebacked Felix Gill53c2,343$1,242 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,100.1552460.9%319 W · 205 L+0.5wins0.00per pick61cpaid-1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0866…a1d5backed Edas Butvilas39c2,087$814 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$814.0216339.3%64 W · 99 L+3.5wins+0.02per pick37cpaid-2.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5aa9…febebacked Edas Butvilas24c2,054$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$499.921,41038.4%542 W · 868 L-13.4wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-25%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x30e9…390ebacked Felix Gill63c1,895$1,186 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$708.824369.8%30 W · 13 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick69cpaid-0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3b1f…6500backed Edas Butvilas39c1,725$679 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$678.5869249.6%343 W · 349 L-9.4wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-14.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe2e9…1c08backed Edas Butvilas45c1,682$757 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$756.7714250.7%72 W · 70 L-14.6wins-0.10per pick61cpaid-21%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xdc87…ea3bbacked Edas Butvilas65c1,500$973 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$972.6533346.2%154 W · 179 L+1.8wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+4.7%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xb893…bf4bbacked Felix Gill57c1,404$800 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$603.5163247.6%301 W · 331 L-15.0wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-5.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xfb31…7b95backed Felix Gill36c1,249$444 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$805.7368026.2%178 W · 502 L-24.5wins-0.04per pick30cpaid-18.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x42ce…bdcfbacked Edas Butvilas70c1,018$714 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$714.346168.9%42 W · 19 L+4.3wins+0.07per pick62cpaid+12%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x00a3…575cbacked Felix Gill66c878.78$581 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$298.228052.5%42 W · 38 L-3.2wins-0.04per pick57cpaid-10.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x20ba…6c27backed Edas Butvilas36c830.56$299 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2991,18662.8%745 W · 441 L-16.1wins-0.01per pick64cpaid-3.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7db0…f397backed Edas Butvilas40c825$333 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$333.4413647.1%64 W · 72 L+2.3wins+0.02per pick45cpaid-11.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xcd3d…e7ebbacked Edas Butvilas37c815.57$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3001,13027.9%315 W · 815 L+1.6wins0.00per pick28cpaid-11.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xff80…8cb5backed Edas Butvilas47c773.34$365 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36511530.4%35 W · 80 L-10.5wins-0.09per pick40cpaid-27.3%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0xe2e1…c20abacked Edas Butvilas41c760$311 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$311.0573745.2%333 W · 404 L-9.4wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-17.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdb69…c3e5backed Felix Gill66c670$442 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$227.81,07655.5%597 W · 479 L+8.5wins+0.01per pick55cpaid+0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9d94…017dbacked Edas Butvilas25c669.57$166 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$166.012,06834.9%721 W · 1,347 L-44.2wins-0.02per pick37cpaid-25.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7a73…a9c8backed Edas Butvilas40c631.68$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25062534.4%215 W · 410 L-20.1wins-0.03per pick38cpaid-18.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb5b9…948abacked Felix Gill68c618.91$420 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$198.8542358.6%248 W · 175 L-7.8wins-0.02per pick60cpaid-5.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xaea0…0decbacked Edas Butvilas40c601$240 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$239.6297046.6%452 W · 518 L-8.0wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-17.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcb9a…412ebacked Edas Butvilas52c599.11$311 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$311.3313439.6%53 W · 81 L-6.9wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-16.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x344b…f7fcbacked Edas Butvilas41c503$205 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$204.5899044.8%444 W · 546 L-10.8wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-17.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9ed9…9949backed Edas Butvilas45c500$225 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$224.8746553.8%250 W · 215 L-1.4wins0.00per pick54cpaid-4.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x97a0…da35backed Felix Gill66c454.77$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$154.7747946.3%222 W · 257 L+9.2wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-4.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x21c2…6749backed Edas Butvilas42c406$170 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$170.291,00846%464 W · 544 L-19.0wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-19.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x10dd…4831backed Felix Gill56c357.07$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$157.0711858.5%69 W · 49 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick58cpaid+13.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7646…b2a1backed Edas Butvilas35c326.91$113 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1139938.4%38 W · 61 L+3.1wins+0.03per pick35cpaid-2.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xc9aa…67e1backed Edas Butvilas63c325.19$205 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$204.879950.5%50 W · 49 L-0.5wins0.00per pick51cpaid-0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1d94…9100backed Edas Butvilas38c317.62$121 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$120.961,26529.2%370 W · 895 L-13.3wins-0.01per pick30cpaid-14.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked Edas Butvilas38c312$119 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$118.564,60248.3%2,223 W · 2,379 L+34.4wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-8.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9086…4d46backed Felix Gill66c303.03$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$103.031,84148.5%892 W · 949 L-32.0wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-3.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9ab0…b46abacked Felix Gill33c303.03$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$203.0323735%83 W · 154 L+0.2wins0.00per pick35cpaid+1.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2a9b…7303backed Edas Butvilas67c303.03$203 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$202.9642046.9%197 W · 223 L-8.7wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-3.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8a21…e7f0backed Felix Gill76c299.2$227 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$71.814247.6%20 W · 22 L-1.2wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1250…8f99backed Edas Butvilas68c294.34$199 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$198.9710161.4%62 W · 39 L+2.5wins+0.02per pick59cpaid+1.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe8a0…92dfbacked Felix Gill34c294.12$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$194.1229637.5%111 W · 185 L-15.1wins-0.05per pick43cpaid-15%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x54a2…5dfebacked Felix Gill34c292.06$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$192.067949.4%39 W · 40 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick50cpaid+0.5%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x6b7c…5f83backed Felix Gill66c270.81$180 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$90.862,42647.3%1,148 W · 1,278 L+45.2wins+0.02per pick45cpaid-13.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5a0c…9db8backed Edas Butvilas65c266.63$173 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$172.6124454.9%134 W · 110 L+12.1wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+14.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x4411…985ebacked Felix Gill56c255.92$143 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$112.962,14554.2%1,162 W · 983 L-1.6wins0.00per pick54cpaid-2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8816…7738backed Edas Butvilas32c252.16$81 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$80.691,10650.3%556 W · 550 L-21.2wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-4.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9c76…c926backed Felix Gill30c250$75 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1754,07639.7%1,620 W · 2,456 L+93.7wins+0.02per pick37cpaid+7.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x43d7…1c75backed Edas Butvilas66c218.47$144 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$144.191,24041.2%511 W · 729 L-2.2wins0.00per pick41cpaid-2.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xba86…9ab0backed Felix Gill36c209.67$75 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$134.6767239.1%263 W · 409 L-29.5wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-12.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xd88a…1eefbacked Edas Butvilas39c205$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$79.7854434.2%186 W · 358 L-2.8wins-0.01per pick35cpaid-2.5%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xecae…b906backed Edas Butvilas44c200$88 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$881,02646.8%480 W · 546 L+14.1wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x972b…78babacked Felix Gill66c196.42$130 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$66.212,98239.1%1,167 W · 1,815 L-109.1wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-30.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x051b…09d4backed Edas Butvilas36c194.87$71 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7167836%244 W · 434 L+8.7wins+0.01per pick35cpaid+0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd038…8f51backed Edas Butvilas43c193.76$83 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$82.694,28840.5%1,737 W · 2,551 L-139.3wins-0.03per pick44cpaid-20.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xa6be…b977backed Felix Gill29c175.96$51 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$124.751,76843.2%764 W · 1,004 L+2.9wins0.00per pick43cpaid-1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8fef…5946backed Felix Gill57c175.44$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$75.449761.9%60 W · 37 L+3.3wins+0.03per pick58cpaid+19.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7820…5b79backed Edas Butvilas29c172.41$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5020515.6%32 W · 173 L-3.8wins-0.02per pick17cpaid-19.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1e3b…e232backed Felix Gill56c166.46$94 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$72.823,90150.1%1,953 W · 1,948 L-13.2wins0.00per pick50cpaid-2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3dcf…4eb4backed Edas Butvilas65c153.83$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.9953058.1%308 W · 222 L+15.8wins+0.03per pick55cpaid+4.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x45b2…cbc1backed Edas Butvilas11c151.6$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.68922.2%2 W · 7 L+1.0wins+0.11per pick12cpaid+146.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5cff…83c4backed Felix Gill52c149$77 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$71.5227664.1%177 W · 99 L+1.6wins+0.01per pick64cpaid+1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2ecb…7645backed Edas Butvilas38c141$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53.5792548.8%451 W · 474 L+20.2wins+0.02per pick47cpaid-3.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9dd9…08bdbacked Edas Butvilas12c136.03$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.741,85244.5%825 W · 1,027 L-20.3wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-18.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3078…0389backed Felix Gill34c131.74$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$86.971,24533.9%422 W · 823 L-5.6wins0.00per pick34cpaid-3.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x22c1…0df7backed Felix Gill37c121.62$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$76.623063.3%19 W · 11 L+5.0wins+0.17per pick47cpaid+31.5%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x03c7…22f2backed Edas Butvilas37c109.62$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.2754249.3%267 W · 275 L-17.1wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-6.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x26b9…9ab5backed Edas Butvilas47c105.58$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5021256.1%119 W · 93 L+2.8wins+0.01per pick55cpaid+5.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x35ea…99bcbacked Edas Butvilas54c104.12$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$56.424060.8%146 W · 94 L-0.5wins0.00per pick61cpaid-2.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7da4…f0a4backed Edas Butvilas15c100$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$154829.2%14 W · 34 L+6.9wins+0.14per pick15cpaid+273.8%equal weight61+0.09 edge/pick
0x90c5…534cbacked Edas Butvilas68c100$68 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6877967.8%528 W · 251 L-6.2wins-0.01per pick69cpaid-1.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa1a9…e22ebacked Felix Gill32c100$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$681,28439.2%503 W · 781 L-12.2wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-3.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x91c0…e4ccbacked Edas Butvilas39c100$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3951539.8%205 W · 310 L-8.8wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-8.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4865…904dbacked Edas Butvilas69c99.37$68 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$68.4137071.9%266 W · 104 L+2.4wins+0.01per pick71cpaid+0.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe496…4d8bbacked Edas Butvilas39c91$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.318233.5%61 W · 121 L-2.9wins-0.02per pick35cpaid-5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x84f7…ade1backed Felix Gill31c89$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61.411,02833.6%345 W · 683 L-3.6wins0.00per pick34cpaid-5.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbf57…ecc4backed Edas Butvilas59c88.47$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52.3630254.3%164 W · 138 L-3.0wins-0.01per pick55cpaid-7.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa509…ae46backed Felix Gill67c87.36$58 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.216,78648.8%3,310 W · 3,476 L+56.2wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-15.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xce9d…3c05backed Felix Gill58c86.21$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.211,61550.6%817 W · 798 L-17.7wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-5.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa07d…a037backed Edas Butvilas39c77.56$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.33,27013.8%450 W · 2,820 L-549.1wins-0.17per pick31cpaid-57.4%equal weight31-0.17 edge/pick
0xa82f…9fb8backed Felix Gill68c73.53$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.53366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.07per pick60cpaid+2.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2c93…0fb8backed Edas Butvilas57c73.43$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.6215650%78 W · 78 L-11.9wins-0.08per pick58cpaid-18.9%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xdc8b…f894backed Felix Gill47c72.99$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.548724.1%21 W · 66 L-3.6wins-0.04per pick28cpaid-10.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x7f2d…fbf5backed Felix Gill61c70$43 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.9957252.3%299 W · 273 L+17.2wins+0.03per pick49cpaid-5.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x70ac…0c7dbacked Felix Gill54c69.07$37 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.12,53753.6%1,361 W · 1,176 L+61.9wins+0.02per pick51cpaid-5.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x3925…c094backed Edas Butvilas34c68.33$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.25540%2 W · 3 L-0.8wins-0.16per pick56cpaid-28.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x84c6…68dabacked Felix Gill37c67.57$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.572263.6%14 W · 8 L+4.6wins+0.21per pick43cpaid+51%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0xa559…6dbbbacked Edas Butvilas27c66.38$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.0961953.3%330 W · 289 L+18.9wins+0.03per pick50cpaid-6.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2a88…2bffbacked Edas Butvilas20c64$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.83616.7%6 W · 30 L-3.4wins-0.09per pick26cpaid-59.4%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x2f31…e2b6backed Felix Gill63c60$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.235559.4%211 W · 144 L-10.8wins-0.03per pick62cpaid-8.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6bf2…85b7backed Felix Gill56c53.57$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.578858%51 W · 37 L-1.9wins-0.02per pick60cpaid-6.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1f8b…a0cabacked Edas Butvilas69c50$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.512659.5%75 W · 51 L+3.6wins+0.03per pick57cpaid+2.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xa8e3…40a0backed Felix Gill62c49.47$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.6211759.8%70 W · 47 L+6.6wins+0.06per pick54cpaid+1.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x31dd…7159backed Edas Butvilas50c40$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2090340.2%363 W · 540 L+4.3wins0.00per pick40cpaid-0.2%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Edas Butvilas47c37.23$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.56,43954.4%3,502 W · 2,937 L+285.2wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+26.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.