Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Colorado State Rams vs. New Mexico Lobos
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb8517e3fd914adad5cc7402882c918a7c486b146917aa3a5fd47bc4202b6be22
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Colorado State Ramsof Colorado State Rams, New Mexico Lobos
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $130,180
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $130,180 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 65 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x507e…beaebacked New Mexico Lobos | 3c | 21,471$669 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$669.31 | 5,946 | 49.3%2,932 W · 3,014 L | +163.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5aa9…febebacked New Mexico Lobos | 7c | 9,439$665 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$665.25 | 318 | 37.7%120 W · 198 L | -10.1wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x05c3…3f7fbacked New Mexico Lobos | 0c | 5,755$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.32 | 21 | 4.8%1 W · 20 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 6cpaid | -73.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8c16…4b37backed New Mexico Lobos | 4c | 5,165$230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$229.67 | 558 | 40.3%225 W · 333 L | -7.2wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0176…910ebacked Colorado State Rams | 79c | 2,529$1,988 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$540.99 | 107 | 36.4%39 W · 68 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf41a…ea2bbacked New Mexico Lobos | 78c | 2,093$1,623 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,622.94 | 2,687 | 48.5%1,303 W · 1,384 L | +4.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked New Mexico Lobos | 10c | 1,563$156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$155.99 | 4,382 | 40.5%1,775 W · 2,607 L | +23.7wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d9e…e0e3backed New Mexico Lobos | 4c | 1,151$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.58 | 934 | 47.9%447 W · 487 L | -19.2wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed New Mexico Lobos | 13c | 1,097$137 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$137.48 | 2,555 | 41.6%1,062 W · 1,493 L | -15.9wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc7e5…2d3abacked Colorado State Rams | 23c | 1,085$248 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$836.51 | 251 | 30.7%77 W · 174 L | -3.7wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked New Mexico Lobos | 79c | 1,051$830 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$830.3 | 1,511 | 47.8%722 W · 789 L | -35.2wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed New Mexico Lobos | 41c | 1,013$412 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$411.73 | 2,012 | 50%1,006 W · 1,006 L | +22.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcdb8…abbebacked Colorado State Rams | 28c | 840.42$231 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$608.95 | 1,983 | 26.4%523 W · 1,460 L | -55.5wins | -0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -12%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4b5f…1ae6backed New Mexico Lobos | 14c | 706.12$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.58 | 47 | 31.9%15 W · 32 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 30cpaid | +34.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7aa8…56dbbacked New Mexico Lobos | 5c | 648.92$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.45 | 1,058 | 55.8%590 W · 468 L | +34.2wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf588…2b81backed Colorado State Rams | 77c | 634.24$490 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144.12 | 2,124 | 50.4%1,070 W · 1,054 L | +40.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee28…8266backed New Mexico Lobos | 9c | 554.67$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.95 | 164 | 36%59 W · 105 L | +4.4wins | +0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed New Mexico Lobos | 10c | 554.42$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.69 | 815 | 28.8%235 W · 580 L | -19.9wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -17%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed New Mexico Lobos | 78c | 538.99$420 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$420.15 | 1,446 | 43.4%627 W · 819 L | +10.6wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Colorado State Rams | 21c | 471.67$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$372.62 | 2,896 | 50%1,448 W · 1,448 L | +71.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2bea…c4b2backed Colorado State Rams | 28c | 450.87$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$326.36 | 43 | 44.2%19 W · 24 L | +4.4wins | +0.10per pick | 34cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x87b8…29dcbacked Colorado State Rams | 21c | 449.97$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$355.48 | 121 | 47.9%58 W · 63 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x985f…7a5bbacked New Mexico Lobos | 24c | 447.13$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.31 | 90 | 51.1%46 W · 44 L | +6.4wins | +0.07per pick | 44cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x622b…5a4abacked Colorado State Rams | 22c | 442.16$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$344.88 | 165 | 46.7%77 W · 88 L | +7.5wins | +0.05per pick | 42cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Colorado State Rams | 76c | 425.33$324 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.59 | 4,848 | 52.2%2,532 W · 2,316 L | +139.2wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7d7f…86d2backed New Mexico Lobos | 12c | 420.07$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.68 | 309 | 45.6%141 W · 168 L | -5.1wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfefb…4b5dbacked New Mexico Lobos | 7c | 300.31$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.88 | 1,887 | 45.2%853 W · 1,034 L | +6.5wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed New Mexico Lobos | 61c | 295.56$179 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$179.02 | 3,905 | 58.8%2,298 W · 1,607 L | +165.3wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x75a4…ab08backed Colorado State Rams | 36c | 286.31$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$183 | 33 | 51.5%17 W · 16 L | +3.2wins | +0.10per pick | 42cpaid | +31.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfecb…19babacked New Mexico Lobos | 61c | 250.85$153 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$153.02 | 56 | 50%28 W · 28 L | +1.8wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6932…6878backed Colorado State Rams | 22c | 245.91$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$191.81 | 247 | 37.7%93 W · 154 L | +13.2wins | +0.05per pick | 32cpaid | +24.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x958a…c897backed Colorado State Rams | 22c | 227.43$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$176.73 | 233 | 31.3%73 W · 160 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 31cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked New Mexico Lobos | 5c | 223.63$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.18 | 1,951 | 45.1%880 W · 1,071 L | -19.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked Colorado State Rams | 21c | 199.98$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$157.98 | 2,194 | 33.4%733 W · 1,461 L | +19.2wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd727…eccebacked Colorado State Rams | 22c | 198.8$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$155.06 | 1,317 | 33.6%443 W · 874 L | +14.9wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0e01…7ef0backed New Mexico Lobos | 79c | 181.03$143 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$142.58 | 229 | 50.7%116 W · 113 L | -5.3wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0e40…cf85backed Colorado State Rams | 21c | 180.95$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$142.95 | 219 | 37.4%82 W · 137 L | -10.4wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -10%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x57d5…0bbdbacked Colorado State Rams | 22c | 139.16$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.54 | 573 | 35.6%204 W · 369 L | -27.3wins | -0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x035b…3ca0backed Colorado State Rams | 43c | 138.13$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.39 | 30 | 50%15 W · 15 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeb4c…55b5backed Colorado State Rams | 67c | 122.46$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.03 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.3wins | +0.21per pick | 62cpaid | +24.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0370…d000backed Colorado State Rams | 57c | 114.51$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.99 | 940 | 36.9%347 W · 593 L | +8.6wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe104…6861backed New Mexico Lobos | 79c | 112.77$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.09 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.26per pick | 76cpaid | -31.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Colorado State Rams | 79c | 106.81$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.11 | 1,493 | 48.7%727 W · 766 L | -1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Colorado State Rams | 71c | 105.89$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.61 | 3,380 | 49.5%1,673 W · 1,707 L | +30.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe81b…ae69backed Colorado State Rams | 56c | 88.51$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.94 | 48 | 43.8%21 W · 27 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3925…c094backed New Mexico Lobos | 79c | 76.19$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.19 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.79per pick | 79cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5e8d…e22dbacked New Mexico Lobos | 79c | 75.33$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.51 | 243 | 40.7%99 W · 144 L | -5.7wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xff73…35ccbacked New Mexico Lobos | 21c | 73.42$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.64 | 56 | 50%28 W · 28 L | +2.1wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x39c6…0ac1backed New Mexico Lobos | 78c | 72.21$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.33 | 262 | 54.2%142 W · 120 L | +7.4wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8614…717abacked New Mexico Lobos | 79c | 62.92$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.71 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.79per pick | 79cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7941…7bfebacked New Mexico Lobos | 65c | 57.88$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.48 | 31 | 32.3%10 W · 21 L | -3.3wins | -0.11per pick | 43cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xeb76…7ffebacked Colorado State Rams | 22c | 55.66$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.42 | 612 | 44.9%275 W · 337 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x93e3…e590backed New Mexico Lobos | 27c | 53.62$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.48 | 56 | 23.2%13 W · 43 L | -9.9wins | -0.18per pick | 41cpaid | -46.7%equal weight | 36-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x72ab…8d29backed New Mexico Lobos | 78c | 53.41$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.66 | 21 | 52.4%11 W · 10 L | -2.7wins | -0.13per pick | 65cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x00d2…fe64backed New Mexico Lobos | 78c | 50.26$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.12 | 80 | 55%44 W · 36 L | +3.5wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked Colorado State Rams | 22c | 50$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.2 | 334 | 45.8%153 W · 181 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3020…bc04backed New Mexico Lobos | 78c | 49.99$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.99 | 167 | 55.7%93 W · 74 L | +10.1wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +16.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked New Mexico Lobos | 39c | 47.94$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.67 | 1,667 | 36.4%607 W · 1,060 L | -4.0wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x74c5…6cb7backed New Mexico Lobos | 77c | 47.75$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.77 | 36 | 47.2%17 W · 19 L | -1.6wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +17.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5699…418dbacked Colorado State Rams | 31c | 39.7$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.39 | 35 | 42.9%15 W · 20 L | -5.7wins | -0.16per pick | 59cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 39-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xac2a…a70cbacked New Mexico Lobos | 79c | 37.75$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.83 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.16per pick | 59cpaid | +58%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x586d…fb12backed Colorado State Rams | 48c | 30.31$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.71 | 185 | 57.8%107 W · 78 L | +7.5wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5f19…ec51backed Colorado State Rams | 76c | 29.81$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.25 | 220 | 50.5%111 W · 109 L | +5.8wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf9ef…20ebbacked New Mexico Lobos | 77c | 23.22$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.88 | 459 | 53.8%247 W · 212 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9fe4…52d7backed New Mexico Lobos | 79c | 14.89$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.76 | 44 | 68.2%30 W · 14 L | -3.6wins | -0.08per pick | 76cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Colorado State Rams vs. New Mexico Lobosthis page
- Colorado State Rams vs. New Mexico Lobos: O/U 150.5Over won
- Spread: New Mexico Lobos (-8.5)Colorado State Rams won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.