Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Colorado State Rams vs. New Mexico Lobos: O/U 150.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xcef202f6ee5d18d308cd70cc11d3ee13e93f2fafe85d93273cb57ee4e9155880
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $11,335
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $11,335 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 34 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2537…bff9backed Over | 55c | 4,601$2,520 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,080.51 | 444 | 52.7%234 W · 210 L | +6.7wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdd58…18f9backed Under | 49c | 3,763$1,844 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,843.82 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | -2.3wins | -0.14per pick | 49cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc949…fa93backed Over | 51c | 3,500$1,785 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,715 | 185 | 48.6%90 W · 95 L | -4.6wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x75dc…4f82backed Under | 44c | 1,456$641 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$640.81 | 229 | 53.7%123 W · 106 L | +5.2wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8013…5b52backed Under | 44c | 1,051$463 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$462.62 | 154 | 53.9%83 W · 71 L | +16.8wins | +0.11per pick | 43cpaid | +19.6%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x5375…aeeabacked Under | 53c | 991.28$524 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$524.38 | 334 | 38.9%130 W · 204 L | -16.2wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdbf7…06acbacked Over | 55c | 416.95$231 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$185.73 | 273 | 50.5%138 W · 135 L | -4.7wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7dd0…ee95backed Under | 48c | 394.23$188 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$188.34 | 57 | 57.9%33 W · 24 L | +5.4wins | +0.10per pick | 48cpaid | +18.5%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Under | 46c | 318.78$148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$147.56 | 5,946 | 49.3%2,932 W · 3,014 L | +163.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Over | 46c | 236.52$109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.39 | 3,905 | 58.8%2,298 W · 1,607 L | +165.3wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe276…a85bbacked Under | 49c | 224.45$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.98 | 225 | 44.9%101 W · 124 L | -8.7wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe463…f7b2backed Over | 52c | 200$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96 | 107 | 48.6%52 W · 55 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd473…3febbacked Under | 55c | 200$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 115 | 60%69 W · 46 L | +5.0wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x15d5…ef7bbacked Under | 48c | 198.25$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.16 | 388 | 37.6%146 W · 242 L | +14.3wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x49ed…a2fbbacked Under | 44c | 173.74$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.45 | 128 | 46.9%60 W · 68 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked Under | 46c | 164.53$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.68 | 939 | 41.6%391 W · 548 L | +25.4wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Over | 51c | 156$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.44 | 2,896 | 50%1,448 W · 1,448 L | +71.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Under | 50c | 153.93$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.56 | 2,012 | 50%1,006 W · 1,006 L | +22.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d9e…e0e3backed Under | 46c | 113.84$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.37 | 934 | 47.9%447 W · 487 L | -19.2wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x700a…58a5backed Under | 47c | 99.61$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.62 | 86 | 40.7%35 W · 51 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x14e4…eabbbacked Under | 49c | 71.12$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.85 | 586 | 52.9%310 W · 276 L | +23.3wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x43e8…af56backed Under | 46c | 64.27$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.74 | 184 | 39.1%72 W · 112 L | -3.8wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x37ed…3addbacked Over | 50c | 61.29$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.65 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.0wins | -0.11per pick | 45cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed Under | 47c | 50.56$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.52 | 3,684 | 42.8%1,576 W · 2,108 L | +32.6wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf4dc…8000backed Over | 63c | 41$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.17 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd774…82cdbacked Over | 53c | 40.79$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.98 | 67 | 47.8%32 W · 35 L | -1.7wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbda3…ef65backed Over | 52c | 39.65$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.03 | 627 | 53%332 W · 295 L | +13.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Over | 45c | 38.05$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.94 | 4,382 | 40.5%1,775 W · 2,607 L | +23.7wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5767…8cc1backed Under | 48c | 35.41$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 141 | 43.3%61 W · 80 L | -4.7wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9f12…48cabacked Over | 56c | 33.9$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.83 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | -0.7wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6330…23d7backed Over | 52c | 32$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.36 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.7wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 53c | 28.76$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.2 | 5,553 | 47.4%2,634 W · 2,919 L | +26.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3563…b2d9backed Under | 44c | 25.78$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.42 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +23.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…b703backed Over | 45c | 22.69$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.48 | 1,296 | 45.1%584 W · 712 L | -23.9wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Colorado State Rams vs. New Mexico Lobos: O/U 150.5this page
- Colorado State Rams vs. New Mexico LobosColorado State Rams won
- Spread: New Mexico Lobos (-8.5)Colorado State Rams won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.