Valorant · resolved market
Map Handicap: FNC (-1.5) vs ULF Esports (+1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xaaf92d437d907eeaf115a33aef714993b576c0bf9c1252abb0f87b40bc18f98e
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- ULF Esportsof Fnatic, ULF Esports
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Valorantevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $12,681
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $17,066
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $12,681 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 30 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Valorant is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Valorant | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x8e8c…65ddbacked ULF Esports | 46c | 3,640$1,670 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,970.04 | 158 | 50%79 W · 79 L | +4.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xba12…6a47backed Fnatic | 57c | 2,162$1,232 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,232.34 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -3.7wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 37-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xb9ab…f282backed ULF Esports | 43c | 2,000$860 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,140 | 169 | 52.1%88 W · 81 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xafd4…7e61backed Fnatic | 55c | 1,667$917 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$916.64 | 260 | 50%130 W · 130 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5b10…9659backed Fnatic | 53c | 1,200$636 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$636 | 141 | 58.2%82 W · 59 L | +6.9wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x53ab…65aabacked ULF Esports | 45c | 757.94$342 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$416.37 | 551 | 52.5%289 W · 262 L | +20.7wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xad72…4f5ebacked ULF Esports | 43c | 620$267 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$353 | 191 | 57.1%109 W · 82 L | +23.4wins | +0.12per pick | 45cpaid | +26.3%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x7d91…bb2abacked Fnatic | 55c | 546.2$298 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$298.41 | 76 | 59.2%45 W · 31 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84d7…298fbacked Fnatic | 57c | 414.89$236 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$236.49 | 41 | 53.7%22 W · 19 L | +5.2wins | +0.13per pick | 41cpaid | +29%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8b55…d74bbacked Fnatic | 54c | 400$216 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$216 | 867 | 47.5%412 W · 455 L | -2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xba58…6d74backed Fnatic | 55c | 400$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220 | 255 | 55.7%142 W · 113 L | +3.3wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8725…eb10backed Fnatic | 55c | 274.34$151 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150.89 | 321 | 41.7%134 W · 187 L | -16.1wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbe59…0d2ebacked ULF Esports | 46c | 201.9$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$109.1 | 366 | 48.4%177 W · 189 L | +12.2wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0a7c…8964backed ULF Esports | 45c | 186.63$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.79 | 255 | 56.1%143 W · 112 L | +8.7wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Fnatic | 53c | 180.89$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.26 | 348 | 47.4%165 W · 183 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe463…f7b2backed ULF Esports | 45c | 144$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.2 | 97 | 46.4%45 W · 52 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf21d…2e9abacked Fnatic | 55c | 116.46$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.52 | 267 | 58.8%157 W · 110 L | +18.8wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +16.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9cf5…e7c3backed Fnatic | 55c | 66.8$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.74 | 63 | 57.1%36 W · 27 L | -2.0wins | -0.03per pick | 60cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb0ab…2c2fbacked Fnatic | 55c | 54.55$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 16 | 81.3%13 W · 3 L | +3.3wins | +0.20per pick | 61cpaid | +26.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2606…ba10backed ULF Esports | 44c | 53.57$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 16 | 75%12 W · 4 L | +4.6wins | +0.29per pick | 46cpaid | +60.7%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xbf04…ad65backed Fnatic | 55c | 50$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.5 | 285 | 41.1%117 W · 168 L | -26.4wins | -0.09per pick | 50cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 41-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x949c…ab2cbacked ULF Esports | 45c | 44.89$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.89 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.55per pick | 45cpaid | +124.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb11d…3706backed ULF Esports | 49c | 42.05$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.45 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.4wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +93.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd533…d6a1backed Fnatic | 50c | 40$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 438 | 43.6%191 W · 247 L | +8.4wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee16…16a2backed Fnatic | 49c | 40$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.6 | 179 | 48%86 W · 93 L | -3.6wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8548…e4c1backed Fnatic | 41c | 30$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.15 | 26 | 61.5%16 W · 10 L | +3.1wins | +0.12per pick | 49cpaid | +484.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd443…5f71backed ULF Esports | 47c | 29.75$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.75 | 35 | 45.7%16 W · 19 L | -1.1wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa32b…2522backed Fnatic | 55c | 27.27$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 65 | 52.3%34 W · 31 L | -3.6wins | -0.06per pick | 58cpaid | -9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa0c5…4291backed Fnatic | 56c | 20$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.2 | 23 | 73.9%17 W · 6 L | +3.3wins | +0.14per pick | 60cpaid | +26.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xbefe…2d45backed Fnatic | 55c | 19.18$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.55 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.11per pick | 44cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Valorant and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Map Handicap: FNC (-1.5) vs ULF Esports (+1.5)this page
- Valorant: Fnatic vs ULF Esports (BO3) - VCT EMEA Group OmegaFnatic won
- Valorant: Fnatic vs ULF Esports - Map 1 WinnerFnatic won
- Valorant: Fnatic vs ULF Esports - Map 2 WinnerULF Esports won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.