Valorant · resolved market
Valorant: Fnatic vs ULF Esports - Map 1 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xca4dabe7beae0c7d67a7856ba84f8c270666cc32ef3d8c31fb23032402066f85
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Fnaticof Fnatic, ULF Esports
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Valorantevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $28,255
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $32,662
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $28,255 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 57 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Valorant is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Valorant | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x3a95…343bbacked ULF Esports | 37c | 3,877$1,425 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,424.56 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | +0.5wins | +0.07per pick | 21cpaid | +22.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc33d…0d40backed Fnatic | 61c | 3,386$2,076 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,309.77 | 418 | 35.6%149 W · 269 L | -19.8wins | -0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -32.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2924…0f31backed ULF Esports | 61c | 2,010$1,217 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,216.76 | 301 | 47.2%142 W · 159 L | -5.8wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x03f4…7e44backed ULF Esports | 60c | 1,669$995 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$994.92 | 320 | 47.8%153 W · 167 L | +8.9wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x19b6…ad8ebacked ULF Esports | 56c | 1,664$931 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$930.56 | 118 | 54.2%64 W · 54 L | +11.0wins | +0.09per pick | 45cpaid | +19.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1c93…33d5backed Fnatic | 40c | 1,300$520 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$780 | 79 | 34.2%27 W · 52 L | -2.5wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x51bb…a919backed Fnatic | 48c | 1,259$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$658.59 | 33 | 21.2%7 W · 26 L | -4.6wins | -0.14per pick | 35cpaid | -28.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x182d…73e9backed Fnatic | 42c | 1,001$420 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$580.58 | 390 | 42.6%166 W · 224 L | +19.3wins | +0.05per pick | 38cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x84d7…298fbacked ULF Esports | 27c | 937.28$256 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$256.14 | 41 | 53.7%22 W · 19 L | +5.2wins | +0.13per pick | 41cpaid | +29%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xfbc2…514cbacked ULF Esports | 42c | 679.92$283 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$282.93 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -32%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Fnatic | 44c | 673.88$299 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$374.43 | 702 | 51.3%360 W · 342 L | +7.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcc30…c8a5backed ULF Esports | 43c | 465.12$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 173 | 32.4%56 W · 117 L | -11.2wins | -0.06per pick | 39cpaid | -16%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed ULF Esports | 57c | 452.11$258 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$257.67 | 1,746 | 46.2%806 W · 940 L | -3.2wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked ULF Esports | 30c | 434.33$129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129.3 | 348 | 47.4%165 W · 183 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0b95…07e5backed ULF Esports | 38c | 400$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 46 | 60.9%28 W · 18 L | +6.6wins | +0.14per pick | 47cpaid | +28.5%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x2aad…88d4backed Fnatic | 33c | 300$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$201 | 59 | 39%23 W · 36 L | -2.6wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8c14…d8fbbacked Fnatic | 39c | 259.63$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$159.62 | 51 | 62.7%32 W · 19 L | +3.1wins | +0.06per pick | 57cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x675f…aa0bbacked ULF Esports | 65c | 235.84$152 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$152.5 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +26.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd960…92d4backed ULF Esports | 70c | 205$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$143.9 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.5wins | -0.30per pick | 50cpaid | -71.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd1f1…3fd9backed ULF Esports | 27c | 178.57$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.31 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.33per pick | 33cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe438…e80cbacked Fnatic | 34c | 170$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111.44 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +1.3wins | +0.21per pick | 29cpaid | +122.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xec15…665fbacked ULF Esports | 7c | 150$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.5 | 40 | 27.5%11 W · 29 L | +1.6wins | +0.04per pick | 24cpaid | -30.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5c8f…d581backed ULF Esports | 7c | 150$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.5 | 64 | 18.8%12 W · 52 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 18cpaid | -38.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8725…eb10backed ULF Esports | 25c | 120.69$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.11 | 321 | 41.7%134 W · 187 L | -16.1wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd43f…0bb0backed Fnatic | 30c | 115.99$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.55 | 86 | 25.6%22 W · 64 L | -4.8wins | -0.06per pick | 31cpaid | -22.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb5ba…06b3backed Fnatic | 67c | 113.67$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.67 | 70 | 44.3%31 W · 39 L | -2.0wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6c3d…5d2fbacked Fnatic | 67c | 100$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33 | 6 | 100%6 W · 0 L | +1.8wins | +0.29per pick | 71cpaid | +45.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa6bb…6b39backed ULF Esports | 43c | 100$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43 | 34 | 44.1%15 W · 19 L | +1.4wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -14%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb98d…c479backed ULF Esports | 43c | 100$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43 | 28 | 46.4%13 W · 15 L | +2.0wins | +0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd991…0133backed ULF Esports | 69c | 84.35$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58 | 115 | 59.1%68 W · 47 L | -3.6wins | -0.03per pick | 62cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x92aa…0341backed Fnatic | 24c | 83.93$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.79 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | -1.5wins | -0.08per pick | 64cpaid | -3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9317…5a5fbacked Fnatic | 75c | 66.67$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.67 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.12per pick | 63cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x24bb…3e49backed ULF Esports | 43c | 62$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.66 | 267 | 30.7%82 W · 185 L | -13.9wins | -0.05per pick | 36cpaid | -30.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf3c8…e340backed ULF Esports | 43c | 60$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.8 | 57 | 38.6%22 W · 35 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6c34…a023backed Fnatic | 39c | 60$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.6 | 10 | 80%8 W · 2 L | +2.2wins | +0.22per pick | 58cpaid | +44.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1599…5432backed ULF Esports | 57c | 58.24$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.2 | 49 | 46.9%23 W · 26 L | -1.4wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3335…f6debacked Fnatic | 64c | 55.12$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.93 | 24 | 70.8%17 W · 7 L | +2.5wins | +0.10per pick | 60cpaid | +34.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf237…4989backed ULF Esports | 37c | 53.32$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.99 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.13per pick | 47cpaid | +16.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x96f1…b6d8backed ULF Esports | 58c | 51.72$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 146 | 61.6%90 W · 56 L | +4.6wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | +2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc8d3…c0d1backed Fnatic | 49c | 51.24$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.24 | 218 | 59.2%129 W · 89 L | +14.4wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1445…614abacked ULF Esports | 39c | 51.05$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.03 | 125 | 52.8%66 W · 59 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf6c8…a184backed ULF Esports | 43c | 50$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.5 | 130 | 35.4%46 W · 84 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x49ec…ac1cbacked ULF Esports | 37c | 48$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.76 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | -1.7wins | -0.10per pick | 45cpaid | -30.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6c77…6747backed ULF Esports | 53c | 46.52$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.42 | 26 | 30.8%8 W · 18 L | -3.3wins | -0.13per pick | 43cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x891e…1e7abacked Fnatic | 33c | 45$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.36 | 34 | 70.6%24 W · 10 L | +3.6wins | +0.11per pick | 60cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8191…8a35backed ULF Esports | 27c | 43.04$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.56 | 30 | 46.7%14 W · 16 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +13%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf755…8e37backed ULF Esports | 71c | 38.15$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.15 | 18 | 66.7%12 W · 6 L | +1.0wins | +0.05per pick | 61cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa900…5acebacked ULF Esports | 43c | 37.93$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.31 | 44 | 38.6%17 W · 27 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf91e…7e0bbacked Fnatic | 75c | 36.83$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.21 | 42 | 52.4%22 W · 20 L | -2.6wins | -0.06per pick | 59cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0a4b…ecf0backed Fnatic | 40c | 35.16$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.03 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | +24.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3aff…c55ebacked Fnatic | 63c | 31.56$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.56 | 33 | 51.5%17 W · 16 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4627…7c23backed Fnatic | 64c | 31.26$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.26 | 229 | 55%126 W · 103 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9bd9…084fbacked Fnatic | 44c | 29.51$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.65 | 196 | 61.7%121 W · 75 L | +20.0wins | +0.10per pick | 52cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xc8ad…be4ebacked ULF Esports | 79c | 25$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.75 | 210 | 55.2%116 W · 94 L | +10.0wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +17.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x900f…f7b8backed ULF Esports | 77c | 24.23$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.7 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.77per pick | 77cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf21d…2e9abacked Fnatic | 53c | 22.27$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.37 | 267 | 58.8%157 W · 110 L | +18.8wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +16.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa0eb…d79fbacked ULF Esports | 54c | 18.63$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.06 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.54per pick | 54cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Valorant and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Valorant: Fnatic vs ULF Esports - Map 1 Winnerthis page
- Map Handicap: FNC (-1.5) vs ULF Esports (+1.5)ULF Esports won
- Valorant: Fnatic vs ULF Esports (BO3) - VCT EMEA Group OmegaFnatic won
- Valorant: Fnatic vs ULF Esports - Map 2 WinnerULF Esports won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.