TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Tennis · resolved market

Madrid Open, Qualification: Alycia Parks vs Ksenia Efremova

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Alycia Parksof Alycia Parks, Ksenia Efremova
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$214,886
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$252,549

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $214,886 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 88 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Tennis
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xfe78…0319backed Ksenia Efremova10c56,530$5,709 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,708.688,82836.1%3,190 W · 5,638 L-193.3wins-0.02per pick38cpaid-27.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x664a…fc5fbacked Ksenia Efremova4c7,488$299 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$298.5662140.7%253 W · 368 L-6.7wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-7.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Ksenia Efremova4c7,427$290 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$289.867,01843.2%3,031 W · 3,987 L+124.9wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-9.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2430…4527backed Alycia Parks77c5,000$3,850 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,1501968.4%13 W · 6 L+2.2wins+0.12per pick57cpaid+14.7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Ksenia Efremova9c3,973$354 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$354.326,72036.9%2,479 W · 4,241 L-95.8wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-20.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x9e5c…d8e6backed Ksenia Efremova21c3,000$630 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$629.991,09035.9%391 W · 699 L+16.2wins+0.01per pick34cpaid-6.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xafaf…1635backed Ksenia Efremova17c2,995$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5002,04946.8%958 W · 1,091 L+19.0wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-20.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfa01…f0a7backed Ksenia Efremova15c2,039$305 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$304.7289850.1%450 W · 448 L-20.3wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-7.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd3df…82fabacked Ksenia Efremova16c1,989$311 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$310.9127846%128 W · 150 L+9.6wins+0.03per pick43cpaid-10.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Ksenia Efremova13c1,950$247 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$247.432,86544.3%1,269 W · 1,596 L+6.0wins0.00per pick44cpaid-20.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x86fb…03d4backed Alycia Parks76c1,652$1,256 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$396.5985348.7%415 W · 438 L+6.5wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-7.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xea87…1ad7backed Ksenia Efremova21c1,355$290 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$289.6527040%108 W · 162 L-1.6wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-12.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf0ac…4ec7backed Ksenia Efremova7c1,177$82 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$82.444229.6%131 W · 311 L+2.6wins+0.01per pick29cpaid-9.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xde9f…d43cbacked Alycia Parks77c1,139$877 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$262.586,59950.7%3,343 W · 3,256 L+259.7wins+0.04per pick47cpaid-4.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x8e8c…65ddbacked Alycia Parks77c1,124$865 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$258.4654345.3%246 W · 297 L-8.4wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-3.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Ksenia Efremova11c1,096$121 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$121.4411,43543.4%4,959 W · 6,476 L+17.8wins0.00per pick43cpaid-20.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x35a7…c4eebacked Ksenia Efremova13c1,094$142 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$142.1920338.4%78 W · 125 L+2.0wins+0.01per pick37cpaid0%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb272…ee5abacked Ksenia Efremova25c1,080$269 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$268.9614822.3%33 W · 115 L-14.8wins-0.10per pick32cpaid-44.5%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x5f8d…8b2cbacked Ksenia Efremova13c1,051$137 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$137.0338013.9%53 W · 327 L-38.3wins-0.10per pick24cpaid-55.2%equal weight39-0.09 edge/pick
0xc4db…7e0cbacked Ksenia Efremova22c975.96$210 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$210.193,87135%1,353 W · 2,518 L+92.5wins+0.02per pick33cpaid+8.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xb777…3ff9backed Ksenia Efremova24c954.4$229 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$229.0615248%73 W · 79 L-1.8wins-0.01per pick49cpaid+1.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcb6f…a65fbacked Alycia Parks78c948.85$740 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$208.756457.8%37 W · 27 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick59cpaid-6.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9fae…0d19backed Ksenia Efremova10c946$95 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$94.742839.7%170 W · 258 L-0.8wins0.00per pick40cpaid+6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd100…853dbacked Alycia Parks77c809.44$621 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$188.6160446.7%282 W · 322 L-5.9wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-9.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x058e…a2acbacked Ksenia Efremova24c668.04$160 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$160.3332851.8%170 W · 158 L+1.4wins0.00per pick51cpaid+1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x84ad…bfb7backed Ksenia Efremova9c588.49$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53.714,53367.7%3,071 W · 1,462 L+306.6wins+0.07per pick61cpaid+5.2%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xa724…7bdabacked Ksenia Efremova15c577.68$87 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$86.6529754.5%162 W · 135 L-3.7wins-0.01per pick56cpaid-0.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc794…d010backed Ksenia Efremova7c526.99$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.053119.4%6 W · 25 L-2.5wins-0.08per pick27cpaid-67.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xb4d2…ce99backed Ksenia Efremova3c500$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$154,92138.7%1,905 W · 3,016 L-20.0wins0.00per pick39cpaid-7.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcc00…79f8backed Alycia Parks78c493.4$385 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$108.5541060.5%248 W · 162 L-6.5wins-0.02per pick62cpaid-2.1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Ksenia Efremova8c408.26$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.097,81650.6%3,958 W · 3,858 L+95.4wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-4.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Ksenia Efremova10c407.5$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.123,07244.9%1,378 W · 1,694 L-30.9wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-23%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8f88…ca51backed Ksenia Efremova8c400$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3266831.3%209 W · 459 L-15.1wins-0.02per pick34cpaid-12.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x10ff…5088backed Ksenia Efremova7c332.47$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.5166139.3%260 W · 401 L-5.2wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-14.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfb85…8464backed Ksenia Efremova8c314.14$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.6172132%231 W · 490 L-17.8wins-0.02per pick35cpaid-19.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x3aab…9765backed Ksenia Efremova13c299.99$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$391625%4 W · 12 L-1.2wins-0.07per pick32cpaid-26.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x02ea…220cbacked Ksenia Efremova6c294.95$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.8827935.8%100 W · 179 L+9.0wins+0.03per pick33cpaid-2.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd038…8f51backed Ksenia Efremova19c266.34$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.954,28840.5%1,737 W · 2,551 L-139.3wins-0.03per pick44cpaid-20.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xac43…4925backed Alycia Parks76c258.55$197 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61.429553.2%157 W · 138 L-17.1wins-0.06per pick59cpaid-12.6%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x153a…9d6dbacked Alycia Parks76c248.65$190 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58.4728338.9%110 W · 173 L+0.8wins0.00per pick39cpaid-3.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3982…2befbacked Alycia Parks80c248.36$198 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50.8260355.4%334 W · 269 L+19.8wins+0.03per pick52cpaid-3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x31dd…7159backed Ksenia Efremova9c228.8$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.9590340.2%363 W · 540 L+4.3wins0.00per pick40cpaid-0.2%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x1cf9…b4cabacked Ksenia Efremova23c220$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.628828.5%82 W · 206 L+5.2wins+0.02per pick27cpaid-7.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed Alycia Parks78c197.36$154 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43.429,28644.3%4,110 W · 5,176 L-245.7wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-12.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2996…fd9dbacked Ksenia Efremova11c192.2$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.748962.9%56 W · 33 L+2.2wins+0.02per pick60cpaid-2.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf02f…1ed8backed Ksenia Efremova24c180.51$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.321,44438%548 W · 896 L-46.0wins-0.03per pick41cpaid-16.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xcec1…9c0cbacked Alycia Parks78c180.06$140 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.6129952.2%156 W · 143 L+3.3wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe062…4907backed Alycia Parks77c172.59$133 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.6934549.9%172 W · 173 L+10.2wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+5.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x596b…e891backed Alycia Parks78c168.69$132 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.115664.3%36 W · 20 L-1.0wins-0.02per pick66cpaid-1.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdded…13a2backed Ksenia Efremova17c149.64$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.797548%36 W · 39 L-3.9wins-0.05per pick53cpaid-20.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x7fea…8f74backed Ksenia Efremova18c149.11$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.7592145.2%416 W · 505 L-4.7wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-20.1%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x42c9…9623backed Alycia Parks73c147.57$108 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.844,70349.4%2,323 W · 2,380 L+166.5wins+0.04per pick46cpaid-3.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x4093…5749backed Alycia Parks76c146.11$112 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.412,85549.4%1,410 W · 1,445 L+21.3wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-5.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf1ee…519cbacked Ksenia Efremova25c143.25$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.8155360.4%334 W · 219 L+32.7wins+0.06per pick54cpaid+2.5%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xe697…708fbacked Ksenia Efremova22c142.31$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.2637058.6%217 W · 153 L+17.3wins+0.05per pick54cpaid+5.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x012d…9db6backed Alycia Parks80c140.14$112 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.4984968.4%581 W · 268 L+25.9wins+0.03per pick65cpaid+1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe857…7b3bbacked Ksenia Efremova16c118.7$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.9983823.2%194 W · 644 L-58.0wins-0.07per pick30cpaid-26.7%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x43d7…1c75backed Ksenia Efremova22c100$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$221,24041.2%511 W · 729 L-2.2wins0.00per pick41cpaid-2.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0fa8…d75fbacked Ksenia Efremova22c95.32$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.973928.2%11 W · 28 L-1.6wins-0.04per pick32cpaid-22.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x5cb4…4576backed Ksenia Efremova23c90.2$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.7536244.8%162 W · 200 L+5.9wins+0.02per pick43cpaid+9.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5bda…17a8backed Alycia Parks76c75$57 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$181,15148.7%560 W · 591 L+8.8wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+1.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x10ff…ff77backed Alycia Parks76c72.98$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.5296755.3%535 W · 432 L+3.4wins0.00per pick55cpaid-1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa07d…a037backed Ksenia Efremova22c71.67$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.73,27013.8%450 W · 2,820 L-549.1wins-0.17per pick31cpaid-57.4%equal weight31-0.17 edge/pick
0x2b08…aaf4backed Ksenia Efremova24c64.1$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.3810842.6%46 W · 62 L-1.3wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-5.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbb8e…08c1backed Ksenia Efremova25c62.08$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.522,11855.9%1,185 W · 933 L+40.1wins+0.02per pick54cpaid-5.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd3e7…bf64backed Alycia Parks76c60$46 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.41,09452.4%573 W · 521 L-5.9wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-2.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2095…8521backed Alycia Parks76c58$44 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.9217658.5%103 W · 73 L+12.1wins+0.07per pick52cpaid+17%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x9158…ba55backed Alycia Parks76c54.91$42 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.1825745.9%118 W · 139 L+3.8wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa6d7…d801backed Alycia Parks76c51.87$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.4533655.1%185 W · 151 L-2.3wins-0.01per pick56cpaid+0.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfacd…d470backed Alycia Parks77c50$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.521072.4%152 W · 58 L+0.8wins0.00per pick72cpaid+0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x071f…92bdbacked Alycia Parks75c49.25$37 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.311,07673.8%794 W · 282 L+41.1wins+0.04per pick70cpaid+5.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x1c39…442dbacked Ksenia Efremova21c48.34$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.1856817.4%99 W · 469 L-74.2wins-0.13per pick30cpaid-46.8%equal weight36-0.13 edge/pick
0xaa05…fed7backed Alycia Parks77c43.58$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.0516657.2%95 W · 71 L-9.2wins-0.06per pick63cpaid-9.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x1301…2f0abacked Alycia Parks80c40.76$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.154365.1%28 W · 15 L-0.9wins-0.02per pick67cpaid-7.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x0642…8c68backed Alycia Parks78c39.47$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.6864358.8%378 W · 265 L+13.4wins+0.02per pick57cpaid+2.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5495…fc8cbacked Alycia Parks80c37.05$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.412176.2%16 W · 5 L+2.6wins+0.12per pick64cpaid+32.7%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x5b90…cc5dbacked Alycia Parks80c37.05$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.413783.8%31 W · 6 L+5.3wins+0.14per pick69cpaid+21.3%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xf817…80ccbacked Alycia Parks77c34.25$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.88683.3%5 W · 1 L+0.9wins+0.15per pick68cpaid+21.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6687…b9ddbacked Alycia Parks79c31.18$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.4928454.9%156 W · 128 L+3.5wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+3.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcd9d…2269backed Alycia Parks78c30.2$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.646165.6%40 W · 21 L+5.4wins+0.09per pick57cpaid+18%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x354f…95f8backed Alycia Parks80c24.7$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.946360.3%38 W · 25 L-1.0wins-0.02per pick62cpaid+0.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0576…9d28backed Alycia Parks76c20$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.813553.3%72 W · 63 L+0.4wins0.00per pick53cpaid+4.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4cd1…34efbacked Alycia Parks79c19.75$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.153333.3%11 W · 22 L-2.4wins-0.07per pick41cpaid-35.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x9ef1…5acabacked Alycia Parks77c17.75$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.081,79460.2%1,080 W · 714 L+6.8wins0.00per pick60cpaid+1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2f2e…5034backed Alycia Parks77c16.86$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3.886050%30 W · 30 L-2.2wins-0.04per pick54cpaid+8.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xcf79…46a5backed Alycia Parks77c15.45$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3.621100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.23per pick77cpaid+30.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7353…a4f0backed Alycia Parks76c15$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3.654050.4%272 W · 268 L-3.8wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-0.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x200f…7a96backed Alycia Parks73c13.84$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3.747,13949.7%3,548 W · 3,591 L+109.9wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+3.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.