South American Leagues · resolved market
Will CA Huracán win on 2026-04-20?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x59fc9c0e5ea681caf49b553f723caad3884edff83954491d4f18ef2e6796378f
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $15,825
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $15,953
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $15,825 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 39 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4133…5e70backed Yes | 13c | 5,608$746 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$746.34 | 1,985 | 44.8%890 W · 1,095 L | -44.4wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 17c | 1,236$214 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$214.33 | 8,107 | 48.7%3,948 W · 4,159 L | +26.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked No | 75c | 1,000$750 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$250 | 1,668 | 51.7%863 W · 805 L | +18.0wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x28dc…a1f2backed No | 73c | 995.08$726 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$268.67 | 230 | 57.4%132 W · 98 L | +5.1wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4e61…0e06backed Yes | 19c | 653.66$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$123.19 | 489 | 22.9%112 W · 377 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 24cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb13…5946backed No | 73c | 625.93$457 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$169 | 240 | 53.8%129 W · 111 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Yes | 15c | 492.6$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.59 | 849 | 43.8%372 W · 477 L | +5.1wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf3a6…698cbacked Yes | 28c | 341.71$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.68 | 32 | 31.3%10 W · 22 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 31cpaid | +19.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 71c | 340.45$243 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.6 | 3,405 | 51.3%1,748 W · 1,657 L | +21.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4fbe…f9e5backed Yes | 29c | 331.27$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.73 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | -1.5wins | -0.14per pick | 32cpaid | -54.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xba8d…009dbacked Yes | 31c | 300$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93 | 128 | 28.1%36 W · 92 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 29cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x569b…c66ebacked Yes | 22c | 213.49$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.72 | 187 | 43.9%82 W · 105 L | +6.1wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Yes | 22c | 192$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.24 | 2,335 | 51.5%1,202 W · 1,133 L | +2.6wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1e98…110bbacked Yes | 25c | 191$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.75 | 191 | 44.5%85 W · 106 L | +4.0wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x27f7…44b0backed No | 78c | 189.47$148 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.68 | 429 | 62.2%267 W · 162 L | +10.7wins | +0.03per pick | 60cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed No | 77c | 120.14$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.07 | 1,070 | 47.4%507 W · 563 L | -46.3wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked No | 72c | 118.18$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.09 | 1,231 | 53.9%663 W · 568 L | +12.2wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x60e7…3f3fbacked Yes | 29c | 112.25$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.55 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed No | 73c | 104.99$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.91 | 2,611 | 54.2%1,415 W · 1,196 L | +25.5wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x866a…de80backed Yes | 30c | 83.18$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.91 | 138 | 14.5%20 W · 118 L | -5.3wins | -0.04per pick | 18cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe702…d88cbacked Yes | 27c | 73.99$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.98 | 27 | 37%10 W · 17 L | +1.7wins | +0.06per pick | 31cpaid | +19.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed No | 75c | 68.96$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.58 | 948 | 48.1%456 W · 492 L | -18.5wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x43ce…c264backed Yes | 28c | 68.51$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.14 | 77 | 32.5%25 W · 52 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Yes | 23c | 67.21$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.46 | 3,749 | 38.2%1,431 W · 2,318 L | -33.3wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe5b1…30b2backed Yes | 27c | 56.55$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.18 | 164 | 53.7%88 W · 76 L | +3.3wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xae74…e429backed No | 73c | 53.56$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.19 | 15 | 80%12 W · 3 L | +2.6wins | +0.17per pick | 63cpaid | +36.8%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe7e0…a433backed Yes | 28c | 51.26$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.35 | 108 | 26.9%29 W · 79 L | -5.8wins | -0.05per pick | 32cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x44cb…feb2backed Yes | 25c | 49.47$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.37 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | +1.7wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | +39.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3f21…3bcebacked Yes | 25c | 47.75$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.94 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | +0.6wins | +0.05per pick | 19cpaid | +31.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe697…708fbacked No | 76c | 39.21$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.46 | 258 | 64.3%166 W · 92 L | +8.1wins | +0.03per pick | 61cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbc08…6b85backed No | 74c | 37.41$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.73 | 94 | 54.3%51 W · 43 L | -4.8wins | -0.05per pick | 59cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd0e3…99a1backed No | 77c | 32.02$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.36 | 15 | 86.7%13 W · 2 L | +6.6wins | +0.44per pick | 43cpaid | +138.6%equal weight | 68+0.17 edge/pick |
| 0xe4a1…3a92backed No | 77c | 25.62$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.89 | 42 | 52.4%22 W · 20 L | -3.4wins | -0.08per pick | 60cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf1e0…041bbacked No | 72c | 25$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7 | 216 | 57.9%125 W · 91 L | +2.8wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5cb4…4576backed No | 72c | 21$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.88 | 104 | 67.3%70 W · 34 L | +12.8wins | +0.12per pick | 55cpaid | +25%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x0576…9d28backed No | 73c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.4 | 55 | 60%33 W · 22 L | -1.7wins | -0.03per pick | 63cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3982…2befbacked No | 74c | 16.26$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.23 | 477 | 58.1%277 W · 200 L | +8.1wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfd51…ce69backed No | 72c | 15$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.14 | 32 | 56.3%18 W · 14 L | +1.8wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc794…d010backed No | 73c | 13.7$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.7 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.08per pick | 59cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will CA Huracán win on 2026-04-20?this page
- Will CA Tigre vs. CA Huracán end in a draw?Yes won
- Will CA Tigre win on 2026-04-20?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.