South American Leagues · resolved market
Will CA Tigre win on 2026-04-20?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x4db5e78c68f533812a23809e0e9fdd56e23ae4c6a8de354eaf0a6e8ed64c083f
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $10,258
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $10,135
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $10,258 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 41 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Yes | 53c | 1,171$624 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$623.66 | 2,388 | 51.8%1,237 W · 1,151 L | -9.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Yes | 40c | 1,025$410 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$410.49 | 1,668 | 51.7%863 W · 805 L | +18.0wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe2bb…ea55backed No | 58c | 974.8$565 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$409.42 | 74 | 41.9%31 W · 43 L | -2.9wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5a3c…38d3backed No | 60c | 878.4$527 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$351.36 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +2.8wins | +0.40per pick | 46cpaid | +99.2%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x5887…994ebacked Yes | 14c | 760.34$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.51 | 53 | 43.4%23 W · 30 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc866…8c6dbacked Yes | 13c | 729$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.21 | 60 | 43.3%26 W · 34 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8314…0f1ebacked No | 57c | 500$285 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$215 | 85 | 54.1%46 W · 39 L | +3.4wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Yes | 43c | 479.04$206 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$205.99 | 2,514 | 39%980 W · 1,534 L | -32.2wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -14%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a49…d9f5backed No | 65c | 389.49$252 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$137.68 | 1,366 | 52.4%716 W · 650 L | +51.1wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1966…da9ebacked Yes | 42c | 239.85$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.74 | 98 | 31.6%31 W · 67 L | -11.2wins | -0.11per pick | 43cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xf3a6…698cbacked Yes | 8c | 200$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 32 | 31.3%10 W · 22 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 31cpaid | +19.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 79c | 196$155 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.97 | 8,107 | 48.7%3,948 W · 4,159 L | +26.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4e61…0e06backed Yes | 15c | 194.54$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.04 | 489 | 22.9%112 W · 377 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 24cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd1d2…2be9backed Yes | 26c | 147.02$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.22 | 52 | 26.9%14 W · 38 L | -4.1wins | -0.08per pick | 35cpaid | -43.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed No | 74c | 131.85$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.7 | 1,362 | 44.9%611 W · 751 L | -22.0wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x866a…de80backed Yes | 12c | 126.29$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.16 | 138 | 14.5%20 W · 118 L | -5.3wins | -0.04per pick | 18cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Yes | 39c | 125.99$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.67 | 2,611 | 54.2%1,415 W · 1,196 L | +25.5wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1df5…1e18backed No | 77c | 113.08$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.31 | 44 | 68.2%30 W · 14 L | +7.8wins | +0.18per pick | 51cpaid | +38.1%equal weight | 63+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x7a0e…c7a6backed Yes | 36c | 110.98$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.95 | 54 | 44.4%24 W · 30 L | +2.8wins | +0.05per pick | 39cpaid | +15.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0fce…c02abacked Yes | 23c | 102.55$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.59 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf472…fd6ebacked No | 58c | 100.29$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.79 | 159 | 45.9%73 W · 86 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaab6…607ebacked Yes | 42c | 99.97$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.49 | 163 | 47.9%78 W · 85 L | -5.8wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0362…449ebacked No | 60c | 97.6$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.04 | 516 | 54.8%283 W · 233 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x397e…3d84backed No | 28c | 89.84$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.48 | 992 | 59.1%586 W · 406 L | +108.7wins | +0.11per pick | 48cpaid | +26.3%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x27f7…44b0backed No | 57c | 84.76$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.44 | 429 | 62.2%267 W · 162 L | +10.7wins | +0.03per pick | 60cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3a72…c2a0backed Yes | 16c | 76.35$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.35 | 302 | 31.1%94 W · 208 L | +10.5wins | +0.03per pick | 28cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked Yes | 17c | 71.85$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.89 | 896 | 45.4%407 W · 489 L | -23.0wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf512…5198backed Yes | 73c | 69.99$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.09 | 118 | 63.6%75 W · 43 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 63cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe5b1…30b2backed No | 59c | 68.93$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.15 | 164 | 53.7%88 W · 76 L | +3.3wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6832…831fbacked Yes | 27c | 63.85$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.34 | 87 | 40.2%35 W · 52 L | +5.7wins | +0.07per pick | 34cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x31d4…5c13backed Yes | 41c | 58.82$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.12 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.14per pick | 47cpaid | -44.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked No | 59c | 51.59$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.15 | 1,231 | 53.9%663 W · 568 L | +12.2wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 60c | 48.9$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.52 | 3,405 | 51.3%1,748 W · 1,657 L | +21.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd77d…b01cbacked No | 64c | 38.22$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.76 | 60 | 56.7%34 W · 26 L | +3.6wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcce5…7eb2backed No | 64c | 38.22$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.76 | 55 | 56.4%31 W · 24 L | +2.9wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x32cc…68b3backed No | 59c | 37.83$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.5 | 571 | 57.8%330 W · 241 L | +9.0wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf75b…ed74backed No | 40c | 36.62$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.06 | 22 | 45.5%10 W · 12 L | +2.2wins | +0.10per pick | 35cpaid | +29.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6804…29e2backed No | 78c | 32.13$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.12 | 193 | 56%108 W · 85 L | -3.3wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x395c…0be0backed Yes | 40c | 29.98$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.99 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | +27.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked No | 58c | 27.78$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.67 | 1,443 | 45.9%662 W · 781 L | -22.1wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf46b…c51dbacked No | 64c | 16.03$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.83 | 449 | 59%265 W · 184 L | +22.4wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will CA Tigre win on 2026-04-20?this page
- Will CA Huracán win on 2026-04-20?No won
- Will CA Tigre vs. CA Huracán end in a draw?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.