South American Leagues · resolved market
Will CA Tigre vs. CA Huracán end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf94a337eed83633bccf29c0f42f5a9f8e06b13035108ff6c705bc432533fc1d3
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $21,302
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $19,677
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $21,302 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 44 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4133…5e70backed No | 62c | 4,902$3,037 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,036.5 | 1,985 | 44.8%890 W · 1,095 L | -44.4wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x54ba…04e4backed Yes | 50c | 3,869$1,940 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,928.38 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +1.4wins | +0.17per pick | 45cpaid | +18%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Yes | 51c | 3,534$1,800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,734.74 | 2,388 | 51.8%1,237 W · 1,151 L | -9.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 22c | 1,319$295 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,023.79 | 8,112 | 48.7%3,951 W · 4,161 L | +27.1wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe524…d34fbacked Yes | 35c | 1,154$404 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$750.41 | 198 | 46%91 W · 107 L | +13.5wins | +0.07per pick | 39cpaid | +20%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked No | 65c | 999.98$650 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$649.99 | 1,670 | 51.8%865 W · 805 L | +19.4wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 51c | 486.45$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$249.58 | 5,762 | 45.4%2,614 W · 3,148 L | +94.9wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3344…3698backed Yes | 62c | 472.84$293 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$179.68 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.38per pick | 62cpaid | +61.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf02f…1ed8backed Yes | 34c | 432.09$146 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$286.2 | 507 | 46.7%237 W · 270 L | -5.8wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a49…d9f5backed Yes | 25c | 404.88$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$302.16 | 1,366 | 52.4%716 W · 650 L | +51.1wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x32cc…68b3backed No | 39c | 313.57$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122.29 | 571 | 57.8%330 W · 241 L | +9.0wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked No | 51c | 266.36$137 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$136.87 | 896 | 45.4%407 W · 489 L | -23.0wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc866…8c6dbacked No | 36c | 165.79$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.55 | 60 | 43.3%26 W · 34 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3d39…a4fbbacked No | 31c | 159.97$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.59 | 71 | 28.2%20 W · 51 L | -3.9wins | -0.05per pick | 34cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3982…2befbacked No | 39c | 156.79$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.15 | 477 | 58.1%277 W · 200 L | +8.1wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x569b…c66ebacked No | 66c | 148.42$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.96 | 187 | 43.9%82 W · 105 L | +6.1wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7cad…6ce4backed Yes | 80c | 138.75$111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.1 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.09per pick | 76cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x53f2…defdbacked No | 62c | 133.31$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.17 | 25 | 32%8 W · 17 L | -2.0wins | -0.08per pick | 40cpaid | -35.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed No | 52c | 128.25$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.3 | 1,362 | 44.9%611 W · 751 L | -22.0wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed No | 63c | 119.99$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.09 | 2,614 | 54.2%1,416 W · 1,198 L | +25.1wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x60e7…3f3fbacked Yes | 43c | 112.3$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.01 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Yes | 34c | 106.36$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.74 | 3,407 | 51.3%1,749 W · 1,658 L | +21.2wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a11…ef8ebacked No | 66c | 104.02$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.66 | 101 | 58.4%59 W · 42 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd1d2…2be9backed Yes | 50c | 97$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.5 | 52 | 26.9%14 W · 38 L | -4.1wins | -0.08per pick | 35cpaid | -43.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4512…5d41backed Yes | 35c | 92.15$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.9 | 187 | 33.2%62 W · 125 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed No | 50c | 78.87$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.14 | 1,444 | 56.4%815 W · 629 L | +51.8wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3a72…c2a0backed Yes | 36c | 72.76$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.76 | 302 | 31.1%94 W · 208 L | +10.5wins | +0.03per pick | 28cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9bd9…084fbacked Yes | 62c | 66.12$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.82 | 246 | 54.9%135 W · 111 L | +4.3wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcce5…7eb2backed Yes | 37c | 65.01$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.96 | 55 | 56.4%31 W · 24 L | +2.9wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Yes | 75c | 51.79$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13 | 235 | 51.5%121 W · 114 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed Yes | 34c | 49.95$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.97 | 1,282 | 53.7%689 W · 593 L | +5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf472…fd6ebacked Yes | 51c | 47.58$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.31 | 159 | 45.9%73 W · 86 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2bf6…bf35backed No | 39c | 35.27$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.76 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.39per pick | 39cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2f26…0d8fbacked No | 67c | 33.01$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.12 | 448 | 43.8%196 W · 252 L | +11.4wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5887…994ebacked No | 39c | 32.49$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.77 | 53 | 43.4%23 W · 30 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6835…1976backed No | 64c | 31.5$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.16 | 551 | 55%303 W · 248 L | +13.6wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked Yes | 34c | 31.23$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.61 | 1,231 | 53.9%663 W · 568 L | +12.2wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ac7…1ad5backed No | 51c | 28.55$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.56 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x22da…2866backed No | 51c | 26.61$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.57 | 632 | 61.2%387 W · 245 L | +21.9wins | +0.03per pick | 58cpaid | +4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Yes | 77c | 24.92$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.83 | 1,070 | 47.4%507 W · 563 L | -46.3wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5eeb…01b2backed Yes | 60c | 24.76$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.91 | 495 | 35.4%175 W · 320 L | -11.9wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5f39…d603backed No | 51c | 20.42$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.41 | 29 | 62.1%18 W · 11 L | +3.5wins | +0.12per pick | 50cpaid | +21.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xedb4…ba5bbacked Yes | 79c | 18.66$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.85 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.22per pick | 78cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfd51…ce69backed No | 64c | 15.99$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.16 | 32 | 56.3%18 W · 14 L | +1.8wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will CA Tigre vs. CA Huracán end in a draw?this page
- Will CA Huracán win on 2026-04-20?No won
- Will CA Tigre win on 2026-04-20?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.