TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Asian League · resolved market

Will Beijing Guoan FC win on 2026-04-21?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Yesof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Asian Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$27,051
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$29,869

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $27,051 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 84 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Asian League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Asian League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x2005…75eabacked Yes67c3,117$2,075 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,042.422,52242.3%1,067 W · 1,455 L+54.6wins+0.02per pick40cpaid-5.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6af9…a022backed Yes22c2,765$615 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,149.82245.5%10 W · 12 L+0.4wins+0.02per pick44cpaid+7.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed No59c1,966$1,169 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,169.185,94646.1%2,743 W · 3,203 L+50.5wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-6.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbe87…6fc0backed No51c1,599$816 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$815.543256.3%18 W · 14 L+2.6wins+0.08per pick48cpaid+18.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xeaa4…3409backed Yes36c1,068$385 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$683.86636.4%24 W · 42 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick37cpaid-3.3%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x28dc…a1f2backed No50c995.86$498 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$497.9312552.8%66 W · 59 L-2.2wins-0.02per pick55cpaid+0.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xfc0e…a1fabacked Yes49c877.35$427 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$450.841050%5 W · 5 L-0.3wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-18.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed No61c840.39$514 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$513.572,42438%920 W · 1,504 L+0.7wins0.00per pick38cpaid-1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf2d2…a1cdbacked Yes48c769.1$372 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$397.235655.4%31 W · 25 L+1.8wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+20.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xc98f…a13fbacked No3c626.65$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.8345.9%2 W · 32 L-3.3wins-0.10per pick16cpaid-92.3%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xcb5b…f243backed No79c578.55$454 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$454.4349044.3%217 W · 273 L-9.8wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-10.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Yes49c523.11$255 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$268.261,25451.4%644 W · 610 L+9.7wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-5.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x06c2…184fbacked Yes41c500$205 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2952937.9%11 W · 18 L-2.0wins-0.07per pick45cpaid-16.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xefde…6505backed Yes50c382.57$191 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$191.2830049.7%149 W · 151 L+5.7wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+4.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfe89…08dbbacked Yes74c372.07$274 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$97.92250%1 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.25per pick75cpaid-32.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4133…5e70backed Yes26c365.17$94 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$271.131,09843.8%481 W · 617 L-14.6wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-11.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed No6c360.56$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.9192835%325 W · 603 L-22.9wins-0.02per pick37cpaid-33.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x8f13…daaebacked Yes38c299.3$115 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$184.778532.9%28 W · 57 L+1.5wins+0.02per pick31cpaid+23.1%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x4483…c565backed Yes49c298.73$146 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$152.35540%2 W · 3 L-0.2wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-20%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf02f…1ed8backed No55c265.64$146 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$146.3340448%194 W · 210 L+6.9wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+7.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Yes50c246.48$123 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$123.311,76450.2%886 W · 878 L+31.3wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+6.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x938d…82bcbacked No51c233.54$118 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$118.05250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x02d4…d26cbacked Yes21c209.25$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$164.4620420.1%41 W · 163 L-2.5wins-0.01per pick21cpaid-14.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8419…4d80backed No74c200.58$148 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$147.5210%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.74per pick74cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8af5…4bbabacked No50c200$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1002330.4%7 W · 16 L-3.5wins-0.15per pick46cpaid-35%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xdfe8…3684backed Yes45c198.83$89 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$109.361266.7%8 W · 4 L+3.1wins+0.26per pick41cpaid+60.1%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x26d6…caccbacked No45c193.22$87 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$87.4230548.5%148 W · 157 L-5.2wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-26.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x08cd…2bc1backed Yes49c169.99$83 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$86.7666.7%4 W · 2 L+1.8wins+0.30per pick36cpaid+66.1%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x3982…2befbacked No58c161.63$94 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$94.0134558.6%202 W · 143 L+0.1wins0.00per pick59cpaid-5.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcf01…6e5bbacked Yes49c152.33$75 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$77.692828.6%8 W · 20 L-0.7wins-0.02per pick31cpaid+24.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x99ec…0da5backed No53c128.35$68 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$68.031118.2%2 W · 9 L-3.7wins-0.33per pick51cpaid-66.7%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x04ec…8ac9backed No48c126.38$61 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60.6610846.3%50 W · 58 L+8.2wins+0.08per pick39cpaid+17.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xa07d…a037backed Yes24c116.71$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$89.1846422.6%105 W · 359 L-22.6wins-0.05per pick28cpaid-23%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x8217…4936backed Yes20c115.28$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$92.225162.7%32 W · 19 L+1.0wins+0.02per pick61cpaid+4.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xc33d…0d40backed No50c113.28$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$56.9918542.7%79 W · 106 L-7.4wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-23.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xb27b…5d6ebacked No50c108.45$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54.221643.8%7 W · 9 L-1.7wins-0.11per pick55cpaid-22%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x134c…eeefbacked Yes47c103$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$54.5912742.5%54 W · 73 L+3.1wins+0.02per pick40cpaid+14.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xde7d…499ebacked No51c100$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$512030%6 W · 14 L-2.8wins-0.14per pick44cpaid-24.7%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x1fc2…5dbbbacked No56c97.36$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54.521154.5%6 W · 5 L+0.6wins+0.06per pick49cpaid+3.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0362…449ebacked No51c97.06$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.523755.3%131 W · 106 L+4.8wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+1.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x94a5…4eb8backed Yes50c97$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.57557.3%43 W · 32 L+3.0wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+12.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x52d9…fb1abacked No53c89.6$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.4189245%401 W · 491 L-5.6wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-2.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf39a…fe47backed No64c76.28$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.6773850.3%371 W · 367 L-2.7wins0.00per pick51cpaid-8.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x36f9…5445backed Yes52c70.04$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.626663.6%42 W · 24 L+3.8wins+0.06per pick58cpaid+11.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x20ee…7774backed Yes21c68.36$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$54.081241.7%5 W · 7 L+2.0wins+0.17per pick25cpaid+17.7%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x200f…7a96backed Yes48c67.97$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.061,97054.4%1,071 W · 899 L+32.9wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+2.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf64c…f45ebacked No51c66.67$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.89250%1 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.13per pick63cpaid-33.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x130a…5c12backed Yes52c61.6$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.571361.5%8 W · 5 L+2.2wins+0.17per pick44cpaid+30.7%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x1c39…442dbacked Yes29c61.52$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43.9211023.6%26 W · 84 L-3.9wins-0.04per pick27cpaid-8.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x981b…b8eabacked No49c59.35$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.0818445.7%84 W · 100 L+4.7wins+0.03per pick43cpaid+1.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5eeb…01b2backed Yes49c58.05$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.7129425.2%74 W · 220 L-14.3wins-0.05per pick30cpaid-35.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x9bd9…084fbacked Yes69c56.53$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.5814149.6%70 W · 71 L-3.6wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x22da…2866backed Yes52c50.47$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.1231960.2%192 W · 127 L+2.0wins+0.01per pick60cpaid-2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe697…708fbacked No52c43.41$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.6324162.2%150 W · 91 L+6.4wins+0.03per pick60cpaid+1.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x5d1d…afd2backed Yes51c41.34$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.2540156.4%226 W · 175 L+6.5wins+0.02per pick55cpaid+1.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2302…d6d2backed Yes51c41.34$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.2522656.6%128 W · 98 L+8.0wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+7.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xa4e8…ff03backed Yes51c41.34$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.256467.2%43 W · 21 L+6.8wins+0.11per pick57cpaid+29.7%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0xfb51…082dbacked Yes51c41.34$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.2519055.3%105 W · 85 L+2.9wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+1.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed Yes64c40.11$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.351,64736.2%596 W · 1,051 L-34.3wins-0.02per pick38cpaid-14.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5f57…f8c5backed Yes49c39.78$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.44946.9%23 W · 26 L+3.6wins+0.07per pick40cpaid+15%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xa4c7…c8e5backed No49c39.71$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.46540%2 W · 3 L-0.4wins-0.08per pick48cpaid-10.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x39cd…1889backed No52c39.15$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.3650%0 W · 5 L-2.2wins-0.43per pick43cpaid-100%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xf08b…7e76backed Yes51c38.17$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.763063.3%19 W · 11 L+2.8wins+0.09per pick54cpaid+15.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xae74…e429backed Yes51c38.06$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.651369.2%9 W · 4 L+0.5wins+0.04per pick65cpaid+10.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x33af…288abacked Yes51c38.06$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.6538737.5%145 W · 242 L-1.7wins0.00per pick38cpaid-0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf133…4811backed No50c37.96$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.968729.9%26 W · 61 L-2.8wins-0.03per pick33cpaid-12%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe4a1…3a92backed Yes52c37.35$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.93966.7%6 W · 3 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick65cpaid+1%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xb468…0cbabacked Yes53c36.67$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.241250%6 W · 6 L+1.0wins+0.08per pick42cpaid+18%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3d5f…7e6fbacked No49c35.61$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.454134.1%14 W · 27 L-4.6wins-0.11per pick45cpaid-19.1%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x5ae6…5e07backed No51c35.09$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.89425%1 W · 3 L-0.9wins-0.24per pick49cpaid-24.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x8393…f0aebacked No49c33.75$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.541050%5 W · 5 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+1.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x81b0…5159backed Yes49c30.05$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.333363.6%21 W · 12 L+7.8wins+0.23per pick40cpaid+60.2%equal weight65+0.13 edge/pick
0x0ffe…9150backed Yes65c26.93$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.491968.4%13 W · 6 L+1.7wins+0.09per pick59cpaid+10.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x46d2…6805backed No63c25.85$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.218068.8%55 W · 25 L+8.0wins+0.10per pick59cpaid+17.5%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0xb475…978cbacked Yes42c24.13$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$142766.7%18 W · 9 L+7.6wins+0.28per pick39cpaid+87.6%equal weight66+0.15 edge/pick
0x2806…5feebacked Yes51c23.13$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.44955.6%5 W · 4 L0.0wins0.00per pick55cpaid+2.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa923…6704backed No50c22.58$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.2916561.2%101 W · 64 L+6.3wins+0.04per pick57cpaid+7.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x32cc…68b3backed No55c20.91$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.539058.2%227 W · 163 L+6.3wins+0.02per pick57cpaid+3.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x35d1…1f70backed No52c20.69$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.7820860.1%125 W · 83 L+7.0wins+0.03per pick57cpaid+3.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0576…9d28backed No51c20$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.23060%18 W · 12 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick61cpaid-4.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xaa2d…d35bbacked No51c19.72$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.155156.9%29 W · 22 L+5.6wins+0.11per pick46cpaid+21.5%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xf83b…167dbacked Yes52c19.42$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.321573.3%11 W · 4 L+3.0wins+0.20per pick53cpaid+35%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0xfe42…b3b2backed Yes52c19.24$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.23837.5%3 W · 5 L-0.4wins-0.05per pick43cpaid-11.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc794…d010backed No59c16.95$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1030%0 W · 3 L-1.6wins-0.54per pick54cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Asian League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.