Tennis · resolved market
Madrid Open, Qualification: Moez Echargui vs Nicolai Budkov Kjaer
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x98f35022b8a7676fa3aa5d00e20838a5b1a4f643adaac2275b230b0066cea52c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Nicolai Budkov Kjaerof Moez Echargui, Nicolai Budkov Kjaer
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $64,018
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $63,922
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $64,018 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 72 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Moez Echargui | 13c | 12,961$1,668 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,668.37 | 8,828 | 36.1%3,190 W · 5,638 L | -193.3wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Moez Echargui | 17c | 7,685$1,326 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,325.78 | 7,018 | 43.2%3,031 W · 3,987 L | +124.9wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1df2…89a0backed Moez Echargui | 3c | 3,265$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.11 | 2,065 | 35.2%727 W · 1,338 L | -52.7wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x42c9…9623backed Moez Echargui | 15c | 2,135$320 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$320.29 | 4,703 | 49.4%2,323 W · 2,380 L | +166.5wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4b49…0397backed Moez Echargui | 23c | 2,000$460 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$460 | 587 | 34.6%203 W · 384 L | -4.5wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Nicolai Budkov Kjaer | 80c | 1,707$1,358 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$348.34 | 4,533 | 67.7%3,071 W · 1,462 L | +306.6wins | +0.07per pick | 61cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Nicolai Budkov Kjaer | 76c | 1,481$1,121 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$360.39 | 1,107 | 42.8%474 W · 633 L | -20.0wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ca…4ac0backed Nicolai Budkov Kjaer | 74c | 1,001$741 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$260.26 | 84 | 61.9%52 W · 32 L | -4.1wins | -0.05per pick | 67cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdf37…8b49backed Moez Echargui | 23c | 1,000$230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$230 | 395 | 34.4%136 W · 259 L | -10.9wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9e5c…d8e6backed Moez Echargui | 24c | 999.99$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240 | 1,090 | 35.9%391 W · 699 L | +16.2wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x494e…fb0bbacked Moez Echargui | 28c | 843.38$236 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$236.15 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +1.2wins | +0.24per pick | 36cpaid | +44.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfa01…f0a7backed Moez Echargui | 26c | 764.48$199 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$198.76 | 898 | 50.1%450 W · 448 L | -20.3wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde80…d8b9backed Moez Echargui | 26c | 683.62$178 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$177.74 | 76 | 30.3%23 W · 53 L | -5.5wins | -0.07per pick | 38cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcd8c…f75abacked Nicolai Budkov Kjaer | 76c | 647.47$493 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$154.64 | 327 | 63.9%209 W · 118 L | +15.6wins | +0.05per pick | 59cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xac83…239cbacked Moez Echargui | 26c | 600.33$156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$156.09 | 57 | 42.1%24 W · 33 L | -3.4wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed Moez Echargui | 28c | 596.39$167 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$166.99 | 336 | 50.9%171 W · 165 L | -7.3wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1733…1e15backed Nicolai Budkov Kjaer | 73c | 539.07$394 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$145.55 | 781 | 52.8%412 W · 369 L | +21.3wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2f26…0d8fbacked Nicolai Budkov Kjaer | 72c | 501.65$361 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$141.05 | 1,532 | 40.7%624 W · 908 L | -48.7wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7a18…61a0backed Nicolai Budkov Kjaer | 76c | 492.8$375 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$118.27 | 521 | 55.3%288 W · 233 L | +27.3wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1d30…89ccbacked Moez Echargui | 10c | 473$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.3 | 174 | 50%87 W · 87 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe54d…fea1backed Nicolai Budkov Kjaer | 74c | 464.71$344 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120.82 | 32 | 53.1%17 W · 15 L | -2.9wins | -0.09per pick | 62cpaid | -14%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfaa6…d3c2backed Nicolai Budkov Kjaer | 76c | 453.89$345 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.93 | 465 | 62.6%291 W · 174 L | +7.7wins | +0.02per pick | 61cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x448d…3adebacked Moez Echargui | 27c | 450.27$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$121.57 | 322 | 47.2%152 W · 170 L | +3.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f2b…0f9abacked Nicolai Budkov Kjaer | 74c | 431.17$319 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.1 | 475 | 52.4%249 W · 226 L | +6.0wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x058e…a2acbacked Moez Echargui | 25c | 382$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.5 | 328 | 51.8%170 W · 158 L | +1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xba8d…009dbacked Moez Echargui | 27c | 344.8$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.75 | 278 | 36.3%101 W · 177 L | +4.1wins | +0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbebf…9baebacked Moez Echargui | 7c | 337.12$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.84 | 908 | 54.5%495 W · 413 L | +21.5wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6001…0457backed Moez Echargui | 18c | 335.72$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.7 | 184 | 47.3%87 W · 97 L | +9.2wins | +0.05per pick | 42cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x95bd…b9bebacked Moez Echargui | 27c | 309.26$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.5 | 127 | 50.4%64 W · 63 L | -4.3wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa1a9…e22ebacked Moez Echargui | 28c | 307.94$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.58 | 1,284 | 39.2%503 W · 781 L | -12.2wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x236b…26b7backed Moez Echargui | 25c | 288.41$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.1 | 280 | 38.2%107 W · 173 L | +3.2wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb7bf…b02dbacked Nicolai Budkov Kjaer | 72c | 273.11$197 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.47 | 591 | 65.3%386 W · 205 L | -16.9wins | -0.03per pick | 68cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfbc6…9092backed Moez Echargui | 8c | 236.2$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.9 | 366 | 21.6%79 W · 287 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 21cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Moez Echargui | 24c | 224.17$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.76 | 951 | 40.1%381 W · 570 L | +29.7wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | +12%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0862…dc29backed Nicolai Budkov Kjaer | 72c | 222.39$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.29 | 513 | 39.4%202 W · 311 L | -14.8wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc794…d010backed Moez Echargui | 8c | 219.54$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.51 | 31 | 19.4%6 W · 25 L | -2.5wins | -0.08per pick | 27cpaid | -67.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1cf9…b4cabacked Moez Echargui | 24c | 209$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.16 | 288 | 28.5%82 W · 206 L | +5.2wins | +0.02per pick | 27cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked Moez Echargui | 24c | 189.49$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.48 | 1,729 | 48.9%845 W · 884 L | +53.2wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5628…abbcbacked Nicolai Budkov Kjaer | 75c | 187.43$141 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.86 | 2,229 | 45%1,002 W · 1,227 L | +3.4wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xed19…83babacked Moez Echargui | 5c | 186.5$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.03 | 847 | 36%305 W · 542 L | -35.7wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa373…b6dcbacked Moez Echargui | 26c | 184.68$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.78 | 543 | 48.1%261 W · 282 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5df5…c44cbacked Moez Echargui | 11c | 167$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.89 | 1,354 | 43.9%595 W · 759 L | -62.8wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -24.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0e1b…ecafbacked Moez Echargui | 10c | 159.93$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.18 | 2,523 | 39.6%1,000 W · 1,523 L | -3.1wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5213…6a35backed Moez Echargui | 25c | 133.75$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.44 | 1,865 | 44.7%834 W · 1,031 L | +36.5wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x25bf…7a56backed Moez Echargui | 23c | 122.74$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.63 | 2,335 | 46.6%1,088 W · 1,247 L | +55.3wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd3e7…bf64backed Nicolai Budkov Kjaer | 75c | 120$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 1,094 | 52.4%573 W · 521 L | -5.9wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3865…fcbebacked Nicolai Budkov Kjaer | 74c | 118.3$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.76 | 197 | 54.8%108 W · 89 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Moez Echargui | 18c | 114.29$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.95 | 3,270 | 13.8%450 W · 2,820 L | -549.1wins | -0.17per pick | 31cpaid | -57.4%equal weight | 31-0.17 edge/pick |
| 0xfc7e…70ecbacked Moez Echargui | 27c | 109.31$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.97 | 1,001 | 45.4%454 W · 547 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x43d7…1c75backed Moez Echargui | 27c | 100$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 1,240 | 41.2%511 W · 729 L | -2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed Moez Echargui | 24c | 98.43$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.62 | 1,679 | 48.1%808 W · 871 L | +36.2wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1b0f…b7aebacked Moez Echargui | 25c | 97.7$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.42 | 408 | 36.8%150 W · 258 L | -1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0430…80a2backed Moez Echargui | 25c | 91.68$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.92 | 28 | 60.7%17 W · 11 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 58cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x56c4…fce5backed Nicolai Budkov Kjaer | 76c | 84.76$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.34 | 814 | 57%464 W · 350 L | +19.5wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3c32…7156backed Nicolai Budkov Kjaer | 76c | 84.76$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.34 | 812 | 55.3%449 W · 363 L | +4.6wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Moez Echargui | 18c | 80.49$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.21 | 11,435 | 43.4%4,959 W · 6,476 L | +17.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5bda…17a8backed Moez Echargui | 24c | 75$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 1,151 | 48.7%560 W · 591 L | +8.8wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e76…47fabacked Moez Echargui | 27c | 71.94$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.54 | 107 | 51.4%55 W · 52 L | +5.2wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8776…f2efbacked Nicolai Budkov Kjaer | 72c | 68.28$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.12 | 178 | 59%105 W · 73 L | +6.5wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbd14…76b4backed Moez Echargui | 29c | 64.04$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.57 | 75 | 41.3%31 W · 44 L | -2.7wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1c39…442dbacked Moez Echargui | 18c | 54.18$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 568 | 17.4%99 W · 469 L | -74.2wins | -0.13per pick | 30cpaid | -46.8%equal weight | 36-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x782b…ff64backed Nicolai Budkov Kjaer | 72c | 49.16$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.76 | 313 | 66.8%209 W · 104 L | +27.1wins | +0.09per pick | 58cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xfa41…2239backed Nicolai Budkov Kjaer | 69c | 42.76$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.15 | 157 | 51%80 W · 77 L | +6.1wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0576…9d28backed Moez Echargui | 27c | 40$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 135 | 53.3%72 W · 63 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0654…f5a9backed Nicolai Budkov Kjaer | 71c | 34.6$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.03 | 56 | 66.1%37 W · 19 L | +4.9wins | +0.09per pick | 57cpaid | +15.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf9ef…20ebbacked Nicolai Budkov Kjaer | 70c | 33.33$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 1,245 | 51.9%646 W · 599 L | +9.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe5b1…30b2backed Nicolai Budkov Kjaer | 76c | 30.55$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.33 | 1,276 | 61%778 W · 498 L | +27.7wins | +0.02per pick | 59cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4ba8…90a3backed Nicolai Budkov Kjaer | 72c | 29.5$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.26 | 488 | 52.9%258 W · 230 L | +3.0wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9ef1…5acabacked Nicolai Budkov Kjaer | 72c | 17.7$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.96 | 1,794 | 60.2%1,080 W · 714 L | +6.8wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5d75…12a6backed Nicolai Budkov Kjaer | 74c | 17.25$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.48 | 54 | 68.5%37 W · 17 L | +4.1wins | +0.08per pick | 61cpaid | +10%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xba27…3f88backed Nicolai Budkov Kjaer | 72c | 16.17$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.53 | 47 | 76.6%36 W · 11 L | +5.8wins | +0.12per pick | 64cpaid | +21.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x3e6d…2671backed Nicolai Budkov Kjaer | 77c | 14.11$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.25 | 336 | 61.3%206 W · 130 L | +12.6wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.