Tennis · resolved market
Rublev vs. Fils: Match O/U 22.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf93624d71e8c5164789d66ddd5079bcba33d80a86a32bf68f66d3f26690160cf
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $6,019
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $6,351
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $6,019 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 32 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x058e…a2acbacked Over | 50c | 1,617$816 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$815.86 | 328 | 51.8%170 W · 158 L | +1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7a5d…54dbbacked Over | 42c | 904.28$376 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$375.74 | 2,417 | 50.7%1,226 W · 1,191 L | +78.7wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Under | 49c | 714$350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$364.14 | 7,724 | 47.8%3,691 W · 4,033 L | +41.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Under | 49c | 643.4$315 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$328.14 | 951 | 40.1%381 W · 570 L | +29.7wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | +12%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x64ae…ead9backed Over | 50c | 387.16$195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$194.83 | 606 | 41.6%252 W · 354 L | -5.5wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4af7…2381backed Over | 51c | 374.95$191 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$191.23 | 99 | 41.4%41 W · 58 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Under | 50c | 315.88$158 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$157.94 | 7,139 | 49.7%3,548 W · 3,591 L | +109.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb002…103dbacked Under | 50c | 291$146 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$145.5 | 368 | 52.7%194 W · 174 L | +13.5wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xccb6…0fb1backed Under | 49c | 285.35$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$145.53 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.13per pick | 47cpaid | -32%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbde7…cf8abacked Over | 13c | 283.4$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.67 | 78 | 28.2%22 W · 56 L | +11.6wins | +0.15per pick | 13cpaid | +31.1%equal weight | 63+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xddaa…e514backed Over | 51c | 219.6$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112 | 44 | 45.5%20 W · 24 L | -1.7wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7a30…e0c1backed Over | 50c | 203.7$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.85 | 130 | 41.5%54 W · 76 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5628…abbcbacked Under | 51c | 196.1$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.09 | 2,229 | 45%1,002 W · 1,227 L | +3.4wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6077…3231backed Under | 50c | 194$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97 | 173 | 48%83 W · 90 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9c76…c926backed Under | 49c | 179.06$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.32 | 4,076 | 39.7%1,620 W · 2,456 L | +93.7wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5d05…f729backed Under | 50c | 142.47$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.24 | 423 | 44.2%187 W · 236 L | -7.6wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1979…c15cbacked Under | 52c | 142.21$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.4 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.2wins | +0.24per pick | 56cpaid | +40%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x55e7…4fb9backed Under | 50c | 119.36$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.22 | 435 | 53.1%231 W · 204 L | +11.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfc7e…70ecbacked Under | 50c | 111.01$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.51 | 1,001 | 45.4%454 W · 547 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3a0e…b0babacked Under | 49c | 79.13$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.36 | 468 | 48.5%227 W · 241 L | -7.3wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7055…9717backed Under | 50c | 71$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.5 | 222 | 52.3%116 W · 106 L | +5.7wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x15ee…512dbacked Under | 50c | 58.2$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.1 | 770 | 47.9%369 W · 401 L | -19.8wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Over | 40c | 50$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 9,286 | 44.3%4,110 W · 5,176 L | -245.7wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0f52…51f9backed Under | 50c | 50$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.20per pick | 47cpaid | +30.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1dd1…7040backed Over | 49c | 49.42$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.24 | 232 | 56.9%132 W · 100 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x260d…98f9backed Over | 49c | 39.57$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.39 | 43 | 55.8%24 W · 19 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0e1b…ecafbacked Under | 48c | 39.1$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.33 | 2,523 | 39.6%1,000 W · 1,523 L | -3.1wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4dbd…4476backed Over | 50c | 38.97$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.4 | 53 | 54.7%29 W · 24 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x76e5…af5ebacked Under | 50c | 38.8$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.4 | 76 | 65.8%50 W · 26 L | +7.2wins | +0.09per pick | 56cpaid | +16.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x759c…05e2backed Under | 53c | 36.67$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.24 | 196 | 49%96 W · 100 L | -15.3wins | -0.08per pick | 57cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc798…a8e9backed Over | 50c | 32.03$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.01 | 535 | 44.1%236 W · 299 L | -5.0wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1105…09d0backed Under | 50c | 27.7$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.85 | 149 | 58.4%87 W · 62 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Rublev vs. Fils: Match O/U 22.5this page
- Andrey Rublev vs. Arthur Fils: Total Sets O/U 2.5Under 2.5 won
- Barcelona Open: Andrey Rublev vs Arthur FilsArthur Fils won
- Rublev vs. Fils: Set 1 Games O/U 10.5Under won
- Set 1 Winner: Rublev vs FilsFils won
- Set Handicap: Fils (-1.5) vs Rublev (+1.5)Fils won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.