Weather · resolved market
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 13°C on April 5?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe7cf9e580201ed67a865906b16701cee5fd943a3b994cf5985cb9ba97003ccad
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Weatherevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $38,823
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $33,864
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $38,823 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 87 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Weather is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Weather | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc6a1…b1ecbacked Yes | 3c | 2,506$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.21 | 101 | 20.8%21 W · 80 L | -2.7wins | -0.03per pick | 23cpaid | -34.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcbbc…b5d0backed Yes | 12c | 1,254$149 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149.08 | 4,496 | 19.6%882 W · 3,614 L | +49.5wins | +0.01per pick | 19cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ea9…7927backed Yes | 19c | 1,253$241 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$241.26 | 81 | 51.9%42 W · 39 L | +2.7wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +15.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1f66…4c8dbacked Yes | 18c | 745.36$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132.19 | 2,267 | 18%407 W · 1,860 L | -9.5wins | 0.00per pick | 18cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x044f…d1f1backed Yes | 2c | 740.06$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.65 | 8,162 | 49.4%4,035 W · 4,127 L | +269.7wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x43cb…84dfbacked Yes | 14c | 738.34$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.65 | 6,787 | 39.1%2,654 W · 4,133 L | +256.4wins | +0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcc09…88edbacked Yes | 10c | 595.38$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.65 | 566 | 27.7%157 W · 409 L | +17.8wins | +0.03per pick | 25cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x57ee…8112backed Yes | 3c | 504.99$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.35 | 1,727 | 18%311 W · 1,416 L | +74.3wins | +0.04per pick | 14cpaid | +11%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd80a…c714backed Yes | 20c | 409.67$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.21 | 1,977 | 18.8%371 W · 1,606 L | +8.0wins | 0.00per pick | 18cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaa28…090bbacked Yes | 9c | 408.58$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.28 | 2,239 | 15%335 W · 1,904 L | +54.6wins | +0.02per pick | 13cpaid | +24%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfbb7…6f27backed Yes | 3c | 400$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 600 | 4.2%25 W · 575 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 4cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5f21…b376backed Yes | 18c | 365.19$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.4 | 17,355 | 19.9%3,460 W · 13,895 L | +396.7wins | +0.02per pick | 18cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x765f…1508backed Yes | 23c | 361.45$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.61 | 330 | 18.8%62 W · 268 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 20cpaid | -32.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2be6…e054backed Yes | 9c | 332.64$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.08 | 343 | 19.5%67 W · 276 L | +22.4wins | +0.07per pick | 13cpaid | +19%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xeda0…7dffbacked Yes | 17c | 320.31$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.09 | 695 | 20%139 W · 556 L | -44.4wins | -0.06per pick | 26cpaid | -53.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa4f0…22e0backed Yes | 19c | 313.4$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.2 | 70 | 21.4%15 W · 55 L | -3.8wins | -0.05per pick | 27cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc8d6…017cbacked Yes | 23c | 293.2$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.36 | 238 | 23.9%57 W · 181 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 24cpaid | +11%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4bdf…41dfbacked No | 76c | 263.71$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.36 | 43 | 44.2%19 W · 24 L | -5.1wins | -0.12per pick | 56cpaid | -37.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x726c…e6f0backed No | 73c | 260.96$189 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.74 | 79 | 36.7%29 W · 50 L | -1.9wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -28.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd721…57a7backed Yes | 11c | 258.23$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.62 | 451 | 27.1%122 W · 329 L | +7.1wins | +0.02per pick | 25cpaid | +25.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9907…ca66backed No | 80c | 250$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 30 | 46.7%14 W · 16 L | -1.9wins | -0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Yes | 8c | 239.68$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.65 | 7,148 | 9.3%666 W · 6,482 L | -1,105.8wins | -0.15per pick | 25cpaid | -75.9%equal weight | 33-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x0a6d…1d0abacked Yes | 14c | 229.3$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.7 | 214 | 29.4%63 W · 151 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5948…56cbbacked Yes | 10c | 202.99$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.12 | 159 | 23.3%37 W · 122 L | +8.5wins | +0.05per pick | 18cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfeda…b697backed No | 73c | 199.94$147 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.39 | 88 | 72.7%64 W · 24 L | +7.4wins | +0.08per pick | 64cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0a18…364cbacked No | 69c | 198.74$137 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.23 | 89 | 46.1%41 W · 48 L | +3.5wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0b7f…2b4ebacked Yes | 7c | 198.41$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.17 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.11per pick | 23cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xabbd…d4bcbacked Yes | 26c | 192.9$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.94 | 130 | 10.8%14 W · 116 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 10cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa631…7651backed No | 76c | 192.19$146 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.77 | 102 | 25.5%26 W · 76 L | +2.6wins | +0.03per pick | 23cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x89b4…55bcbacked Yes | 17c | 171.57$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.97 | 930 | 34%316 W · 614 L | +53.0wins | +0.06per pick | 28cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8f34…2f50backed No | 79c | 171.52$135 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.71 | 4,120 | 60.8%2,506 W · 1,614 L | +32.7wins | +0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8bac…cf49backed Yes | 28c | 166.77$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.04 | 1,089 | 29.7%323 W · 766 L | +36.6wins | +0.03per pick | 26cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf33c…bf48backed Yes | 20c | 165.26$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.88 | 23 | 26.1%6 W · 17 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -26.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4ce3…4291backed Yes | 22c | 160.32$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.02 | 2,165 | 23.8%516 W · 1,649 L | +83.8wins | +0.04per pick | 20cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc018…b251backed Yes | 9c | 153.12$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.16 | 111 | 38.7%43 W · 68 L | +9.2wins | +0.08per pick | 30cpaid | +34.7%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x354d…eb8fbacked Yes | 25c | 150$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37 | 701 | 33.5%235 W · 466 L | +13.4wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbd84…109dbacked Yes | 21c | 148.65$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.24 | 220 | 28.2%62 W · 158 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1361…f12bbacked Yes | 19c | 146.28$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.27 | 1,924 | 33.8%651 W · 1,273 L | +29.2wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | +1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8eea…e285backed Yes | 18c | 139.43$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.79 | 410 | 46.8%192 W · 218 L | +57.4wins | +0.14per pick | 33cpaid | +58.9%equal weight | 65+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x7deb…7c0abacked Yes | 26c | 138.9$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.11 | 156 | 26.3%41 W · 115 L | +4.7wins | +0.03per pick | 23cpaid | +22.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7d8d…a96cbacked Yes | 15c | 122$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.3 | 810 | 29.1%236 W · 574 L | -14.4wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3fe8…1fd3backed Yes | 19c | 119.81$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.58 | 349 | 18.9%66 W · 283 L | +18.7wins | +0.05per pick | 14cpaid | +40.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa49b…7054backed No | 76c | 119.64$91 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.26 | 7,481 | 37.5%2,808 W · 4,673 L | +97.4wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e2…fdf8backed Yes | 20c | 113.5$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.76 | 9,490 | 45.9%4,360 W · 5,130 L | -278.5wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3dc2…093dbacked Yes | 22c | 112.98$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.26 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | +0.7wins | +0.09per pick | 29cpaid | +27.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9c23…56ecbacked Yes | 26c | 106.7$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.78 | 301 | 41.2%124 W · 177 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d72…5f50backed Yes | 27c | 106.57$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.77 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +1.4wins | +0.12per pick | 46cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x46b3…d3debacked Yes | 10c | 105$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.37 | 244 | 14.3%35 W · 209 L | -7.3wins | -0.03per pick | 17cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3e2b…3d17backed No | 77c | 100$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23 | 87 | 62.1%54 W · 33 L | +2.6wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5368…2d62backed Yes | 19c | 96.69$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.44 | 1,804 | 27.4%494 W · 1,310 L | +27.6wins | +0.02per pick | 26cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe712…9a10backed Yes | 23c | 96.06$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.44 | 868 | 47.7%414 W · 454 L | +40.7wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | +6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…df3dbacked Yes | 14c | 93.92$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.48 | 1,840 | 37%681 W · 1,159 L | -8.2wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8781…88c0backed No | 73c | 93.25$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.02 | 325 | 48.6%158 W · 167 L | +11.8wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0f7e…063fbacked Yes | 14c | 90.43$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.66 | 53 | 22.6%12 W · 41 L | +3.0wins | +0.06per pick | 17cpaid | +7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2b13…62d3backed Yes | 26c | 87.72$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.15 | 1,052 | 31.2%328 W · 724 L | -8.4wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf419…5f89backed Yes | 22c | 86.54$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.04 | 949 | 19.7%187 W · 762 L | +11.1wins | +0.01per pick | 19cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x34b9…6ae7backed Yes | 23c | 80.26$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.46 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.06per pick | 22cpaid | -62.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x094a…1274backed Yes | 17c | 79.05$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.76 | 77 | 28.6%22 W · 55 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x65c4…7ea4backed Yes | 25c | 73.92$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.5 | 559 | 42.6%238 W · 321 L | +3.8wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc3b7…b30abacked No | 78c | 73.34$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.27 | 54 | 74.1%40 W · 14 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 72cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9388…ad42backed Yes | 23c | 69.56$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 139 | 59.7%83 W · 56 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6a8d…50f9backed Yes | 19c | 65.65$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.36 | 9,799 | 44.6%4,367 W · 5,432 L | +256.4wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe208…e98cbacked Yes | 20c | 64.8$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.06 | 45 | 51.1%23 W · 22 L | +5.4wins | +0.12per pick | 39cpaid | +22%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa2fb…ae7bbacked Yes | 19c | 58.37$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.18 | 90 | 28.9%26 W · 64 L | +6.8wins | +0.08per pick | 21cpaid | +35%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd7ba…1349backed No | 74c | 56.73$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.75 | 271 | 67.2%182 W · 89 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 67cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0e03…7d65backed No | 77c | 53$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.19 | 20 | 75%15 W · 5 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 77cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe48b…fdc2backed No | 72c | 50$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14 | 619 | 29.1%180 W · 439 L | +21.8wins | +0.04per pick | 26cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x938e…2ee3backed No | 73c | 50$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.5 | 76 | 59.2%45 W · 31 L | +5.7wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +19.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x766e…75f6backed Yes | 26c | 48.47$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.6 | 165 | 18.2%30 W · 135 L | -4.1wins | -0.02per pick | 21cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbdda…310cbacked Yes | 23c | 48.47$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.08 | 67 | 37.3%25 W · 42 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x98e9…a2f8backed No | 79c | 43.91$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.43 | 118 | 72.9%86 W · 32 L | +4.1wins | +0.03per pick | 69cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xadb7…90b5backed No | 79c | 42.73$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.14 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4b85…7265backed No | 79c | 37.89$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.02 | 38 | 60.5%23 W · 15 L | +1.4wins | +0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4248…60abbacked No | 74c | 35.26$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.24 | 2,219 | 58.7%1,303 W · 916 L | -11.5wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe07e…0e7ebacked No | 77c | 31.31$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.2 | 334 | 50.6%169 W · 165 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x48ec…a20abacked No | 79c | 30.98$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.51 | 34 | 70.6%24 W · 10 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 72cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf7c…b00dbacked No | 66c | 29.98$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.19 | 786 | 63.6%500 W · 286 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 64cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x39c3…e155backed No | 78c | 28.96$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.31 | 254 | 47.6%121 W · 133 L | -18.8wins | -0.07per pick | 55cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x47e6…c039backed No | 80c | 28.45$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.77 | 182 | 42.3%77 W · 105 L | -19.1wins | -0.10per pick | 53cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xca75…d923backed No | 80c | 28.42$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.74 | 84 | 36.9%31 W · 53 L | -12.7wins | -0.15per pick | 52cpaid | -41.9%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xd3ee…23a6backed No | 78c | 28.32$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.23 | 35 | 62.9%22 W · 13 L | -2.5wins | -0.07per pick | 70cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2cb6…2ff6backed No | 77c | 27.42$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.31 | 99 | 43.4%43 W · 56 L | -2.0wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2810…d40fbacked No | 78c | 19.56$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.3 | 47 | 48.9%23 W · 24 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xedc0…ef70backed No | 77c | 19.07$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.41 | 36 | 58.3%21 W · 15 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 60cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4925…8f6cbacked No | 78c | 18.87$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.15 | 98 | 58.2%57 W · 41 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 60cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7dbb…c0abbacked No | 75c | 18.73$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.68 | 95 | 51.6%49 W · 46 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0198…133bbacked No | 75c | 13.93$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.46 | 184 | 52.2%96 W · 88 L | +4.7wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Weather and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 13°C on April 5?this page
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 10°C on April 5?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 11°C on April 5?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 12°C on April 5?Yes won
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 14°C on April 5?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 15°C on April 5?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 16°C or higher on April 5?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 9°C on April 5?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.