Weather · resolved market
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 12°C on April 5?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x0b0b2f0603786ebda674a70c41ea54eddf4ab88610b2f523b511e8afe1f09263
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Weatherevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $45,903
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $46,216
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $45,903 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 93 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Weather is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Weather | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x044f…d1f1backed No | 2c | 2,138$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.06 | 8,162 | 49.4%4,035 W · 4,127 L | +269.7wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcc09…88edbacked Yes | 42c | 759.66$316 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$443.75 | 566 | 27.7%157 W · 409 L | +17.8wins | +0.03per pick | 25cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x43cb…84dfbacked Yes | 50c | 743.79$369 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$374.84 | 6,787 | 39.1%2,654 W · 4,133 L | +256.4wins | +0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd80a…c714backed Yes | 16c | 591.12$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$495.09 | 1,977 | 18.8%371 W · 1,606 L | +8.0wins | 0.00per pick | 18cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1f66…4c8dbacked No | 34c | 541.27$184 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$184.13 | 2,267 | 18%407 W · 1,860 L | -9.5wins | 0.00per pick | 18cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd721…57a7backed Yes | 25c | 537.61$132 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$405.74 | 451 | 27.1%122 W · 329 L | +7.1wins | +0.02per pick | 25cpaid | +25.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5f21…b376backed Yes | 15c | 536.96$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$457.04 | 17,355 | 19.9%3,460 W · 13,895 L | +396.7wins | +0.02per pick | 18cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2ea9…7927backed Yes | 21c | 510.81$109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$402.25 | 81 | 51.9%42 W · 39 L | +2.7wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +15.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcbbc…b5d0backed Yes | 24c | 470.45$111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$359.6 | 4,496 | 19.6%882 W · 3,614 L | +49.5wins | +0.01per pick | 19cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed No | 26c | 458.2$119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118.84 | 7,148 | 9.3%666 W · 6,482 L | -1,105.8wins | -0.15per pick | 25cpaid | -75.9%equal weight | 33-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x9907…ca66backed No | 72c | 419.79$301 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$301.17 | 30 | 46.7%14 W · 16 L | -1.9wins | -0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc018…b251backed Yes | 7c | 389.5$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$362.02 | 111 | 38.7%43 W · 68 L | +9.2wins | +0.08per pick | 30cpaid | +34.7%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xaa28…090bbacked Yes | 11c | 385.25$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$342.76 | 2,239 | 15%335 W · 1,904 L | +54.6wins | +0.02per pick | 13cpaid | +24%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xabfb…12e5backed No | 7c | 326.83$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.54 | 328 | 18.3%60 W · 268 L | +15.8wins | +0.05per pick | 13cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xeda0…7dffbacked No | 36c | 312.27$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.83 | 695 | 20%139 W · 556 L | -44.4wins | -0.06per pick | 26cpaid | -53.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x64b0…ab64backed Yes | 76c | 306.59$233 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.53 | 294 | 59.5%175 W · 119 L | +20.7wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1775…85b0backed Yes | 71c | 283.18$202 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.58 | 366 | 48.4%177 W · 189 L | +25.4wins | +0.07per pick | 41cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1dc1…2496backed Yes | 10c | 282.17$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$253.64 | 31 | 29%9 W · 22 L | +1.3wins | +0.04per pick | 25cpaid | +16%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8f34…2f50backed No | 64c | 269.61$173 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$172.75 | 4,120 | 60.8%2,506 W · 1,614 L | +32.7wins | +0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xabbd…d4bcbacked Yes | 17c | 247.26$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$204.2 | 130 | 10.8%14 W · 116 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 10cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x477f…9144backed Yes | 8c | 239.88$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$220.92 | 97 | 41.2%40 W · 57 L | +4.8wins | +0.05per pick | 36cpaid | +17.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5368…2d62backed Yes | 14c | 218.74$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$187.2 | 1,804 | 27.4%494 W · 1,310 L | +27.6wins | +0.02per pick | 26cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xed22…6450backed Yes | 68c | 206.57$141 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.9 | 431 | 39.2%169 W · 262 L | +3.8wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc8d6…017cbacked Yes | 8c | 200$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$183.2 | 238 | 23.9%57 W · 181 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 24cpaid | +11%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6a03…84afbacked Yes | 40c | 195.41$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.65 | 369 | 30.6%113 W · 256 L | +11.9wins | +0.03per pick | 27cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1e86…18c7backed Yes | 43c | 183.03$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.8 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | +1.3wins | +0.10per pick | 13cpaid | +31.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbc80…56a7backed Yes | 13c | 178.89$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$156.07 | 164 | 12.2%20 W · 144 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 12cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8bac…cf49backed Yes | 63c | 178.81$113 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.89 | 1,089 | 29.7%323 W · 766 L | +36.6wins | +0.03per pick | 26cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5644…ecbbbacked Yes | 40c | 167.94$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.49 | 237 | 38%90 W · 147 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0b87…9414backed No | 30c | 166.66$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 2,001 | 38.4%768 W · 1,233 L | +1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3646…ba5abacked Yes | 8c | 164.47$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150.5 | 407 | 41.3%168 W · 239 L | +32.5wins | +0.08per pick | 33cpaid | +21.9%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…df3dbacked No | 52c | 154.31$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.88 | 1,840 | 37%681 W · 1,159 L | -8.2wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x09dd…542fbacked Yes | 42c | 152.11$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.65 | 15 | 20%3 W · 12 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 17cpaid | -34.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x354d…eb8fbacked Yes | 39c | 150$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92 | 701 | 33.5%235 W · 466 L | +13.4wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x89b4…55bcbacked Yes | 8c | 149.98$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$137.78 | 930 | 34%316 W · 614 L | +53.0wins | +0.06per pick | 28cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5ea2…e97fbacked Yes | 10c | 141.46$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.82 | 350 | 18%63 W · 287 L | +11.8wins | +0.03per pick | 15cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc34f…7d2ebacked No | 64c | 119.56$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.16 | 12,173 | 46.8%5,692 W · 6,481 L | -42.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd3a6…0937backed Yes | 15c | 117.33$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.37 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 30cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeb1d…de1cbacked Yes | 71c | 109.28$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.59 | 146 | 45.2%66 W · 80 L | -2.3wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8eea…e285backed Yes | 27c | 101.82$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.33 | 410 | 46.8%192 W · 218 L | +57.4wins | +0.14per pick | 33cpaid | +58.9%equal weight | 65+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x9388…ad42backed Yes | 16c | 101.45$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.45 | 139 | 59.7%83 W · 56 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbdda…310cbacked Yes | 20c | 98.4$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.88 | 67 | 37.3%25 W · 42 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe712…9a10backed Yes | 24c | 97.06$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.97 | 868 | 47.7%414 W · 454 L | +40.7wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | +6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe752…2200backed Yes | 52c | 91.34$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.3 | 1,204 | 25.3%305 W · 899 L | +18.2wins | +0.02per pick | 24cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b13…62d3backed Yes | 27c | 83.87$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.05 | 1,052 | 31.2%328 W · 724 L | -8.4wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1361…f12bbacked Yes | 24c | 81.18$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.03 | 1,924 | 33.8%651 W · 1,273 L | +29.2wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | +1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2654…b45fbacked Yes | 59c | 78.67$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.17 | 1,089 | 59.4%647 W · 442 L | +2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | -4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbd84…109dbacked Yes | 21c | 78.26$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62 | 220 | 28.2%62 W · 158 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x77bd…e48fbacked No | 72c | 77.38$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.51 | 209 | 28.7%60 W · 149 L | -45.3wins | -0.22per pick | 50cpaid | -44.4%equal weight | 28-0.19 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked No | 63c | 77.05$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.91 | 2,119 | 36.1%764 W · 1,355 L | -12.1wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -26.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6fb5…97d1backed Yes | 75c | 73.93$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.65 | 23 | 69.6%16 W · 7 L | +2.8wins | +0.12per pick | 57cpaid | +10%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3141…f16abacked Yes | 67c | 72.55$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.22 | 55 | 63.6%35 W · 20 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 65cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb077…74d3backed No | 31c | 72.23$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.39 | 669 | 44.7%299 W · 370 L | +3.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdd87…5eb3backed Yes | 75c | 65.42$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.67 | 60 | 65%39 W · 21 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 66cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x96ad…8db9backed Yes | 29c | 63.77$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.19 | 43 | 44.2%19 W · 24 L | +4.4wins | +0.10per pick | 34cpaid | +48.4%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2df4…a56ebacked Yes | 16c | 62.99$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.91 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +2.3wins | +0.21per pick | 43cpaid | +70.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf51b…ca1bbacked No | 31c | 60$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.6 | 1,274 | 34%433 W · 841 L | +46.9wins | +0.04per pick | 30cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x80dc…7cf8backed No | 76c | 54.23$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.42 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | +18.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe208…e98cbacked Yes | 45c | 51.59$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.2 | 45 | 51.1%23 W · 22 L | +5.4wins | +0.12per pick | 39cpaid | +22%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x45a7…5c41backed Yes | 22c | 50.62$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.43 | 53 | 13.2%7 W · 46 L | -3.2wins | -0.06per pick | 19cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb347…a115backed Yes | 71c | 50$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.5 | 110 | 41.8%46 W · 64 L | +5.8wins | +0.05per pick | 37cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2986…b3a9backed No | 30c | 50$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 2,995 | 31.4%940 W · 2,055 L | +41.6wins | +0.01per pick | 30cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd662…aeb5backed Yes | 39c | 48.48$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.7 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ad7…347abacked Yes | 73c | 45.54$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.23 | 729 | 52.4%382 W · 347 L | +34.9wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3b09…aca6backed Yes | 38c | 44.5$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.58 | 262 | 36.6%96 W · 166 L | +9.5wins | +0.04per pick | 33cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5652…2aa5backed Yes | 65c | 44.34$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.38 | 161 | 57.1%92 W · 69 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6240…c294backed No | 43c | 44.34$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.98 | 94 | 62.8%59 W · 35 L | -1.9wins | -0.02per pick | 65cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x61ef…95fcbacked No | 33c | 43.28$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.38 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | -2.3wins | -0.12per pick | 54cpaid | -31.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0b7f…2b4ebacked Yes | 35c | 39.89$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.86 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.11per pick | 23cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xef0d…ef1cbacked No | 50c | 39.6$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.8 | 218 | 48.6%106 W · 112 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe39f…b4c2backed Yes | 29c | 38.82$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.67 | 34 | 32.4%11 W · 23 L | -1.5wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3d4d…e1ccbacked No | 79c | 35.76$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.14 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -1.4wins | -0.20per pick | 63cpaid | -35.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc135…a01abacked Yes | 76c | 35.15$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.34 | 616 | 59.3%365 W · 251 L | +68.7wins | +0.11per pick | 48cpaid | +17%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xb40e…7cc9backed No | 59c | 34.46$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.22 | 12,498 | 19.5%2,441 W · 10,057 L | -2,667.3wins | -0.21per pick | 41cpaid | -66.8%equal weight | 26-0.21 edge/pick |
| 0x4184…c863backed No | 39c | 34.13$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.4 | 899 | 51.6%464 W · 435 L | -40.0wins | -0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3cdc…cb42backed No | 33c | 32.93$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.87 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -0.8wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0a6d…1d0abacked Yes | 35c | 31.67$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.58 | 214 | 29.4%63 W · 151 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb9b8…b518backed No | 77c | 30.76$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.69 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.9wins | -0.10per pick | 54cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x99e7…44c3backed Yes | 43c | 30$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.1 | 67 | 29.9%20 W · 47 L | +3.7wins | +0.06per pick | 24cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcf7c…b00dbacked No | 66c | 30$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.8 | 786 | 63.6%500 W · 286 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 64cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6ff7…931dbacked Yes | 66c | 29.67$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.19 | 35 | 48.6%17 W · 18 L | -1.2wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8796…e255backed No | 39c | 26.84$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.36 | 119 | 25.2%30 W · 89 L | -14.1wins | -0.12per pick | 37cpaid | -37.4%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xeb30…8a4cbacked Yes | 71c | 26.45$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.63 | 47 | 63.8%30 W · 17 L | -3.7wins | -0.08per pick | 72cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf7fb…a1c0backed No | 77c | 25.25$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.55 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | -2.1wins | -0.18per pick | 76cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4811…be32backed Yes | 46c | 22.67$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.33 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 58cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfff1…12e4backed No | 46c | 21.97$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.11 | 45 | 35.6%16 W · 29 L | -5.2wins | -0.12per pick | 47cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa7d0…8411backed Yes | 78c | 21.62$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.68 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.06per pick | 60cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf64a…db74backed Yes | 70c | 19.81$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.94 | 333 | 49.8%166 W · 167 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4925…8f6cbacked No | 77c | 18.62$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.34 | 98 | 58.2%57 W · 41 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 60cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7966…b251backed No | 67c | 16.19$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.89 | 143 | 59.4%85 W · 58 L | +3.9wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3868…e317backed No | 79c | 15.33$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.11 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe5b2…21f4backed No | 73c | 14.94$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.89 | 297 | 70.4%209 W · 88 L | +15.2wins | +0.05per pick | 65cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb5b0…64f3backed Yes | 80c | 13.82$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.76 | 176 | 43.2%76 W · 100 L | +2.7wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Weather and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 12°C on April 5?this page
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 10°C on April 5?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 11°C on April 5?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 13°C on April 5?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 14°C on April 5?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 15°C on April 5?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 16°C or higher on April 5?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 9°C on April 5?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.