Weather · resolved market
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 16°C or higher on April 5?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x605b1fd3bd76d0bf625fff70aab3673b34767f6dcb28153ccdcbc4e46247536d
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Weatherevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $49,193
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $38,921
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $49,193 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 119 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Weather is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Weather | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xa631…7651backed Yes | 8c | 2,460$189 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$189.13 | 102 | 25.5%26 W · 76 L | +2.6wins | +0.03per pick | 23cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa2c1…c53fbacked Yes | 22c | 937.04$207 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$207.21 | 31 | 22.6%7 W · 24 L | +1.1wins | +0.04per pick | 19cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc6a1…b1ecbacked Yes | 26c | 810.57$208 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$207.85 | 101 | 20.8%21 W · 80 L | -2.7wins | -0.03per pick | 23cpaid | -34.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x45b7…b863backed Yes | 5c | 555.68$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.81 | 16 | 0%0 W · 16 L | -1.0wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcc09…88edbacked Yes | 6c | 542.34$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.02 | 566 | 27.7%157 W · 409 L | +17.8wins | +0.03per pick | 25cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1f66…4c8dbacked Yes | 6c | 531.83$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.91 | 2,267 | 18%407 W · 1,860 L | -9.5wins | 0.00per pick | 18cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfd36…a832backed Yes | 39c | 480.97$189 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$188.56 | 650 | 43.4%282 W · 368 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x94da…25b5backed Yes | 15c | 451.48$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.18 | 370 | 7.8%29 W · 341 L | -5.2wins | -0.01per pick | 9cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8f34…2f50backed No | 78c | 444.91$349 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.05 | 4,120 | 60.8%2,506 W · 1,614 L | +32.7wins | +0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b13…62d3backed Yes | 22c | 386.55$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.55 | 1,052 | 31.2%328 W · 724 L | -8.4wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0b7f…2b4ebacked Yes | 26c | 334.84$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.38 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.11per pick | 23cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7e45…4815backed Yes | 20c | 302.35$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.83 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.08per pick | 25cpaid | -68.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc8d6…017cbacked Yes | 15c | 300$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.9 | 238 | 23.9%57 W · 181 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 24cpaid | +11%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3fe8…1fd3backed Yes | 6c | 300$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 349 | 18.9%66 W · 283 L | +18.7wins | +0.05per pick | 14cpaid | +40.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x57ee…8112backed Yes | 4c | 299.96$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 1,727 | 18%311 W · 1,416 L | +74.3wins | +0.04per pick | 14cpaid | +11%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd662…aeb5backed Yes | 22c | 298.25$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.72 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x044f…d1f1backed No | 68c | 296.75$201 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.33 | 8,162 | 49.4%4,035 W · 4,127 L | +269.7wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeda0…7dffbacked Yes | 12c | 293.68$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.78 | 695 | 20%139 W · 556 L | -44.4wins | -0.06per pick | 26cpaid | -53.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xaa28…090bbacked Yes | 13c | 291.42$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.36 | 2,239 | 15%335 W · 1,904 L | +54.6wins | +0.02per pick | 13cpaid | +24%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd3a6…0937backed Yes | 36c | 290.15$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.01 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 30cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x178d…357cbacked Yes | 13c | 279.64$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.3 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xabbd…d4bcbacked Yes | 9c | 270.65$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.77 | 130 | 10.8%14 W · 116 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 10cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0b87…9414backed No | 76c | 263.15$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.16 | 2,001 | 38.4%768 W · 1,233 L | +1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9bda…439fbacked Yes | 14c | 251.61$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.46 | 594 | 40.6%241 W · 353 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x938e…2ee3backed No | 80c | 250.5$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.95 | 76 | 59.2%45 W · 31 L | +5.7wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +19.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5f21…b376backed Yes | 13c | 230.29$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.4 | 17,355 | 19.9%3,460 W · 13,895 L | +396.7wins | +0.02per pick | 18cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa49b…7054backed No | 79c | 216.14$172 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.52 | 7,481 | 37.5%2,808 W · 4,673 L | +97.4wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd80a…c714backed Yes | 16c | 212.19$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.19 | 1,977 | 18.8%371 W · 1,606 L | +8.0wins | 0.00per pick | 18cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6fab…775abacked Yes | 15c | 203.09$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.84 | 78 | 9%7 W · 71 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 9cpaid | -33.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc85e…5d37backed Yes | 26c | 198.61$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.01 | 146 | 32.9%48 W · 98 L | -6.3wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8bac…cf49backed Yes | 12c | 196.04$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.06 | 1,089 | 29.7%323 W · 766 L | +36.6wins | +0.03per pick | 26cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8171…66a5backed Yes | 11c | 186.49$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.86 | 45 | 26.7%12 W · 33 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 28cpaid | -43.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcbbc…b5d0backed Yes | 20c | 184$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.75 | 4,496 | 19.6%882 W · 3,614 L | +49.5wins | +0.01per pick | 19cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5208…ec3abacked Yes | 20c | 177.91$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.36 | 36 | 36.1%13 W · 23 L | -1.8wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8cae…def2backed No | 78c | 173.39$136 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.63 | 36 | 69.4%25 W · 11 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 70cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9a5e…81ffbacked Yes | 27c | 168.39$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.3 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x53dd…96e4backed Yes | 18c | 162.45$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.24 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.08per pick | 28cpaid | -72.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6dce…4490backed Yes | 10c | 160$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.6 | 1,285 | 19.5%250 W · 1,035 L | +44.3wins | +0.03per pick | 16cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7b20…62cbbacked No | 80c | 151.15$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.89 | 118 | 74.6%88 W · 30 L | +3.0wins | +0.03per pick | 72cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9fa2…7e87backed Yes | 12c | 149.99$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.5 | 63 | 17.5%11 W · 52 L | -2.8wins | -0.04per pick | 22cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6c26…9b6fbacked Yes | 9c | 145.4$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.76 | 23 | 30.4%7 W · 16 L | -2.0wins | -0.09per pick | 39cpaid | -52.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7515…0f90backed Yes | 21c | 142.82$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.29 | 159 | 54.7%87 W · 72 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x906f…371abacked No | 75c | 140.03$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.3 | 2,495 | 69.9%1,744 W · 751 L | +80.3wins | +0.03per pick | 67cpaid | +5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8f3c…edb0backed Yes | 11c | 133.77$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.63 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x01a6…59b0backed No | 64c | 132.98$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.71 | 1,679 | 61.7%1,036 W · 643 L | +6.3wins | 0.00per pick | 61cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x39c3…e155backed Yes | 25c | 128.86$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.27 | 254 | 47.6%121 W · 133 L | -18.8wins | -0.07per pick | 55cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x47e6…c039backed Yes | 26c | 125.93$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.28 | 182 | 42.3%77 W · 105 L | -19.1wins | -0.10per pick | 53cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x15ce…d5fabacked Yes | 16c | 124.6$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.19 | 483 | 31.3%151 W · 332 L | +20.4wins | +0.04per pick | 27cpaid | +90.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8bdc…a0babacked No | 71c | 123.51$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.14 | 80 | 68.8%55 W · 25 L | -2.7wins | -0.03per pick | 72cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x879d…b501backed Yes | 11c | 123.12$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.97 | 605 | 19.7%119 W · 486 L | -5.8wins | -0.01per pick | 21cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Yes | 14c | 122.38$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.55 | 7,148 | 9.3%666 W · 6,482 L | -1,105.8wins | -0.15per pick | 25cpaid | -75.9%equal weight | 33-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0xdbc0…1843backed No | 80c | 120$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24 | 143 | 72%103 W · 40 L | +6.5wins | +0.05per pick | 67cpaid | +1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x356b…1c3fbacked Yes | 19c | 117.96$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.54 | 591 | 25.9%153 W · 438 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x47af…3999backed No | 65c | 115.46$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.87 | 326 | 52.1%170 W · 156 L | +7.6wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xca75…d923backed Yes | 28c | 114.97$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.36 | 84 | 36.9%31 W · 53 L | -12.7wins | -0.15per pick | 52cpaid | -41.9%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x4ea7…e13fbacked Yes | 20c | 108.98$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.13 | 59 | 25.4%15 W · 44 L | -2.7wins | -0.05per pick | 30cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfb5c…7a29backed Yes | 16c | 108.42$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.36 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba2a…0cc9backed Yes | 20c | 105.78$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.16 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb6b…c7f7backed Yes | 31c | 105.22$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.43 | 139 | 43.9%61 W · 78 L | -12.6wins | -0.09per pick | 53cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xae68…064abacked No | 66c | 103.43$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.51 | 2,555 | 63.8%1,631 W · 924 L | +38.4wins | +0.02per pick | 62cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb40e…7cc9backed Yes | 15c | 103.28$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.56 | 12,498 | 19.5%2,441 W · 10,057 L | -2,667.3wins | -0.21per pick | 41cpaid | -66.8%equal weight | 26-0.21 edge/pick |
| 0xa15f…ad19backed No | 79c | 96.63$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.27 | 16 | 62.5%10 W · 6 L | -0.8wins | -0.05per pick | 67cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x455c…bf0abacked Yes | 20c | 92.92$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.4 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.17per pick | 37cpaid | -57.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9d39…099abacked Yes | 33c | 86.81$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.26 | 297 | 51.9%154 W · 143 L | -6.2wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb02f…24aabacked Yes | 13c | 83.43$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.75 | 26 | 15.4%4 W · 22 L | -1.2wins | -0.04per pick | 20cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7495…7fcfbacked Yes | 13c | 81$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.53 | 726 | 24.8%180 W · 546 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 25cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc24f…81d3backed No | 80c | 80.08$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.31 | 985 | 71%699 W · 286 L | +5.7wins | +0.01per pick | 70cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0f18…5b28backed No | 74c | 68.97$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.25 | 265 | 66.4%176 W · 89 L | +13.0wins | +0.05per pick | 62cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4e04…d367backed No | 78c | 67.17$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.85 | 89 | 69.7%62 W · 27 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 71cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbbd1…2b0cbacked Yes | 21c | 66.85$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.81 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x43b1…aba6backed Yes | 24c | 66.62$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.7 | 774 | 28.6%221 W · 553 L | -5.5wins | -0.01per pick | 29cpaid | -24.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x035a…ff68backed No | 63c | 65.55$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.48 | 315 | 42.9%135 W · 180 L | -4.5wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…df3dbacked Yes | 18c | 64.78$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.53 | 1,840 | 37%681 W · 1,159 L | -8.2wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xea0d…c1b6backed No | 78c | 64.68$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.07 | 216 | 76.4%165 W · 51 L | +12.5wins | +0.06per pick | 71cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd7ba…1349backed No | 68c | 61.77$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.77 | 271 | 67.2%182 W · 89 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 67cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2fd9…2d15backed Yes | 25c | 60.83$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.92 | 22 | 31.8%7 W · 15 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2f03…42a6backed Yes | 21c | 58.7$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.33 | 38 | 26.3%10 W · 28 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 28cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe358…0822backed Yes | 24c | 58.35$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.86 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -32.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe4cc…c448backed Yes | 32c | 58.21$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.64 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.2wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7d34…c24bbacked Yes | 39c | 56.33$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.86 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.39per pick | 39cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ef3…f1c5backed No | 78c | 50$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11 | 324 | 44.4%144 W · 180 L | -10.1wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2298…9f33backed No | 72c | 49.47$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.85 | 351 | 68.4%240 W · 111 L | -4.9wins | -0.01per pick | 70cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd4a9…75f9backed No | 80c | 49.15$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.04 | 262 | 53.4%140 W · 122 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdda2…ffa9backed No | 79c | 48.41$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.17 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +2.1wins | +0.30per pick | 56cpaid | +58.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4fb4…695fbacked No | 78c | 44.98$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.76 | 57 | 73.7%42 W · 15 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 72cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x94b1…27cbbacked No | 77c | 41.59$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.58 | 975 | 70.6%688 W · 287 L | +5.2wins | +0.01per pick | 70cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x31e2…a655backed No | 77c | 38.24$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.94 | 62 | 75.8%47 W · 15 L | +2.6wins | +0.04per pick | 72cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb4f6…eadabacked No | 75c | 35.92$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.9 | 165 | 75.8%125 W · 40 L | +5.4wins | +0.03per pick | 72cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4b85…7265backed No | 78c | 35.36$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.8 | 38 | 60.5%23 W · 15 L | +1.4wins | +0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8c93…8967backed No | 80c | 34.13$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.83 | 444 | 48.6%216 W · 228 L | -3.8wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf7c…b00dbacked No | 66c | 30$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.2 | 786 | 63.6%500 W · 286 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 64cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9770…d57dbacked No | 74c | 29.99$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.65 | 486 | 72%350 W · 136 L | +9.4wins | +0.02per pick | 70cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe233…c70bbacked No | 78c | 29.34$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.44 | 549 | 66.7%366 W · 183 L | -27.1wins | -0.05per pick | 72cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x40fd…9f9fbacked No | 78c | 29.33$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.6 | 111 | 45%50 W · 61 L | -2.9wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -11%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x23d8…f6b9backed No | 76c | 29.28$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.03 | 251 | 75.7%190 W · 61 L | +24.7wins | +0.10per pick | 66cpaid | +14%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xae47…638dbacked No | 77c | 26.44$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6 | 525 | 71.2%374 W · 151 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 70cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x805a…ff74backed No | 79c | 25.42$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.46 | 52 | 55.8%29 W · 23 L | +2.2wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1304…751ebacked No | 70c | 25.41$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.62 | 130 | 67.7%88 W · 42 L | +8.7wins | +0.07per pick | 61cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5652…2aa5backed No | 79c | 25.4$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.21 | 161 | 57.1%92 W · 69 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8208…a737backed No | 76c | 25.12$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.14 | 226 | 75.7%171 W · 55 L | +9.0wins | +0.04per pick | 72cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Weather and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 16°C or higher on April 5?this page
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 10°C on April 5?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 11°C on April 5?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 12°C on April 5?Yes won
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 13°C on April 5?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 14°C on April 5?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 15°C on April 5?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 9°C on April 5?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.