Weather · resolved market
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 13°C on April 8?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x52fbea45aef80d00faf1ef9ababdec3d3f39cb78989c846d1055ac2a7152eb40
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Weatherevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $33,761
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $38,927
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $33,761 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 110 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Weather is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Weather | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xcbbc…b5d0backed No | 5c | 951.27$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.56 | 4,496 | 19.6%882 W · 3,614 L | +49.5wins | +0.01per pick | 19cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed No | 12c | 496.77$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.88 | 7,148 | 9.3%666 W · 6,482 L | -1,105.8wins | -0.15per pick | 25cpaid | -75.9%equal weight | 33-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0xd16f…2badbacked Yes | 25c | 376.93$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$284.47 | 74 | 16.2%12 W · 62 L | -5.8wins | -0.08per pick | 24cpaid | -33.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7bf0…d2b3backed No | 80c | 287.1$230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$229.5 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -3.5wins | -0.29per pick | 54cpaid | -59%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xac16…4f44backed Yes | 27c | 260$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$189.2 | 230 | 35.7%82 W · 148 L | +4.3wins | +0.02per pick | 34cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5f21…b376backed Yes | 19c | 249.58$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200.95 | 17,355 | 19.9%3,460 W · 13,895 L | +396.7wins | +0.02per pick | 18cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4416…b6ecbacked Yes | 39c | 241.32$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$147.43 | 33 | 33.3%11 W · 22 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -11%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x09a8…47c1backed Yes | 34c | 239.06$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$158.79 | 418 | 45.2%189 W · 229 L | +14.7wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe752…2200backed Yes | 25c | 229.04$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$171.13 | 1,204 | 25.3%305 W · 899 L | +18.2wins | +0.02per pick | 24cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Yes | 57c | 223.66$128 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.56 | 2,119 | 36.1%764 W · 1,355 L | -12.1wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -26.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc6a1…b1ecbacked Yes | 23c | 218.11$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$168.85 | 101 | 20.8%21 W · 80 L | -2.7wins | -0.03per pick | 23cpaid | -34.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x43cb…84dfbacked Yes | 38c | 214.13$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132.89 | 6,787 | 39.1%2,654 W · 4,133 L | +256.4wins | +0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfc8d…3257backed Yes | 18c | 212.29$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$173.65 | 200 | 25%50 W · 150 L | +6.6wins | +0.03per pick | 22cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc8ab…6418backed Yes | 25c | 201$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150.75 | 1,322 | 32.2%426 W · 896 L | -43.7wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3fe8…1fd3backed Yes | 18c | 200$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$163.02 | 349 | 18.9%66 W · 283 L | +18.7wins | +0.05per pick | 14cpaid | +40.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xabbd…d4bcbacked Yes | 16c | 199.99$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$167.99 | 130 | 10.8%14 W · 116 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 10cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7e24…7379backed Yes | 21c | 187.56$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$148.23 | 456 | 19.1%87 W · 369 L | -11.8wins | -0.03per pick | 22cpaid | -24%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd80a…c714backed Yes | 22c | 180.18$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$141.08 | 1,977 | 18.8%371 W · 1,606 L | +8.0wins | 0.00per pick | 18cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x85bd…7f75backed Yes | 73c | 177.15$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.16 | 253 | 62.8%159 W · 94 L | +16.0wins | +0.06per pick | 57cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3f90…4e02backed Yes | 28c | 166.68$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120.29 | 146 | 13.7%20 W · 126 L | -19.1wins | -0.13per pick | 27cpaid | -44.1%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x0b87…9414backed No | 30c | 166.67$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 2,001 | 38.4%768 W · 1,233 L | +1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4ce3…4291backed Yes | 27c | 165.07$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120.59 | 2,165 | 23.8%516 W · 1,649 L | +83.8wins | +0.04per pick | 20cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed Yes | 17c | 150.29$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$124.74 | 5,897 | 49.4%2,913 W · 2,984 L | -103.3wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x80bd…a8cdbacked Yes | 19c | 150$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$121.5 | 168 | 40.5%68 W · 100 L | +3.8wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2be6…e054backed No | 11c | 146.78$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.87 | 343 | 19.5%67 W · 276 L | +22.4wins | +0.07per pick | 13cpaid | +19%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf419…5f89backed Yes | 17c | 146.47$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$121.57 | 949 | 19.7%187 W · 762 L | +11.1wins | +0.01per pick | 19cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb779…4df3backed Yes | 32c | 143.89$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.27 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5c38…f194backed No | 35c | 129.98$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.9 | 2,517 | 47.2%1,188 W · 1,329 L | +52.6wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3886…b492backed Yes | 24c | 121.99$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.71 | 561 | 18.4%103 W · 458 L | -6.6wins | -0.01per pick | 20cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x89b4…55bcbacked Yes | 20c | 120$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.7 | 930 | 34%316 W · 614 L | +53.0wins | +0.06per pick | 28cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8f34…2f50backed No | 64c | 117.08$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.57 | 4,120 | 60.8%2,506 W · 1,614 L | +32.7wins | +0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4f9a…f88abacked Yes | 22c | 116.99$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.26 | 29 | 20.7%6 W · 23 L | -1.4wins | -0.05per pick | 26cpaid | -31.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6a8d…50f9backed Yes | 20c | 111.09$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.08 | 9,799 | 44.6%4,367 W · 5,432 L | +256.4wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaa93…0bc7backed Yes | 18c | 108$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.56 | 3,859 | 23.4%903 W · 2,956 L | +128.4wins | +0.03per pick | 20cpaid | +10%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2480…1a9bbacked Yes | 24c | 105.09$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.1 | 28 | 35.7%10 W · 18 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfd39…43a8backed Yes | 23c | 102.64$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.47 | 123 | 17.9%22 W · 101 L | -10.0wins | -0.08per pick | 26cpaid | -35%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdef7…2978backed Yes | 24c | 100$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76 | 73 | 19.2%14 W · 59 L | -2.1wins | -0.03per pick | 22cpaid | -28.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6a03…84afbacked Yes | 18c | 99.04$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.21 | 369 | 30.6%113 W · 256 L | +11.9wins | +0.03per pick | 27cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x69e3…2288backed Yes | 20c | 98.16$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.23 | 52 | 44.2%23 W · 29 L | -1.9wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9868…907ebacked Yes | 32c | 93.51$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.22 | 346 | 18.8%65 W · 281 L | +15.2wins | +0.04per pick | 14cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2b13…62d3backed Yes | 20c | 89.81$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.91 | 1,052 | 31.2%328 W · 724 L | -8.4wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1c0f…99d0backed Yes | 41c | 86.47$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.21 | 864 | 20.1%174 W · 690 L | +14.2wins | +0.02per pick | 18cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8781…88c0backed Yes | 20c | 81.69$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.63 | 325 | 48.6%158 W · 167 L | +11.8wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x803a…219ebacked Yes | 27c | 80.99$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.49 | 262 | 65.6%172 W · 90 L | +14.2wins | +0.05per pick | 60cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf51b…ca1bbacked No | 31c | 80$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 1,274 | 34%433 W · 841 L | +46.9wins | +0.04per pick | 30cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xef60…d6c2backed Yes | 18c | 80$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.6 | 285 | 17.9%51 W · 234 L | -9.5wins | -0.03per pick | 21cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x18c9…5e91backed Yes | 23c | 79.42$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.96 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.08per pick | 32cpaid | +36.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeda7…3ca8backed Yes | 20c | 78.17$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.53 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -11%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8cc4…cad5backed Yes | 20c | 74.15$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.23 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +1.4wins | +0.24per pick | 26cpaid | +61.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd7ba…1349backed No | 72c | 71.63$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.57 | 271 | 67.2%182 W · 89 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 67cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf64a…db74backed Yes | 54c | 69.36$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.98 | 333 | 49.8%166 W · 167 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb40e…7cc9backed No | 42c | 67.19$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.21 | 12,498 | 19.5%2,441 W · 10,057 L | -2,667.3wins | -0.21per pick | 41cpaid | -66.8%equal weight | 26-0.21 edge/pick |
| 0x5e5d…9491backed No | 77c | 64.85$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.93 | 308 | 59.1%182 W · 126 L | -10.3wins | -0.03per pick | 62cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x95d4…839abacked Yes | 22c | 61.84$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.29 | 281 | 19.9%56 W · 225 L | -12.9wins | -0.05per pick | 25cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1b73…fad1backed Yes | 19c | 60$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.6 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | +2.2wins | +0.15per pick | 32cpaid | +31.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x84cb…4b77backed No | 75c | 59.85$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.19 | 318 | 68.6%218 W · 100 L | +3.5wins | +0.01per pick | 67cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5530…9936backed Yes | 70c | 59.29$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.01 | 100 | 59%59 W · 41 L | -3.2wins | -0.03per pick | 62cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x98d1…019abacked Yes | 25c | 58.81$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.37 | 255 | 36.9%94 W · 161 L | +17.3wins | +0.07per pick | 30cpaid | +24.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xaa28…090bbacked Yes | 19c | 58.69$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.83 | 2,239 | 15%335 W · 1,904 L | +54.6wins | +0.02per pick | 13cpaid | +24%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4add…7bc8backed Yes | 27c | 57.52$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.06 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.56per pick | 44cpaid | +168.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4639…78b8backed Yes | 18c | 56.77$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.55 | 29 | 44.8%13 W · 16 L | +1.6wins | +0.06per pick | 39cpaid | +43.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5948…56cbbacked Yes | 18c | 56$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.92 | 159 | 23.3%37 W · 122 L | +8.5wins | +0.05per pick | 18cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e2…fdf8backed Yes | 27c | 55.93$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.65 | 9,490 | 45.9%4,360 W · 5,130 L | -278.5wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x039c…af44backed Yes | 20c | 55.71$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.56 | 22 | 31.8%7 W · 15 L | -1.7wins | -0.08per pick | 39cpaid | -26.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x59fe…14fdbacked No | 70c | 55$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.45 | 572 | 32.9%188 W · 384 L | -104.6wins | -0.18per pick | 51cpaid | -45.9%equal weight | 31-0.18 edge/pick |
| 0xea21…f753backed Yes | 79c | 54.29$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.43 | 236 | 68.2%161 W · 75 L | +18.8wins | +0.08per pick | 60cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6f67…102cbacked Yes | 24c | 52.68$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.79 | 2,262 | 39.6%895 W · 1,367 L | -56.8wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb5b0…64f3backed Yes | 49c | 52.17$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.53 | 176 | 43.2%76 W · 100 L | +2.7wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…df3dbacked Yes | 34c | 50.71$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.5 | 1,840 | 37%681 W · 1,159 L | -8.2wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9b06…ae19backed Yes | 22c | 50.38$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.31 | 15 | 6.7%1 W · 14 L | -2.3wins | -0.16per pick | 22cpaid | -69.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3cb7…1a88backed Yes | 28c | 50$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36 | 999 | 49.5%495 W · 504 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2986…b3a9backed No | 30c | 50$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 2,995 | 31.4%940 W · 2,055 L | +41.6wins | +0.01per pick | 30cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xad58…7624backed Yes | 25c | 50$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.5 | 542 | 32.3%175 W · 367 L | +10.3wins | +0.02per pick | 30cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xac68…f1fcbacked Yes | 25c | 49.98$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.49 | 107 | 28%30 W · 77 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2298…9f33backed No | 79c | 48.93$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.46 | 351 | 68.4%240 W · 111 L | -4.9wins | -0.01per pick | 70cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8887…681bbacked Yes | 30c | 44.63$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.37 | 134 | 24.6%33 W · 101 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 24cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x47c3…9545backed Yes | 27c | 43.04$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.47 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.73per pick | 27cpaid | +271.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0ea8…e6cfbacked Yes | 25c | 40$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 73 | 26%19 W · 54 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 26cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcc09…88edbacked Yes | 30c | 39.58$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.72 | 566 | 27.7%157 W · 409 L | +17.8wins | +0.03per pick | 25cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4e5d…f6cfbacked No | 75c | 38.32$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.81 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.4wins | -0.68per pick | 68cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4ecf…05fbbacked Yes | 70c | 36.23$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.8 | 130 | 42.3%55 W · 75 L | -2.0wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb4f…2c34backed No | 76c | 35.6$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.06 | 19 | 68.4%13 W · 6 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 70cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x87b2…3109backed No | 75c | 34.32$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.74 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.75per pick | 75cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3757…055ebacked No | 76c | 33.73$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.65 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.76per pick | 76cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9ccc…2d87backed Yes | 48c | 33.48$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.36 | 13 | 84.6%11 W · 2 L | +2.2wins | +0.17per pick | 68cpaid | +26.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x53c6…5677backed No | 75c | 32.38$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.29 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.75per pick | 75cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6bc5…33d3backed Yes | 61c | 30$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.7 | 98 | 57.1%56 W · 42 L | +3.3wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcf7c…b00dbacked No | 66c | 30$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.8 | 786 | 63.6%500 W · 286 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 64cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0043…dadebacked No | 48c | 29.76$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.22 | 39 | 23.1%9 W · 30 L | -2.0wins | -0.05per pick | 28cpaid | -43.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc34f…7d2ebacked No | 53c | 29.24$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.35 | 12,173 | 46.8%5,692 W · 6,481 L | -42.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7966…b251backed No | 80c | 28.2$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.54 | 143 | 59.4%85 W · 58 L | +3.9wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdd7a…7bfbbacked No | 66c | 28$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.48 | 4,961 | 68.3%3,386 W · 1,575 L | +65.6wins | +0.01per pick | 67cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9cfd…dfe7backed No | 48c | 27.16$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.94 | 999 | 61.8%617 W · 382 L | +19.0wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcaa2…15eabacked No | 74c | 27.06$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.02 | 141 | 35.5%50 W · 91 L | -4.0wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb732…6900backed No | 74c | 26.64$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.67 | 412 | 58.3%240 W · 172 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaba1…ac85backed No | 75c | 26.16$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.58 | 112 | 59.8%67 W · 45 L | -2.8wins | -0.03per pick | 62cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x044f…d1f1backed Yes | 73c | 24.05$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.49 | 8,162 | 49.4%4,035 W · 4,127 L | +269.7wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0729…5f54backed No | 78c | 22.5$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.45 | 671 | 58.6%393 W · 278 L | -8.1wins | -0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x13f3…d427backed No | 70c | 21.36$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.95 | 326 | 69%225 W · 101 L | -10.2wins | -0.03per pick | 72cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4264…1706backed Yes | 74c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.2 | 408 | 71.8%293 W · 115 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 72cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Weather and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 13°C on April 8?this page
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 10°C on April 8?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 11°C on April 8?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 12°C on April 8?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 14°C on April 8?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 15°C or higher on April 8?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 8°C on April 8?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 9°C on April 8?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.