Movies · resolved market
Will 'Zootopia 2' have the second best domestic opening weekend in 2025?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xbb9bd011549b362727f31f16fac38e9a9cdbd2a948ea5ce93b7e711160d43cbc
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Moviesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $152,244
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $59,496
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $152,244 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 24 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Movies is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Movies | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x6b0e…e3eabacked Yes | 0c | 15,572$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.49 | 140 | 15%21 W · 119 L | -6.2wins | -0.04per pick | 19cpaid | -25.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfa39…977fbacked Yes | 0c | 15,000$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 35 | 2.9%1 W · 34 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 2cpaid | -94.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x682d…4cd6backed Yes | 3c | 5,112$138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$137.93 | 328 | 14.9%49 W · 279 L | +14.2wins | +0.04per pick | 11cpaid | -59.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8564…4b2ebacked Yes | 5c | 4,972$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$239.56 | 116 | 25.9%30 W · 86 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -39.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes | 1c | 3,042$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.57 | 1,394 | 8%111 W · 1,283 L | -47.9wins | -0.03per pick | 11cpaid | -50%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x357e…2a0cbacked Yes | 15c | 2,822$413 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$412.61 | 20 | 15%3 W · 17 L | -2.5wins | -0.13per pick | 28cpaid | -71.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4a1f…1a9fbacked Yes | 1c | 2,724$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.91 | 90 | 21.1%19 W · 71 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 21cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb84b…95b1backed Yes | 1c | 2,565$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.32 | 12 | 0%0 W · 12 L | -0.7wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa815…9cbebacked Yes | 2c | 1,939$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.09 | 89 | 4.5%4 W · 85 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 6cpaid | -42.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b26…57e9backed Yes | 8c | 888.02$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.8 | 27 | 22.2%6 W · 21 L | -1.5wins | -0.06per pick | 28cpaid | -65.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8e7a…0f0ebacked Yes | 3c | 699.99$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.5 | 39 | 25.6%10 W · 29 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 26cpaid | -46.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7e35…1a6cbacked Yes | 8c | 540.41$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.56 | 105 | 37.1%39 W · 66 L | +6.0wins | +0.06per pick | 31cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd453…75ebbacked Yes | 7c | 505$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.15 | 55 | 25.5%14 W · 41 L | -4.6wins | -0.08per pick | 34cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x74e0…fabdbacked Yes | 6c | 494.28$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.21 | 285 | 24.2%69 W · 216 L | -8.3wins | -0.03per pick | 27cpaid | -41.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfd5c…6d2abacked Yes | 5c | 489.99$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.71 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | +1.0wins | +0.06per pick | 27cpaid | +48.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1cb1…3020backed Yes | 5c | 300$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.75 | 22 | 4.5%1 W · 21 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 7cpaid | -80.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc6a1…b1ecbacked Yes | 4c | 299.99$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.5 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -0.4wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x26c6…ea7ebacked Yes | 5c | 263.8$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.98 | 17 | 29.4%5 W · 12 L | +0.6wins | +0.04per pick | 26cpaid | -38.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e2…fdf8backed Yes | 6c | 204$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.8 | 870 | 33.3%290 W · 580 L | -77.0wins | -0.09per pick | 42cpaid | -37.8%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xa99c…3070backed Yes | 25c | 199.79$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc47d…8053backed Yes | 6c | 159.19$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | +0.7wins | +0.09per pick | 16cpaid | +26.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe6f9…8356backed Yes | 21c | 71.43$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x70d2…9213backed Yes | 23c | 69.68$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.95 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -1.0wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x06e1…8f7ebacked No | 56c | 25$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.97 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +0.9wins | +0.11per pick | 64cpaid | +12%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Movies and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will 'Zootopia 2' have the second best domestic opening weekend in 2025?this page
- Will 'A Minecraft Movie' have the second best domestic opening weekend in 2025?No won
- Will 'Avatar: Fire and Ash' have the second best domestic opening weekend in 2025?No won
- Will 'Lilo & Stitch' have the second best domestic opening weekend in 2025?No won
- Will 'Wicked: For Good' have the second best domestic opening weekend in 2025?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.