NHL · resolved market
World Championships: Slovenia vs. Slovakia
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xdd9b5e2d8f14e9adeccba2d0ec90d45e932f41716355f918ef0a9a967857e8c9
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Slovakiaof Slovenia, Slovakia
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $24,196
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $26,931
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $24,196 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 43 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xdd15…4a07backed Slovenia | 17c | 4,256$719 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$718.82 | 39 | 20.5%8 W · 31 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 17cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe1f1…3a05backed Slovenia | 17c | 1,090$184 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$184.47 | 63 | 41.3%26 W · 37 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7906…be5dbacked Slovakia | 74c | 1,000$740 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$260 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.29per pick | 71cpaid | +40.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa664…f849backed Slovenia | 17c | 999.67$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$169.94 | 35 | 45.7%16 W · 19 L | +2.9wins | +0.08per pick | 37cpaid | +48.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8adc…7a1bbacked Slovenia | 16c | 961.98$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | +1.0wins | +0.11per pick | 22cpaid | +58%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9f7e…c230backed Slovenia | 22c | 582.9$127 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$127.08 | 14 | 21.4%3 W · 11 L | -1.3wins | -0.09per pick | 31cpaid | -48.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6318…46b1backed Slovenia | 17c | 582.48$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.99 | 64 | 37.5%24 W · 40 L | +3.3wins | +0.05per pick | 32cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xda3d…36b6backed Slovenia | 19c | 489.47$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -1.5wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0a56…4e46backed Slovenia | 10c | 472.67$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.27 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -1.1wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7d7f…86d2backed Slovenia | 16c | 453.7$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.51 | 80 | 43.8%35 W · 45 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeb4b…9f92backed Slovakia | 80c | 358.69$286 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.5 | 29 | 69%20 W · 9 L | +6.8wins | +0.24per pick | 45cpaid | +71.2%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xc33d…0d40backed Slovenia | 23c | 355.76$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.24 | 253 | 45.5%115 W · 138 L | +3.2wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x13c9…5e53backed Slovenia | 39c | 302$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117.8 | 146 | 43.8%64 W · 82 L | -8.4wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcbef…0c11backed Slovakia | 67c | 299.05$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.05 | 78 | 61.5%48 W · 30 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 59cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Slovenia | 24c | 266.4$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.87 | 1,028 | 53.2%547 W · 481 L | +21.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf5cc…0540backed Slovenia | 9c | 238.9$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 17 | 64.7%11 W · 6 L | +3.0wins | +0.17per pick | 47cpaid | +41.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe601…84ecbacked Slovenia | 18c | 205.04$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.91 | 75 | 33.3%25 W · 50 L | -6.8wins | -0.09per pick | 42cpaid | -25.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Slovenia | 36c | 202.46$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72 | 920 | 49.7%457 W · 463 L | +14.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Slovakia | 76c | 199.99$152 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.08 | 1,384 | 47.1%652 W · 732 L | +25.6wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x237e…a5f0backed Slovenia | 9c | 188.89$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 68 | 33.8%23 W · 45 L | -7.8wins | -0.12per pick | 45cpaid | -28.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xbde7…cf8abacked Slovenia | 15c | 162.98$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.45 | 60 | 11.7%7 W · 53 L | -2.5wins | -0.04per pick | 16cpaid | -42.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x52c1…1084backed Slovenia | 7c | 156.92$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.98 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | -1.4wins | -0.11per pick | 34cpaid | -55.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed Slovenia | 17c | 153.44$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.52 | 497 | 47.9%238 W · 259 L | -9.4wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Slovenia | 30c | 137.43$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.85 | 143 | 47.6%68 W · 75 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x973f…4b3ebacked Slovakia | 78c | 128.16$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.16 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.18per pick | 57cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe89a…928abacked Slovenia | 18c | 125.77$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.33 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x782f…13bdbacked Slovenia | 13c | 120.9$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -0.4wins | -0.06per pick | 31cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x008d…b839backed Slovenia | 26c | 113$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.25 | 450 | 69.3%312 W · 138 L | +51.6wins | +0.11per pick | 58cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x15c5…4692backed Slovakia | 79c | 110$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.8 | 279 | 47.3%132 W · 147 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc2e0…6ca2backed Slovenia | 21c | 105.21$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.99 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbecc…6e99backed Slovenia | 10c | 100$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -0.6wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0547…fb35backed Slovenia | 19c | 99.99$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 979 | 55.5%543 W · 436 L | +21.9wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Slovenia | 11c | 96.56$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.38 | 996 | 38.2%380 W · 616 L | -10.3wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf9e4…24c2backed Slovakia | 63c | 79.37$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.37 | 181 | 49.7%90 W · 91 L | -3.2wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1b3e…ae5bbacked Slovenia | 26c | 78.31$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.38per pick | 38cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf4f8…5bf1backed Slovenia | 22c | 69.22$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.23 | 314 | 48.7%153 W · 161 L | -6.8wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdd15…3f15backed Slovenia | 22c | 68.17$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfa06…74c3backed Slovakia | 77c | 64.93$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.93 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.5wins | -0.25per pick | 58cpaid | -54.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe32e…a3eebacked Slovenia | 40c | 62.5$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +2.6wins | +0.29per pick | 49cpaid | +76%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Slovakia | 79c | 30.13$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.32 | 323 | 53.9%174 W · 149 L | +9.1wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbe8…1141backed Slovakia | 80c | 27.5$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.5 | 87 | 49.4%43 W · 44 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9cfd…dfe7backed Slovakia | 80c | 26.62$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.4 | 36 | 72.2%26 W · 10 L | +3.8wins | +0.11per pick | 62cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x49d2…90f6backed Slovenia | 40c | 25$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.