TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Fifa International · resolved market

Will Hungary win on 2026-06-05?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Yesof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$201,148
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$257,959

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $201,148 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 181 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x3f3a…e8fdbacked No43c9,538$4,112 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,112.2542541.6%177 W · 248 L+1.8wins0.00per pick41cpaid-2.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed No29c8,347$2,461 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,460.724,59540.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L-91.3wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-23.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xba1d…d326backed No41c7,329$3,015 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,015.2621946.1%101 W · 118 L+8.1wins+0.04per pick42cpaid+17.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x9d94…017dbacked No8c5,679$481 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$481.2530117.9%54 W · 247 L-11.2wins-0.04per pick22cpaid-22.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xfde6…7ed6backed No37c4,168$1,560 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,559.6642710.3%44 W · 383 L-12.6wins-0.03per pick13cpaid-42.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4f29…7a7ebacked Yes64c3,973$2,533 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,439.371,22443.4%531 W · 693 L-7.1wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-13.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0b3f…5a9fbacked Yes60c3,692$2,200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,492.488561.2%52 W · 33 L+4.6wins+0.05per pick56cpaid-1.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed No7c3,527$240 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$239.661,14439.2%448 W · 696 L-8.4wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-14.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2dba…1d6cbacked Yes57c3,500$1,995 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,50511561.7%71 W · 44 L+2.2wins+0.02per pick60cpaid+4.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed No9c3,476$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$299.554,45737.2%1,657 W · 2,800 L+31.0wins+0.01per pick36cpaid-8.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x99a4…82febacked Yes60c2,990$1,794 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,196560%3 W · 2 L+0.2wins+0.04per pick56cpaid+6.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1b47…d814backed No38c2,731$1,049 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,048.9456541.1%232 W · 333 L-9.4wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-11.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3f0f…0e48backed No13c2,617$348 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$347.9839933.1%132 W · 267 L+6.7wins+0.02per pick31cpaid-20.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed No39c2,428$947 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$947.453,99224.9%994 W · 2,998 L-47.0wins-0.01per pick26cpaid-19.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Yes67c2,181$1,461 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$720.763,69636.9%1,364 W · 2,332 L-44.0wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-23.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd6ce…7ec8backed No5c2,000$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10013351.1%68 W · 65 L+3.3wins+0.03per pick49cpaid-1.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa6d1…286abacked No45c2,000$895 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$894.917447.1%82 W · 92 L+0.5wins0.00per pick47cpaid-4.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe3d4…2bacbacked Yes57c1,999$1,139 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$859.5713461.9%83 W · 51 L+2.5wins+0.02per pick60cpaid+2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1635…55d6backed Yes57c1,808$1,031 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$777.442369.6%16 W · 7 L+0.9wins+0.04per pick66cpaid+5.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x70ee…b403backed Yes59c1,600$940 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$660.451450%7 W · 7 L+0.4wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+3.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8dee…412bbacked Yes63c1,587$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$587.389443.4%388 W · 506 L+18.6wins+0.02per pick41cpaid+8.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x32aa…c56ebacked No44c1,500$666 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$665.743450%17 W · 17 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+2.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x48d9…227fbacked Yes56c1,090$610 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$479.57339.7%29 W · 44 L-2.4wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-20.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x161a…4103backed No44c1,020$444 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44416150.9%82 W · 79 L+3.9wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-0.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xec57…0fa7backed No4c1,001$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.1838819.1%74 W · 314 L+8.1wins+0.02per pick17cpaid+20.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed No13c934.18$123 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$122.7174034.1%252 W · 488 L-36.1wins-0.05per pick39cpaid-33.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xe94c…1edebacked No44c909.08$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4003935.9%14 W · 25 L-2.3wins-0.06per pick42cpaid-26.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xf067…5c6dbacked No39c871.79$340 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34033915.9%54 W · 285 L-6.5wins-0.02per pick18cpaid-13.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8105…3287backed Yes62c814.52$505 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$309.5221048.6%102 W · 108 L-2.1wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-6.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfd2f…37ddbacked No38c799.97$304 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$303.9918433.7%62 W · 122 L+1.6wins+0.01per pick33cpaid+7.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd331…733cbacked No39c668$260 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$260.4963035.7%225 W · 405 L-13.1wins-0.02per pick38cpaid-14.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe62c…97e1backed Yes58c603.45$350 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$253.4510138.6%39 W · 62 L-3.5wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-20.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xcc48…c120backed Yes61c600$366 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23437451.6%193 W · 181 L+8.9wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+7.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5145…dd71backed Yes61c599.9$366 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$233.9614051.4%72 W · 68 L-0.4wins0.00per pick52cpaid-5.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc718…64a8backed No16c597.87$95 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$94.8963151.5%325 W · 306 L-10.8wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-10.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5d21…07cfbacked Yes17c584.76$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$484.771136.4%4 W · 7 L+2.2wins+0.20per pick16cpaid+107.7%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x67cb…0569backed Yes62c564.52$350 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$214.524744.7%21 W · 26 L+3.6wins+0.08per pick37cpaid0%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x7409…65a6backed Yes59c538.26$320 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$218.3912266.4%81 W · 41 L+12.8wins+0.10per pick56cpaid+24.7%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x04ec…8ac9backed No37c528.96$196 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$195.7110335%36 W · 67 L-2.4wins-0.02per pick37cpaid-7.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8d93…b34dbacked Yes62c483.87$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$183.8724555.1%135 W · 110 L+5.4wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+2.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7138…8c89backed No38c450$171 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1711,70236.7%625 W · 1,077 L-31.2wins-0.02per pick39cpaid-12.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe89a…928abacked Yes62c435.48$270 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$165.481643.8%7 W · 9 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-28.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2c1a…42d8backed No43c421.54$180 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$180.1911632.8%38 W · 78 L-1.2wins-0.01per pick34cpaid-22.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc919…d1ddbacked No23c416.83$94 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$94.397538.7%29 W · 46 L-3.0wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-18.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed No21c400.96$83 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$83.312,81944.5%1,255 W · 1,564 L-36.2wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-9.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf7b0…9178backed Yes63c346.73$218 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$128.342642.3%11 W · 15 L-2.5wins-0.09per pick52cpaid-16%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x9cb4…8285backed No37c337.02$125 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$124.71,00153.9%540 W · 461 L+34.3wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+4.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x0527…a978backed Yes60c333.33$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$133.339359.1%55 W · 38 L0.0wins0.00per pick59cpaid-2.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf699…07e1backed Yes68c319$217 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$102.0810366%68 W · 35 L+12.4wins+0.12per pick54cpaid+54.4%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x9bab…e6a2backed Yes63c317.46$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$117.464168.3%28 W · 13 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick70cpaid-1.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x36b3…e421backed Yes62c300.14$185 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$115.4741857.9%242 W · 176 L+14.9wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+7.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x9db0…0f6abacked No13c299.98$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3922846.5%106 W · 122 L+10.3wins+0.05per pick42cpaid+0.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x160d…6f25backed No14c299.04$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.8778317.4%136 W · 647 L-0.1wins0.00per pick17cpaid+6.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed Yes61c296$182 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$114.133,07747%1,447 W · 1,630 L-11.5wins0.00per pick47cpaid-2.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1df2…89a0backed No23c294.8$68 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$68.4217513.7%24 W · 151 L-19.8wins-0.11per pick25cpaid-69.5%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x2d4c…2e02backed Yes69c290.68$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$90.6839648.7%193 W · 203 L-23.6wins-0.06per pick55cpaid-15.3%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x7fea…8f74backed No18c268.32$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.7951429.4%151 W · 363 L-46.1wins-0.09per pick38cpaid-51.1%equal weight41-0.09 edge/pick
0xc98f…a13fbacked No5c250$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1225719.1%49 W · 208 L-1.8wins-0.01per pick20cpaid-51.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdd8b…63b2backed Yes63c246.03$155 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$91.0313159.5%78 W · 53 L+6.7wins+0.05per pick54cpaid+11%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x8182…b13cbacked Yes63c238.1$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$88.111761.5%72 W · 45 L+1.4wins+0.01per pick60cpaid-0.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x40b9…b002backed Yes62c230.67$143 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$87.663557.1%20 W · 15 L+0.6wins+0.02per pick55cpaid+2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x52d9…fb1abacked No38c221.94$84 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$84.341,94135.5%690 W · 1,251 L-25.4wins-0.01per pick37cpaid-11.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4d74…a37fbacked No26c221.47$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$56.8220839.4%82 W · 126 L+0.6wins0.00per pick39cpaid+33%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x56bc…9103backed No15c213.13$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.331643.8%7 W · 9 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-25.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4ebb…061abacked Yes63c206.75$130 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$76.7516965.1%110 W · 59 L+14.6wins+0.09per pick56cpaid+17.5%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0x0b90…672ebacked Yes63c206.35$130 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$76.3518548.1%89 W · 96 L-5.2wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-5.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x02b1…c764backed Yes61c200$122 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$783351.5%17 W · 16 L-0.9wins-0.03per pick54cpaid-15.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xb8ee…9e81backed Yes69c200$139 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61.081,79544.2%794 W · 1,001 L-12.9wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-13%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x679f…feabbacked Yes55c193.15$106 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$86.921838.9%7 W · 11 L0.0wins0.00per pick39cpaid-22.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x84ad…bfb7backed No40c193$78 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$77.6893542.2%395 W · 540 L-27.8wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-17.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc978…706bbacked No18c192.31$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.514647.3%69 W · 77 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-3.2%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x089c…4dc4backed No17c180.44$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.8727538.5%106 W · 169 L-3.2wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-23.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcb1b…69f2backed No37c171.56$64 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$64.1124448.4%118 W · 126 L-1.5wins-0.01per pick49cpaid+5.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc4d6…b2a6backed Yes62c170.06$105 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$65.067668.4%52 W · 24 L+1.4wins+0.02per pick67cpaid+1.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xf7f0…912cbacked No37c165.09$62 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$61.661,87348.4%906 W · 967 L+14.4wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-0.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7d0c…a3b7backed Yes62c163.87$101 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$63.043,73151.8%1,931 W · 1,800 L+55.2wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+7.9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xb43b…f637backed Yes80c163.54$131 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.712462.5%15 W · 9 L+1.2wins+0.05per pick58cpaid+5.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xc899…7652backed Yes62c162.69$101 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61.82475%3 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.01per pick74cpaid+4.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8640…cdf1backed Yes62c161.29$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61.2911135.1%39 W · 72 L+3.6wins+0.03per pick32cpaid+3.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6f2e…6da4backed Yes63c160$101 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$59.27954.4%43 W · 36 L+6.7wins+0.08per pick46cpaid+10.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xf39a…fe47backed No32c158.03$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.5627745.1%125 W · 152 L-19.7wins-0.07per pick52cpaid-25.6%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x8ea9…5b98backed No17c156.18$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.4118764.2%120 W · 67 L+11.1wins+0.06per pick58cpaid+9.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xc1f0…7bdbbacked Yes62c151.05$94 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$57.41435.7%5 W · 9 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick37cpaid-43.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5572…f01ebacked Yes62c150$93 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5716937.3%63 W · 106 L-8.8wins-0.05per pick42cpaid-19.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xf021…e900backed No9c146.62$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.5836437.1%135 W · 229 L+16.5wins+0.05per pick33cpaid-4.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x3b4e…12aebacked Yes69c145$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45.1211238.4%43 W · 69 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-22%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x75e2…2ed0backed Yes58c142.82$82 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$60.494254.8%23 W · 19 L-0.7wins-0.02per pick57cpaid+2.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa509…ae46backed No26c131.06$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.445947.7%219 W · 240 L-0.1wins0.00per pick48cpaid-13.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdb0d…9efebacked No39c128.21$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$501060%6 W · 4 L-0.4wins-0.04per pick64cpaid-7.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1e3b…e232backed Yes62c125$78 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47.581554.8%447 W · 368 L-5.9wins-0.01per pick56cpaid-5.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5f31…a362backed Yes62c120.56$75 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45.641258.3%7 W · 5 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick57cpaid-4.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xefde…6505backed No39c120.24$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46.8968141.1%280 W · 401 L-16.0wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-6.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x8492…f17cbacked Yes56c107.14$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47.1443246.8%202 W · 230 L+12.2wins+0.03per pick44cpaid+5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x07cd…fbebbacked No39c103.39$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.9727154.6%148 W · 123 L-2.7wins-0.01per pick56cpaid+0.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2c46…dac9backed No14c100$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1487651.1%448 W · 428 L+25.3wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xdc9f…905bbacked No39c100$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3923540.4%95 W · 140 L-6.4wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-9.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x2b35…0bfebacked No38c99.98$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.991,20448.9%589 W · 615 L+18.2wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+2.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x848f…9cdabacked No38c99$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.4310545.7%48 W · 57 L-0.4wins0.00per pick46cpaid-3.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6134…c8ccbacked Yes62c96.77$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.7727254.4%148 W · 124 L-3.7wins-0.01per pick56cpaid-7.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked No14c93.97$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.162,52442.8%1,081 W · 1,443 L-10.1wins0.00per pick43cpaid-14.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.