Fifa International · resolved market
Will Hungary vs. Finland end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x6b831e956d18fc197b95bcaef25f6383573cbbbb449b641eeebb466d85a4b798
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $41,794
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $46,379
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $41,794 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 56 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x0346…52a5backed No | 74c | 9,211$6,821 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,389.99 | 2,407 | 37.7%908 W · 1,499 L | -48.7wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Yes | 28c | 4,618$1,312 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,311.96 | 1,144 | 39.2%448 W · 696 L | -8.4wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d1d…afd2backed Yes | 29c | 4,461$1,312 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,311.96 | 355 | 49.9%177 W · 178 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4f29…7a7ebacked No | 75c | 3,422$2,581 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$841.82 | 1,224 | 43.4%531 W · 693 L | -7.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdd16…5cf0backed Yes | 11c | 2,353$251 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$251 | 118 | 20.3%24 W · 94 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 22cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d68…9ff7backed Yes | 30c | 1,667$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 57 | 49.1%28 W · 29 L | +4.7wins | +0.08per pick | 41cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1df2…89a0backed Yes | 12c | 1,503$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180.29 | 175 | 13.7%24 W · 151 L | -19.8wins | -0.11per pick | 25cpaid | -69.5%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x86fb…03d4backed Yes | 28c | 1,321$370 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$369.86 | 414 | 51.4%213 W · 201 L | +6.6wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Yes | 24c | 916.25$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$219.9 | 3,992 | 24.9%994 W · 2,998 L | -47.0wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed No | 79c | 628.58$494 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$134.33 | 935 | 42.2%395 W · 540 L | -27.8wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2c1a…42d8backed Yes | 8c | 355.34$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.01 | 116 | 32.8%38 W · 78 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 24c | 323.58$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.66 | 8,614 | 29.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L | -166.6wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x682f…3265backed Yes | 24c | 208.33$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 178 | 35.4%63 W · 115 L | -6.7wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf7b0…9178backed Yes | 24c | 204.79$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.15 | 26 | 42.3%11 W · 15 L | -2.5wins | -0.09per pick | 52cpaid | -16%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3e74…ec81backed Yes | 15c | 201.34$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 286 | 26.9%77 W · 209 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 27cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x59dc…2a03backed Yes | 13c | 200$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 245 | 33.9%83 W · 162 L | +5.4wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f0…912cbacked No | 76c | 183.75$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.1 | 1,873 | 48.4%906 W · 967 L | +14.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x313f…fb14backed Yes | 14c | 153.96$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.4 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.18per pick | 15cpaid | +38.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5572…f01ebacked No | 76c | 149.99$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36 | 169 | 37.3%63 W · 106 L | -8.8wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3fcb…f5ebbacked Yes | 20c | 146.67$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 514 | 29.4%151 W · 363 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | +2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3f0f…0e48backed No | 74c | 134.22$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.31 | 399 | 33.1%132 W · 267 L | +6.7wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x264f…1b98backed No | 76c | 128$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.72 | 137 | 32.1%44 W · 93 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d4c…2e02backed Yes | 17c | 117.65$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 396 | 48.7%193 W · 203 L | -23.6wins | -0.06per pick | 55cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed No | 75c | 112.34$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.98 | 3,077 | 47%1,447 W · 1,630 L | -11.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3b…e232backed No | 76c | 106$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.44 | 815 | 54.8%447 W · 368 L | -5.9wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7fea…8f74backed No | 71c | 98.64$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.88 | 514 | 29.4%151 W · 363 L | -46.1wins | -0.09per pick | 38cpaid | -51.1%equal weight | 41-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x3f83…0e8dbacked No | 76c | 98$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.52 | 82 | 56.1%46 W · 36 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c46…dac9backed Yes | 18c | 95.7$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.86 | 876 | 51.1%448 W · 428 L | +25.3wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d0…1f8abacked Yes | 11c | 93.68$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.07 | 2,453 | 34.7%850 W · 1,603 L | +84.3wins | +0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xde48…9dbebacked Yes | 25c | 80$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 109 | 32.1%35 W · 74 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 32cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe81b…f35abacked Yes | 16c | 76.79$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 401 | 45.4%182 W · 219 L | -9.4wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x848f…9cdabacked No | 76c | 68.83$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.84 | 105 | 45.7%48 W · 57 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed No | 75c | 64.23$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.25 | 1,688 | 54.4%918 W · 770 L | +31.4wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3a1e…5bb5backed Yes | 17c | 64$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.88 | 457 | 40.3%184 W · 273 L | -28.5wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc551…cec1backed Yes | 16c | 62.5$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 105 | 24.8%26 W · 79 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 25cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9a1d…8986backed Yes | 17c | 61.76$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.51 | 984 | 39.2%386 W · 598 L | +8.7wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked No | 75c | 57.48$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.37 | 760 | 48.7%370 W · 390 L | -2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5c6c…998fbacked Yes | 25c | 48$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.92 | 250 | 31.6%79 W · 171 L | -9.2wins | -0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdb46…56e7backed Yes | 24c | 47.81$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.71 | 315 | 50.8%160 W · 155 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2605…6b1bbacked No | 76c | 46.89$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.25 | 43 | 67.4%29 W · 14 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 68cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8753…fa2ebacked Yes | 25c | 40$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 34 | 23.5%8 W · 26 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 22cpaid | +41.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaf8b…276abacked Yes | 25c | 40$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 37 | 21.6%8 W · 29 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 20cpaid | +45%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x10e5…b4e9backed Yes | 25c | 40$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 110 | 46.4%51 W · 59 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ed3…274cbacked Yes | 29c | 35.26$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.37 | 652 | 53.8%351 W · 301 L | +3.4wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8098…5646backed Yes | 29c | 34.92$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.27 | 320 | 55.9%179 W · 141 L | +8.0wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked No | 76c | 29.58$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.22 | 3,213 | 47.2%1,517 W · 1,696 L | -7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x85a9…30bcbacked No | 77c | 28.6$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.58 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -2.1wins | -0.29per pick | 72cpaid | -22.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed No | 78c | 25$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.47 | 277 | 45.1%125 W · 152 L | -19.7wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8968…c3c1backed No | 76c | 25$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6 | 235 | 52.8%124 W · 111 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x976e…8453backed No | 74c | 22$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.72 | 166 | 59.6%99 W · 67 L | -9.8wins | -0.06per pick | 66cpaid | -12%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked No | 77c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.6 | 908 | 40.9%371 W · 537 L | -64.0wins | -0.07per pick | 48cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked No | 74c | 18.2$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.73 | 1,669 | 41.6%694 W · 975 L | +15.9wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd443…5f71backed No | 68c | 15.63$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5 | 379 | 50.1%190 W · 189 L | -12.3wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x086f…8bc3backed No | 76c | 15.43$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.63 | 85 | 28.2%24 W · 61 L | -2.7wins | -0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2568…ef92backed No | 75c | 15$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.75 | 307 | 51.1%157 W · 150 L | -9.0wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed No | 75c | 14.1$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.52 | 459 | 47.7%219 W · 240 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Hungary vs. Finland end in a draw?this page
- Will Finland win on 2026-06-05?No won
- Will Hungary win on 2026-06-05?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.