TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NHL · resolved market

World Championships: Denmark vs. Slovakia

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Slovakiaof Denmark, Slovakia
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$22,873
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$24,164

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $22,873 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 85 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NHL
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x3e04…564dbacked Slovakia63c6,000$3,780 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,219.991,89152.4%991 W · 900 L+36.3wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+3.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdd15…4a07backed Denmark36c5,566$2,011 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,010.623920.5%8 W · 31 L+1.2wins+0.03per pick17cpaid-19.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x481d…9098backed Slovakia62c3,000$1,860 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,139.98560%3 W · 2 L+0.6wins+0.12per pick48cpaid+7.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4985…28bdbacked Denmark35c2,515$881 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$881.45450%2 W · 2 L+0.7wins+0.18per pick32cpaid+12.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x62ae…c975backed Denmark38c1,974$750 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$750250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.07per pick43cpaid+4.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3b62…b97cbacked Slovakia65c1,534$997 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$536.862100%2 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.34per pick66cpaid+51.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Slovakia69c1,002$690 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$311.61,30152.6%684 W · 617 L+23.7wins+0.02per pick51cpaid-6.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa664…f849backed Denmark35c999.92$350 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$349.973545.7%16 W · 19 L+2.9wins+0.08per pick37cpaid+48.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x7fb0…34ecbacked Denmark37c873.06$321 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$321.491145.5%5 W · 6 L+0.6wins+0.05per pick40cpaid+4.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x52d9…fb1abacked Slovakia62c775.35$481 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$294.6314551%74 W · 71 L+2.6wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+4.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3ca4…db18backed Slovakia65c728.85$474 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$255.11656.3%9 W · 7 L+0.4wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd604…cb5fbacked Denmark2c445.68$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.024438.6%17 W · 27 L-1.6wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-29.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x7d7f…86d2backed Slovakia64c442.23$282 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$160.688043.8%35 W · 45 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick45cpaid+2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9abb…3f96backed Slovakia65c307.69$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$107.699562.1%59 W · 36 L-2.5wins-0.03per pick65cpaid-4.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8d88…1e28backed Denmark36c299.95$108 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$107.9816235.2%57 W · 105 L-9.3wins-0.06per pick41cpaid-22.8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x48cb…1169backed Denmark37c297.3$110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$110742.9%3 W · 4 L-1.0wins-0.15per pick58cpaid-43.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x0a56…4e46backed Denmark8c295.48$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2570%0 W · 7 L-1.1wins-0.15per pick15cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x26db…7abcbacked Slovakia65c287.8$186 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$101.99475%3 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.07per pick68cpaid+2.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa7f9…86ecbacked Denmark36c277.76$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.9911253.6%60 W · 52 L+5.1wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+10.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xe89a…928abacked Slovakia65c261.54$170 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$91.541442.9%6 W · 8 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-7.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd404…b4ebbacked Denmark38c255.05$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96.821040%4 W · 6 L+0.4wins+0.04per pick36cpaid+5.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x324f…968cbacked Denmark38c254.89$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96.86333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.19per pick53cpaid-55.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7634…1b96backed Denmark38c253.47$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96.120047.5%95 W · 105 L-9.1wins-0.05per pick52cpaid-5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xda3d…36b6backed Denmark37c251.37$94 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$94.2370%0 W · 7 L-1.5wins-0.22per pick22cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x10b0…8525backed Slovakia63c250$157 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$92.535349.6%175 W · 178 L-0.8wins0.00per pick50cpaid-1.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5e7a…7e19backed Denmark40c223.05$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$89.8910%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.40per pick40cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7772…0e56backed Denmark37c200.32$74 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$74.121127.3%3 W · 8 L-2.0wins-0.18per pick46cpaid-36.1%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xeca0…e8f8backed Slovakia63c199.99$126 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$742857.1%16 W · 12 L+2.2wins+0.08per pick49cpaid-1.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xf6ee…0e41backed Denmark36c199.98$72 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$71.996931.9%22 W · 47 L-8.3wins-0.12per pick44cpaid-25.7%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x4b1a…d790backed Denmark37c194.4$72 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$71.9312041.7%50 W · 70 L-6.8wins-0.06per pick47cpaid-14.2%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x234b…f36dbacked Slovakia64c193.38$124 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$69.6210346.6%48 W · 55 L-1.8wins-0.02per pick48cpaid+5.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xd755…d794backed Slovakia65c192.76$125 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$67.76250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.06per pick56cpaid-22.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Slovakia63c190.39$120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$70.4414254.9%78 W · 64 L+5.1wins+0.04per pick51cpaid-0.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4cd7…db07backed Slovakia64c155.15$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$55.1524259.1%143 W · 99 L+8.5wins+0.04per pick56cpaid+4.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xd781…daacbacked Slovakia63c154.54$98 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56.653100%3 W · 0 L+1.4wins+0.46per pick54cpaid+86%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x6684…95d1backed Slovakia67c150.04$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50.045954.2%32 W · 27 L-1.4wins-0.02per pick57cpaid-4.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x33bc…37dcbacked Denmark35c146.73$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51.3633837.9%128 W · 210 L-14.7wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-13.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x5f56…348abacked Denmark9c146.47$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.877642.1%32 W · 44 L-2.1wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-21.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x15c5…4692backed Denmark33c141.66$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46.9727947.3%132 W · 147 L+1.5wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+1.4%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xda77…683fbacked Denmark11c133.52$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.0314347.6%68 W · 75 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-13.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5213…6a35backed Denmark36c129.44$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46.62748.1%13 W · 14 L+1.9wins+0.07per pick41cpaid+73.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5d05…f729backed Denmark37c127.86$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.318844.3%39 W · 49 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+2.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x13c9…5e53backed Slovakia63c100.51$63 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.1914643.8%64 W · 82 L-8.4wins-0.06per pick50cpaid-16.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Slovakia62c100$62 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$381,02853.2%547 W · 481 L+21.4wins+0.02per pick51cpaid-0.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x94a5…4eb8backed Slovakia64c100$64 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3611655.2%64 W · 52 L+2.5wins+0.02per pick53cpaid-0.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc5cf…c503backed Slovakia63c99.99$63 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3713749.6%68 W · 69 L+7.7wins+0.06per pick44cpaid+3.7%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xf39a…fe47backed Denmark37c87.47$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.3749747.9%238 W · 259 L-9.4wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-10.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x83c5…40f2backed Slovakia75c79.51$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.51250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-33.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0576…6232backed Slovakia64c71.44$46 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.7245651.5%235 W · 221 L+4.4wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6318…46b1backed Denmark36c66.64$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.996437.5%24 W · 40 L+3.3wins+0.05per pick32cpaid+3.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x35e7…8331backed Slovakia63c66.11$42 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.518150.6%41 W · 40 L-0.1wins0.00per pick51cpaid-5.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5e02…a0d6backed Denmark37c66.05$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.4410%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.37per pick37cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xb171…7d2bbacked Slovakia64c62.5$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.510464.4%67 W · 37 L+6.8wins+0.06per pick58cpaid+8.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x483b…2fc8backed Slovakia65c61.58$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.581100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.35per pick65cpaid+54%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbfdf…8e02backed Denmark36c59.76$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.5134845.4%158 W · 190 L-3.9wins-0.01per pick47cpaid+1.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf09f…05f9backed Denmark37c54.05$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201136.4%4 W · 7 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick39cpaid-41.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa211…a283backed Slovakia65c53.85$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.851241.7%5 W · 7 L-1.4wins-0.12per pick54cpaid-22.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x38a7…d69dbacked Denmark37c52$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.24922.2%2 W · 7 L-2.0wins-0.22per pick44cpaid-66.8%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x24b5…ee78backed Denmark20c50$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1020%0 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.18per pick18cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7e34…63f7backed Slovakia66c50$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1711061.8%68 W · 42 L+0.3wins0.00per pick62cpaid-1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3c1a…ba0bbacked Slovakia64c48.47$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.47366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.23per pick44cpaid+44.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x6553…7a71backed Slovakia64c46.88$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.886847.1%32 W · 36 L-3.4wins-0.05per pick52cpaid-9.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x5929…4684backed Slovakia62c46.6$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.4832353.9%174 W · 149 L+9.1wins+0.03per pick51cpaid-0.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2107…ece5backed Denmark37c45.45$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1720%0 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.31per pick31cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x241e…04cbbacked Slovakia80c41.23$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.256271%44 W · 18 L+2.6wins+0.04per pick67cpaid+6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd93d…27a0backed Denmark37c40.32$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.923357.6%19 W · 14 L+4.6wins+0.14per pick44cpaid+28.7%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x73c1…4030backed Denmark37c39.19$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.510%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.37per pick37cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x4e78…6acabacked Slovakia64c39.06$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.062100%2 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.42per pick58cpaid+73.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1a54…e581backed Slovakia64c31.25$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.25580%4 W · 1 L+0.8wins+0.16per pick64cpaid+11.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x33ff…889dbacked Slovakia65c30.77$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.771100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.35per pick65cpaid+53.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb533…9703backed Slovakia65c30.77$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.771450%7 W · 7 L+1.1wins+0.08per pick42cpaid-1.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0ca3…ec90backed Slovakia64c30.36$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.935100%5 W · 0 L+1.4wins+0.29per pick71cpaid+40.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xc0f8…ae2ebacked Denmark35c30.23$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.535154.9%28 W · 23 L+1.2wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+3.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x51eb…6bfabacked Slovakia64c27.91$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.0521253.3%113 W · 99 L-3.2wins-0.02per pick55cpaid-5.3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x9ef1…5acabacked Slovakia64c27$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.725556.4%31 W · 24 L-1.3wins-0.02per pick59cpaid-5.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc718…64a8backed Slovakia63c25.14$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.32755.6%15 W · 12 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick57cpaid-12.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2698…2941backed Slovakia77c23.95$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.392458.3%14 W · 10 L-0.4wins-0.02per pick60cpaid-11.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2063…e6bdbacked Slovakia64c23.32$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.32425%1 W · 3 L-0.7wins-0.18per pick43cpaid-61.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xae85…c96abacked Slovakia65c23.08$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.082673.1%19 W · 7 L+3.8wins+0.14per pick59cpaid+26%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x1740…529ebacked Slovakia65c22.92$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.921100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.35per pick65cpaid+52.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xaedd…ad5bbacked Slovakia64c19.13$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.892650%13 W · 13 L-2.7wins-0.10per pick60cpaid-14.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xa63b…d9f2backed Slovakia64c18.75$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.75250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.05per pick45cpaid-21.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5cb4…4576backed Slovakia62c18.68$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.18552.9%45 W · 40 L+3.8wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+3.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xa6f6…d815backed Slovakia64c15.63$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.633100%3 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.27per pick73cpaid+37.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2060…9e6cbacked Slovakia64c15.63$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.632100%2 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.33per pick67cpaid+49.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.